Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Need to hit the bridges and tunnels
Starting with the Kerch bridge.
Announce removal of restrictions after bridge, airfields, head quarters, ammo and POL depots, and Sam sites have been hit
The facilities hit at Yeysk, Leningradskaya and Pavlovskaya are once again all in a line, suggesting that a gap in the air defense allowed a stream of drones to be used to attack all three sites
https://x.com/willthiel/status/1809498369129349452
A gap in the air defense!
This is how the mobile phone tower in Yeysk looks like after a Ukrainian UAV attack.
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1809545034447909273
No Withdrawal, No Peace. Or something like that.
RuZZia will not know a day of peace until they withdraw.
“The fire at the Lukoil oil depot in the Krasnodar region, which started after a night drone attack, is still not under control. Today’s FIRMS data shows ongoing fires.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1809522462071099763
It hard to find good help these days.
“The sappers had one job...”
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1809596293687267374
Here is my bright idea for the day. Someone pass this along to the CIA...
CIA buys 5-10,000 RuZZian artillery shells from some country like India.
Shells are then opened up and ‘improved’.
Shells are then sent to some warlord in Libya. He sells them to RuZZia.
When the shells are used in Ukraine, each one blows up.
https://x.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1809618811005346032
Looks like a ZU 23-2 on a tracked vehicle.
Optically aimed 23mm round.
Effective out to 2NM and an altitude of 10,000ft.
🔥 BAVOVNA at a power station!
https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1809657133392175518
Why does the Russian command does not provide drinkable water?
Because life expectancy is only 3-5 days for a Russian soldier
https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1809320170734940203
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1809678761119334879
Good news!
wooden plates to Russian military personnel.
https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1809680554150834657
All is well on the western front /s
3 Patriot and 1 SAMP/T battery on the way to Ukraine. The German Patriot battery is said to already be delivered. Now if they can get those retired Patriot PAC-2 batteries (indirectly) from Israel, and a maybe some air defense from ROK... Each of these batteries can not only defend significant targets, but each one adds to the integrated air defense picture, making it more difficult for Russia to penetrate.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1809639451766976775
Very important, especially for the F-16s once they arrive and are flying combat missions.
Below is a graphical depiction of one night of Russsian missile & drone attacks.
I wonder how accurate the plots are and how much data is available real-time.
Thanks for the ping.
“Patrushev is preparing to fight for the Arctic”
He is like 71 years old. He is being gently retired, and his son is being elevated.
At one time not long ago, Patrushev himself was next in line for the throne, but his portfolio downgrades indicate that there is preparation for a generational shift - but still keeping the same few dozen ruling families at the top.
When will Russia run out of tanks?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N7kYRMeesq8
This recent YouTube interview (6:30 minutes) with a pretty sharp sounding analyst from RUSI (UK think tank) estimates an inflection point in mid 2025, when the flow from storage slows, and productive capacity has to start shifting from refurbishing stored tanks, to producing new ones. They never run out totally, but they will have less operational than they have now, and that will become pronounced by mid 2026.
Personnel is a very different story, with Russia steadily expanding solders in theater, exceeding their recruiting goals and having a systematic training base operating. From an initial force of over 100,000 invading Ukraine, their grouping of forces is now over 500,000 men under arms.
The more men recruited, the more that can be killed.
120k dead. Means 360k wounded. 480k total casualties.
Know what that’s called?
A GOOD START.
“Report Estimates 120,000 Russian Soldiers Killed in Ukraine”
“Around 120,000 Russian soldiers have been killed since the Ukraine war began in 2022, according to a joint investigation by independent media outlets Mediazona and Meduza published on Friday.
This updated figure is an estimate based on Russia’s registry of inheritance cases. The report says the true toll likely lies between 106,000 and 140,000 deaths.
It far exceeds a separate count by Mediazona and BBC Russian Service of 58,207 Russian combat deaths, which is probably an underestimate, as it only includes publicly identified deceased soldiers.
“Since the beginning of the year, the Russian army’s losses have increased by 39,000 people. The average number of fatalities is increasing: previously, about 120 people died per day; now it is 200 to 250 people,” Mediazona wrote on Telegram.
As Russia has not since 2022 released official statistics about the number of soldiers killed, volunteers from Mediazona and Meduza relied on open sources to make their estimates.
The Ukrainian government also keeps its military losses secret, making the overall level of casualties from Russia’s invasion ambiguous.
Casualties from Russia-backed separatist forces in Donetsk and Luhansk are not included in Mediazona’s estimate.”
Total casualties could be as high as 728,000.
“How many Russian soldiers have been killed in Ukraine?”
“Four charts illustrate a grim new milestone”
“Russia does not broadcast the number of its soldiers that have been killed or injured since the start of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. But various sources suggest that it has recently passed a new milestone. Our four charts below visualise the toll.
The first plots estimates from official and unofficial sources over time. The most recent data, published on July 5th by Mediazona and Meduza, two independent Russian media outlets, suggest that Russia’s death toll has crossed 100,000, with 106,000-140,000 dead by June 21st. Much of their analysis is based on inheritance records and obituaries on social media and in other outlets. (Their data since February 6th, however, is based on trends, as their access to official records has been disrupted.) Their number is broadly consistent with other recent sources: officials in France recently put the total at 150,000 by May, and BBC Russia reckons that at least 113,000 Russians had died by June.
Mediazona’s and Meduza’s estimates can also be shown by week (see chart 2). Their data show notable spikes in Russian losses during Ukraine’s counter-offensive in the summer of 2023 and the aftermath of the battles for Avdiivka and Chasiv Yar.
These data do not include Ukrainians recruited by Russia from occupied territories. Nor do they include Russian soldiers who have been severely wounded and are unable to return to battle. Our rough calculations, based on leaked documents from America’s defence department, suggest that probably around three to four Russian soldiers are wounded for every one killed in battle. That would mean that between 462,000 and 728,000 Russian soldiers were out of action by mid-June—more than Russia’s estimated invading force in February 2022. (French and British officials estimate that around 500,000 Russians had been severely injured or killed by May.)”
2%? that’s nothing. Need to get that up to at least 10%.
That would be 2.5-3 million RuZZian casualties.
Then we’d be talking.
Send more artillery!
“The latest estimates suggest that roughly 2% of all Russian men aged between 20 and 50 may have been either killed or severely wounded in Ukraine since the start of the full-scale war.”
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