Again, as I have stated elsewhere, even if you combined 100% of Haley’s votes with Biden’s, and assume every single Haley voter is a Democrat crossing over (which we know isn’t true, but lets give it to him anyway)... Biden is still down 24% from 2020.. and that combined total is less than any Democrat that has won the Indiana primary since 1992, with the exception of Kerry and Gore.
Now you could make the argument that Biden is down because the primary is uncontested... and that’s a valid point. However, Trump has locked the nomination as well, and all his opponents have dropped out, still Trump’s vote totals in Indiana are only down 8% since 2020.
Biden is absolutely collapsing... Media just focus on that top number for their narrative. ooo Trump only got XX% of his primary vote...meanwhile when you dig into the actual results you see that Biden is just collapsing everywhere.
Enthusiasm Gap is enormous, and very very real.
“Enthusiasm Gap is enormous, and very very real.”
I don’t disagree with what you noted regarding Biden’s vote total or about how Nimrod’s vote total is hardly alarming for Trump (despite the media’s wish that it was).
Still: Understand that Democrats in Indiana had NOTHING to vote for this week while Republicans had a supposedly hotly-contested gubernatorial primary and at least 4 (should have been 5) important contested U.S. House primaries in districts 3, 5, 6 & 8. So obviously Republican voters had far more reason to participate.
But as to this “enthusiasm gap” stuff.... oy.
Recall 2020 when we were told by self-important and supposedly authoritative data analysts (some of whom post here on FR) that Trump had — I kid you not — nearly a SEVENTY point so-called enthusiasm advantage!
It’s not hard to see why the naive and wishful thinkers would be fooled into thinking that such a gap existed — Biden can’t draw any crowds at all!!! Trump’s rallies are HUUUUUGE!!!
All irrelevant, as anecdotal BS usually is (e.g. yard signs, or “muh neighbor who voted Democrat last time....”, or “I talked to 3 guys at work, or....)
Pollsters presumably asked prospective Biden and Trump voters how excited or enthusiastic they were to vote for their chosen candidate.
Biden voters: little to no enthusiasm, obviously.
Trump voters: massive enthusiasm and therefore a massive (70 point!!!) difference between us and voters for Basement Biden.
Meaningless.
Because they asked the wrong question of the Biden voters.
Wrong question: “How enthusiastic are you to vote FOR Joe Biden (and other Democrats)?”
Right question: “How enthusiastic are you to vote AGAINST Donald Trump (and other Republicans)?”
Ask stupid questions, get irrelevant and meaningless answers. Ask the right question, and the “enthusiasm gap” is not only nowhere near 70 percent, it’s actually in negative numbers as far as Trump is concerned.
So be very careful about “enthusiasm” here, and don’t be surprised when it isn’t what you want it to be — when someone asks the right question.