Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[PIF]

Ukraine Getting Swedish Airborne Early Warning Radar Planes Is A Big Deal

The Saab airborne early warning and control capability will provide a massive, force-multiplying boost to Ukrainian air and maritime defense.
https://www.twz.com/news-features/ukraine-getting-swedish-airborne-early-warning-radar-planes-is-a-big-deal

[PIF]

Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos

The complete transcript.
—
[ Stupidest Strategy! Russians Shot Themselves in The Foot ]

—
Day 828: May 31

Today, there are a lot of updates from the Kharkiv direction.

Here, Russians have sabotaged their own future operations, while Ukrainians are seizing the initiative.

The initial Russian goal was to advance as quickly as possible, and establish a deep buffer zone on the Ukrainian side of the border.

This buffer zone was to extend up to 20km to push Ukrainian barrel artillery out of range of Russian military targets in the Belgorod region.

However, the Russian offensive was immediately halted at Vovchansk, where Russians encountered their first major obstacle.

As you remember from the previous report, Russians were not able to break through the Ukrainian defensive belt around the high-rise and industrial districts north of the river.

Furthermore, Ukrainian counterattacks severely blunted the Russian offensive, as the Institute for the Study of War reported that Russians were slowly being forced into defensive operations.

Because of the Russian offensive momentum slowing, Russians resorted to intensely shelling Vovchansk with TOS-1 thermobaric artillery and Tulip heavy mortar systems, as well as dropping a large number of glide bombs on the town.

Geolocated footage shows that these strikes targeted not only Ukrainian defensive positions, but also the bridges over the Vovcha River. Russian military bloggers report that this was the last intact bridge connecting southern Vovchansk to the Ukrainian defenses in the town center.

Looking at the aftermath of the strike, the bridge is likely unable to sustain heavy vehicles. In contrast, lighter vehicles, cars, and especially infantry should still be able to make the journey across, meaning Ukrainians in the north are not cut off from supplies.

Russians likely destroyed these bridges to prevent Ukrainians from conducting any further counterattacks over the river, relieving some pressure on Russian forces fighting in the town.

Destroying these bridges not only limits the Ukrainians’ ability to conduct large counterattacks into Vovchansk, but in turn, also severely hampers the Russian ability to cross the river in the future.

The Institute for the Study of War concluded that Russians are destroying bridges they would need to cross ,should they want to penetrate deeper into Ukraine.

They also state that this indicates that Russians in Vovchansk are primarily focused on maintaining their marginal gains, rather than developing their offensive further.

Recently released geolocated footage north of Vovchansk also shows a Ukrainian FPV kamikaze drone destroying a Russian military excavator.

This Russian excavator was busy digging a trench line or bunker, further underscoring the Russian intent to go on the defensive in Vovchansk.

However, before the Russians can consolidate their gains in Vovchansk, they must first push the Ukrainians from their defensive line around the high-rise and industrial districts.

As Ukrainians slowly pulled back to their strongest defensive positions, Russians expanded their control over the surrounding suburbs.

To secure their flanks against a possible Ukrainian counterattack from the east, Russians also advanced towards the settlement of Tykhe. To prevent Russians from attempting a future flanking attack over the bridge here, Ukrainians decided to blow the bridge in advance.

Geolocated footage shared by the engineers shows how they placed modified heavy anti-tank mines and other explosives on the bridge before detonating them from a safe distance.

With these developments in place, the situation can develop further in three possible ways.

In Vovchansk, Russians are unlikely to be able to cross the river, as they have destroyed all bridges they would need for such an operation.

Additionally, the first real Ukrainian defensive line is situated behind the river, further complicating any attempt to cross it, even with pontoon bridges.

On the other hand, Ukrainians can still cross with light vehicles, infantry, and munitions, continuing to supply the Ukrainian defensive belt. If Ukrainians continue to execute their counterattacks successfully, they will be able to create enough of an opening to allow pontoon bridges to be built and mechanized units to cross.

Such a development would allow Ukrainians to conduct mechanized assaults out of Vovchansk, pushing the already battered Russian forces back to the border.

To the east, Russians are unable to outflank and bypass Vovchansk, as Russians would again run into the Ukrainian defensive line behind the river. Additionally, Ukrainians would continue to destroy any bridge Russians could use for such a crossing way before Russians got the chance to use it.

For the Ukrainians, the destroyed bridges are much less of an obstacle for offensive actions, as, unlike Ukrainians, Russians do not have fortification immediately on their side of the river.

So, the availability of trenches and fortifications immediately on each party’s riverside dramatically changes the probability of a successful offensive across the same river. Nonetheless, a Ukrainian attack on the eastern flank would easily be countered by attacks from the Russian territory.

The difficult situation on the eastern flank will make it unlikely that either Russians or Ukrainians will decide to make their next move here.

On the western flank of Vovchansk, the deputy head of The Office of The President of Ukraine, Roman Mashovets, stated that Russian forces are building up near the settlement of Buhruvatka in preparation for future assaults on Vovchansk.

A successful Russian assault in this direction would undercut Ukrainian control over eastern Vovchansk while establishing a bridgehead for future Russian operations to the south.

However, if we take a look at the topographic map, we can see the probability of such a Russian assault being successful is low for a multitude of reasons.

Firstly, any Russian assault over the bridge would immediately be met by Ukrainian fire not only from the defensive line behind the river. but also from the forest to the south.

Similarly, if the initial Russian assault succeeded, Ukrainians would simply continue to perform flanking attacks from the forest. This would cut off any Russian units that made it across, leaving them an easy target for Ukrainian counterattacks.

Thirdly, Russians would not be able to set up a pontoon bridge further away from the bridge to the south, as they would have to move the large and heavy equipment through their own forest, while the bridge itself would be under direct fire from the Ukrainian defensive positions.

In the end, the actions of Russian forces were their own undoing. Russians had destroyed al their viable crossing points over the river with no prospect of laying down makeshift bridges.

These actions eliminated any hope for Russian forces to conduct a deeper breakthrough and achieve their goals of establishing a large buffer zone.

Meanwhile, Ukrainians maintain a strong foothold in the northern part of Vovchansk, not allowing Russians to consolidate their gains, possibly even leading to large Ukrainian counterattacks out of Vovchansk.

Based on the recent build-up of Russian forces near Buhruvatka, Russians will either attempt a suicidal push across the river to outflank Vovchansk, or attack towards the west, where Ukrainians are already on high alert.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box, 06/01/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

New tactics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been revealed. Generals talk about danger for Crimea

On the morning of May 31, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a combined attack on the Kavkaz port in the Krasnodar Territory.

Unfortunately, the air defense forces were unable to completely repel the attack; the oil terminal was damaged. On the same day, several large ships were removed from the port.

We clarified the information at the General Staff - they say that the strike was “insignificant.” Off the record, the interlocutors note that this is not the first blow to facilities in the oil and gas industry, and logistics in general.

“The Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to thwart the plans for our advance. The Kavkaz is used to supply fuel to Crimea and new regions. Several port infrastructure facilities are damaged, but we will repair them. I think it will take about a month for repairs,” a source familiar with the situation told us.

A general close to Mikhail Teplinsky emphasizes that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not only trying to thwart the plans of the Russian Armed Forces, but are also possibly preparing some kind of adventure this summer.

“They are and will continue to attack Crimea, this is obvious. New regions are also in danger. We see that every month drones are flying further and further, and now Western missiles will fly. We, the military, are accustomed people. But the rest of us should be on our guard.”, the general emphasized.

At the same time, he is firmly convinced that the General Staff will be able to organize logistics in such a way that this does not affect the results on the battlefield.

[central_va]

There’s a war in Europe?

[FtrPilot]

The article that PIF posted at https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4219673/posts?page=2701#2701 provides an excellent synopsis of the capabilities of the Saab 340 airborne early warning and control (AEW&C) aircraft.

Eventually, after Ukraine gets F-16s, Gripens, and more western SAM systems (Patriot, NASAMs, and IRIS-Ts), the Saab 340 aircraft will be able to "Link-16" them together in an Integrated Air Defense System (IADS).

Unknowns:

~When will the Saab 340s be delivered?
~How automated is the IADS?
~What is the learning curve for aircrews (Pilots, console operators, mission commanders, etc)?
~What is the learning curve for maintenance personnel?

My guess is a fully functional IADS is at least a year or two away.

Saab 340s vectoring F-16s against cruise missiles and Shaheed drones could occur shortly after the Saab 340s and F-16s are delivered.

[FtrPilot]

35 missiles and 46 drones were shot down during tonight’s Russian big missile attack on Ukraine. Air-, sea-, and land-based missiles, as well as "Shahed" were used by Russians.

In total, the Russians launched 53 missiles of various types and 47 attack UAVs:
- 35 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles from Tu-95 MS (launch area - Saratov Region, Caspian Sea);
- 4 Iskander-M ballistic missiles (from Crimea);
- 1 "Iskander-K" cruise missile (from Crimea);
- 10 Kalibr cruise missiles (from the northeastern part of the Black Sea);
- 3 Kh-59/Kh-69 guided air missiles (from the Zaporizhzhia region);
- 47"Shahed-131/136" (Prymorsko-Akhtarsk launch area).

81 air targets were shot down:
- 30 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles;
- 4 Kalibr cruise missiles;
- 1 "Iskander-K" cruise missile;
- 46 "Shahed-131/136".

The second image shows a map of today's Russian attack on Ukraine. Once again, Stryi, where Ukraine’s largest underground gas storage facility is located, becomes the primary target of the attack.

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1796801509700624497

Large attacks like this are why Ukraine needs the Saab 340s.

[FtrPilot]

One of the destroyed Ukrainian decoys of M777. As claimed, by Russian loitering ammunition.

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1796890703995240722

A bunch of Ukrainian M777 howitzer decoys.

[ETCM]

“The HIMARS crews are just astonished by the number of missiles that have arrived in Ukraine, saying they have never seen so many.”

Russian sources have posted pictures of GMLRS wreckage in Belgorod, confirming that Ukraine has begun striking targets inside Russia with US weapons. But if these pics are legit, there might be an explanation for why Ukraine suddenly has an “astonishing number of missiles”. One of the pictures in the video linked below shows DPICM sub-munitions. The wreckage of this particular rocket appears to be an M30 DPICM GMLRS. We produced about 1,900 of these before switching to the M30A1 with tungsten shrapnel. We could give all of them to Ukraine, since they have been removed from US service. If we are willing to send the M30, we might also be willing to send the unguided, shorter range M26 DPICM rockets, which we have in much larger numbers. Likely well over 100,000.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1796903831348957443

[PIF]

The M26 is a 227mm unguided artillery rocket delivered by the Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) to a range of thirty-two to thirty-eight kilometers. Once it is over the target area, the rocket scatters 644 M77 submunitions into a 200 by 100 meter area.

The submunitions are also called dual purpose grenades or Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munitions (DPICMs). Each MLRS launcher carries twelve M26 rockets. A typical volley of six rockets would release 3,864 submunitions over an area with a 0.6 mile (1 kilometer) radius.

The M77 submunition has both antitank and antipersonnel effects. A molten slug of metal projects downward, and is intended to penetrate up to seventy-seven millimeters of armor plate. In addition, the metal body of the submunition disintegrates into fragments that can kill or wound within a four meter radius.

https://www.hrw.org/news/2006/08/18/cluster-munition-questions-and-answers-m26-rocket

[marcusmaximus]

Funtime in Crimea tonight.

[FtrPilot]

Russians are claiming they made a column of armor and began to march forward from Kursk. During the march, they were struck, they say the first and last vehicles were destroyed, and then the middle was systematically destroyed. They say the manner of their march was in the style of 2022, and that the damage was catastrophic. Ukrainians aren't saying this, Russian milbloggers are.

https://x.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1796998318624481346

Kursk on Google Maps

I doubt the ruzzian will publish photos, so we will have to wait for satellite images.

[FtrPilot]

Ukrainian drones heading towards Kerch Bridge - Crimea

https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1797008805806444995

I'm not sure I believe the map...awaiting confirmation.

[PIF]

Two_majors Telegram English channel Preview will not open so we cannot verify.

[PIF]

Putin’s ‘Brain’ Speaks
—

Kremlin snuff box, 06/01/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

Everyone is going to war, but the result is in doubt. Dugin shook things up and hinted at a new mobilization

Philosopher Alexander Dugin publicly stated that the complete liberation of Novorossiya is a minimum program for the Russian Federation following the results of the Northern Military District.

At the same time, in the long term, according to Dugin, it is necessary to create conditions for the termination of Ukraine’s existence as an independent entity.

It would seem that there was no novelty here for initiated people. But the Foreign Ministry and the Kremlin asked Dugin why he should make such statements publicly.

“This compromises the president. After all, the SVO began with completely different goals. Sometimes it’s better to remain silent so as not to stir up too much,” said a Kremlin representative closely associated with work in the foreign policy area on condition of anonymity.

Moreover, many were surprised that Dugin actually questioned the effectiveness of the SVO to achieve even a minimal victory (the liberation of Novorossiya). He is known to have stated that to achieve such success “an enormous amount of people and effort still needs to be put in.”

At the same time, Dugin said that after the first stage, Russia will need to move on to peace negotiations. In fact, he confirmed our insight and the words of the President [https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4162 ] that at some point a truce between Moscow and Kiev is possible, and then an agreement can be signed at the parliamentary level.

Dugin also hinted that even for success at the first stage it is necessary to mobilize the entire society.

“It takes all the effort of the entire society so that all people stop living the way they live today and start living like those who are fighting. The whole society must fight. In fact, everyone is in his place. He who does not fight is a traitor “.

According to a source close to Dugin, the philosopher thus hinted at the approach of a new mobilization [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4005 ]. According to Dugin, it must be carried out in several stages. “Mobilization for war, for defense enterprises, and for the economy in wartime conditions.”

By the way, the Kremlin is puzzled by Dugin’s words that the cessation of Ukraine’s existence is something beyond the pale.

“It turns out that he does not believe in the strength of the Russian people, Russian weapons, and the Russian President. It is strange at such a historical moment not to trust Vladimir Vladimirovich,” said the interlocutor in the AP.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box, 0602/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

A message was left at Prigozhin’s grave on his birthday

The day before, in St. Petersburg, many people came to the Porokhovskoye cemetery to honor the memory of Yevgeny Prigozhin. June 1 was the birthday of the creator of the Wagner PMC; he would have turned 63 years old.

Flowers were brought to his grave all day long. Mostly men in camouflage and with patches of the Wagner PMC. They came in groups, sometimes families. The police and FSB officers in plain clothes kept order.

At the end of the day, cemetery staff found a note among the flowers. “Prigozhin is alive. We will take revenge.”

It is not clear who left it. The authorities did not notice; now they will monitor the surveillance cameras. The reason for such activity of the organs is clear - this is already the second message in two months with similar content [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3941 ].

By the way, who will take revenge on whom is also not clear. However, it is no secret that Prigozhin died under extremely strange circumstances. His plane crashed in the Tver region.

Companions of the former owner of the Wagner PMC blame several people at the top, including Sergei Shoigu. However, after the death of Prigozhin and several prominent leaders of Wagner, the structure of the PMC changed greatly, some of the units came under the control of the Ministry of Defense.

At the same time, we recently told you that on the eve of the anniversary of that very rebellion, the FSB plans to take Prigozhin’s associates under special control [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4159 ].

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box, 06/02/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

An important detail about the recent strike by the Ukrainian Armed Forces

The attack on the Kavkaz port in the Krasnodar Territory [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4178 ] was carried out by a Ukrainian-made missile. This information was provided to us by the Ministry of Defense.

Experts examined the rocket debris and confirmed off the record that the samples used to attack the oil terminal were not of Western production.

Let us note that the Ukrainian media write that these were Neptune missiles, which allegedly began to be produced in Ukraine. In total, according to our data, the Ukrainian Armed Forces used 3 missiles. We managed to shoot down 1.

The destruction range can be up to 400 km, but it is not entirely clear how many such missiles the Ukrainian defense industry is actually capable of producing.

However, something else is important - if the enemy produces missiles on his own, then he will be less dependent on this type of weapons in terms of supplies from allies. And this makes things more difficult for us.

Intelligence sources said they have no information about where or in what quantity the Ukrainians are collecting such missiles. However, it is possible that the interlocutors are deliberately hiding this information.

[PIF]

[PIF]

In 4 days, Russia lost:
4760 Troops
65 Tanks
167 Artillery systems

[blitz128]

At this rate mobilizing 300,000 will almost keep pace with losses.

Watched a joe blogs YouTube on Russian economy, that it is growing but only because of govt spending on the war.

I know that Putin is desperately trying to keep muscova and Leningrad inoculated from effects of war, much like hitler tried to do, but eventually it did literally hit home.

Curious how this plays out, some comments coming out like in previous posts paint an interesting situation

[FtrPilot]

A Russian supply base in the industrial district of Shebekino, Belgorod Region, Russia, was wiped out this morning. In the debris field, parts of a missiles can be seen. Russian propaganda initially claimed that a civilian market was hit, but the location is neither civilian nor the debris seen on the pictures.

It proves that Ukrainian Forces are starting to destroy Russian military support bases for their incursion in Kharkiv Region.

Coordinates of the impacts:

50°24'38.61"N, 36°54'21.95"E

https://x.com/Tendar/status/1797209641077690500

More pictures from another post:

https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1797189395486785755