Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
How many Ukie corpses did they eventually haul out of Kursk?
In Germany, gas prices have risen 74% since 2021, Bild reported, estimating that a family of four has paid about €6,000 more for electricity and gas since 2022 than they would have if prices and supplies had remained stable.
No wonder Berlin_Zeeper stopped posting. Couldn’t face being a moron every day - unlike these other simpletons in The Ghetto.
The Estonian Foreign Ministry has appealed to Moscow for an explanation: “Is Wagner marching on Moscow again, or starting with St. Petersburg this time? Hard to tell. From our side it looks like they've already annexed the Russian border guards.Who knows… Russian Foreign Ministry?”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m4o66rtdt22z
18 s video
At today’s (2 Nov) meeting, OPEC+ agreed to another small increase in production quotas for December - another 137,000 bpd.
Then they plan to hold steady through the next three months, of the annual low season, as there are strong indications of storage buildup and oversupply - ideal conditions for cutting back (or off) of Russia’s exports.
The oil market now needs Russian oil exports to be cut way back soon.
Conditions set. Hard freeze on the way.
The NY Times reports (2 Nov):
““The global oil market may be at a tipping point as signs of a significant supply glut emerge,” Toril Bosoni, the head of the oil industry and markets division at the International Energy Agency in Paris, wrote in an analysis this month.
Ms. Bosoni said that the unwinding of production cuts by OPEC Plus along with continued increases by countries outside the group, including the United States, Canada and Guyana, would lead to supply outstripping demand by nearly 4 million barrels a day, or more than 4 percent in 2026.
She said in an email that the large difference between output and consumption was “untenable,” suggesting that some sort of course correction was likely to occur.
OPEC Plus might cut back, for instance, or lower prices might lead the United States and other producers to reduce production, or sanctions on Russia, Iran or Venezuela might cut into supplies.”
“Hard freeze on the way.”
You mean a hard freeze of Siberian and Yamal peninsula oil infrastructure. A winter 2025-2026 freeze that will burst pipes and valves etc.?
Russian oil is like sharks. Some shark species must always be moving or they die.
Yes, that's what I am watching/waiting for - extended periods below zero. The fields and infrastructure is spread out, so I have picked Novy Urengoy (Where big pipelines originate) to watch, as a general indicator:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/ru/novyy-uryengoy/1-291522_1_al/november-weather/1-291522_1_al?year=2025
Next week we will see a few deep freeze days/nights in a row, but starting on the 20th it will run longer and colder. January is peak season - it might not get above zero at all during the month, with some nights less than -30.
I first learned about this freeze 3 years ago at Peter Zeihan. I asked an AI about this, and it claimed Russian have developed-placed counter measures on some of the essential pipe n valve works. I bet these counter measure are spotty at best.
TomaBlock...
Next Tuesday...
“I bet these counter measure are spotty at best.”
Russia has a poor record of industrial safety, and corruption may have reduced the mitigation features that may have been funded. The mitigation systems themselves could also be targeted.
I am for a thorough test of their system -as challenging as possible. Plan as well as you can for compounding effects, but when the battle is joined against their oil infrastructure, don’t keep any Artillery in reserve - keep pounding it with everything you’ve got. You never know when something unexpected will break, or a lucky shot might make a big difference.
Considering how all of Russia’s infrastructure is collapsing, any measures they may have had are probably in the same shape as the rest of the country
That’s why Alexandr Dugin says Russia will be fighting for 17 years. I wonder if he is figuring the time needed to produce enough weapons, or if they will actually do this baby breeding (Cocoo) program he has apparently suggested. I have Googled, but they (AI) say it is not real. If they have or plan it soon, he may figure they can start drafting those totally indoctrinated kids at 15 or 16. Also with this new program of special military academies for very young children, they will have this as a very committed trained and trainable group to send to war. How utterly horrible, and who in this country has even heard of Dugin?
If you have not read Dugin’s 1997 bookon how Russia should conquer Europe and rule the world, please at least read the book review below. Especially read the 22 bullet points, giving careful thought to how Russia has been using it’s Special Services to creat chaos and turmoil in our country and Canada. Also if you can photocopy these bullet points and send them to any friends, family, other FReepers, media, or politicians (including Trump, Rubio, Hegseth) who care about our country it will help increase the number of people in this country who will want to helping Ukraine resist these monsters.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics
* “Russia should use its special services within the borders of the United States and Canada to fuel instability and separatism against neoliberal globalist Western hegemony, such as, for instance, provoke “Afro-American racists” to create severe backlash against the rotten political state of affairs in the current present-day system of the United States and Canada. Russia should “introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social, and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements – extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It would also make sense simultaneously to support isolationist tendencies in American politics”.[9]”
I decided to see what AI had to say about this winter in North America and in Russia. This year looks worse for Russia than last year, and seriously Not Good.
“AI-enhanced long-range weather models and traditional forecasts predict that the 2025-2026 winter for North America and Russia will be significantly influenced by a weak La Niña climate pattern and a potentially unstable polar vortex.”
“North America
The forecast for North America indicates a distinct north-south temperature and precipitation split:
* Northern Regions (Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, Great Plains, Midwest, and Northeast/New England): These areas have a higher probability of experiencing a colder and snowier than normal winter. The La Niña pattern is expected to push the jet stream northward, leading to increased storm frequency and strong Arctic air intrusions.
* Southern Regions (Southern U.S. from the Southwest to the Southeast): These areas are more likely to have a warmer and drier winter than average. Occasional, but potentially intense, Arctic blasts are still possible, which could bring rare snow and ice events far south.
* Canada: Interior portions of British Columbia and Alberta are expected to have higher odds of below-normal temperatures, with frequent snowfall predicted for the Pacific Northwest and northern regions.
Russia:
The outlook for Russia suggests a cold season with high variability:
* West Russia, North Caucasus, and West Siberia: These regions are predicted to have a significantly heightened risk of a colder season compared to recent winters.
* Overall: Rapid snowpack growth in Siberia in the fall is a potential signal for a disrupted, weaker polar vortex later in the winter, which could lead to cold air outbreaks spilling into Europe and North America.
Key Influencing Factors
The primary drivers for these predictions include:
* La Niña: Expected to persist through most of the winter, even if in a weak phase, which typically results in specific weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere.
* Atlantic Quadpole Mode (AQM): A shift to a cold phase of North Atlantic ocean temperatures is anticipated, which can reinforce the pattern of frequent Arctic air blasts into North America.
* Vortex: A potentially unstable or weakened polar vortex could lead to more frequent and significant cold air outbreaks into mid-latitudes.”
Additional Russia info from Climate Impact Company:
“Discussion: Early season snow cover has developed over North/Northeast Russia (Fig. 1). The snow cover in that region for later September is above normal (Fig. 2). Snow cover expansion is likely. The GFS 15-day temperature anomaly forecast indicates widespread cooler than normal temperatures with snow snowfall across Northern Russia and the attendant cool air mass extending southward (Fig. 3). Although the early season snowfall in this region is above normal, the snow is not unusual. Given the constricted polar ice cap (Fig. 4) and early season colder wind extending across open water, advection snows can occur in far northern latitudes especially Northern Russia in early autumn. Of course, the snow cover biases the region cooler and can influence the prevailing weather pattern across Eurasia which features a partial extension of the cool regime described southwestward beneath a longwave trough and into the Black Sea region.”
If the Ukrainians really want to mess up Russia’s winter oil production and transport, I guess they will want to bomb the propylene glycol producing plants.
Correction, Cuchoo Program, Alexandr Dugin copied from a Nazi breeding the perfect Aryans program.
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