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The complete transcript.
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[ “Only 12% Survived the First Attack”: Last Words of a Russian Soldier Unravel The Terrifying Truth ]
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Day 845: Jun 17
Today, there are a lot of updates from the Kharkiv direction.
Here, over the last several weeks, Russians have made a series of desperate attempts to accelerate their offensive operations to finally overcome the first Ukrainian defense line.
However, all their attempts have failed and Russians have gradually lost momentum, while Ukrainians have developed a more offensive stance and taken the initiative into their own hands, creating an even more deadly environment for those enemy troops trying to move forward in the directions of Lyptsi and Vovchansk.
This spiked the daily death toll significantly, and the resulting high number of accumulated losses led to the further slowdown of the Russian offensive and the turn of events in favor of the Ukrainians. [ 1500+ daily ]
The first main reason for such huge losses was that Russians tried to use a new tactic, which did not work as the Russian commanders expected. At the beginning of the Kharkiv offensive, military analysts from different countries reported about the change in general tactics that the Russians were deploying.
The main idea of this tactic was to use smaller assault groups of no more than 5 people to penetrate Ukrainian positions through many points before merging with other such groups and uniting into a larger strike group.
Experts recently started to put this tactic into doubt, as it requires a high level of coordination, so in reality, many of these small groups never merged. Russian military analysts issued concerns that the use of it may be not only contributing to higher Russian manpower and material losses, but also resulting in the premature decline of the offensive in the Kharkiv direction.
This was confirmed by Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets, who noted that these growing losses are leading to a significant decrease in the overall pace of Russian offensive operations.
Secondly, one Russian military commentator, who previously served as a “Storm-Z” unit instructor, complained that using small groups while trying to advance is indicative of poor training and preparation and not an effective new tactic.
One video from a drone that was published by operators of the Ukrainian Third Separate Assault Brigade gives a shocking confirmation of this statement and the state of preparedness of these troops.
A Russian soldier can be seen sitting in a trench when an FPV drone approaches him for an attack. There was some initial defect in the drone, and it couldn’t detonate. What happens next is beyond imagination, as the Russian soldier decides to push his luck too far and starts hitting the blocked drone with a stick, which leads to a successful explosion and a suicidal outcome.
More confirmations for the high casualty rate in the Russian army are provided by their soldiers in the following videos.
The first footage comes from the vicinity of Vovchansk, where one Russian soldier from the 1009th Motorized Rifle Regiment is complaining on camera that the initial size of the 5th company in which he serves was 100 people and after an attempted assault against the city, they were reduced to only 12.
The second footage is from one Russian prisoner of war, whose campaign lasted only 2 days as he was reasonable enough to surrender quickly to Ukrainian forces near Vovchansk. He can be seen explaining that his unit consisted of 50 soldiers, but after the first attack, only 6 survived, and they all immediately surrendered to avoid being sent into attacks again.
These grim confessions of ordinary Russian soldiers about their survival rate of 12% sounds in correspondence with other numbers provided by Ukrainian authorities.
For example, the Ukrainian Chief of the General Staff Anatoliy Barhylevych, stated recently that during the peak heat, Russian forces have lost up to 1740 wounded and killed soldiers in the Kharkiv direction in a single day, which is an insanely high rate of casualties, especially if compared to the initial forces the Russian command summoned for their endeavor.
It is no surprise that this number skyrocketed even more after Ukrainians started targeting enemy evacuation and supply roads on Russian territory with weapons provided by Western partners.
Overall. the Russian tactic of using small poorly coordinated assault groups has been ineffective, resulting in isolated units being easily targeted.
Additionally, inadequate training has led to high casualty rates as seen in numerous incidents and firsthand soldier accounts. These losses have slowed the Russian offensive allowing Ukrainians to capitalize on their defensive strengths and further undermine Russian efforts.
The dire situation for Russian troops compounded by targeted Ukrainian strikes on evacuation and supply routes underscores the strategic failure of the Russian offensive and the resilience and tactical superiority of the Ukrainian defense.
“Ukrainian Chief of the General Staff Anatoliy Barhylevych, stated recently that during the peak heat, Russian forces have lost up to 1740 wounded and killed soldiers in the Kharkiv direction in a single day, which is an insanely high rate of casualties”
Why the meat waves? As we have discussed before, as Russia’s stocks of main combat platforms (Armor, Aviation, Artillery) are depleted, they shift increasingly toward Light Infantry. That trend has been observed throughout this war.
But also, in the nearer term, as The Kyiv Post reports:
“Russia is pressing hard against Ukrainian defenses “to maximize the depletion” of Ukrainian troops before the gradual arrival of Western aid – the F-16 multirole fighters in particular – that might turn the war in Ukraine’s favor, said Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrsky.
In a Telegram announcement, Syrsky said that Russia maintained “active offensive actions of varying intensity” in the Kupyansk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhivska and Vremivka sectors in the Donetsk region – a region Russia has claimed sovereignty through illegal referendums – in an attempt to seize territories and further degrade Ukrainian defense.
Syrsky said fighting on the Pokrovsk front has been particularly intense, where AFP reported that Moscow’s forces in the area are closing in on a key transit artery and supply routes linking civilian hubs north of the industrial territory to towns further south...
...“The enemy is well aware that as a result of the gradual receipt of a significant amount of weapons and military equipment from our partners, and the arrival of the first F-16s, which will strengthen our air defense, time will play in our favor and [the Kremlin’s] chances of success will decrease,” said Syrsky.
“Therefore, the [Russian force command staff] is currently making every effort to increase the intensity and expand the geography of hostilities to maximize the depletion of our troops, disrupt the training of reserves and prevent the transition to active offensive actions,” he said.”