Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
The Ukrainians have already killed more Russians than the Afghans did. They got tired of that war, packed up, and went home.
Before WWII the Russian population stood at 196,716,000 (1941)
By 1991 it was 293,047,571
Currently it is 146,150,800 (January, 2024)
They cannot sustain the WWII loses now with the low population number, as well as the skilled labor losses.
“The Ukrainians have already killed more Russians than the Afghans did. They got tired of that war, packed up, and went home. If Ukraine can keep killing plenty of Russians, they may get the same result.”
This is my opinion as I’ve stated here a few times.
Ukraine doesn’t need an ‘offensive’. They want to avoid any climactic battle. Cede ground if necessary and pull back.
Kill RuZZians in Ukraine, St. Petersburg, Moscow, Syria, Africa. Keep killing them month after month, year after year until they pack up and go home.
Kazan, who has called for my death on FR, must be very SAD.
“A Russian passenger plane Sukhoi Superjet-100 crashed near Kolomna in the Moscow region, with three crew members on board. They reportedly died.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1811750983472410913
Very unfortunate
“Russian serviceman Alexei Zhuravlev, 28, shot two fellow soldiers, injured another, and fled with a weapon and 70 rounds of ammunition. Zhuravlev, who wanted to desert, was from Chuvashia and had a criminal past involving robbery.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1811684253236662351
I complimented Labour and then they back down...
“The UK Ministry of Defence clarified that it has not permitted Ukraine to use Storm Shadow missiles for attacks inside Russia. This statement followed comments that seemed to suggesting otherwise.”
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1811641264992932292
“It is honestly interesting seeing multiple prominent Russian milbloggers talking about the hopelessness of a Russian victory. I think they are starting to realize they goofed.”
“Sentiments along the lines of “no matter how many resources we push in, the front line barely moves”. “ukrainian and european production is growing faster than ours”. “next year ukraine will have more resources than us””
https://x.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1811781014387077307
That one gives hellen thomas a run for her money
[ Orban goes wholeheartedly into the Dark Side ]
—
Kremlin snuff box, 07/12/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Will Hungary become a member of the SCO [ Shanghai Cooperation Organization https://www.britannica.com/topic/Shanghai-Cooperation-Organization ]? Details of Orban’s negotiations with Putin
Quite interesting information came to us from trusted sources. Interlocutors say that Viktor Orban discussed the issue of Hungary’s accession to the SCO with Vladimir Putin in Moscow, as well as with Xi Jinping in Beijing.
Considering that Hungary is a member of the EU and NATO, such conversations seem quite unexpected. The issue of observer country status for Hungary within the organization is being considered. Closer cooperation with the SCO and with China in particular could become one of the elements of the Orban government’s new program.
This also looks interesting against the backdrop of attempts to isolate Hungary in the EU and NATO due to the abandonment of the general course of blind support for Kyiv from the West.
“hellen thomas” a blast from the past.
Have a laugh: “The many faces of Giorgia Meloni”
https://www.politico.eu/article/giorgia-meloni-nato-emmanuel-macron-which-are-you-today/
“I highly suspect the increase in Russian casualties since April is largely the result of increased supplies of American & NATO military aid.”
No doubt that is taking its toll on Russian Forces (and saving Ukrainian lives).
PIF’s post at #3771 includes other factors identified in the UK Defence Intelligence update - Russians stretching the front lines by attacking around Kharkiv and attempting to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses with mass.
The Kharkiv offensive has been a mass casualty exercise for the Russians - a lot of Infantry in flat open terrain, under Ukrainian Artillery fans (supplied with DPICM cluster munitions).
Kharkiv did apparently cause Ukraine to re-position forces from the South to reinforce Kharkiv, which probably led to the loss of Krynky on the east bank of the Dnieper River, near Kherson. But as you highlighted earlier, Russia paid an extreme cost in casualties for that small advance as well.
Russia exported a little less volume of oil products in June (after a rise in May).
Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries are biting, but not killing.
Black Sea oil product exports declined almost a quarter however, but Russia was able to compensate somewhat with higher shipments on the longer routes from Baltic and Arctic ports (helped by improved summertime access). Not mentioned in this article, was any change in the mix between low margin crude oil, and high margin refined oil products (although they did say that Russia’s export ban on gasoline was lifted on 20 May).
Perhaps when the ice sets up North this Fall, there might be an opportunity to further choke Black Sea shipments with drone strikes, and also squeeze Baltic shipments by Russia’s shadow tankers with Naval enforcement, as Denmark had proposed after a collision off its coast by an uninsured vessel. Russia is vulnerable to restrictions on its export of oil products, just as China is to its imports. That is a big reason that Russia has so many icebreakers - the spice must flow...
OilPrice.com reports:
“Russian oil product shipments decreased by 4.2% in June compared to May, primarily due to increased domestic fuel consumption and (unplanned) refinery maintenance.
While Baltic port shipments rose (11.7%), Black Sea exports saw a significant drop (23.8%), and Arctic ports experienced a surge in shipments (28.7% - Summer Ice opening). (Far East down 3.9%)
Ongoing Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries and energy infrastructure continue to disrupt oil product supply.
...The primary refining capacity which was offline in June rose by 7.9% compared to May, per Reuters calculations.
Ukraine continues to target refineries in Russia and some of these attacks have affected further product supply from Russian refineries. Combined with higher domestic fuel demand in the summer, Russia’s oil product (export) shipments are estimated to have dropped in June compared to May...
...In May, Russia raised its fuel exports by sea compared to April (10.4%), as Moscow (on May 20) lifted a gasoline export ban and some refineries returned from (both scheduled and unscheduled) maintenance, according to Reuters estimates and data from industry sources.”
Kyiv Independent reports:
"There was a series of explosions in Russian-occupied Mariupol in Donetsk Oblast on July 12, said Petro Andriushchenko, an adviser to the city's exiled mayor.
Andriushchenko shared photos and videos showing plumes of smoke rising over Mariupol. Explosions near a city's airport were captured in videos shared on Telegram, with another detonation reported later by Telegram channels."
Kyiv Independent reports:
"There was a series of explosions in Russian-occupied Mariupol in Donetsk Oblast on July 12, said Petro Andriushchenko, an adviser to the city's exiled mayor.
Andriushchenko shared photos and videos showing plumes of smoke rising over Mariupol. Explosions near a city's airport were captured in videos shared on Telegram, with another detonation reported later by Telegram channels."
"Earlier this week, retired Polish brigadier general, Jaroslaw Kraszewski, said the arrival of the jets could help create the conditions for a Ukrainian counterattack...
...Ukraine has already learned the hard way the costs of launching a counteroffensive without air superiority, and it was a major factor in the failure of last year's attempt to break through Russian lines...
..."F-16s with the right armaments will be able to push away Russian warplanes. The northwestern part of the Black Sea, particularly the corridor for civilian ships, will be almost 100% secure," (Ukrainian Navy Commander Oleksii Neizhpapa) said...
..."First, they won't be the latest and most modern variants, and they are going into a high-threat environment, both from Russia's own aircraft and from longer-range ground-based air defenses," Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) said.
"They are useful and give the Ukrainians some more options, but we should be cautious about them 'turning the tide' and how soon they will be operationally effective."...
...The F-16s will likely have two main roles, experts said, one defensive and one offensive...
...Ukrainian national air defense commanders might try to use the short-range guns – like the Gepard – to kill the Shaheds, use the F-16s to kill the cruise missiles, the older SAMs to kill the ballistic missiles, and the Patriots to kill the Kinzhals."
In an offensive role, Layton said F-16s could be used to replicate one of Russia's more successful military innovations used during the full-scale invasion – glide bombs...
..."They could meaningfully help support a counteroffensive," (former Royal Australian Air Force officer and Associate Fellow at RUSI, Peter) Layton said, adding: "If they had large glide bombs, these could be used in pre-planned missions to literally blast openings in the Russian trench systems.
Ukraine is working on its own glide bombs – on June 9, Serhii Golubtsov, the chief of aviation of the Air Force Command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, said the first tests would be conducted "in a few weeks (from 9 June)."...
...Operations over the Black Sea would be limited by the F-16's limited range, Layton said, and they would also need support from aircraft such as the two ASC 890 radar reconnaissance and control aircraft donated by Sweden earlier this year.
Working together, they could feasibly hunt down Russian aircraft... to push away the Russian bomber aircraft firing cruise missiles at Ukraine from the Black Sea...
...One thing that could actually be a game-changer for Ukraine would be the destruction of Russian aircraft on or over Russian territory.
Being able to take out Russian fighter jets would prevent the dropping of glide bombs, while the taking out of Russian bombers would prevent the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian cities and civilian infrastructure...
...Using (F-16s) in a straight air-to-air fight or flying against air defenses that haven't been suppressed would lead to them taking a lot of risks with scarce resources and pilots..
...The large bombers launching the largest and fastest cruise missiles do so from long distances, often over Russian territory, where it would be difficult for the F-16s to approach within sufficient range to launch at the Russian aircraft...
...There's also one other crucial factor to consider – the number pledged so far for Ukraine is 79, which Zelensky, as well as other Western leaders, have said is simply insufficient in the face of Russia's air power.
While the F-16s may not be a game-changer and will unlikely lead to the swift loss of hundreds of Russian aircraft, they are undoubtedly an improvement on what Ukraine currently has and could help incrementally push some aspects of the war in Kyiv's favor."
Depiction of one recent attack, on 14 June:
Kyiv Post reports:
"Russian strike planners on Friday (12 July) launched a focused, but according to Kyiv statements, unsuccessful attack against the Khmelnytsky region air base in Starokostyantyniv (the Ukrainian Air Force’s main bomber base). The Ukrainian airfield is considered to be the best prepared to handle soon-to-arrive American F-16 fighter jets...
...In 2018 in a high-profile “proof-of-concept” exercise flight and maintenance crew from the US’s California National Guard flew several F-15 fighter jets – a plane as complex to operate as the F-16 – to the Starokostyantyniv air base for training with the Ukrainian Air Force...
...Probably the most punishing strikes launched from Starokostyantyniv took place in September 2023 when Su-24s carrying British Storm Shadow and French SCALP anti-ship missiles destroyed a heavy assault ship and missile submarine operated by the Russian navy, and demolished the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea fleet in the Crimean port city Sevastopol...
...Kremlin planners, with the strikes (on Starokostyantyniv Air Base) hope for a “lucky hit” destroying an aircraft or a pilot on the ground, but since there usually is sufficient warning time for Ukrainian pilots to evacuate aircraft or get them under cover before the Russian missiles arrive, the main objective of the Russian strikes against Starokostyantyniv is to degrade the air base’s infrastructure...
...They want to destroy it… they want to damage the infrastructure. Antennas, radars, support facilities, repair and maintenance. They are looking for storage sites holding SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles...
The Kremlin wants to render Starokostyantyniv – Ukraine’s only base known to be fully suitable for handling technically complex Western aircraft – incapable of operating F-16 jets efficiently...
...Defensive infrastructure includes hangars built out of reinforced concrete and advanced radars, they say, and it’s not possible for Kremlin strike planners to know ahead of time how many and what kind of airplanes are on the field, and only a few of Russia’s weapons capable of reaching the airfield are powerful and accurate enough to destroy an aircraft inside a bunker. The solution, the unofficial Russian Air Force milblogger Fighterbomber wrote, is to pound the airfield repeatedly and destroy what can be damaged.
“This airfield, like the Vasylkiv airfield, is today the main airfield of the Ukrainian Air Force and the most protected by air defense. Of course, they are considered by us as the main candidates for basing the F-16,” Fighterbomber, a poster claiming to be Russian Air Force combat pilot, wrote in a Thursday article.
“Therefore, strikes on the Starokostyantyniv with drones, and other types of long-range weapons are being launched against targets outside of shelters, as well as against shelters whose protective doors don’t close, which makes it possible to hope for damage of an aircraft by explosion or fragments… work on this destruction is carried out around the clock."
Aircraft position data is transferred to the SDB via the 1553 databus architecture.
My guess is that HIMARs launchers are not 1553 compliant.
The "designers" of the GLSDB decided that the GLSDB could achieve a GPS lock on after launch, like the Excalibur.
In a GPS jammed environment, this does not work.
I believe there is a "simple" solution whereby a 1553 compliant computer would pass position data to the GLSDB just prior to launch.
“I believe there is a “simple” solution (to GLSDB vulnerability to GPS jamming), whereby a 1553 compliant computer would pass position data to the GLSDB just prior to launch.”
Thanks.
Worth repeating, in case the right person happens to see it.
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