Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Reporting From Ukraine:
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The complete transcript.
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[ Confused Russian Tank Drivers Crash Into Each Other Mid-Fight ]
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Today [ Oct 02 ], the most interesting developments come from the Pokrovsk direction.
Here, the looming rainy season threatens to turn the Ukrainian fields into impassable mud, forcing Russians to launch hurried assaults before their time runs out. Ukrainians exploited these hurried assaults to deal heavy losses to Russian forces, and buy themselves enough time to fortify their main stronghold.
The main goal of Russians in this direction continues to be reaching and capturing the strategically important city of Pokrovsk, as it functions as a crucial logistics hub for Ukrainian forces in Donetsk. But before Russians can start the storming operation, they must overcome the last town of the Selydove-Novohrodivka-Hrodivka defense line to protect their flanks from Ukrainian counterattacks.
The initial Russian plan was to take Selydove in a rapid frontal assault, but the Russian storming operation quickly collapsed under the pressure of constant Ukrainian counterattacks. As Ukrainians had also moved additional reinforcements toward the Selydove area, Russians could not breach Selydove in an outright assault and had to change their tactics.
The new Russian tactics involved assaulting Selydove from the north and opening a new vector of assault from Novohrodivka. Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainians counterattacked the Russian flanking maneuver by conducting lone tank raids that drove up to Russian assault groups moving through the tree lines and engaged them with high-explosive shells.
Moreover, while Russians initially claimed control of the village of Marynivka, geolocated footage soon proved otherwise, indicating that Ukrainian positions in the settlement were holding strong against Russian attacks, undermining the entire Russian flanking operation at its base.
It’s important to note that, by the end of October, the autumn rainy season will turn every field in eastern Ukraine into mud, making rapid mechanized maneuvers practically impossible. This means that Russians are running out of time to reach and capture Selydove and continue moving toward Pokrovsk.
With that understanding, it becomes clear why Russians continued to launch repeated assaults on Marynivka to complete their flanking operation from the north as soon as possible. Ukrainian soldiers operating in Marynivka reported that Russians were launching simultaneous attacks from all three sides, which made them hard to repulse as Ukrainians could not concentrate their fire.
Still, Russians took heavy casualties, as they hurried large groups of infantry over the open roads toward the settlement. Ukrainians even shared geolocated footage of nearly 50 dead Russian bodies on one road that Russians were using not for assaults, but only to gather their forces in preparation for an assault, showing how the intensity of meat wave tactics.
Eventually, the meat waves allowed Russians to encroach onto Ukrainians from all sides, and Ukrainians decided to withdraw their forces from the salient. Nonetheless, Ukrainian forces managed to deal heavy casualties to the Russians and delayed the Russian flanking operation for nearly 2 weeks. This gave the defenders of Selydove precious time to fortify the town and organize defensive positions against the new threat.
Knowing that they only had a few more weeks till the mud season came in, Russian commanders ordered direct and repeated assaults on the northern flank of Selydove. The limiting factor for advancement was the fact that Russians could only advance in the areas from which the Ukrainians had withdrawn, so the moment Russians came closer to the towns’ edge, they were stopped by fierce resistance.
Moreover, one of the most important strongholds shielding Selydove is the terrikon to the north. This terrikon is the largest in the surrounding area, with a surface area of over 1.1 square kilometer and standing over 50 meters over the surrounding area. Ukrainians used the elevated positions on top of the terrikon to exert large drone fire control over the northern approaches to the town, targeting the Russian assaults.
Geolocated footage illustrates the frequency of these assaults, as we see one Russian armored personnel carrier retreating after a failed assault, as two others already drive in for the next attack. The footage also shows that in their hurry, 2 of the Russian armored vehicles crash into each other in a head-on collision, stunning both vehicles.
Ukrainian drone operators then continue to show how they destroyed all three of the Russian BTR-82A armored personnel carriers, which are a relatively rare find as hundreds of these have already been destroyed in the past.
Overall, even though Russians are now closing in around Selydove, Ukrainians have had weeks to prepare defensive positions, and maintain firm control over all the important defensive structures in the town. Russians also have limited time to achieve their operational goals of taking Selydove and advancing to Pokrovsk, as the seasonal rain will deteriorate their ability to conduct rapid mechanized assaults.
The hurried nature of the Russian assaults has already led to many blunders and high losses for the Russian assault groups, who do not have the time to carefully plan out their approach. The mud season will also severely undermine Russian logistics, as they only have a couple of hardened roads to supply their entire salient.
Meanwhile, Ukrainians maintain a solid logistical network leading into Selydove, giving them a significant operational advantage and allowing them to put up strong resistance.
“We insist on an investigation into this incident. If we really value our personnel, we cannot afford to lose them so carelessly.”
{If we really value our personnel} > SO FUNNY. No investigation required.
Another 8 tanks gone. Next stop 3500.
The same as it ever was
Russia - 18202, of which: destroyed: 13403, damaged: 805, abandoned: 1019, captured: 2975
Tanks (3432, of which destroyed: 2373, damaged: 157, abandoned: 370, captured: 532)
“What the Kremlin wants from Russians now boils down to two things.”
“Men should join the army.
Women should have more children.
In recent months, the Russian government has doubled sign-up bonuses for contract soldiers and blanketed the airwaves, social media and city streets with recruitment ads.
At the same time, President Vladimir V. Putin has decreed that increasing births is a national priority, an effort that entered a newly repressive phase last week with a bill that would outlaw any advocacy for a child-free lifestyle.
The two campaigns are separate, but in wartime Russia, they are also two sides of the same coin: the Kremlin’s increasingly aggressive attempt to enlist regular Russians in reshaping their country to prevail over the West.
For the short term, Mr. Putin’s army needs more soldiers. It is suffering 1,000 casualties per day, by Western estimates, in a war of attrition in Ukraine that shows no sign of ending.
And for the long term, in Mr. Putin’s view, Russia needs more people — to underpin an economy increasingly isolated from the West, to reduce the country’s reliance on immigration, and, of course, to provide the recruitment pool for any future wars.”
“The number of children reported born in Russia in the first half of this year, 599,630, was the lowest in a quarter century; overall, including occupied Crimea, the population has declined by 1.8 million since 2020 to 146.1 million.”
“An American official says that 100,000 Russians have been killed and 430,000 injured since the start of the war.”
71,057 names have been confirmed via “publicly available sources, including social media posts by family members, local news reports, and official announcements from regional authorities.”
120,000 dead is “an estimate of excess mortality among men, based on Probate registry data. This method was developed in collaboration with Meduza, to address the limitations of relying solely on publicly reported deaths.”
https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/20/casualties_eng
“The Ukrainian Armed Forces have killed two Chinese mercenaries according to Russian channels.”
https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1841222840801992895
Just too bad
“In Berdyansk, a car belonging to Vitaliy Lomeiko, a judge who collaborated with Russian forces, was blown up while he was inside, according to Ukraine’s military intelligence. Lomeiko, a judge of the Chernihiv District Court in the Zaporizhzhia region, had remained in occupied Berdyansk and voluntarily cooperated with Russian forces.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841479359783219286
Fighterbomber in mourning. You know what that means.
“Russian channel Fighterbomber posted a mourning message, likely due to a lost Su-25.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841476931092443467
“The Czech holding CSG has signed two agreements with the Ukrainian defense industry to produce 155mm shells. One agreement involves the supply of components, while the other pertains to licensing production. Preparation for manufacturing is already underway, with production set to begin in early 2025. Plans include producing approximately 100,000 155mm shells in 2025 and over 300,000 in 2026, with some shells being produced in Czechia. Additionally, CSG aims to manufacture spare parts for armored vehicles in Ukraine.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841406090799358073
“American company AeroVironment has signed an agreement with a Ukrainian firm to localize the production of the Switchblade 600 drones in Ukraine. The contract was made at the DFNC2 International Defense Industry Forum in Kyiv.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841397473312379335
“Ukrainian Minister for Strategic Industries Herman Smetanin said that the country’s defense industry is expected to produce goods worth $20 billion in 2024, a sixfold increase compared to 2023. He added that the defense sector grew threefold in 2023.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841395486105735339
Remilitarization.
“”Our new ballistic missile has successfully passed flight tests. Everyone can see how effective our Neptune missiles are. We are producing artillery Bohdana howitzers at a rate of 15 units monthly, and sometimes as many as 20. A new repair base has been established in Ukraine for our equipment, and in particular, the first Marder infantry fighting vehicle repaired in Ukraine rolled off the production line in June of this year,” Zelenskyi said.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1841386421036142798
With the count being 655,000 casualties since the onset of the war, the number of dead conservatively, very, would be 1/3 the total or twice the American estimate. Lately with the use of meat waves for all of this year and part of last, the total dead is likely over 300,000 Russian dead, as a guess.
My god, Ugledar has fallen!!
Soldiers from the 72nd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces told the BBC about the chaotic retreat from Ugledar.
The soldiers reported that their units left Ugledar without waiting for the order to retreat.
One of the two interlocutors, a machine gunner, said that in the last… pic.twitter.com/d0r9PwDIHL— -- GEROMAN -- time will tell - 👀 -- (@GeromanAT) October 2, 2024
Kremlin snuff box, 10/02/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Western arms manufacturers are entering Ukraine. What does this tell us?
Our colleagues noticed that a subsidiary of the Franco-German military concern KNDS has opened in Ukraine. It is known that the company will provide licenses and technologies for repairing tanks, howitzers, self-propelled guns and anti-aircraft stations. In short, the West is investing in servicing a wide range of heavy equipment in Ukraine.
There are three important points to pay attention to.
Firstly, logistics for the enemy will be accelerated. It is no secret that Kyiv maintains some of the damaged equipment at its own facilities, but the transfer of unique technologies will increase Ukraine’s production capacity. This will force us to increase the number of attacks on the Ukrainian rear.
Secondly, investments of their own finances will force the West to strengthen the protection of the rear of Ukraine. Probably, conversations about strengthening air defense over industrial facilities went in one package with the entry of Western companies into Ukraine.
Thirdly, this is not the first large enterprise that enters Ukraine. In June, the joint repair venture was opened by a German Rheinmetall concert. The fact that, in difficult conditions for Ukraine, the West continues to pour in not only money, but also technology, demonstrates that all the talk about peace is now irrelevant.
In principle, this is evidenced by the increase in our country’s defense budget. Therefore, not everything is so simple and unambiguous
Two majors, 01/02/24
https://t.me/dva_majors/54164
Another military enterprise has appeared in Ukraine from Europe
A subsidiary of the Franco-German military concern KNDS - KNDS Ukraine LLC was opened in Kiev. The company will provide licenses and technologies for carrying out self-propelled guns on the basis of Ukrainian enterprises maintenance and repair of Leopard 1/2 tanks, CAESAR self-propelled guns, AMX10 RC wheeled tanks, PzH 2000 howitzers and Gepard.
In addition, KNDS will open production of 155 mm artillery ammunition in Ukraine.
Earlier, on June 11, 2024, the German concern Rheinmetall in Ukraine opened a joint repair enterprise , which will subsequently be expanded to the assembly, production and development of the concern’s military equipment. Plans have been announced to open new Rheinmetall branches on Ukrainian territory. From 2025, Rheinmetall also plans to produce 155 mm artillery shells in Ukraine.
With similar goals, a representative office of the Swedish Defense Logistics Agency (FMV) will open in Ukraine by the end of 2024.
Of course, propaganda will declare “red lines” and “legitimate goals”, which will not cancel the trend of unhindered growth in Ukraine of Western defense enterprises, which are in the range of Russian fire weapons and pose a direct threat to the population of our country.
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Accompanying KNDS graphic shows Leopard 1 and 2 tanks; PH2000, 3CY Gepard A1, CAY Caesar, & AMX10 RC self propelled artillery pieces
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