“Ukrainian drones attacked a Lukoil oil refinery”
Going after refineries, and refined products export facilities, rather than crude oil production and crude oil export facilities, is a good call.
It hurts Russian revenues more, has little effect on global oil prices, and will impact price and availability of the products that people need to use within Russia (like gasoline, diesel and heating fuel) more.
Refined products have much higher profit margins than crude, and accounted for the majority of total Russian oil-related profits.
Russia has 44 mega refineries. Those 44 targets have an outsized impact on Russia’s economy and Government revenues.
Allocating surface-to-air assets to defend all of these "targets" is impossible.
It appears that Ukraine target intel is getting real-time information on where the S-400s are located.
Gasoline shortages will surely follow.
Russian people will feel the impact of the war.
I saw reports that Ukraine was warned after the attack on Novorossiysk. Further attacks had the potential to disrupt the oil market. So Ukraine is again forced to defend their country within the limits imposed by third parties whom they depend on for support. So now they attack targets that have few effects outside Russia, like the refineries. Refineries are complex and vulnerable. In the USA, when a refinery is damaged, workers are flown in, and stay onsite for months for repairs. If many refineries are damaged, there might not be enough people with requisite skill to repair them promptly. Western petro companies pulling out has likely already greatly reduced Russia's ability to maintain these plants. Maybe Ukraine should be sending the remaining crews some special treats...
Ultimate Russian Oil & LNG facilities guide.
Place, production ranking, distance, safety.
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