RuZZia’s tank storage stats. Pre-War active service tanks not included in numbers. All T-90s removed from storage. Not many T-80s left in storage. T-72Bs half gone.
State of 3657 remaining tanks.
Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Labour has pledged continuing support to Ukraine.
NR will not be in government but in opposition
Russian Su-25 shot down in Donetsk region.
“In the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian troops from the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade shot down a Russian Su-25 aircraft, which was attacking Ukrainian positions.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1809935915093025071
“Ukrainian drones hit ammo depot in Voronezh last night”
Correction Comrade, that was just another puny falling debris attack - not even a pimple on Mighty Russian Ass. Do not say drone (unless you also say “shot down”). Incorrect speech is sure path to rape in prison…
Commissar of NewSpeak
As you can see, from mid-23 to mid-24 about 700 ranks were pulled from storage.
700 is how many ‘decent’ tanks are left in storage.
So approximately 1 year from now, RuZZia will have used up all tanks in storage except for those in poor and worse shape.
Tik Tok, Tik Tok.
War in the Arctic is decades away
60% thus far.
“Turnout Is High as France’s Snap Election Enters Its Final Hours”
“Turnout at 5 p.m. local time was the highest in over two decades, at about 59.71 percent, the Interior Ministry said. That was much higher than during the previous legislative elections in 2022, when the participation rate at the same time was less than 38.11 percent, reflecting persistent interest in a vote that will determine the future of Mr. Macron’s second term.”
Looks like NR finished in 3rd place.
Early.
“ An early projection from French broadcaster TF1 put the left-wing alliance first, with between 180 and 215 seats, and Macron’s coalition in second, with 150 to 180 seats. The far-right National Rally party is expected to come in third, with 120 to 150 seats.”
Forgot to list T-34s KvS and IS tanks lol
“So approximately 1 year from now, RuZZia will have used up all tanks in storage except for those in poor and worse shape.”
That tracks what the analyst from RUSI was estimating - just a matter of months into the new administration. Russia will be under increasing pressure, the longer Ukraine can hold out.
As of right now:
Looks like NR got the most votes 37%, Left Wing parties 27%, Macron’s Party 22%.
But for seats, NR in 3rd place.
Left Wing Parties - 177
Macron 148
NR - 142
289 for majority
I’m guessing a left/central coalition government is formed.
NR won’t be in government.
Roughly 2 days after taking office, the new UK government has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine.
Additionally, new UK Defence Secretary John Healy is in Odesa, less than 48 hours after taking office.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1810025044023869573
The problem with UK is they are running out of stuff to give.
As for the NFP, they didn’t exist before this election, and it remains to be seen if they can form a government.
Latest
Left - 182
Macron - 163
NR - 143
NFP is a collection of parties. Maybe the front breaks up and some join a coalition with Macron.
As small as the Russian gains have been, I don’t see Ukraine as having the capacity to expel Russian forces, at least entirely, from their lands through brute military force.
A political collapse like in ww1 or 1991 IMO is the only for Ukraine to obtain its maximalist goals.
With that said this collapse can only happen if Russia continues to suffer economically, through sanctions, but also and perhaps more importantly through strikes by Ukraine. Along with that there must be some kind of significant military set backs, not just loses in men and material to precipitate this collapse.
I hope that the introduction of western military aircraft and weapons along with changes in ROE will accomplish this.
If putin is able to remain in power and control he will fight to the last Russian, running out of equipment be damned.
This war has become about his survival, not just Ukraines
Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos
Reporting From Ukraine Uncensored Combat Footage (from this and past Reports) is found on Telegram:
https://t.me/RFUEnglish or @RFUEnglish
[ You need to have the Telegram app to view. ]
The complete transcript.
—
[ Tunnels of Terror: Russians Bypass Defenses and Attack! ]
—
Today [ July 6 ], the most important updates come from the Toretsk direction.
Here, Russians have taken advantage of a botched Ukrainian brigade rotation and took control of a Ukrainian stronghold by sneaking through abandoned pipes.
This direction has been relatively static since the start of the Russian invasion.
Deeply layered Ukrainian fortifications here, stemming from the war in the Donbas, proved insurmountable for Russian forces, as they were not able to break through in the initial stages of the conflict. As such, this direction did not see any large Russian offensives and was categorized as a calmer portion of the front.
Because of this, a Ukrainian commander decided to rotate the battle-worn Ukrainian 41st mechanized brigade from the Chasiv-Yar direction to here and send the fresher 24th Motorized Brigade to reinforce the fighting to the north.
Lower-level Ukrainian commanders warned of the dangers of such a simultaneous rotation, stating it would undoubtedly lead to positional losses. Still, a certain Ukrainian commander, who was later replaced by Zelensky due to his failures, went ahead with the plan anyway.
Either by good reconnaissance or leaked intel, Russians caught on to the Ukrainian rotation. Before the newly arrived Ukrainian soldiers were able to familiarize themselves with their new location and set up an organized defense, Russians unleashed a massive artillery barrage in preparation for their coming assault.
Russians launched attacks from two vectors on the settlement of Pivnichne from the north and south to catch Ukrainians by surprise with a sudden pincer maneuver.
In the northern axis of attack, Russians used an abandoned pipe that ran from Mayorsk to the water pump station, which Ukrainians had transformed into a stronghold. Russians used this pipe to move elite stormtroopers directly into the fortified position, surprising Ukrainian defenders and leading to the Russian capture of this position.
For their next step, Russians needed to act quickly; they used their forces here to exert fire control over the tree line and railway running into the settlement, clearing the way for Russian assault groups to enter the first houses of Pivnichne.
Ukrainians, still suffering from the surprise, were forced to pull back to prepared fortified positions inside the town, which they used to effectively halt the Russian advance.
Russians realized that to capitalize on their recent gains, they had to secure their flanks to deter Ukrainians from counterattacking in their rear, as well as opening up more directions of attack on Pivnichne. Russians started launching numerous attacks on the Dacha settlement of Shumy.
Shumy is made up of well-spaced-out houses that had been reduced to ruins due to the decade of fighting in the area, making it relatively hard to defend. Ukrainian defenders still put up stiff resistance here, delaying the Russian advance enough to allow other units to organize the defense in the town.
On their southern axis of attack, Russian progress was severely falling behind, and despite having the element of surprise, Russian forces were not able to force a breakthrough. They were held up by Ukrainian defenses on the mine waste heaps, fortified positions in the houses, and the overall difficult terrain to advance in.
After heavy fighting, Russians were able to take control of the Terrikon [ mine waste mound ], but continued to struggle in their advance through the suburbs in the south. Russians used their elevated position on the Terrikon.
However, to designate with lasers Ukrainian fortified positions they could not take with their infantry outright and bombed them with KAB laser-guided munitions. With this tactic, Russians were able to slowly advance, as Ukrainians set up a defense in the high-rise district in Pivnichne.
Besides the regular defensive advantages and fire control Ukrainians can exert over the surrounding area, the frontal buildings shield the buildings behind them from Russian laser designations, forcing Russians back to blindly bombing the area. Geolocated footage shows how Russians intensely bombed the area with artillery and FAB glide bombs.
This footage also simultaneously disproves Russian claims of having entered the district, as glide bombs are too inaccurate and would have a high chance of landing on friendly soldiers. With the Russian frontline now leveled out, Russians started launching full-frontal assaults on the town of Pivnichne.
Despite Russians entering some buildings, Ukrainians successfully defended against all of these Russian attacks. Ukrainians also shared footage of them destroying any buildings that Russians managed to enter, with anti-tank mines dropped from heavy Vampire Octocopter drones. The Institute for the Study of War stated that after the initial surprise wore off, all Russian gains came slowly over nearly three weeks of intense fighting.
Russians have also not performed any large mechanized assaults in this direction, using purely infantry, FPV drones, artillery, and air strikes to accomplish their goals. Furthermore, Russians have not yet committed large reserves in this direction, severely limiting the time Russians can sustain their assault for.
Overall, despite the initial surprise assault being well-executed, the lack of overwhelming assaults and reserves committed by Russian forces means this Russian operation was largely opportunistic.
After the initial shock wore off, Russians were not able to overrun Ukrainian defenses due to stiff Ukrainian resistance in the outer settlements, as Ukrainians were able to withdraw back to their fortifications in Pivnichne. Even Russian analysts were careful in their optimism, stating that it would be an exaggeration to call this a breakthrough, as Ukrainians are now lying in wait, comfortably in their strongholds.
“The problem with UK is they are running out of stuff to give.”
Euros gonna Euro. Talk a big game, and Welch on the bill.
Kyiv Independent reports:
Investigation finds EU shell production capacity far below official statements (The typical 1/3 of what they promise. They have finally coughed up some checks, to increase production next year) (The Czechs stepped up to arrange a significant gap filler for this year from third party stocks, but let’s see what actually gets delivered on time)
“The EU’s promises to deliver 155 mm artillery shells to Ukraine were not met due to “wishful thinking” and the fact that existing stocks may be “at least twice as modest as stated by high-ranking EU officials,” RFE/RL Schemes investigative project reported on July 8. (The USA met (exceeded) their shell commitment from stocks).
The lackluster performance of the European defense industry became apparent when the EU failed on its promise to deliver 1 million artillery shells to Ukraine between March 2023 and 2024. After supplying only about half (i.e., 300,000) of the promised rounds, Brussels shifted the deadline to the end of 2024…
…European Commissioner Thierry Breton, for example, claimed in June that EU manufacturers will be (future tense) able to produce 1.7 million shells per year (142,000 per month).
A senior source in the European arms industry, speaking to RFE/RL on condition of anonymity, said that “the current capacity is still only a third of that figure.”
Other sources indicated that Europe’s production capacity is between roughly 500,000 and 600,000 shells per year. Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said in February that Ukraine needs 200,000 155 mm shells per month…
…An Estonian intelligence report from February 2024 estimated that Russia was able to supply as much as 3-4 million units of artillery ammunition to the front in 2023, in part through refurbishing Soviet stocks.
“It is almost certain that Western ammunition deliveries to Ukraine in 2024 will not be able to keep pace,” and the gap “in available artillery ammunition between Ukraine and Russia is expected to widen even more in 2024,” the report said..”
Ukraine will suffer a desperate 2024, but the tide is slowly turning on European shell production. Next year, the USA and Europe are reportedly on track to each produce 100,000 155mm rounds per month (maybe more, by years end).
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