Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
“From July 1, the Swedish Coast Guard will require insurance documentation from all vessels transiting its territorial waters or economic zone, not just those docking at ports.”
If Denmark or Poland join them, that would be everything, passing through the Baltic Sea to the Atlantic Ocean.
Yes, but I’m not sure they are flyable.
“JUST IN: 🇷🇺 🇮🇷 Russia and Iran officially sign 20-year Strategic Partnership Agreement that guarantees the security of the two countries.”
Note: That was in January, when it benefitted the Russians.
Iran is finding out now just how much a piece of paper with a Russian Government signature is worth, when it is not in Russia’s favor.
“as Russian losses have officially hit an unprecedented 1 million count, the breaking point finally came and the soldiers began turning their rifles on their own commanders, rather than face certain death in futile assaults. In a growing wave of mutiny and desertion, Russian soldiers started killing their officers, seizing vehicles, and fleeing deep into Russian territory, and away from the frontline.”
Authoritarian regimes tend to fracture quickly when they do break, rather than degrade gracefully.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933949320144838902
Video at the link above shows AAA only...no SAMs.
Striking Natural gas/LNG facilities (used heavily domestically within Iran by households and small businesses), rather than oil.
Selling propane domestically is a racket that is controlled by regime insiders, and greases their patronage networks. Cut off their funding and piss off their captive customers.
Oil export revenue is much more visible, and directly in the national budget. The next regime will need oil revenue to function (and fill the gap when Bone-Crushing Sanctions hammer down on Russia)
Striking Natural gas/LNG facilities (used heavily domestically within Iran by households and small businesses), rather than oil.
Selling propane domestically is a racket that is controlled by regime insiders, and greases their patronage networks. Cut off their funding and piss off their captive customers.
Oil export revenue is much more visible, and directly in the national budget. The next regime will need oil revenue to function (and fill the gap when Bone-Crushing Sanctions hammer down on Russia)
But also bases of the Iranian forces are target, such as in Tabriz, Kermanshah and Khorramabad, where air bases, air defense assets and ballistic missile bases are located.
The fact that Israeli forces are operating without much resistance within Iran's western regions indicates that most of the air defense assets along the Iranian air forces have been neutralized in this area.
https://x.com/Tendar/status/1933914012086931871
Air Superiority...don't leave home without it.
“Russia’s surging drone production, over 2,000 Shahed drones and 2,000 Garpiya drones per month”
The Garpiya drone is the Chinese knock off of the Iranian Shaheed. They manufacture them in China, and assemble them in Russia, to give China a fig leaf of deniability.
A lot of essential manufacturing of the Shaheeds has been done in Iran, supplying components for Russian assembly as well. That is coming to a sudden halt, due to their war with Israel.
Kyiv Independent:
“Another telephone conversation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump,” Russian state media reported, citing Ushakov.
The phone call took place on Trump’s birthday (14 June), as the U.S. president marks the occasion with a military parade in Washington.
The two leaders discussed Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East as Israel and Iran continue to exchange aerial attacks.
“The exchange of opinions naturally focused on the dangerous escalation of the situation in the Middle East,” Ushakov said.
The phone call between Trump and Putin lasted 50 minutes, he said.
“Russia expressed its readiness to continue negotiations with the Ukrainians, as agreed, after June 22. Donald Trump took note of this information and once again noted his interest in a speedy end to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict,” Ushakov said, according to Russian state media.”
Oil prices bumped up about 8% when Israel launched on Iran, and have levelled off there.
The normal $5 spread has narrowed - WTI now around $73, Brent around $74.
Should be temporary.
OilPrice.com:
“JP Morgan is sticking to its base-case oil price forecast for 2025, projecting Brent crude will trade in the low-to-mid $60s, despite a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions involving Iran, the U.S., and potentially Israel.
In a note published Thursday (12 June), the bank said it sees oil averaging $60 in 2026, but flagged $120–$130 per barrel as a potential range in the event of worst-case outcomes—namely, military conflict and a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil flows.”
I wonder what the total bill would be, for all the wealth destroyed? A million Russian casualties, all the Ukrainian casualties, all of buildings destroyed or damaged (whole cities), all the equipment lost, all of the money spent, and all of the business lost.
Trillions of dollars? Equivalent to years worth of Russia’s total GDP. A generation’s worth of economic growth.
Putin did that. He is the Doom of Russia.
European journalists from Danwatch and Der Spiegel have obtained access to a massive trove of 2 million documentsdetailing Russia’s strategic nuclear facilities. Among them are detailed blueprints of the ultra-secret base in Yasny, where Avangard missiles are stationed, including everything from toilet locations and tunnel maps to security systems and surveillance cameras.
🔻 What was leaked:
📍 Building plans, tunnel diagrams, IT systems, security layouts, and alarm schematics.
📍 Lists of sports equipment, wall posters, and soldiers’ leisure activities.
📍 Critical information revealing structural vulnerabilities.
This appears to be the largest intelligence leak in the history of the Russian military. Any foreign intelligence servicenow has enough material to pinpoint weak spots. Toilets, motion sensors, tunnel routes, gym equipment — journalists now have CIA-level access. It’s a security disaster the Kremlin won’t be able to cover up.
The fallout could force Russia to rebuild parts of its nuclear infrastructure from scratch — potentially costing billions.
The leak occurred via state procurement tenders, where contractors accidentally posted classified files online. Russia’s Ministry of Defense has not commented on the breach.“
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1933990759667273847
“large explosion and plume of black smoke have been reported in western Tehran.”
Bottom Line: The regime must evacuate the capital (the regime, not the population).
They are, or soon will be defenseless, to relentless air attack.
Free Iran!
If this keeps up the regime will not have any money to pay the Palestinian thugs that beat and arrest people. Then what? Oh dear ...
JPost (Israel):
“The IDF conducted strikes in Yemen on Saturday night in an attempted targeted attack on senior Houthi military leader (Chief of Staff), Muhammad Abd al-Karim al-Ghamari, IDF sources confirmed to the Jerusalem Post.
“We will soon know if it succeeded,” an Israeli source told The Jerusalem Post.”
BREAKING: Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski comes to the defense of Democratic Senator Alex Padilla after he was handcuffed.
“It is shocking at every level, and it’s not the America I know.”
pic.twitter.com/iNZzf3ZlFq— Ian Jaeger (@IanJaeger29) June 12, 2025
following the collapse of the Soviet Union
Thank you for referencing the collapse of the Soviet Union. I've been saying this for years despite resistance from the small cadre of Bitter Clingers who post here.
🍈
The price of a borscht set in Russia has increased by 57-87% over the year, with official inflation at 10%. On average, citizens spent 34.6% of their expenses on food, compared to 33% at the beginning of the year and 28.6% in April 2024. According to Romir, this is a record for 5 years
https://bsky.app/profile/evgen-istrebin.bsky.social/post/3lprf4r5erk2a
At least 6000 Russian officers have been eliminated in the Russian invasion of Ukraine since 24 February 2022. Milestone update: +31 newly registered. Sources: public Russian obituaries and graves.
https://x.com/KilledInUkraine/status/1922752446335488341
Officers in a Russian rifle regiment are said to be labelling men as deserters to avoid paying them, beating them, denying medical care, forcing female medics into sex, and sending men into assaults without equipment while telling them to scavenge it on the battlefield. ⬇️
2/ The wives, mothers and sisters of men serving with the Russian 54th Motorised Rifle Regiment have published an ‘appeal to the Tsar’ complaining that their “husbands, sons and fathers are subjected to illegal actions by inhuman beings endowed with power,” i.e. army commanders.
3/ One of the mothers says that in the unit, soldiers are illegally labelled as deserters – even when they are still serving – to deprive them and their families of wages and compensation. They are also denied treatment when they are wounded.
4/ “The fighters are not given medical care, but are handcuffed and beaten. When they leave for a combat mission, the fighters are robbed of their phones, maps, personal belongings, and then all of this is simply lost and disappears.”
5/ “The guys are practically not evacuated. If the guys are wounded, they crawl to the designated place, bleeding. Dead soldiers are not evacuated.
6/ “If the guys are wounded, they end up in the hospital with shrapnel, with serious wounds, they are not sent home for rehabilitation, they are sent back into battle. The guys never return from there.”
7/ They also say that supplies of ‘humanitarian aid’ sent to the soldiers by relatives and volunteers never arrives, but is simply sold (likely by officers or corrupt logistics personnel; this is a common occurrence).
8/ The relatives say that “commanders are asking for money so that servicemen do not go on combat missions.” If soldiers are seen as ‘undesirable’ or insubordinate they are “zeroed out”, or killed.
9/ According to the relatives, men are sent into assaults with little equipment and are told to scavenge what they need on the battlefield, presumably from the corpses of those who were sent before them.
10/ The relatives ask: “They are sending them to a place from which it is practically impossible to return. They are sending people who are not properly trained or prepared. The question is simple: why is all this being done?”
more text: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1923436271117984070.html
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