Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[JonPreston]

November 21, 2025

Trump’s 28-Point Ukraine Plan

There seem to be several version or translation of Trump’s new ‘peace plan’ for Ukraine.

I believe that the one below, originally published (archived) by the Financial Times, is the most accurate version.

The plan as it is is dead in the water, stillborn or however you may want to characterize this collection of ill-defined, non-binding and ridiculous clauses. No one will ever accept it.

But it includes a few U.S. concessions to Russia that will be taken and preserved for later negotiations.

1. Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed.
2. A comprehensive and comprehensive [sic] non-aggression agreement will be concluded between Russia, Ukraine and Europe. All ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered settled.
3. It is expected that Russia will not invade neighbouring countries and NATO will not expand further.
4. A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation in order to ensure global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development.
5. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.
6. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be limited to 600,000 personnel.
7. Ukraine agrees to enshrine in its constitution that it will not join NATO, and NATO agrees to include in its statutes a provision that Ukraine will not be admitted in the future.
8. NATO agrees not to station troops in Ukraine.
9. European fighter jets will be stationed in Poland.
10. US guarantee:
    1. The US will receive compensation for the guarantee.
    2. If Ukraine invades Russia, it will lose the guarantee.
    3. If Russia invades Ukraine, in addition to a decisive coordinated military response, all global sanctions will be reinstated, recognition of the new territory and all other benefits of this deal will be revoked.
    4. If Ukraine launches a missile at Moscow or St. Petersburg without cause, the security guarantee will be deemed invalid.
11. Ukraine is eligible for EU membership and will receive short-term preferential access to the European market while this issue is being considered.
12. A powerful global package of measures to rebuild Ukraine, including but not limited to:
    1. The creation of a Ukraine Development Fund to invest in fast-growing industries, including technology, data centres, and artificial intelligence.
    2. The United States will cooperate with Ukraine to jointly rebuild, develop, modernise, and operate Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities.
    3. Joint efforts to rehabilitate war-affected areas for the restoration, reconstruction and modernisation of cities and residential areas.
    4. Infrastructure development.
    5. Extraction of minerals and natural resources.
    6. The World Bank will develop a special financing package to accelerate these efforts.
13. Russia will be reintegrated into the global economy:
    1. The lifting of sanctions will be discussed and agreed upon in stages and on a case-by-case basis.
    2. The United States will enter into a long-term economic cooperation agreement for mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centres, rare earth metal extraction projects in the Arctic, and other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities.
    3. Russia will be invited to rejoin the G8.
14. Frozen funds will be used as follows: $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine. The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine’s reconstruction. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.
15. A joint American-Russian working group on security issues will be established to promote and ensure compliance with all provisions of this agreement.
16. Russia will enshrine in law its policy of non-aggression towards Europe and Ukraine.
17. The United States and Russia will agree to extend the validity of treaties on the non-proliferation and control of nuclear weapons, including the START I Treaty.
18. Ukraine agrees to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.
19. The Zaporizhzhya [sic] Nuclear Power Plant will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA, and the electricity produced will be distributed equally between Russia and Ukraine — 50:50.
20. Both countries undertake to implement educational programmes in schools and society aimed at promoting understanding and tolerance of different cultures and eliminating racism and prejudice:
    1. Ukraine will adopt EU rules on religious tolerance and the protection of linguistic minorities.
    2. Both countries will agree to abolish all discriminatory measures and guarantee the rights of Ukrainian and Russian media and education.
    3. All Nazi ideology and activities must be rejected and prohibited.
21. Territories:
    1. Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk will be recognised as de facto Russian, including by the United States.
    2. Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will be frozen along the line of contact, which will mean de facto recognition along the line of contact.
    3. Russia will relinquish other agreed territories it controls outside the five regions.
    4. Ukrainian forces will withdraw from the part of Donetsk Oblast that they currently control, and this withdrawal zone will be considered a neutral demilitarised buffer zone, internationally recognised as territory belonging to the Russian Federation. Russian forces will not enter this demilitarised zone.
22. After agreeing on future territorial arrangements, both the Russian Federation and Ukraine undertake not to change these arrangements by force. Any security guarantees will not apply in the event of a breach of this commitment.
23. Russia will not prevent Ukraine from using the Dnieper River for commercial activities, and agreements will be reached on the free transport of grain across the Black Sea.
24. A humanitarian committee will be established to resolve outstanding issues:
    1. All remaining prisoners and bodies will be exchanged on an ‘all for all’ basis.
    2. All civilian detainees and hostages will be returned, including children.
    3. A family reunification programme will be implemented.
    4. Measures will be taken to alleviate the suffering of the victims of the conflict.
25. Ukraine will hold elections in 100 days.
26. All parties involved in this conflict will receive full amnesty for their actions during the war and agree not to make any claims or consider any complaints in the future.
27. This agreement will be legally binding. Its implementation will be monitored and guaranteed by the Peace Council, headed by President Donald J. Trump. Sanctions will be imposed for violations.
28. Once all parties agree to this memorandum, the ceasefire will take effect immediately after both sides retreat to agreed points to begin implementation of the agreement.

[JonPreston]

I agree that neither Zelensky nor the Europeans/UK would accept any 3 of the above terms, but people are missing the points:
1) As Mercouris correctly notes: this is a set of negotiating points in writing. No more ambiguous verbal agreements.
2) If Europe AND Ukraine refuse to join in on this agreement, then Trump can legitimately say that he tried very very hard to achieve peace in Ukraine, that Russia had agreed in principle to the effort and that it is the Ukrainians who don’t want peace.
3) If only minority elements of Ukraine (ie the neo nazis, the existing power structure that gets replaced) and/or the Europeans refuse to join, then they are just out. As I noted before: Europe was presented with the opportunity to back up its Foghorn Leghorn chicken hawk talk with money and arms – and has failed to deliver either in sufficient quantities to matter.
4) Notice the complete absence of ceasefire mention in the negotiation points. It means Russia will continue its military negotiation track ie facts on the ground, even as the above points are negotiated between the US and Russia, with Ukraine and Europe looking in from a significant remove. That plus Kellogg’s resignation does mean something. And fuck him anyway.
5) notice also the complete absence of Western troops in Ukraine and the absence of US security guarantees for Europe. This is another indication that Europe has the option of jumping in itself, but at entirely its own risk. Which, of course, chicken hawks will never risk.
In general, the TDS still prevails among the commentariat – especially so in the alternative community. For some reason, the alternative commentariat seems to think Trump is an absolute monarch, a king, and furthermore should act like the tip of the elite spear which Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin operate as. Neither of these people are puppets, but both are working as the heads of multi-decadal organizations.
Trump has no multi-decadal organization; if anything, significant elements of his own organization are working against his goals. And there are multiple different groups of elements. Trump is balancing them against each other to try and achieve what he wants; the style exhibited thus far is very much in line with his business style as demonstrated in his TV series. Trump is perfectly open to letting anyone with credibility (as determined by Trump alone) to try anything so long as it does not obstruct the strategic path he has determined. This means lots of false starts, of swaying back and forth between different tactics, of a lot of hot air. It can absolutely result in stupid appearing attempts, because Trump is very much a believer in “if it is stupid and it works, it ain’t stupid” as well as testing the credibility of the presumed credible by giving them leeway to succeed or fail.
I repeat what I have said many times already: if we look at the US Senate and its control by both Democrat and Republican neo XXXs:
Why did this Senate approve so many of Trump’s very controversial cabinet? Why did they pass his budget bill on July 4 2025, when Biden – with a Democrat controlled Senate and House of Representatives – not get his budget approved until December 2021?Why did neither the House nor Senate significantly push back against so many of Trump’s domestic policies particularly around immigration?
And most importantly: what were the favors given/promises made in return for the above support?
So is the above plan going to be implemented? Certainly not as is. That’s what negotiations are about.
But in this case, IMO, the actual negotiations are not about what Russia wants – because that is crystal clear and Russia will achieve most of its goals regardless of what anyone in the West does. These negotiations are about giving those who are not top of the teat/base of the trough the chance to break through the present logjam of corrupt, self-enriching bastards in charge of Ukraine now. The replacements may well also be corrupt, self-enriching bastards but they would have to get into power by changing at least some of the official Ukrainian rhetoric.
Equally for Europe and the UK: these losers have already proven that they cannot handle the ongoing financial drain of monetary support for Ukraine, or have the military logistic capability of supplying Ukraine.
To obstruct the negotiations, they have to publicly commit to even more than what they have already failed to deliver. I see this as putting more straws on these camels’ backs, to ideally break them by giving their respective domestic opposition the ultimate proof of existing EU/UK leadership incompetence and fecklessness.
No one can say Trump did not publicly and repeatedly try to push India and China to stop supporting Russia by buying Russian oil.
No one can say that Trump is “soft” on Russia given Tomahawk threats and sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil and the refinery infrastructure attack.
That’s how I view it.
What the precise outcome is – impossible to predict because of the cascade of decisions that have to be made in Ukraine, in the EU, in the UK.
To quote V for Vendetta: “So do you know what’s gonna happen?”
I don’t need to guess that Ukraine will lose. The only question is what and how fast. The how fast is clearly in the 6 months to 1 year, that I have been predicting. The what encompasses Kharkiv, Sumy, Odessa and Dnipropetrovsk. Zaporozhie and Kherson cities are a done deal.
I don’t need to guess that Farage is going to become the next UK prime minister. He is mouthing the right words of not-not supporting Ukraine, but it is far from clear to me that he actually wants to support Ukraine – unlike Starmer and Sunak and Truss and Johnson.
I don’t need to guess that Macron is going to hold onto the French presidency until he has to be booted out like the former Georgian prime minister. And France will continue sliding down the stairs, banging its head on each step along the way, the entire time. If France is lucky, they will makes changes so this travesty won’t happen again.
I don’t need to guess that bankster Merz is going to bankster. That Germany will continue to deindustrialize even as its debt skyrockets. That AfD will eventually get into coalition with BSW and boot Merz out.