Too blurry to make much of what happened.
PART 1: Wild revelations from Vladimir Osechkin’s sources on Timur Ivanov’s role in Yevgeny Prigozhin’s rebellion & demise. Arrest of Ivanov is Putin’s retribution. Shoigu’s fall is likely coming.
Prigozhin went nuts and attempted his coup after the MoD continued the constant squeeze on him - first withholding prisoner recruitment, then cutting off his MoD budget, and finally cutting off munitions.
Of course Putin had to kill Prigozhin for his attempted coup, BUT-
Putin had Patrushev (Security Council) and Bortnikov (FSB) conduct a post-mortem assessment [pun intended] of what really caused Prigozhin to go loco, as he was one of Putin’s most trusted & loyal people.
They discovered how Ivanov & Shoigu did gradually choke off all MoD support from Prigozhin, just as Prigozhin was saying was happening but Putin wouldn’t listen to him.
Then after Putin had Prigozhin killed for the rebellion, Ivanov, with Shoigu’s blessing, sent a significant team (Redut PMC) from the MoD to Africa and started to systemically steal Prigozhin’s assets there including gold mines and oil & gas fields.
As a result, Patrushev and Bortnikov realized that this was Deputy Defence Minister Ivanov’s premeditated plan - to destroy Prigozhin one way or another to steal all his assets - billion of dollars. A plan that was enabled by Shoigu but executed by Ivanov, and hidden from Putin.
Putin now blames Ivanov for provoking Prigozhin to betray Putin with the June 23 2023 rebellion and his ‘March on Moscow.’ The artificial shell famine that Prigozhin complained so much about was traced directly to Timur Ivanov at the MoD.
Shoigu is now also in grave risk of retribution from Putin for what happened to Prigozhin.
So far unclear how he will be dealt with, but quite possible Putin will use his upcoming inauguration and the new 6-year term as an excuse to replace Shoigu as Defence Minister.
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1783814129436016682