Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
I’ll predict
1) Tulsi and RJK are defeated in the Senate.
2) Impoundment will be found unconstitutional by SCOTUS - again. Should be a Unanimous decision - but probably more like 7-2 with Alito and Thomas on the losing side.
3) A ‘big beautiful reconciliation bill’ does not pass.
4) Ukraine will pass on Trump’s ‘peace deal’ and continue fighting without US aid. 3 years down, 7 years to go.
RFK
2-4 perhaps
Tulsi and RFK get approved
“Looks like another ruzzian refinery has been hit.”
Kyiv Independent reports:
“Ukraine launched waves of drone attacks targeting oil and power facilities in western parts of Russia overnight on Jan. 29, according to local officials.
Drone strikes were reported across several Russian regions, including the Nizhny Novgorod, Smolensk, Tver, and Bryansk regions, causing fires and prompting air defense responses...
...While there were no reported casualties, an oil refinery in the city of Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod, sustained significant damage. Local Telegram channels reported that drones targeted the “Lukoil Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez” oil refinery, resulting in a large fire.”
“Looks like another ruzzian refinery has been hit.”
Kyiv Independent reports:
“Ukraine launched waves of drone attacks targeting oil and power facilities in western parts of Russia overnight on Jan. 29, according to local officials.
Drone strikes were reported across several Russian regions, including the Nizhny Novgorod, Smolensk, Tver, and Bryansk regions, causing fires and prompting air defense responses...
...While there were no reported casualties, an oil refinery in the city of Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod, sustained significant damage. Local Telegram channels reported that drones targeted the “Lukoil Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez” oil refinery, resulting in a large fire.”
“Ukraine will pass on Trump’s ‘peace deal’ and continue fighting without US aid.”
Isn’t it more likely that they would try to string things out indecisively (slow roll), rather than just decisively say no, and lose that support?
Does this assume that Russia would accept Trump’s proposals?
“Ukraine will pass on Trump’s ‘peace deal’ and continue fighting without US aid.”
Isn’t it more likely that they would try to string things out indecisively (slow roll), rather than just decisively say no, and lose that support?
Does this assume that Russia would accept Trump’s proposals?
The first official Russian delegation arrived in Syria since the fall of the Assad regime on January 28 to discuss Russia's continued use of its military bases in Syria.[1] The Russian delegation includes Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov and Presidential Special Representative to Syria Alexander Lavrentyev. Reuters reported that two Syrian sources stated that the delegation will meet with the new Syrian government sometime this week.[2] Bogdanov told Russian state media outlet RT that the visit aims to strengthen Russian-Syrian historical relations based on common interests.[3] Bloomberg reported that a Russian source familiar with the matter stated that Russia is struggling to retain access to the Hmeimim Air Base and Port of Tartus because negotiations with the new Syrian government are “stuck.”[4] Russian milbloggers responded to the Russian delegation's arrival, claiming that Syria is “far from” Russia's first or even second priority and cautioning against believing Russian or Syrian officials’ “standard phrases” about cooperation.[5] A Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that there is no hope that Russian-Syrian relations can return to their previous strength and that Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) holds the upper hand in negotiations and can extract greater concessions from Russia.[6]
The Russian military continues to evacuate military assets from the Port of Tartus amid the ongoing Russian-Syrian negotiations. Commercially available satellite imagery collected by Planet Labs PBC from January 18 and 27 shows that the Russian military loaded equipment onto the Russian Sparta and Sparta II cargo ships at Tartus and that the Sparta II ship left the port while the Sparta remained.[7] OSINT analyst MT Anderson posted satellite imagery from January 23 showing the Vyazma Kaliningradneft-class oiler alongside the port and possibly suggesting that the Russian military was loading vehicles onto the Sparta.[8] Bloomberg reported on January 28 that a Russian source stated that two Russian transport ships — likely the Sparta and Sparta II — had been waiting for weeks off Tartus before Syrian authorities allowed them to dock.[9]
A senior NATO official acknowledged that Russia is escalating a sabotage and destabilization campaign against European NATO member states to deter further military assistance to Ukraine. NATO Deputy Assistant Secretary General James Appathurai stated at the European Parliament on January 28 that NATO states have faced acts of sabotage in recent years, including train derailments, arson, attacks against politicians’ property, and assassination plots against defense industry figures, including a Kremlin plot to assassinate Rheinmetall Head Armin Papperger.[18] Appathurai emphasized that the Kremlin aims to “create disquiet to undermine support for Ukraine” and called for NATO states to more assertively deter Russian sabotage acts.[19] The Kremlin has consistently attempted to use information operations to deter Western states from providing additional military assistance to Ukraine.[20] The Kremlin's sabotage and destabilization campaign directly targeting NATO states supports ISW’s assessment that Russian President Vladimir Putin sees Russia as waging a hybrid war directly against NATO.[21]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-28-2025
Банки, деньги, два офшор:
The new Syrian authorities have demanded that Russia acknowledge “past mistakes” and pay compensation. The Syrian authorities said in a statement that the talks emphasized “Russia’s role in restoring trust with the Syrian people through concrete measures such as compensation, reconstruction and restoration.” However, the statement did not mention Russian military bases in Syria, which Moscow wants to preserve, Bloomberg notes. The head of the Russian delegation, Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov, said that the talks with the Syrian side went “generally well,” but there was no progress on the issue of military bases.
Russian troops are leaving Syria. This information was known in narrow circles, but since satellite images have already appeared, we can also make this fact public. After the change of power in Syria, our negotiators unsuccessfully tried to establish contact with the new authorities and gradually pulled Russian weapons into the port of Tartus. After Bashar al-Assad fled to Russia, Ramzan Kadyrov took up negotiations with the new Syrian authorities. He promised to reach an agreement on Russian bases in this country. Our sources were skeptical about such prospects, noting Kadyrov’s ambiguous role in the Muslim world. His position was greatly undermined by the crash of the Azerbaijan Airlines plane, which was shot down over Grozny.
It is worth admitting that Russia is leaving Syria. Our former friend Erdogan played a significant role in this story. His influence in the region has grown significantly. Hawks in the Russian elites are calling for decisive action on our part, but they do not specify the mechanisms for influencing Erdogan. After all, we can't kill him…
It will be interesting to see how Vladimir Putin will react to Kadyrov’s new failure. After all, Ramzan Akhmatovich personally promised to resolve the issue, but he was unable to.
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/5226
“Russian troops are leaving Syria… Russia is leaving Syria.”
That’s the bottom line.
The new regime will not forget Russia’s many atrocities against them over the years, and Europe is worth more to Syria.
Given that the liberation of Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhya are now part of Russia, you might be technically correct, but I'm certain you didn't know that. Now go get a piece of crumcake in the dayroom. Fox is on the TV.
1. probably correct;
2. maybe correct - may not be correct;
3. Maybe wrong;
4. Correct, if Z wants to live longer that a few hours after the ink is dry.
Does this assume that Russia would accept Trump’s proposals?
—
Yes, because it will allow Russia to regroup and continue their take over of Europe, help China justify its take over of the 7 dash line islands, Taiwan & the Philippines, while NK begins to eye SK.
Almost 3 years in and 🍈 keeps talking “success”. The Wehrmacht coild of only hoped for such “Russian “ success.
We will see
How many Russians have died since 2/24, nit 🍈 is like the energizer 🐰😎
It’s clear they’re losing control over themselves and their emotions, even criticising the authorities for attempting to blame the damage on “fallen debris.”
Reading this is truly priceless.
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1884531475795603502
IMHO the success of the attacks on ruzzia's petroleum infrastructure will impact the negotiations in Ukraine's favor.
Hopefully, UKF have enough long range drones to completely destroy all of ruzzia's refineries.
The russian refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod region was very successfully attacked by drones.
https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1884456019415212436
where is the russian ADA?
is it a lack of systems or ammunition.
air defense artillery rockets are the hardest to build and keep operational... could it be that russia is running low on ADA systems or ammo?
russia has fired thousands in defense....
ukraine blew up at least 2 storage sites of rockets
many are over 40 years old and may no longer work
russia has sold off much of its older stock over the years
russia used many S300s early in the war for ground to ground fires....
could they be running out?
https://x.com/secretsqrl123/status/1884463044170064004
I would add that the long range SA systems (S-300/S-400) are worthless against the low & slow long range drones.
Also, the short range mobile SA systems are easily saturated.
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