Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[ETCM]

Today’s launch was Boeing/ULA Starliner, which I watched on X.

[FtrPilot]

Ukraine dramatically changed its tactics after the US allowed it to hit the frontline of the Russian Federation with its missiles, — Bild

Currently, as soon as the Armed Forces discover an important target in the Belgorod and Kursk regions, they open fire with Western high-tech weapons, primarily Himars missiles.

On June 2, 50 km from the Ukrainian border, the Ukrainian military destroyed the most modern air defense system of the Russian Federation — a combined S-300/S-400 anti-aircraft missile complex worth 300-500 million euros.

Allegedly, the fighters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the help of Western weapons also hit the Russian command center east of Belgorod, a military warehouse in the border town of Shebekino and a military convoy 50 km from the border in the Kursk region.

https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1798389850497802536

Putin wanted a buffer zone. Now he's getting one. Just not on the side of the border that he wanted.

[PIF]

[BeauBo]

“Ukraine dramatically changed its tactics after the US allowed it to hit the frontline of the Russian Federation with its missiles”

Only a small window to catch the high value stuff, before it is moved back out of range.

[marcusmaximus]

Ukraine just hit Russian refinery in Rostov. Massive fire now.

[BeauBo]

“Russian refinery in Rostov. Massive fire now.”

Must have been that damned falling debris from intercepted missiles again.

[blitz128]

I had hoped that the announcement came after a large wave of missiles raining down on Russian positions, but this is a good second

What amazes me is the restrictions put on Ukraine still.

President to Eisenhower, you can attack just these parts of Germany, you can hit aircraft in the air only after they have fired on you, but you can’t attack german airfields on German soil where they came from.

Supposedly France and England have allowed attacks, but as good a scalp and storm shadow are, if I am correct they only carry unitary warheads, not exactly the best weapon to hit an airfield full of planes on the ramps

[BeauBo]

“Ukraine just hit Russian refinery in Rostov”

Kyiv Independent Reports:

“A fire broke out at Russia’s Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery following a series of explosions in Rostov Oblast in the early hours of June 6, according to Russian media.

Rostov Oblast Governor Vasily Golubev claimed the fire was caused by a drone attack, and said emergency services were at work on the scene…

…The local Telegram news channel Rostov News posted video footage of the fire at the Novoshakhtinsk facility. Golubev said information about potential casualties was still being investigated.

Ukrainian troops targeted the facility in a previous attack this spring. Military intelligence spokesperson Andrii Yusov said on March 13 that the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery partially shut down as a result of a drone strike.”

[BeauBo]

“What amazes me is the restrictions put on Ukraine still.”

Rope-a-dope strategy.

String Putin along, to keep punching himself out (below the nuclear threshold), until they are exhausted.

Putin is a sucker for it. He always doubles down.

He will run the Russian Military into the ground, no matter how many die. Now that Putin chose the Warpath, we have to get rid of Russian Military capability, and this is the least lousy way to get it done (as terrible as this is).

[marcusmaximus]

Putin not looking well in St Petersburg today.

[BeauBo]

“Putin not looking well in St Petersburg today. ”

Maybe someone took a stab at him?

He is ruining things for a lot of rich and powerful Russians.

[blitz128]

Sadly you could be right. There have been several statements made by officials over the past 2+ years about degrading Russias ability to wage war, and despite what the usuals say here on Fr that is happening at an increasing rate. A rate that I believe is accelerating. With the ability to strike into Russia with western weapons (the restriction that still apply will gradually be removed)and the addition of F-16s with their capacities and capabilities this degrading will accelerate even faster.

Soviet stocks are running out, battlefield “successes “ are moderate except on RT. Much vaunted systems like s-300/400are being taken out by the very weapons they were supposed to protect against. Golf carts from China, motorcycles, atvs, and disabled tanks with chicken coups are the norm on the battlefield. Russias much talked about superiority in numbers is not working out as planned. Russia has gone from a large exporter of military goods to a net importer despite claims of GDP growth and “massive”industrial production

The idea that Russia could be degraded and worn down to the point that they would give up, would on the surface seem possible, but IMO not with Putin.

Barring some kind of coup from a more moderate faction(ones I fear dont exist) this war has gone from some kind of dream of a reconstituted Soviet Union and a more relevant and powerful role for Russia and Putin in the world to an existential threat to Putin. Russia and the Russian state and people be damned. Picture hilter in his bunker in 1945.

Though many have discounted Putin going nuclear, I am not one of them. When it becomes clear to Putin he cannot win and as a result he will lose his power if not his life I think he may.

How this ends is anybody’s guess, but Putin going quietly into that good night seems unlikely

[PIF]

Interesting Article:

Putin Threatens To Supply Weapons To “Regions” For Retaliatory Strikes On Western Targets

The idea of giving weapons to forces that are hostile to countries that allow Ukraine to use their weapons on Russian soil was put forward by Putin today.
https://www.twz.com/news-features/putin-threatens-to-supply-weapons-to-regions-for-retaliatory-strikes-on-western-targets

[PIF]

Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos

Reporting From Ukraine Uncensored Combat Footage on Telegram:
https://t.me/RFUEnglish or @RFUEnglish
[ You need to have the Telegram app to view. ]

The complete transcript.
—
[ Russian Time Is Up! Ukrainian Reinforcements Turn The Tide ]

—
Day 833: Jun 05

Today, there are a lot of updates from the Kharkiv direction.

Here, Russians severely misjudged their own capabilities and prematurely launched their offensive, while Ukrainians are on the brink of turning the tide and starting their counteroffensive.

As you remember, in the first several days of the Russian Kharkiv offensive, Ukrainians conducted a fighting withdrawal from the border. The reason why they did this is to buy time for further reinforcements to arrive at the main defensive line near the settlements of Lyptsi and Vesele.

While Ukrainians continued to withdraw near Lukiantsi, they caused the Russians further delay behind the small river at Hlyboke, doing massive damage to Russian assault groups with FPV kamikaze drones.

Later, Russians eventually managed to advance on the flanks of Hlyboke and force Ukrainian units to pull back out of the settlement.

Interestingly enough, Russian military bloggers reported that Ukrainians decided not to pull back fully to their defensive line but to hold the Russian advance as it stood now as much as possible.

Ukrainian reasoning becomes more apparent if we look at the topographic map. Here, we can see that Lyptsi is situated in the lowlands and is surrounded by 3 strategic heights. These hills provide fire control over and entry into Lyptsi for whoever controls them.

As you can see, on the eastern heights, Russians had advanced towards the main Ukrainian line of defense. Ukrainians still control these ridges, providing them fire control over the settlement. The hills to the east are under complete Ukrainian control.

This means that if the Russians do eventually manage to move into Lyptsi, Ukrainians will be able to constantly fire into Lyptsi, never allowing Russians to gain complete control.

The highest intensity of clashes is taking place on the northern heights, which Russians nearly have taken completely, for 2 important reasons.

Firstly, if Russians manage to take full control over these hills, they will be able to start moving into Lyptsi itself.

While Ukrainians would maintain fire control over the settlement through their tactical positions on the surrounding heights, Russians could start intensively bombing Ukrainian defenses in order to slowly wear them down.

Secondly, if Russians gain fire control over Lyptsi from the north, it would also heavily complicate future counterattacks here, as Ukrainians would have to move through the settlement and up the hill.

Because of this, Ukrainians understood it was critical to hold their positions on the northern hills in front of their main defensive line.

At the beginning of the Russian offensive in northern Kharkiv, Russians managed to take control over the northern dachas in the exurbs of Lyptsi.

Russians would be able to use this to move along the sides of Ukrainian positions on the hills, severely threatening the Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainians quickly reacted to this development, and started conducting counterattacks and clearing the houses Russians had entered.

Ukrainian commanders also transferred special forces units and experienced drone operator teams to the area, to further support Ukrainian soldiers holding the zero line on the hills. Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian drone operators of the 42nd Mechanized Brigade striking Russian trenches near Hlyboke.

Further released footage shows more FPV drone strikes on buildings, positions, and transports around the settlement. Drone operators of a Ukrainian special forces detachment also showed how they were destroying Russian cars carrying ammunition to frontline positions.

Lastly, the 42nd Brigade shared a compilation of footage showing the intensity of their strikes on Russian transports of manpower and ammunition and Russian infantry on the front line.

Ukrainian fighters active in the area stated that their drone operators target Russian supply lines to gradually weaken Russian frontline positions and cause unrest and discontent among Russian troops.

Judging by the intensity of the Ukrainian drone strikes, it’s no wonder that Russian military bloggers report that Ukrainian FPV strikes and grenade drops are the main factors hindering their advance.

Moreover, Russian military bloggers state that Ukrainians have moved a sufficient number of reserves to the area. Ukrainians use their large number of forces in the area to quickly and constantly conduct counterattacks wherever Russians are weak, although these clashes remain purely positional for now.

Commander in Chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, Oleksandr Syrski, stated that Russian forces have shifted to an active defense in the Lyptsi direction. This means that Russians are conducting attacks here, not in an attempt to gain ground, but to keep Ukrainians from counterattacking and pushing them back.

To further achieve this, Russians also conducted a large number of FAB glide-bomb strikes on Ukrainian positions. Russian military bloggers state that Russian aviation drops at least 20 glide bombs per day in the Lyptsi direction alone.

Recently, the Institute for the Study of War published new insights into the Russian offensive operation north of Kharkiv.

The Institute for the Study of War reported that Russians had likely started their offensive prematurely, severely undermining Russian successes in the north. Russian commanders likely saw their window of opportunity quickly closing as Ukrainians strengthened their defenses in the north, in anticipation of a large Russian offensive.

Western military aid to Ukraine also severely bolstered the combat capability of Ukraine’s armed forces. However, as Ukrainian forces fighting on the hotspots in the east had priority over the north, Russian commanders likely thought they could break through Ukrainian lines quite easily.

The Institute for the Study of War also stated that Russian military command had prevented the accumulation of a much larger force due to the fear that it would alert Ukrainians, reducing their element of surprise.

They add that the decision not to immediately introduce significant reserves, preventing Russian forces from achieving rapid gains and deeper penetration. They conclude that Ukrainians have now established themselves at key defensive positions in the area, adding that, Russian forces have expended, and lost their tactical opportunity to make rapid gains against the initially lightly defended Ukrainian border region.

Overall, Russians gambled with the timing of their offensive and lost because Russians were not able to reinforce their frontline positions in time to achieve a larger breakthrough. On top of that, Ukrainians used their superior positioning at tactical heights to prevent Russians from moving into Lyptsi.

To support this operation, Ukrainians reinforced the area with a large number of infantry, equipment, special forces detachments, and experienced drone operators. Their combined effort allowed Ukrainians to hold the Russians at bay along the road to Lyptsi, setting the stage for future counterattacks as Russians are quickly losing the initiative in this direction.

[PIF]

OT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pscFJSofcGs

Musk lays out the future of the Starship program. Overarching goal of the company is to extend [ human ] consciousness to another planet - Mars - and achieve sustainability while Earth Civilization is still strong. Ghe key thing is to have enough people nd tonnage on Mars so that if something would happen to Earth beyond our control, [ human ] consciousness would go on.

Musk thinks this can be done in ~20 years.

327 successful launches, ~300 landings, 261 re-flights, Dragon has has 45 launches, 50 crew members to orbit, 46 to ISS. This year, SpaceX will do 90% of all Earth mass to orbit launches, China 6%, all others 4%. Once Starship is flying, SpaceX will do 99%. Final version of Starship will do over 200 tons to LEO with full reusability.

If all goes well:
Flight 4 will get through the high heat regime with both Starship and Booster landing on a virtual Tower.

Flight 5 will see the booster land on a Tower; possibility of catching the Booster with the arm this year is around 80-90%. Starship will land on a Tower after about 2 consecutive successes of a given design landing on a virtual Tower - and will likely happen next year. Starship will then become reusable.

There will be 2 Towers at Boca and 2 at the Cape, all by sometime next year.

Next year will see orbital fuel transfer - a very important step in going to Mars. The Moon Ship will be specialized without heat shield and landing flaps.

Aiming to get the Booster engines to 330 tons of thrust with Raptor 3 engines.

Starship 3 will cost less per flight than Falcon 1 [ non-reusable]. Ultimately, the cost per flight will be down around $2-3 million

Musk sees thousands of ships departing for Mars every 26 months, most will be used as raw materials; later on, some ships will return to Earth, but most people going to Mars will never return.

Musk wants to get the cost of going to Mars low enough that most anyone can afford it.

Musk goes on to describe what he sees for the development of Mars.

[marcusmaximus]

Russia has evacuated all their Black Sea Fleet ships from the port of Novorossiysk.

[marcusmaximus]

USAF ISR global hawk drone tracking the Russia fleet ships that fled the Port of Novorossiysk right now,

[BeauBo]

"Russia has evacuated all their Black Sea Fleet ships from the port of Novorossiysk."

[marcusmaximus]

Looks like Ukraine was going to finish off the remaining Black Sea Fleet tonight and someone tipped off the Russians. Dang.

[BeauBo]

"Russia has evacuated all their Black Sea Fleet ships from the port of Novorossiysk."

Where do they have to retreat to?

Back up the Don River?

Try to keep dispersed, and on the move?

It's NATO's Sea now comrades.