Globalism / Great Reset –
George Soros has been leaning on the Democrat-controlled Federal Communications Commission for months in hopes of fast-tracking his group’s acquisition of over 200 radio stations in over 40 markets — including stations that run shows from Glenn Beck, Mark Levin, Erick Erickson, Sean Hannity, and Dana Loesch.
OBSERVATION - Soros, in cooperation with fellow globalists, is moving to control speech in the US via this radio takeover. The AM market talk shows are largely conservative and would be killed off by Soros managed networks.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
Students at the University of Michigan are rallying for Hezbollah right now. Notice the Hamas triangles on their banner.
This movement went from pro-Hamas, to pro-Iran, and now pro-Hezbollah.
OBSERVATION - No real change except for signage. Pro-terrorism is pro-terrorism under any of the names.
Terrorism - Moderate THREAT as of Sep 2, 2024
Donald Trump has been briefed by US intelligence on threats from Iran to assassinate him, his campaign said.
The Republican presidential candidate was briefed “regarding real and specific threats from Iran to assassinate him in an effort to destabilize and sow chaos in the United States”, the campaign said in a statement.
It did not elaborate on the claims, and it was not immediately clear if the threats it referred to were new or had been previously reported.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd0z2394ey2o
***
(FO) In a filing with the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida, the Department of Justice (DOJ) released a letter the agency alleges was written by Trump assassination suspect Ryan Routh that offered $150,000 to anyone who successfully assassinated Trump.
Former Attorney General Bill Barr said there was no justification for releasing the letter at this stage of the investigation. “To somebody who’s unbalanced, who’s dangerous, [they] could see that [letter] as some kind of call-to-arms,” former Assistant U.S. Attorney and CNN legal analyst Elie Honig said.
OBSERVATION - The release of the letter with the $150K offer for successful assassination of Trump is being questioned as potentially being used to further assassination attempts on him.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The fleet oiler assigned to the Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group was damaged off the coast Oman in the Arabian Sea on Monday, Navy officials confirmed to USNI News.
USNS Big Horn (T-AO-198) was anchored off the coast of Oman after suffering an underwater collision to the stern of the oiler, the official told USNI News. The Navy now plans to use tugs to move the oiler to a nearby port.
“USNS Big Horn (T-AO-198), a replenishment oiler, sustained damage while operating at sea in the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations overnight on Sept. 23. All crew members are currently safe and U.S. 5th Fleet is assessing the situation,” according to a statement from a Navy official provided to USNI News.
There are no reports of injuries or fuel leaks from Big Horn, two Navy officials told USNI News on Tuesday.
OBSERVATION - This leaves the Lincoln CSG without fuel for the auxiliary warships (Lincoln is nuclear powered) or for its aircraft. This is disastrous right at the peak of a very dangerous situation growing in the ME.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
Over the weekend, President Biden had Zelensky flown into the swing state on a U.S. C-17 aircraft so Ukraine’s president could visit an ammunitions plant in Biden’s birthplace of Scranton.
Zelensky’s tour of the plant on Sunday – the same day he trashed Biden’s Republican opponent Donald Trump in an interview published by The New Yorker – drew national media coverage as the two candidates are engaged in a tightly-contested race for president in November’s election.
OBSERVATION - Zelensky is poking his nose into US president politics in a dangerous way. Many see it as election interference by an outside country.
***
Congress is considering drastic steps, including a possible Constitutional Amendment that would allow for the direct appointment of House representatives in the event of mass vacancies.
According to the Constitution, any emerging vacancies in the House must be filled through elections, unlike Senate vacancies which can be filled by appointment. Changes being considered in the proposed constitutional amendment include replace of members quickly and change various lines of succession in a “national crisis.”
OBSERVATION - Continuity of Govt (COG) issues at this stage are interesting. After 9/11, a law was enacted to enable rapid elections if over 100 House seats are vacant—supposedly to keep the government running as smoothly as possible by expediting the process. Some see that these proposed changes can also be used to abruptly remove congress critters in the face of a ‘disaster’ and replaced. Lead by democrats, no doubt there is subterfuge behind the actions.
Illegal Immigration –
Word coming out that more and more small towns in red areas are coming under a flood of imported illegals.
China –
China has said it successfully launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) carrying a dummy warhead into the Pacific Ocean.
The ICMB was launched at 08:44 local time (04:44 GMT) on Wednesday and “fell into expected sea areas”, Beijing’s defense ministry said, adding that the test launch was “routine” and part of its “annual training”.
The type of missile and its flight path remained unclear, but Chinese state media said Beijing had “informed the countries concerned in advance”.
Japan later said that it received “no notice” of the test launch.
China’s nuclear weapon tests usually take place domestically, and it previously test-fired ICBMs west into the Taklamakan Desert in the Xinjiang region.
This is believed to be the first time since 1980 that it launched an ICBM into international waters.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gl843l90zo
OBSERVATION - As noted in the article, this launch was a threat towards Taiwan, Philippines, Japan and their allies as tensions in the Western Pacific continue to increase.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 70s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 4 Kh-59/69 missiles and 28 of 32 Shahed-type drones
It appears that Ukraine is preparing to withdraw from Vuhledar and that it is in the final stages of its defense, which has lasted nearly 3 years.
NOTE - Very little left of Vuhledar but rubble.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
No significant changes. Report are that Russia has also largely ceased its counteroffensive efforts.
Kharkiv Front -
Ukrainian forces have fully cleared Vovchansk Machinery plant from Russian troops. Russian forces generally forced out of Vovchansk.
Outlook —
Kinda a lull in the action. Russian movement on Vuhledar the biggest piece of news, a bloody and costly victory that won’t add much to the overall strategic operations as Russia lacks the forces necessary to exploit.
Does seem Russian artillery reports are down somewhat, could be just a factor of non-reporting or beginning to reflect the impact of the hits on major Russian ammo dumps last week.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hezbollah launches medium range ballistic missile at Tel Aviv
- The IDF announced that it had killed Ibrahim Qabisi (Abu Musa), the head of Hezbollah’s missile and rocket force.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
A week after the pagers attack in Lebanon and Syria and Hamas didn’t even launch one rocket or mortar bomb. Gaza has been largely silent.
This has lead to further rumors that Sinwar might be out of commission or even dead.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF maintaining the uptempo air strikes on Hezbollah rocket/missile launch sites as well as ammo storage areas.
Hezbollah said on Wednesday it launched a rocket targeting Mossad headquarters near Tel Aviv, which it says is responsible for assassinating leaders and blowing up pagers and walkie-talkies. The mid-range ballistic missile was intercepted above Tel Aviv area by Israel’s David’s Sling air defense system - designed to intercept ballistic missiles. David’s Sling system, supplements the defense provided by the Iron Dome, Arrow 2 and Arrow 3.
FYI this is the first time ever a missile from Hezbollah has reached Tel Aviv
Shortly after, the Israeli Air Force struck the launcher from which the missile was fired in the area of Nafakhiyeh, located some 12 miles to the east of Tyre in Lebanon.
***
The IDF announced that it had killed Ibrahim Qabisi (Abu Musa), the head of Hezbollah’s missile and rocket force, in a targeted attack in Beirut’s Dahiyeh district on Tuesday afternoon.
According to the IDF spokesperson, Qabisi was accompanied by other key commanders in Hezbollah’s “Missiles and Rockets Force” at the time of the strike. According to Lebanese news sites, at least six people were reported killed and 15 wounded in the attack that killed Qabisi.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-50/
***
Increasing but unconfirmed reports that Druze and Christians setting up checkpoints in their towns/regions to ensure no Hezbollah terrorists try to hide among them.
SURGE IN PRE GROUND ATTACK INDICATORS
- More calls for Lebanese to flee from border areas.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli raids targeted several sites in the city of Tartus, Syria.
Air defenses were activated to try to intercept Israeli missiles in Damascus.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Reuters, citing 3 sources: Iran mediating secret talks to send Russian anti-ship missiles to Houthis in Yemen
Unconfirmed reports that around 40,000 fighters from Iraq, Yemen, and Syria have reportedly arrived in the Golan Heights area, preparing to confront Israel. The 175th Battalion of the 5th Division of the Syrian Army in the border area with Israel in the Daraa region seems to be the focus of the reported assembling of resistance forces.
During the night 2 drones were intercepted above Syria on their way from Iraq to Israeli territory and one drone from Yemen was intercepted on the way from the Red Sea to Israel.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
(Reuters) - Britain on Tuesday mobilized hundreds of soldiers to Cyprus to help its nationals evacuate following a significant escalation between Israel and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, urging people to leave immediately.
Sheikh Muhammad Ali Al-Husseini the Shia cleric and the Beirut based head of the Islamic Council in the Arab world and in Lebanon in particular, says: “I say to Nasrallah - your era is over in Lebanon and in the whole world and you should know that there is a turning point in the entire Middle East and you no longer have status and turn and your existence is over and take the initiative and hand South Lebanon over to the Lebanese army”
——— FORECAST ————————-
The ballistic missile attack on Tel Aviv is seen by some as an escalation in the fight. However, put it into perspective - a single ballistic missile flying into the teeth of the Arrow / David’s Sling defenses. More of a desperation shot.
IAF continues to hammer targets throughout Lebanon. This portion of the developing war is keeping Hezbollah on their heels and struggling to mount any kind of sustained counter attack effort. Hezbollah thought they would be in the drivers seat, but have found out. Hezbollah rocket launches for a whole day continue to be in the 100-200 range and have been largely ineffective.
Israel taking out Ibrahim Qabisi, has further hurt Hezbollah’s capabilities to coordinate rocket and missile fire.
The reported buildup of ‘resistance’ forces in Syria may well become a growing concern, however, there are challenges to making such a mob into a combat effective force. First is some means of command and control. Who’s going to lead who. Next is equipment. No reports of any heavy equipment like tanks or APCs - only bodies. No substantial logistic support, unless the Syrian Army is going to do that, but that would expose them to Israel’s wrath as well. Leg infantry going into high intensity combat generally do not have a very long life expectancy. But if the numbers are accurate, it will force Israel to redistribute units to effectively deal with this group.
Iran’s president continues to talk peace and passiveness to the world audience. It seems to be pretty clear that Iran doesn’t want to do anything that could endanger its nuclear program or upset the population any more than it has been. This is putting him at odds with the real power — the mullahs with their IRGC forces. Pezeshkian is walking a very fine line here.
Finally, the drop in Hamas activity in Gaza may well indicate Sinwar has been fatally been cornered. The IAF actions have dropped not only because of the Lebanon action, but by lack of Hamas action. Time will tell.
And if Sinwar is gone, what of the group of hostages he reportedly had around him? Not a good thought.
Israel continues to prep for a ground invasion of S Lebanon. Timing is in their court. I don’t think biden et al will have much say in that aspect either as Washington has been cut mostly out of the pre-operational knowledge of many of the Israeli operations. Could be immediate, but my thoughts look towards sometime between October 2, Rosh Hashana and the anniversary of the Hamas massacre on Oct 7.
Iran –
Iranian president says he does not want war with Israel
“We want to live in peace,” Masoud Pezeshkian told reporters in New York City as the U.N. General Assembly gets underway. “We don’t wish to be the cause of instability in the region.”
OBSERVATION - Pezeshkian getting all kinds of heat from the islamists in Iran for these and other statements.
Turkey –
The United States has reportedly delivered a serious proposal to the Turkish Government, stating that if they transfer operational control over their Russian S-400 missile batteries to U.S. Forces stationed at Incirlik Air Base, certain sanctions may be lifted and they will be reconsidered for the F-35 program.
OBSERVATION - Turkey’s weird relationship and roguish behavior in NATO has caused continued friction. Turkey REALLY wants F35s, mostly to be able to threaten Greece as well as project force better in the region. Greece (and probably other NATO nations) and Israel likely will resist any effort to appease Turkey with F35s, so the friction is likely to continue.
Misc of Note –
I’ve mentioned before the OODA loop assessment method - Observation, Orient, Decide, Act - as a key component of family readiness for disasters.
As we’ve come closer to the election day, the Observation component becomes more critical. We’ve seen the riot threats dissipate into nothing, while disruption from imported illegals and associated criminal gangs have increased. There is a great deal of rumblings under the surface of the swamp’s potential efforts to subvert trump from being sworn in if he is able to get past the democrat cheating efforts. These deep swamp efforts have wide spread violence at their heart, but no clear axis of effort at this stage.
High on my radar is the economy and the concern of a crash. Such could impact food supply network with shortages and renewed high inflation. Associated with that is social unrest that an openly declared recession can bring. My efforts are directed at rest of the OODA loop to mitigate these threats. Massive TEOTWAWKI level events at the national and global level will be mitigated to a degree as well, but pending better intel as to how this is going to go off, one has to deal with the known factors at hand.
One thing is for certain, no matter who wins in Nov, the growing storm will still hit in one form or another.
I whole heartedly agree, I hate to say it.
But I see no other outcome. Too many illegals, too many imported enemy combatants, too many brain washed liberal fascists, too much entrenched corruption in the government and judiciary.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4266950/posts
(From the article) : "Leftist billionaire and Democratic mega-donor George Soros has been leaning on the Democrat-controlled Federal Communications Commission for months
in hopes of fast-tracking his group's acquisition of over 200 radio stations in over 40 markets
— including stations that run shows from Glenn Beck, Mark Levin, Erick Erickson, Sean Hannity, and Dana Loesch."
"On Wednesday, the FCC reportedly adopted an order to approve the purchase, meaning that in a matter of days, Soros will likely take control of communications
to over 165 million Americans
with the help of unvetted foreign investors whom Democrats have spared from the FCC's customary national security review process."
Soros is no financial, social influencer dummy – he makes his money on short, and long term, currency fluctuations .
Now, you add in the massive number of uncounted illegal migrants who speak Spanish at home as their first language, and you have a 'two-fer'
(you eliminate conservative talk radio, while addressing the communication needs of a Spanish speakin only community)
“..other critics noted, however, that such a transfer would be problematic as the reorganized company would exceed legally acceptable foreign ownership limits."(Emphasis Mine)
(The article continues..)
That's the 'two-fer”; a two for one golden shot at Conservative radio communications , and increasing Soros influence over the Spanish speaking community.