Like the SU-57, the exposed seams and fasteners likely indicate it's not particularly stealthy compared to western standards.
Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
It looks like they are dropping something here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I0opI3fRH8
Dead man, no longer walking?
“Hezbollah has lost contact with possible Nasrallah successor, source says”
“Hezbollah has lost contact with a possible successor to its late leader Hassan Nasrallah, according to a Lebanese security source.
The group has not heard from Hashem Safieddine since an Israeli strike in Beirut’s southern suburbs targeted him on Friday, the source told CNN Saturday.
Some background: Safieddine served as head of Hezbollah’s executive council and, until his predecessor’s death, was seen as one of the most likely heirs to the organization’s highest-ranking seat.
He is a maternal cousin of Nasrallah, and studied alongside him in Iran in the 1980s.”
Demilitarization, desatanization and denazification of RuZZia continues.
Russia - 18250, of which: destroyed: 13449, damaged: 806, abandoned: 1020, captured: 2975
Tanks (3440, of which destroyed: 2380, damaged: 158, abandoned: 370, captured: 532)
“Hashem Safieddine, the presumed successor to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, was reportedly killed in an Israeli airstrike in southern Beirut on Friday, according to Saudi news outlet Al Hadath. The strike allegedly targeted Safieddine and those with him in the Dahieh suburb. “
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1842475927848075604
“Units from the 47th Mechanized Brigade successfully destroyed a Russian BMD. While the crew was initially targeting a basement with Russian soldiers, they encountered the vehicle along the way and completely destroyed it.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1842474499821781298
However, this severely limits the number of bombs carried.
Also, this would increase the radar signature for ground radars.
Purifying RuZZian Society.
“Reportedly, this is footage of Guzenko’s detainment. He is a Russian “Z-blogger”.
This awaits most of them at some point in the future.”
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1842551999109410888
“Z-blogger “Thirteenth” was detained in Novopavlovsk. Previously, he had repeatedly criticised the Russian authorities.”
“Yegor Guzenko fought in the Donbas since 2014, as well as in 2019 in Syria. When the Russian full-scale invasion began, he was under house arrest for shooting a man in the face with a flash-noise cartridge from a Pioneer aerosol gun, and later for using flash-noise gun in the air. On 6 March 2022, he cut off an electronic bracelet with which he could be tracked by the FSIN, arranged through acquaintances in the “DPR” to come to them, and fled to war. Since then, he has been trying to officially go to war through the Russian Ministry of Defense, but has been denied due to a criminal case.”
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1842564021267886115
Kremlin snuff box, 10/05/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
We lost a unique drone, but it could have been worse. What happened in the skies over the DPR?
This morning, information was spread in Ukrainian public pages that a Russian plane was allegedly shot down in the skies over the DPR. First Su-25, then allegedly Su-34. Video recordings of the incident are circulating in the channels, where it is clear that the plane was shot down by our fighter.
We clarified what exactly was shot down over the DPR on Saturday morning. It turns out that these were unsuccessful tests of the new S-70 Okhotnik drone. At some point, the operator lost control of the drone and received a command to shoot it down. To prevent the drone from falling into enemy hands.
But it’s worth tempering the ardor of some colleagues about the mass production of these drones. So far, alas, not as much as we would like. And, as we see, “Hunter” needs improvement. Because in order to eliminate it, we had to take risks and send a real fighter with a real pilot to the front line. I was lucky that everything worked out fine.
—
Two videos of the shoot down:
Fighterbomber, 10/05/24
https://t.me/fighter_bomber/18313
Kurch, crests, exhale.
All our planes and crews are at home. Alive, healthy and whole.
Well, it happens that there is less space for the drone. That’s why they are tests.
Kremlin snuff box, 10/02/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Lukashenko is fxxked. Deputy Belousov cursed at the President of Belarus
Belarus has shot down at least 10 Russian attack drones over the past month. At the same time, Lukashenko violated the agreements that were concluded at the Presidential level.
One of the deputy defense ministers, Andrei Belousov, harshly swore at the President of the Republic of Belarus in a narrow circle.
Lukashenko is fxxked. He doesn’t want to fight in Ukraine, but he shoots down our drones. Just as our plane was fxxked in Machulishchi, the Belarusian air defense “slept through everything” ( we are talking about the attack on the A-50 AWACS aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces in February 2023 - Ed. ). And how to shoot down drones now - for some reason, they are raising aviation.
Let us note that not everyone in the Russian military elite treats Lukashenko with such disdain. Many have known him for decades, so they understand the nature of his behavior.
“He is a weather vane. Wherever the wind blows, Lukashenko will be there. As soon as we stand near Kyiv, he will enter the war, you’ll see. But while it’s difficult, let the Russian guys die. That’s the kind of person he is,” the general told us a long time ago acquaintance with the President of Belarus.
Like the SU-57, the exposed seams and fasteners likely indicate it's not particularly stealthy compared to western standards.
“the exposed seams and fasteners likely indicate it’s not particularly stealthy compared to western standards. ”
Maybe the B-2-like batwing design is just posing, for propaganda and marketing purposes.
Wonder if any of the tech survived
Also where was Ukrainian AD
THE Russian jet was in Ukrainian airspace, first thought, not good
Next week’s Ramstein Conference (Oct. 12) will be the first at the National Leader’s level, and will include Joe Biden. Perhaps this new format will produce some more significant announcement, perhaps even some October Surprise for the election cycle:
Kyiv Post:
“The military meeting at the US air base at Ramstein near Frankfurt is expected to bring together more than 50 of Ukraine’s allies, including US President Joe Biden.”
OilPrice.com reports:
Natural Gas Demand From European Industry Is Set to Drop Again
“Despite a slight uptick in industrial consumption of natural gas this year, Europe’s heavy industry is likely to return to curtailing gas use next year amid a tighter gas market and higher prices, analysts and industry officials have told Bloomberg...
...Europe’s industrial gas demand is recovering as prices normalized and is also contributing to demand growth, even though it remains well below its pre-crisis levels, the IEA said in its annual Global Gas Security Review.
However, after this year’s uptick in European industrial gas demand, consumption is set to fall in the coming years, as companies will continue to struggle with higher energy costs compared to other regions, and weaker economies.
Next year, industrial gas demand in Europe is expected to be 21% below the 2017-2021 average, due to weak economies especially in Germany, Energy Aspects analyst Erisa Pasko told Bloomberg.
Cefic, the European Chemical Industry Council, said in its September monthly report that “Energy (in Europe) is still more expensive than before the crisis and not competitive on a global scale.”
“EU gas prices – currently 4.7% times higher than in the USA – need to decrease, and overall business confidence in the chemical industry needs to improve,” the chemical industry body said.
Despite some improvement earlier this year, capacity utilization in Europe’s chemical industry of 75.2% remains well below the long-term average of 81%, Cefic said.”
European natural gas storage is packed to the gills ahead of Winter - about 95% full, and well ahead of the five year average for this day of the year. Ukrainian storage is also well filled (12.4 bcm), also above their normally expected annual heating season demand. Ukrainian natural gas production increased this year, further reducing reliance on stored volumes.
Also, Reuters reports:
“A new floating liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage and regasification unit (FSRU) started commercial operation off Greece’s northeastern coast on Tuesday (1 Oct) with the aim of diversifying supply of imported LNG to Europe.
Greece has supplied large quantities of imported gas to Bulgaria and further north via a regasification terminal near Athens since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
The new unit, moored off the northern port of Alexandroupolis and linked to the Greek gas grid through a 28km pipeline, aims to supply gas to eight countries, including Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia, Hungary and Ukraine, project developer Gastrade said in a statement.
The facility, with a capacity to regasify a maximum of 5.5 billion cubic metres (bcm) of LNG annually (Hungary’s total annual consumption is about 1.8 bcm), complements a joint initiative by Greece and those countries to facilitate gas flows.
“The project contributes to the energy security and diversification of energy supply resources and routes in southeastern and central Europe ... making (Greece) an energy gateway for more than nine countries,” Gastrade said.
A total of 14 Greek and foreign companies have booked almost all of the Alexandroupolis terminal’s capacity until 2030 at least, it added.
U.S. developer Venture Global LNG last month announced a five-year deal with Gastrade to regasify up to 1 million metric tons of LNG in Greece, beginning next year.
Gaslog and Bulgaria’s Bulgartransgaz, along with Greece’s largest gas supplier DEPA and gas grid operator DESFA, hold a stake in the terminal.”
“Several factories in North Korea have altered their production processes to quickly churn out 152-millimeter artillery shells”
North Korea is no South Korea, when it comes to producing anything. They no doubt have a small Artillery shell production capacity, compared to that of Russia itself.
What North Korea does have however, is one of the world’s very largest stockpiles of old Artillery shells. They can produce some shells (maybe Russia pays more for the new production), but the bulk of what Russia has been getting (and can get) from North Korea, were produced or acquired by Grand Daddy Kim.
It was a typo in the article it should be: EU gas prices – currently 4.7 times higher than in the USA
Look at this graph:
Difficult times for German industry...
The Russian Government plans to allocate 90 billion rubles ($948 million) to one-time payments for concluding a military contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) between 2025 and 2027, indicating that the Kremlin plans to continue relying on ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts to meet the manpower requirements of its war in Ukraine for as long as the crypto-mobilization system works.[1] The Russian federal government currently offers 400,000 rubles ($4,200) one-time payments for signing a military contract (in addition to one-time payments offered by regional governments, some of which recently exceed one million rubles), suggesting that the Kremlin intends to recruit 225,000 new personnel through contract service between 2025 and 2027, assuming current rates hold, which is unlikely given these rates have steadily increased since 2022.[2] Russian authorities have significantly increased financial incentives, particularly one-time payments, in recent months for signing military contracts, and the Kremlin may have allocated 90 billion rubles to one-time payments with the intent of further raising federal payments between 2025 and 2027.[3] Russian authorities have reportedly expressed concerns that ongoing recruitment efforts are producing diminishing results, however, and the significant increase in financial incentives in recent months suggests that existing recruitment efforts were insufficient for maintaining the consistent generation of new forces that the Russian military relies on for sustaining its offensive tempo in Ukraine.[4]
ISW assesses that there are medium- to long-term constraints on how many recruits the ongoing Russian crypto-mobilization campaign can generate, and increased financial incentives are unlikely to significantly address these constraints.[5] Russian President Vladimir Putin remains committed to the ongoing crypto-mobilization campaign in order to avoid declaring another widely unpopular partial mobilization call-up of reservists, although he maintains the option to call another round of partial mobilization — as he did in Fall 2022.[6] Putin and the Russian military command appear unwilling to accept reducing the intensity of Russian combat operations in Ukraine since they view maintaining the theater-wide initiative as a strategic imperative, and it remains unclear whether Putin will respond with another round of mobilization if faced with another crisis similar to or worse than the crisis the Kremlin faced in Fall 2022.[7]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-5-2024
i.e. they are running out of meat to the Grinder, see next post.
It's painful to watch. Gerasimov’s comrade-in-arms made a frank admission about mobilization
The fear of many Russians that a new serious wave of mobilization may be declared in the country is very disappointing for the military. A close comrade of Valery Gerasimov said this in a conversation with us. “We are waging a war that will largely decide our fate. Not only with the Kiev regime, but also with Western aggressors. And against this background, I see that society as a whole does not accept a new mobilization. I do not understand what is in people's heads. It is painful to watch,” the general complained.
He is outraged that “the Kursk region is burning now, and we do not know which region will burn next. And against this background, tens and hundreds of thousands of healthy men are against mobilization. Surprising.” The military man also noted that mobilization or signing a contract with the Russian Armed Forces can solve many life problems. [comment: No problems if you are dead] “Everyone knows that if you have made a mistake, if you have life difficulties, the army can solve them. Almost any guilt can be washed away with blood. But it is necessary to formalize relations with the army normally. So as not to run around the SVO zone, not to hide there, like the infamous war correspondent Guzenko ( “Thirteenth” , who was detained the day before. Our interlocutor did not explain the reasons for such hostility towards him, - ed.). Everything must be done correctly,” the military man added.
We clarified: do his words mean that a new serious wave of mobilization may begin in the near future? “Only God and Vladimir Vladimirovich know this,” the associate of the Chief of the General Staff answered.
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4739
Mobilization => political disaster and the end of Putin?
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