“Summer 2024 Frontline Dynamics: Overview, Key Issues, and Projections
FRONTELLIGENCE INSIGHT
JUL 25, 2024”
“As global attention remains focused on the U.S. Presidential elections, it might seem that the frontline situation has stalled with no significant changes. However, our team has prepared a special report after closely monitoring the movement and composition of Russian forces, assessing their morale, and analyzing captured documentation and POW statements. Additionally, we’ve observed both positive and concerning developments within the Ukrainian army. This comprehensive report aims to clarify the current status on the frontline and offer insights into what we can expect moving forward. We have also addressed the question of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, exploring the feasibility of such talks in the near future and identifying the reasons why they would be difficult to execute.”
https://frontelligence.substack.com/p/summer-2024-frontline-dynamics-overview
Anyone got some T80 engines sitting around?
“Equipment Movements and Availability: During June and early July, our team observed the movement of hundreds of vehicles from various parts of Russia toward Ukraine. Most of these vehicles were older models, likely restored and, in some cases, modernized, such as T-62s, T-55s, BMP-1s, and BTR-70/80s, with very few MTLBs. These vehicles have not yet made a noticeable appearance on the battlefield, suggesting they may either be assigned to new units being formed by the Russian army or are intended for future use later this year.
According to internal Russian documents in our possession, many damaged tanks have been waiting for parts replacements for over six months. Specific components, particularly those from the engine compartment, appear to be the most problematic, leading to extended waiting times. In some cases, shortages of engines for tanks like the T-80 have resulted in cannibalization of these tanks rather than fixing them, due to the unrealistically long wait for parts.”