Based on the most recent SS actuarial death charts his cohort will die at the following rates:
So if there are 100 alive on Jan 1st, there will be 71 still alive at the end of the 84th year. So, there is about a 1 in 3 chance he dies in the next four years.
This is based on ALL people in the cohort—from the healthiest to the most ill.
81 yrs. 7.0%. 100 becomes 93
82 years 7.7% 93 becomes 85
83 years 8.5% 85 becomes 78
84 years 9.4% 78 become 71
I wouldn’t put it past the LIB nitwits to have a body double now.