It must be setting in to them that Biden is likely to have his *ss handed to him in November in a historic fashion. Are the Dems starting to reconcile themselves to that now?
Will the Obamas and their odd houseguest, Valerie Jarrett finally move out of close proximity to the Trump Whitehouse?
I’m wondering just how far Obama Biden will go between now and next Jan 20 to make it difficult for Trump to set our country on a better course again?
Weaken Israel, our most solid Middle East ally?
Allow a nuclear armed Iran?
Collapse the dollar?
Heat up a war with Russia (and China as their ally)?
Well, due to the general makeup of the electorate, it won’t be a Reagan 84 night, but IF, and if is always a big word, the momentum stays like it has been pretty much the entire cycle, then Democrats are going to be playing heavy defense in places that no one is even talking about today.
Short of something shifting, by fall it will be very evident that the “swing” states everyone is talking about today, will largely be out of reach for Biden.
Maybe 1 or 2 of the rust belts might still be “in play” but pretty much, the rest of the “swing state” map will be all but locked up for Trump.
I mean at this point the only other “swing” state that MIGHT still be in play would be, say AZ, if the whole abortion thing blows up... but since the 1800’s ban has now been rescinded, its hard to see how that’s going to be a tide turner even if there is some referendum on the ballot about abortion.. Other than that I really don’t see how anything else won’t be all but locked up by then.
I fully expect the battle to be taken to states no one is talking about.... Biden is just down everywhere, even in the deepest of blue states he’s polling down 10-15 points from his 2020 numbers...
People are still in denial that MN will be competitive, they seem stuck on a false narrative.
2024’s baseline should be 2016, not 2020, if for no other reason, than the 3rd parties are back on the ballot... In 2020 they largely were not.. .(and that’s not even considering RFK being probably the biggest 3rd party draw since Perot, that’s just 3rd partied in general). That one single data point alone should be enough that any analyst thinking 2020 is the baseline to work off of should immediately be fired.
We will see how this plays out, but its hard to see where the “gotcha” is going to shift things, At this point they have thrown everything and the kitchen sink at Trump for 8 or 9 years, and he’s standing tall... Biden on the other hand, bloom is far off that rose, but he too has been around forever so hard to see him suddenly changing stripes in any way that is going to drastically shift the election his way.
The only thing the left has, in any polling, that shows it could shift the race would be a conviction of Trump, on anything.... doesn’t matter if its legit, just a conviction on anything.... polling says some folks would be open to changing their support for Trump if he’s convicted... So, that’s why all this nonsense is happening. Now, with that actually come to pass, especially if any conviction is a laughable farce that will be overturned on appeal? We will see... My suspicion is it will backfire on them if they manage to get one, but that’s all they got, so that’s why they are all in on these stupid kangaroo trials.
At this point, if things continue the way they have been, Trump is likely to win not only the white house, but the popular vote as well, and if the latter of those 2 things happen its hard not to see Trump absolutely expanding the map well beyond the states the pundits are currently talking about as being in play. We shall see how it goes, 6 months is still along time, and anything can happen.
If the collapse is imminent, then Biden losing will be their key to victory.
A collapse under Trump will cement his legacy and allow for no GOP successor.
In 2028, whomever the fascists nominate will win easily along with a fascist Senate and House who will give amnesty to everyone inside our borders.
Game, set, match.