Interesting light blue and light red picks. Especially Oregon and Texas
Trump won Texas 52-46.5 in 2020.
I remember debating some guy on FR back then saying Trump would win Texas by 5 while Cornyn would win by 10.
He thought Trump would win the state by double digits. I was pretty close in my prediction.
It will be similar in 2024. Mid single digits for Trump in Texas. 4-6 points.
Trump rubs people the wrong way. Texas is a 10 point state for someone like Cornyn. Can be conservative but not abrasive.
My prediction is a Cruz win this year by 2-4 points. Similar to his 2.5 win in 2018 - but Cruz will be helped by it being a presidential year.
I’m an undervote in the Senate race this year but will vote wholeheartedly for Michael McCaul.