Kremlin snuff box, 04/14/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Iran launched a direct attack on Israel. What does this change for Russia?
Last night, Iran launched a combined attack on Israel. There is a commotion in the world about this, as the situation in the Middle East continues to worsen. In fact, one of many conflicts is moving into a hot phase.
This has a double effect for our country.
On the one hand, Iran’s involvement in the war will affect military-technical cooperation with the Russian Federation. We are talking about the supply of drones, missiles and other weapons.
On the other hand, the involvement of Israel in the war will entail the involvement of the United States and other allies of Tel Aviv in the conflict. This, in turn, will distract them from Ukraine for some time. In this regard, Iran and its proxies play an important role.
China, whose influence in Iran has grown greatly in recent years, is also watching the situation with great interest.
It is especially worth mentioning the role of Donald Trump in this story. He repeatedly threatened Iran. Tehran even asked Moscow to help avoid Trump’s second arrival in the White House.
There are fears that if he wins the election, Trump may turn to resolving the conflict in the Middle East. And no one knows what his approach will be.
There is one more point that intelligence officials are cautious about talking about.
Shifting the focus of Kyiv’s Western allies away from Ukraine will open a certain window of opportunity for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
It is no secret that the West places restrictions on Kiev in terms of launching attacks with Western weapons on Moscow and other Russian cities. In theory, this balance can now be changed.
Then the question remains: does the Ukrainian Armed Forces have the means to carry out such attacks.
Will Israel launch another attack? My guess is not. But I wouldn’t put money on it.
“The New York Times reported early Sunday that Biden administration officials were advising Israel against a further attack on Iran given its successful defense.”