Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
I think the nations in the Middle East - the Turks in Turkey, the Arabs in Iraq and Syria, and the Persians in Iran - all wanted and want the Kurdish people divided amongst them, because if they were united they’d be as formidable as Israel.
Russian strategic aviation (what’s left) preparing for mass(ish) cruise missile strike on Ukraine tonight and tomorrow morning.
“Iran has been urgently signaling that it seeks an end to hostilities and resumption of talks”
No hurry - We can talk and bomb at the same time.
Not Our War.
I agree.
We need to step back and let Israel destroy Iran.
RuZZia will lose another ally.
Celebrate. Sing and Dance.
MIGA
Make Israel Great Again
Israel should absolutely protect itself using their Bold Nationalism, not Interventionism.
As should The Putin and The Donald.
“RuZZia will lose another ally.”
Iran is more important than Syria was.
Time to evacuate?
Jon Boy, I’m not sure RuZZia has this Iran war figured out. You may want to talk to your cube mates down the hall as to how the Kremlin wants this war to play out.
If Israel destroys Iran’s oil potential, that will likely raise oil prices and benefit RuZZia.
RuZZia’s population is falling. Iranians may flee to RuZZia and seek asylum. They are Muslims, but hey Kazan is Muslim.
On the other hand, if Israel destroys Iran, RuZZia will lose a big ally in the Middle East.
Ukraine is loving it. Iran has shipped weapons to RuZZia that has killed lots of Ukrainians. Ukrainians are celebrating tonight.
Is RuZZia celebrating tonight? Is Indicted War Criminal Little Pukin celebrating tonight?
Yes indeed.
Fireworks in Kiev.
Be there, or be square!
Israeli strikes so far have targeted domestic fuel supplies for Iran, rather than crude oil production and export facilities. Markets were calmed, and WTI is back down to $70.
The next regime will need oil revenue to pay its bills (to not be a burden on donors).
I am pretty sure that planners are well aware of the Strategic nature of Iranian oil supply to World prices, and the effect on Russia. Regime change (or regime subjugation) in Iran is sequenced before Bone-Crushing Sanctions, so that Iran, one of the world’s largest oil producers, is available to surge exports, take Russia’s market share, and protect Americans and the world from an unnecessary oil price shock. Just good management.
Domestic Iranian fuel supplies (like propane and gasoline) however, are corruptly dominated by regime insiders, and provide a main funding source for the patronage networks that are the foundation of the regime’s support. Additionally, disruption of those supplies will demand action by the man in the street, and the business community of the Iranian bazaar.
“President Donald Trump, meanwhile, said “it’s possible” the United States could enter the fray.”
Fox News @FoxNews
President @realDonaldTrump is leaving the G7 Summit in Canada early, telling the National Security Council to be prepared in the Situation Room for his return. (Tonight, 16 June)
Today, President Trump posted on Truth Social, “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!”
🇷🇺 Kiev is having a night similar to Tel Aviv. Fires breaking out across the capital due to Russian strikes. More on the way. pic.twitter.com/jOb8snw5DA— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) June 16, 2025
BRICS is going to save RuZZia
20 million units down to 5 million...
“China’s demand for new homes in cities is expected to stay at 75% below its 2017 peak in the coming years due to a shrinking population and expectations of price declines that have been hurting investment interest, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
“Falling population and slowing urbanization suggest decreasing demographic demand for housing,” Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a report. “Investment demand in China could turn negative as owners sell vacant apartments.”
As a result, China’s annual urban demand for new residential properties will likely remain slightly below 5 million units over the next few years, substantially below a peak of 20 million units in 2017, they said.”
US Vice President J.D. Vance:
"The era of American global hegemony is over."
pic.twitter.com/9F6MUoc19B— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 23, 2025
...many analysts argue the price cap has become less effective because Russia now largely reroutes its exports through a so-called “shadow fleet” of tankers that evade maritime oversight...
...Russia’s shadow fleet consists of approximately 500 (some estimate 700), mostly poorly insured and aging tankers that ship crude to countries such as India and China, in defiance of Western sanctions. These tankers, estimated to carry as much as 85% of Russia’s oil exports—which bring in a third of Russia’s export revenues—typically have opaque ownership structures and lack top-tier insurance or safety certification. Most belong to anonymous or newly formed shell companies based in jurisdictions such as Dubai, further complicating accountability.
The majority of shadow tankers sail across the Baltic Sea, a route considered critical for Russia’s energy exports. The shadow fleet uses various tactics to avoid detection, including ship-to-ship transfers in international waters, spoofed location data, and fake ship identification numbers. Some estimates suggest that approximately three shadow tankers carrying Russian crude pass through European waters each day, including the Danish straits and the Channel. Some experts estimate the shadow fleet may now include as many as 700 tankers.
However, Lithuanian National Security Advisor Kęstutis Budrys has highlighted the ambiguity surrounding the law on interdiction in international waters, warning that trying to stop the shadow fleet could risk an all-out military confrontation with Russia. Last week, a Russian fighter jet briefly entered Estonia’s airspace, in what some experts suspect was a reprisal for the Estonian military escorting a tanker named Jaguar out of the country’s economic waters. The Estonian navy acted quickly, believing the ship posed a threat to nearby underwater cables, and checked its status and registration. The Russian jet entered Estonian airspace without permission...
...”In the last four or five months of last year, we saw a roughly 10% decline in the amount of oil leaving from Russia,” Finnish Border Guard’s Head of Maritime Safety Mikko Hirvi told Reuters...
...A recent study found that limiting Russia’s shadow fleet may be more effective than simply lowering the oil price cap...
...In April report by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) found that Russia’s shadow fleet is shrinking. According to the report, shadow tankers transported 65% of Russian crude exports in April, down from 81% in January. Russia’s fossil fuel export revenues declined 6% month-on-month to EUR 585 million per day in April, while export volumes rose marginally by 1%.”
OilPrice.com reports:
“The European Union will propose to G7 finance ministers to lower the price cap on Russian crude from the current $60 per barrel to $50, European Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis said...
...many analysts argue the price cap has become less effective because Russia now largely reroutes its exports through a so-called “shadow fleet” of tankers that evade maritime oversight...
...Russia’s shadow fleet consists of approximately 500 (some estimate 700), mostly poorly insured and aging tankers that ship crude to countries such as India and China, in defiance of Western sanctions. These tankers, estimated to carry as much as 85% of Russia’s oil exports—which bring in a third of Russia’s export revenues—typically have opaque ownership structures and lack top-tier insurance or safety certification. Most belong to anonymous or newly formed shell companies based in jurisdictions such as Dubai, further complicating accountability.
The majority of shadow tankers sail across the Baltic Sea, a route considered critical for Russia’s energy exports. The shadow fleet uses various tactics to avoid detection, including ship-to-ship transfers in international waters, spoofed location data, and fake ship identification numbers. Some estimates suggest that approximately three shadow tankers carrying Russian crude pass through European waters each day, including the Danish straits and the Channel. Some experts estimate the shadow fleet may now include as many as 700 tankers.
However, Lithuanian National Security Advisor Kęstutis Budrys has highlighted the ambiguity surrounding the law on interdiction in international waters, warning that trying to stop the shadow fleet could risk an all-out military confrontation with Russia. Last week, a Russian fighter jet briefly entered Estonia’s airspace, in what some experts suspect was a reprisal for the Estonian military escorting a tanker named Jaguar out of the country’s economic waters. The Estonian navy acted quickly, believing the ship posed a threat to nearby underwater cables, and checked its status and registration. The Russian jet entered Estonian airspace without permission...
...”In the last four or five months of last year, we saw a roughly 10% decline in the amount of oil leaving from Russia,” Finnish Border Guard’s Head of Maritime Safety Mikko Hirvi told Reuters...
...A recent study found that limiting Russia’s shadow fleet may be more effective than simply lowering the oil price cap...
...In April report by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) found that Russia’s shadow fleet is shrinking. According to the report, shadow tankers transported 65% of Russian crude exports in April, down from 81% in January. Russia’s fossil fuel export revenues declined 6% month-on-month to EUR 585 million per day in April, while export volumes rose marginally by 1%.”
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