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...Our polling was too far left AGAIN....
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 31, 2024 | Mark Mitchell

Posted on 10/31/2024 6:32:23 AM PDT by Red Badger

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To: cgbg

“It is going to be an early Trump coronation on Election Night.”

If true, I hope the RNC, Trump campaign, etc., has a method in place to pummel without ceasing the new election deniers right out of the gate. Never let up.


41 posted on 10/31/2024 7:07:23 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (I'm voting for the felon with the pierced ear.)
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To: OldGoatCPO

You’re right, it is confusing.


42 posted on 10/31/2024 7:07:58 AM PDT by CodeToad (Rule #1: The elites want you dead.)
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To: CodeToad

“Rasmussen is terrible. They couldn’t count ducks on a pond accurately.”

Why do we Republicans always shoot our own? The circular fire squad again. Rasmussen is consistently one of the best polling outfits out there. That includes 2020 if you account for the cheating.
Go here to their YouTube channel and see why:
https://youtu.be/TyYHunk85js?si=MR2yYFpDNprT0c-o


43 posted on 10/31/2024 7:21:01 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: cuban leaf

“Isn’t an early vote simply one that won’t be included in “non-early” voting. i.e. if all that’s happening is that Republicans are voting earlier”

Not really.

What has the RATS terrified is that multiple polls terse show Trump with a 15 - 20 point lead among those who intend to vote on Election Day.

If that holds, they don’t have anywhere near the advantage they need in early votes to win.

It could change, but I would MUCH rather be in our position than theirs. It’s the reason why the betting markets are showing Trump as roughly a 2:1 favorite.


44 posted on 10/31/2024 7:22:29 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Trump trumps Hate)
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To: MayflowerMadam

I think Biden gave us a preview of where the left will be post election...

Attack the voters as “garbage”.


45 posted on 10/31/2024 7:25:50 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Red Badger

The only thing that concerns me in the early voting is that they have more time to manufacture votes to counteract the red wave.

Not that they won’t need to keep printing and counting for days after the 5th anyway, but it gives them data points.


46 posted on 10/31/2024 7:26:42 AM PDT by Dr.Deth
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To: cgbg

I sure hope you are right. Just to play devil’s advocate...what if that Pew poll turns out to be wrong. Maybe many people responded to the poll saying they were going to wait for election day to vote but after seeing how so many Republicans are early voting decided to do the same.


47 posted on 10/31/2024 7:26:57 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: Red Badger

It’s about who COUNTS the votes.


48 posted on 10/31/2024 7:30:27 AM PDT by OKSooner ("As I was saying..." - POTUSDJT, 10-6-24, Butler, Pennsylvania)
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To: willk

See Richard Baris for accuracy.


49 posted on 10/31/2024 7:33:39 AM PDT by CodeToad (Rule #1: The elites want you dead.)
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To: Red Badger

IDK. I’m cynical enough to believe Rasmussen is subliminally trying to get to stay home those who would vote for Trump...


50 posted on 10/31/2024 7:35:25 AM PDT by jeffc (Resident of the free State of Florida)
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To: willk

Even if the Pew poll was wrong by ten percent (which is crazy wrong and hard to do on a poll like that) then many more Trump voters than Harris voters will still show up on election day (10% more).

That would only be a 2% change on total voting numbers even in that case.

President Trump would still win the national popular vote and all the swing states under that scenario.

This election is not close.

It is a mass media myth that it is.


51 posted on 10/31/2024 7:36:22 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: OKSooner

Nowadays it’s about WHAT counts the votes.

Paper receipts from a machine are worthless.

A programmer can have it print out anything, regardless of what you selected as your votes. The screen can be easily manipulated to fool people into voting for the opposite of who or what they want.

When that ballot of your goes into the box, you have no idea who or what you actually voted for.

Algorithms be damned. Paper ballots, hand counted at the polling stations and witnessed by all who are in attendance don’t need ‘Algorithms’, BIOS, thumb drives, WiFi or even a power cord. Every Voting “Machine” should be made illegal by Federal Law................


52 posted on 10/31/2024 7:39:01 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

this is why source code for voting machine MUST NOT BE ‘PROPRIETARY’ (like dominion says)

Voting software should be easy. Get a vote, add 1 to a number. That’s it.

It must be open source and BUILDABLE. You must be able to take the code and build it again and get the exact same executable.

ANYTHING could be hidden in there if you can’t see the source code.


53 posted on 10/31/2024 7:45:31 AM PDT by Mr. K (no consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself.)
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To: cuban leaf
Also, my hope is that a LOT of “thinking” democrats are voting for Trump this time around. We’ve seen a lot of democrats come out publicly against Harris.

LOL. My liberal friends say the same thing word for word, in reverse. A lot of "thinking" Republicans will vote for Harris, since a lot of prominent Republicans have come out against Trump. Right-wing paranoia and exaggerations and slogans all have perfect parallels on the other side. Comforting to know that all humans think the same way.

54 posted on 10/31/2024 7:47:33 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Mr. K

Correct. Even a totalizer can be made to lie. The machine could count one candidate by twos and the other by ones. Or add an extra one every fifth vote.

People who don’t ‘code’ have no idea about how easily it can be done........................


55 posted on 10/31/2024 7:48:49 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

Yes, exactly.

A vote for Trump counts as... any value less than one, say .81.

A vote for you know who is corrected to tabulate at some higher value such that the final total of votes cast is equal to the number of people who walked into the polls.

Easily done from D.C, or anywhere on the planet that has internet service for that matter.


56 posted on 10/31/2024 7:52:49 AM PDT by OKSooner ("As I was saying..." - POTUSDJT, 10-6-24, Butler, Pennsylvania)
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To: CodeToad
See Richard Baris for accuracy.

LOL. Mr. Red - no, Crimson - Wave. LOL.

57 posted on 10/31/2024 7:55:03 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: ConservativeDude
I’ve not seen any pollsters coming out with explanations about what they did wrong last time, and how they’ve corrected it....so it seems the most resaonable conclusion is that Trump will outperform his polls, yet again.

Bingo. Why am I supposed to trust that the same pollsters who so badly undercounted Trump's support in 2016 and 2020 have magically fixed everything this time? Even *IF* the problem were only half as bad this time, that would mean they are undercounting Trump's support by 3-4 points....which means Trump will win decisively.

58 posted on 10/31/2024 7:56:17 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: cgbg
”I think Biden gave us a preview of where the left will be post election... Attack the voters as “garbage”.

You raise an interesting point - what does that decrepit dictator do after the TrumpII landslide? Does he attempt to incite both sides? Does President Trump call him out as unfit for the Office? Ban him and Karamela from the Inauguration? Does Bidendropov start a war with Iran or even one of Iran’s client states to handcuff Trump’s legislative agenda?

59 posted on 10/31/2024 7:57:18 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: FLT-bird

Gallup was the only good pollster out there.

After badly blowing the Reagan race they realized they had no clue what was going on in the heartland—and eventually folded up their tent and went away.

Today’s pollsters are just shameless liars—learn nothing from their obvious “mistakes”.


60 posted on 10/31/2024 8:00:10 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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