Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Clearly, we have entered a significant new phase of the war, with Ukraine signing the minerals deal, President Trump withdrawing from pushing a peace deal, and turning on the weapons supply to Ukraine.
Putin has chosen to do it the hard way, and pain is on the way.
It seems likely that American Intel support is back, and also seems likely that enhanced operations and target sets (like Kerch Bridge, and Moscow on Victory Day) would also have been approved and equipped.
Secondary sanctions on Russian oil, gas and uranium (why not coal too) could alsp be unleashed, which would be an utter train wreck for Russia.
It promises to be a lively and interesting new phase of the war, with the potential to also bring it to a fairly rapid end (months), but with a likely harder landing for Russia.
“Explosions in Kerch right now.”
The new minerals deal with Ukraine includes oil and gas, providing America with a huge financial interest in Ukraine reclaiming Crimea, and its surrounding waters.
Just saying.
“Looks like some Ukrainian USVs made it past Russian defenses at the Kerc Bridge”
Maybe they are not after the bridge, but instead might be targeting a Russian Naval group that recently passed Kerch to enter the Black Sea, including 5 vessels that can fire Kalibr cruise missiles.
Russian gains along the frontline have slowed over the last four months, but Russia continues to tolerate personnel losses comparable to the casualty rate Russian forces sustained during a period of intensified advances between September and December 2024. ISW assesses that Russian forces gained a total of 1,627 square kilometers in Ukraine and Kursk Oblast in January, February, March, and April 2025, and daily Russian casualty reports from the Ukrainian General Staff indicate that Russian forces suffered 160,600 casualties during the last four months for an average of 99 casualties for every square kilometer taken over the last four months. ISW assesses that Russian forces seized an estimated 496 square kilometers in January 2025; an estimated 313 square kilometers in February 2025; an estimated 601 square kilometers in March 2025; and an estimated 217 square kilometers in April 2025. Ukrainian General Staff reports indicate that Russian forces lost an estimated 48,060 casualties in January 2025, 35,300 casualties in February 2025, 40,670 casualties in March 2025, and 36,570 casualties in April 2025.[1] Russian advances significantly increased in March 2025 due to the elimination of the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast, coinciding with the temporary cessation of US intelligence sharing with Ukraine, although Russian advances on average decreased between January, February, and April 2025. Russian gains have also slowed as Russian forces come up against more well-defended Ukrainian positions in and around larger towns such as Kupyansk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk over the last four months.
Russian forces are currently sustaining a higher casualty rate per square kilometer gained than in Fall 2024. Russian forces gained an estimated 2,949 square kilometers at the cost of 174,935 casualties between September and December 2024 — an average of 59 casualties per square kilometer taken.[2] Russian casualty rates consistently increased throughout September, October, November, and December 2024 and peaked at an estimated 49,135 total monthly casualties in December 2024.[3] Monthly Russian rates of advance plateaued at 839 square kilometers in November 2024, however, and began to slow in December 2024 to an assessed 593 square kilometers and have continued to slow in 2025 (with the exception of the elimination of the Kursk salient). Russian gains have been 45 percent slower between January and April 2025 than in the period between September and December 2024, although Russian casualty rates have only decreased by 10 percent in that interval. The Russian military command thus appears to be tolerating similar personnel loss rates despite a significant decrease in the rate of territorial gains.
Russia has thus far sustained these casualties and the current tempo of offensive operations by rapidly deploying low quality troops to frontline units, although the reliance on such troops is also hindering Russia's ability to conduct complex operations and make rapid advances in Ukraine. ISW has not observed a notable decrease in the tempo of Russian offensive operations along the frontline in recent months, despite the slowing rates of advance, suggesting that Russia is generating enough forces to sustain these casualties without having to deprioritize any frontline area. ISW has repeatedly observed reports that new Russian recruits only receive a month of training before deploying to Ukraine, and this limited training is likely constraining recruits’ combat capabilities and the Russian military's overall capacity to successfully conduct complex operations.[4] The Russian military command is currently prioritizing funneling poorly trained recruits into highly attritional infantry assaults to offset personnel losses in Ukraine while sustaining the current tempo of operations, possibly at the expense of Russia's long-term warfighting capabilities.[5] The Russian military does not have a reserve pool of well-trained troops who are not currently engaged in combat in Ukraine and can rapidly deploy along the frontline, and the Russian military command's decision to funnel poorly trained troops to the frontline in Ukraine is undermining Russia's ability to create a pool of such forces.[6]
Western intelligence reportedly suggests that Putin may begin prioritizing short-term goals such as consolidating Russia's gains in Ukraine and Russia's immediate economic viability over seizing more territory, but Putin's demonstrated commitment to maintaining the tempo of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine despite continuing high casualty rates is a counter-indicator to this reported assessment. CNN reported on May 1 that new intelligence reviewed by US and Western officials suggests that Putin may be pivoting his immediate focus to shorter-term objectives of cementing Russian control over occupied Ukrainian territory and boosting Russia's economy.[10] CNN reported that Putin may be concerned by the Trump administration's threats to apply more sanctions on the struggling Russian economy. An unnamed official told CNN that Putin's willingness to settle for more limited objectives in Ukraine depends on whether Putin can portray Russia's gains in Ukraine as an acceptable victory domestically. The source insinuated that Putin likely remains committed to revisiting his longer-term goals of subjugating all of Ukraine and undermining NATO after taking a “significant pause,” however.
ISW has observed a variety of indicators suggesting that Putin is not reconsidering his short-term objectives in Ukraine, however. Russian forces have increased the intensity of offensive operations throughout the theater, particularly redoubling efforts to advance deeper in the Lyman, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Novopavlivka directions and launching a limited offensive operation in Sumy Oblast.[11] Russian forces are rapidly integrating tactical innovations to optimize timely gains in response to Ukrainian drone operators, including integrating motorcycles into offensive operations in Ukraine.[12] The Kremlin is also leveraging legal, financial, and socioeconomic measures to increase Russia's force generation capabilities and boost Russia's drone production capabilities to support the war in Ukraine.[13]
ISW continues to assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin remains committed to his long-term military objectives of seizing all of Ukraine and undermining NATO. Senior US officials reportedly remain skeptical that Putin has eased his intransigence regarding a peace agreement and told CNN that Russia may resume the war and try to seize more Ukrainian territory even after agreeing to a US peace proposal.[15] CNN reported that unspecified officials maintain the belief that Russia will retain its aims of seizing the maximal amount of Ukrainian territory even if Putin signs a peace agreement. Ongoing Russian efforts to seize Lyman and Pokrovsk and advance north of Toretsk toward the southernmost point of Ukraine's fortress belt in Kostyantynivka indicate that Putin maintains his long-standing goals of seizing the remainder of Donetsk Oblast.[16] The Russian government's efforts to expand Russia's force generation capabilities in the short- and long-term and Russia's ongoing military restructuring efforts suggest that Russia is not only responding to a drawn-out conflict in Ukraine but also preparing for a future conflict on Russia's western borders.[17] The Russian government also continues to prioritize long-term investment in Russia's domestic industrial base (DIB), despite the significant economic cost of this wartime economy to Russia's population.[18] These factors indicate that Putin is not abandoning his territorial ambitions in Ukraine but is in fact preparing for a long war of attrition against Ukraine and likely the collective West.
Russian officials are also continuing to condition Russian society to support a long-term war effort in Ukraine and against NATO. Russian officials, including Putin, have consistently leveraged false claims about the war in Ukraine to make maximalist territorial demands, including that Ukraine give up “Novorossiya” — an invented region of Ukraine that Kremlin officials have claimed includes all of southern and eastern Ukraine and is an “integral” part of Russia that Ukraine must concede for Russia to end the war.[19] Putin invoked the term “Novorossiya” as recently as April 21, indicating that the Kremlin has not abandoned this territorial objective.[20] Russian state media previously cautioned Russian domestic audiences in March 2025 against expecting “big agreements” from recent peace negotiations between Putin and US President Donald Trump.[21] A Verstka poll of 100 Russian military personnel published on April 29 indicates that only 18% of career Russian military personnel and officers, most of whom have been fighting in Ukraine for over two years, would support a Russian withdrawal from Ukraine prior to achieving Putin's stated goals (likely referring to the demilitarization and “denazification” of Ukraine).[22] Only about a fifth of surveyed Russian military personnel and civilians indicated that they believe the war will end in the coming months. Verstka’s polling indicates that the Kremlin is not preparing the Russian information space for a peace agreement in the near future and that Russian forces and society do not anticipate an imminent end to the war. This pattern of Kremlin informational activity and the resonance it has achieved in Russian society will make it much harder for Putin to present any long-term ceasefire, let alone peace agreement, that falls far short of his stated aims as any kind of victory to his domestic audience.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-2-2025
The Kerch Bridge has been closed forever
https://x.com/sumit45678901/status/1918545287921930482
4 s video
Crimean residents report attack on Crimean Bridge, bridge itself blocked
Ukrainian channels publish videos allegedly filmed in annexed Crimea. The authenticity of the footage has not been confirmed by ASTRA journalists.
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3loa34vebh22o
14s video
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3lo6fhyawzc2x
The site specializes in intercepting electronic signals from orbit, including from foreign commercial and military satellite systems. It is also involved in processing space-based intelligence used for Russia’s broader military and information campaigns.
https://united24media.com/latest-news/secret-russian-reconnaissance-space-hub-zvezda-targeted-in-drone-attack-8057
Кремлевская табакерка
In Crimea, 14 military personnel, including two officers, were killed in an enemy drone strike. These are the consequences of the drone attack on the night of Friday, May 2.
“Most of the drones were shot down. Unfortunately, not all of them. The enemy hit important targets, valuable military specialists were killed, 14 people. Among them were two officers,” our source in the General Staff reported. Of course, we will not disclose who exactly died and where the enemy ended up. At the same time, we are deliberately publishing information about the deaths of military personnel.
For a long time now, we have been calling on the Ministry of Defense to strengthen the air defense of Crimea and Sevastopol. And enemy drones and missiles constantly break through our defenses on the peninsula, which leads to serious consequences. Andrei Removich [Belousov], maybe it's time to hear our calls?
Update: Ukrainian USV shot down Russian Su-30 last night over the Black Sea, not a helicopter.
Or maybe he was poisoned? That's what someone will think. Well, yes, the PR people probably poisoned him. The most offensive thing would be if Vucic had a real heart attack, and everyone would still think that it was a Balkan trick.
https://t.me/logikamarkova/17132
Following Vucic, Fico, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, also fell ill. Both of them were planning to visit Moscow, the parade on May 9. Both were sharply criticized for this in Europe. They were threatened with various sanctions. Both of them fell ill. Both at the beginning of May.
What is listed as a vehicle and fuel tank needs to be revisited, as many of those listed are actually being used as combat assets.
The EU flu.
Yes, but Aleksandar Vucic can hide this, because he has heart problems. https://www.dw.com/en/serbian-strongman-aleksandar-vucic-hospitalized-with-heart-condition/a-51275827
Anything used in an assault is a combat vehicle, loaf van, motorcycle, pickup truck, SUV, golf buggy, atv, mule….
As one YouTuber says they would if the could, they don’t so they can’t
The lack of traditional APCs, and AFVs on the front lines is not a choice but a reflection of the reality that they don’t have enough of them like they did in 22-24.
Reminds me of all the folks here who said Russia will never run out of equipment, and they have the capacity to produce everything they need (over 50% of artillery ammo comes from NK)…..
Will they ever “run out” of ammo, equipment, and manpower? Most likely not, but having some doesn’t make you combat effective. I think this is where the Russian military is now, and it will only get worse.
Fittingly, the more Russhit fights against Ukraine and insists that Ukraine doesn't exist, the more Ukraine proves its existence — setting records and making history.
https://x.com/TheReasonable66/status/1918660900958945364
30 s video
https://x.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1918627618594635978
Footage released by Ukraine's GUR confirms a Ukrainian naval drone shot down a Russian Su-30 fighter jet using a modified R-73 air-to-air missile. This is the first destruction of a combat aircraft by a naval drone in the world.
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1918605553313419608
The video in the link above shows a display the replicates a fighter aircraft Heads Up Display (HUD).
This indicates the missile seeker head is slaved to the camera.
Amazing!
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