Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[FtrPilot]

Another video from Belgorod, Russia, last night with the sounds of air raid sirens & Russian air defense missiles being launched in an attempt to intercept incoming rockets.

https://twitter.com/raging545/status/1772882725826908347

No information on where the rockets were fired from.

[BeauBo]

"Swiss banks start to close accounts of Russian clients"

From November 2023 through February 2024, new sanctions enforcement efforts have come into effect, that have caused significant shifts in Russia's International funds flows.

Major Russian cash flows through banks in Turkey, Austria, the UAE and India have been disrupted, as well as their "shadow Fleet" tanker operations, and oil shipments to India.

Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, Wally Adeyemo, has seemed pretty successful so far, in putting the screws to Russian financing/sanctions evasion, since he was made the point man for this effort late last year.

[FtrPilot]

Lecornu said discussions with Ukrainian military engineers are in progress to adapt the French AASM bomb kit to American F-16 fighter jets donated to Kyiv from Denmark and the Netherlands.

My guess is this will only require a software update for the F-16s.

This will allow the F-16 pilot to input the target coordinates while airborne.

When launched from Ukrainian aircraft, the target coordinates are input on the ground, prior to launch.

[BeauBo]

OilPrice.com reports (Julianne Geiger, 26 March):

The amount of Russian oil refining capacity that has been taken offline due to Ukrainian drone strikes is 14% of Russia’s total refining capacity, according to Reuters calculations.

Calculations show that 900,000 barrels per day of refining capacity has been taken offline by drone strikes, Reuters said on Tuesday (26 March). This includes Lukoil’s Norsi and Volgograd refineries, and Rosneft’s Kuibyshev and Ryazan refineries, among others.

Ukraine has stepped up its drone attacks on Russian refineries in recent weeks, which have reduced Russia’s overall refinery capacity, cutting into Russia’s refinery output, including gasoline and diesel production for its own domestic market.

The United States has urged Ukraine to stop its attacks on Russia’s refineries on concerns that any Russian retaliation could result in a spike in crude oil prices. Rising crude oil prices, which leads to higher gasoline prices, are problematic for sitting U.S. presidents in election years.

Brent crude oil prices are up almost $5 per barrel from this same time last month (around $86, Urals around $72) — the highest level in nearly five months — partially buoyed by Ukraine’s strikes and continued concerns with safe oil shipments through the Red Sea as the Houthis target vessels.

JP Morgan had estimated earlier that Russia’s refinery capacity outages could add a significant risk premium to the middle distillates market, banking on it taking weeks or even months to restore the capacity. Bank analysts have estimated that risk premium at $4 per barrel.

Analysts have predicted that Russia’s crude oil production will fall in the second quarter as a result of the refining capacity outages, as Russia’s oil storage capacity is already quite tight. (Afloat storage of Russian diesel aboard tankers, is currently around 6.2 million barrels, the highest levels since at least 2017 - higher than when the European ban hit, or when COVID disrupted demand)

[FtrPilot]

It has taken only a few weeks, but the heavy damage inflicted upon the refining industry has already turned Russia from a net exporter of refined oil products to an importer.

This will increase energy prices in Russia and eventually all products. Russia's already costly war just got even more expensive and this one will be even felt in Moscow and Sankt Petersburg, with unpredictable consequences.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1773072118739091474

[marcusmaximus]

Russian strategic bombers airborne and en route to the launch lines. Cruise missile launches against Ukraine in 1-2 hours.

[BeauBo]

“Russian strategic bombers airborne and en route to the launch lines.”

I have no doubt that those damn war criminals will be targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure, yet again. Everyone who participates in Russia’s atrocities should be brought to justice for their crimes.

[BeauBo]

“heavy damage inflicted upon the refining industry has already turned Russia from a net exporter of refined oil products to an importer.”

Putin is a Master Strategist alright.

[PIF]

Reporting From Ukraine:
Note: other versions of this report are found elsewhere on FR, but this is guaranteed to be the complete transcript - unlike the others.
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU

[ Ukrainians Incinerate All Russian Reinforcements ]
—
Day 763: Mar 27

Today, there are a lot of updates from the Lyman direction.

Here, Russians have been continuously assaulting Ukrainian positions in an attempt to reach the Ukrainian settlements along the Zherebets River.

The main goal of the Russians is to take control of the Ukrainian city and logistics hub of Lyman. However, as Russians came to realize, this would be far more difficult than expected, as they first have to cross the heavily defended Zherebets River, over which Ukrainians have established a strong logistics network that allows them to fend off most Russian assaults.

Furthermore, any Russian assaults that threaten to overwhelm Ukrainian defenders are then quickly counterattacked by quick-reaction forces or Ukrainian soldiers from the forest, making it an intense, but even battle.

As you may remember, the last Russian mechanized assault waves ended in complete disaster for the Russians. They did not manage to come even close to the settlements and were completely destroyed already on the approach.

In an attempt to adapt their strategy to the current situation, Russian forces now use their armor to transport infantry as close to the forest as possible, and drop the infantry off, who then carry out the assault themselves, while the armored vehicle quickly retreats.

These infantry groups then move through the tree lines and take up concealed positions in the forest in an attempt to accumulate forces to launch large-scale infantry assaults.

However, for such assaults to have any chance of success without armored support, Russians need to rely on intensive artillery bombardments to undermine Ukrainian positions and prepare for the assaults.

Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainians understood the Russian predicament and decided to take immediate preemptive action. They used FPV drones and precision artillery to perform counter-battery fire on Russians when they opened fire on Ukrainian positions.

Geolocated footage also shows that the Ukrainian 45th Artillery Brigade successfully destroyed a Russian heavy mortar Tulip, 2 D-20 howitzers, and 2 D-30 howitzers, all in one operation.

The Ukrainian 45th Artillery Brigade also worked together with drone operators from the 63rd Mechanized Brigade to destroy another Russian heavy mortar Tulip, an artillery munition depot, a D-20 howitzer, and 3 more D-20 howitzers the day before.

The Ukrainian 63rd Brigade also destroyed a heavy mortar Tulip on their own with an FPV kamikaze drone.

The Ukrainian Predator drone detachment from the border police also performed 2 successful hits on Russian artillery, destroying a heavy mortar Tulip and a multiple-launch rocket system Grad with FPV kamikaze drones.

The large number of Russian Tulip heavy mortar systems, which use heavy shells to undermine defensive positions, shows that Russians are primarily focused on destroying the Ukrainian fortifications before moving in with their infantry.

Ukrainian forces did not stop there. And while their artillery crews were busy destroying any Russian artillery in the region that dared to open fire, Ukrainian drone operators aimed to destroy any Russian vehicle trying to cross the fields between Kreminna and the settlements along the river.

Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian drone operators from the 23rd Rifle Battalion destroying an assault group consisting of 2 tanks and 2 infantry fighting vehicles with FPV kamikaze drones.

The Ukrainian 60th mechanized brigade also destroyed 2 Russian armored personnel carriers with mines, 3 more with FPV drones, and a T-72 tank with a FPV kamikaze drone.

Drone operators from the 63rd Mechanized Brigade were also heavily active in the area, destroying 2 armored personnel carriers and a infantry fighting vehicle with kamikaze drones.

Ukrainian drone operators from the 100th Territorial Defense Brigade and 12th Special Purpose Brigade were also operating from the forest and destroyed 2 Russian transport trucks, an armored car Tiger, which is a Russian version of the Humvee, and an infantry fighting vehicle along the road to Torske with FPVs.

[ Total Destroyed: 4 Tulip heavy mortars, 6 D-20 howitzers, 2 D-30 howitzers, 1 artillery munition depot, 1 Grad multiple-launch rocket system, 3 tanks, 7 Russian armored personnel carriers, 4 IFVS, 2 Russian transport truck, 1Tiger armored car ]

Despite the intensity of drone operations, Russians still managed to accumulate themselves in the forests.

However, the attacks of these under-strength Russian Assault Groups were doomed to be suicidal because they were suffering from a critical lack of reinforcements and armor and artillery support, while Ukrainians counterattacked them with their own infantry fighting vehicles, artillery, and drone-dropped munitions.

Eventually, after 3 weeks of heavy fighting in the area and enormous Russian casualties, Russian forces barely managed to take control of the forest in the northern valley east of Terny, giving Russians partial control over the hill in between.

However, if we look at the topographic map, we can see that any Russian attack from this forest towards Terny would be vulnerable to a Ukrainian flank attack from the hill above.

As such, the only real tactical gain for Russians over these last 3 weeks has been slightly securing the flank of the largest forest in front of the settlement, of which Russians still only control half.

A Russian military blogger stated that while Ukrainians still control the settlements themselves, Russian forces now hold the initiative to perform simultaneous attacks on both Terny and Yampolivka in the near future.

However, such an assault would have to cover a vast amount of open fields, which are tightly visually controlled by Ukrainian drone operators, allowing Ukrainians to be well-prepared for an attack, and possibly intercept the convoy long before they reach the contact line.

Moreover, any large infantry assault from the forests is subject to Ukrainian fire and counterattacks from nearly all sides.

Overall, the intense Ukrainian counter-battery fire, jointly with combined drone operations and strong positional fighting, completely drained the Russian assault groups of their offensive capabilities, preventing Russians from forcing a breakthrough toward the settlements.

If Ukrainians manage to maintain the intensity of counter-battery fire and drone attacks, Russian forces will not be able to build up a sufficient amount of forces or momentum to further break Ukrainian lines and reach the settlements.

[marcusmaximus]

Russians just shot down one of their own fighter planes over Sevastopol Crimea.

[marcusmaximus]

🌊✈️ Sevastopol, Russian aircraft fell into the sea!

[PIF]

Russian aircraft fell into the sea!

—
Russian aircraft promoted to submarine!

[FtrPilot]

Wow

[FtrPilot]

Footage of the Su-27 crashing into the sea.

The aircraft is in an inverted flat spin and on fire.

There is no chute in the video, but the pilot could have ejected at a higher altitude.

[PIF]

There is another video that shows the pilot in his chute - he was picked up 600 meters offshore.

[marcusmaximus]

10 Russian strategic bombers en route to their cruise missile launch lines to attack Ukraine right now.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box, 03/28/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

What happened to our Su-27 over Sevastopol?

Sad news from Crimea. in the sky over Sevastopol A Su-27 fighter was shot down. According to our information, there was a malfunction in the friend-or-foe system. The plane was shot down by our own air defense. Preliminarily, S-400.

Fortunately, the pilot ejected. By the way, miraculously I made it.

According to our information, the command was given to throw in several versions in order to blur the fact that the plane was lost as a result of a crossbow. There will also be versions that it was the Ukrainians who shot it down, and about a technical malfunction (such versions are already appearing ). But, within an hour after the accident, several VKS officers were detained.

Note that this is not the first such failure. Previously, at least several aircraft were lost due to the work of our own air defense.

In war there are losses, but once it is an accident, and when accidents continue. then this is already a system. Alas. Will the culprits be punished? Or will he get away with it, as in the case of the terrorist attack in Crocus? Neither Kolokoltsev nor Bortnikov were dismissed. And they weren’t even suspended.

[FtrPilot]

...there was a malfunction in the friend-or-foe system.

This is not just an IFF system malfunction.

IMHO this is a command & control breakdown.

Russian air defense in Crimea is getting hammered by upper echelon because of the successful Stormshadow attacks.

Air defense is in a hair-trigger mode...shoot first & sort it out later.

With the A-50s grounded, surface-to-air systems are operating in autonomous mode, complicating command & control.

[blitz128]

Ah come on man, it’s the cia/s

[FtrPilot]

Ukraine 🇺🇦 shot down 26 of 39 missiles and 58 of 60 drones launched by Russia

17/21 or (81%) of X-101 Missiles
5/9 or (56%) of Kh-59 Missiles
4/4 or (100%) of Iskander-K Missiles

0/3 or (0%) of Kinzhal Missiles
0/2 or (0%) of Iskander-M Missiles

58/60 or (97%) of Shahed Drones

https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1773617124981846501

Flight path of Russian missiles on Ukrainian territory. It confirms that Russia more and more is seeking to hit targets in the western part of Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1773659392803496303

Perhaps attacking the airbases where F-16s will be stationed.