Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future
Global censorship activity is growing utilizing WEF friendly govts in Europe to extend their reach -
- Leftists in the United Kingdom and Europe are doubling down on censorship, calling for the arrest of X owner Elon Musk and the cancellation of the X social media platform to silence opposing views, former White House and Pentagon official Douglas MacKinnon warned Sunday.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/musk-x-censorship/2024/08/25/id/1177819/
- Telegram CEO, Pavel Durov made a critical mistake when he landed his private jet in his home country, France. He forgot that Emmanuel Macron’s France is pretty much a totalitarian state at this point.
He was arrested for alleged offenses related to his messaging app. Not that he personally committed any of those offenses, mind you, but he allowed 1 billion people in the world to use his app to speak freely without any moderators.
France alleges that the lack of moderators to curb misinformation, along with the app using end-to-end encryption that only the sender and receiver can access, has led to criminals using Telegram for all sorts of diabolical activities, including the transmission of child pornography.
So, the billionaire is accused of being complicit in any crimes planned or committed on his platform.
- The crackdown on free speech continues in the United Kingdom as officials use recent rioting to justify a roundup of citizens who they view as “pushing harmful and hateful beliefs.” The government is ramping up arrests of those with “extremist ideologies” in the latest wave of arrests. The crackdown includes those accused of misogynist views.
https://jonathanturley.org/2024/08/22/the-united-kingdom-unleashes-crackdown-on-free-speech/
OBSERVATION - Even before the creation of the EU, European nations had a love affair with totalitarism. The WEF draws some of its strongest support today from EU et al. Control of the flow of information is essential to global controls - we saw that in play during the wuhan plandemic - to the extent even where people’s lives and careers were ruined only to find out later that they were right all along.
Take careful note of Walz - free speech is what the govt allows you to say.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
***
Merrick Garland issues a warning to Americans telling them to not “interfere” in the certification of the 2024 election.
OBSERVATION - Warning shot to Americans - particularly trump supporters given that nothing was done to the rioters in 2017 when trump was inaugurated.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
There’s strong and growing evidence that the “next” US recession has begun — or will begin soon. Of course, many economists will remain unsure about it, having not forecasted it, or because they refuse to forecast, or because they don’t believe something’s real until it passes them by (perhaps not even then). Similarly tardy will be the National Bureau of Economic Research, but that’s by design, because it assigns “official” dates to the start and finish of each recession and wants to be sure about the final status of oft-revised economic data before it makes its public pronouncements. Such “back-casting” and even “nowcasting” (offered by the New York Fed) are little help to those who prefer foresight and time to adjust before trouble begins. . . . .
No better, more reliable forecaster of the US business cycle has existed in recent decades than the initial shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and since last October it’s been signaling another US recession that’s likely to begin in 2024. This is important, because recessions have been associated with bear markets in stocks and bull markets in bonds. Moreover, if a recession arrives early in 2024 it may affect the US elections in November.
https://www.aier.org/article/a-recession-the-yield-curve-predicted-again/
OBSERVATION - I recommend readers to the link to the article above. Far too much for me to summarize here. The predictive model of yield reversals has a really good track record. If the trend is judged correctly, the latter half of this year may get pretty dicy economically.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has ordered the presence of two aircraft carrier strike groups in the Middle East, the Pentagon said on Sunday, strengthening the U.S. military presence amid soaring regional tensions.
The announcement, made in a summary of a call between Austin and his Israeli counterpart, represents a shift. The Pentagon had initially deployed the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group into the region with a plan to replace the Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Debates ???
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Quibbling over the ABC sponsored debate, trump is inclined to reject, but may be using it as leverage to force harris back into a Fox sponsored one.
Biden / Harris Watch –
The abundance of 0bama handlers and PR gurus are working to conduct a repeat of the hope and changey theme where feelings predominate over hard core examination of policies.
Illegal Immigration –
Venesulanian gangs continue to expand their control of Aurora CO apartment complexes and jacking up crime in the area.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the upper 80s to mid 90s range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
After the USA called all its citizens to leave Ukraine immediately: severe Russian bombings of the city of Kiev with missiles and drones (as well as in other cities), the airport was bombed and people are hiding in the subway stations.
The Russian Armed Forces announced that they had launched a massive strike on critical energy infrastructure facilities in Ukraine. The attack was the most substantial in many months. 11 Tu-95MS took off from their airbases in Russia Kh-101 cruise missiles from the air space over Caspian Sea as well as Mig-31K. Additionally a submarine, 2 frigates and a small missile boat with Kaliber missiles went out of the base to the Black Sea. Tu-22M3 bombers launched heavy supersonic Kh22 missiles. A further mix of surface to surface missiles were fired.
The Russian missile attack again seems to be aimed at energy facilities in Ukraine. Ukrenergo issued an order to introduce emergency power outages.
A massive missile and drone attack on Ukraine has affected 15 regions, according to Prime Minister Shmyhal.
In Kyiv, infrastructure and private homes were damaged. In Lviv, energy facilities were targeted. Industrial and energy infrastructure in Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, Rivne, and Zhytomyr regions were hit, with damage also reported to residential buildings. In Odesa, four people, including a 10-year-old child, were injured.
Currently, there are reports of 4 dead and 19 injured, with casualties in Volyn, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Zhytomyr regions.
“The enemy launched over 100 missiles and around 100 “Shahed” drones in one of the largest combined attacks, targeting critical civilian infrastructure. Unfortunately, there are casualties and significant damage to the energy sector,” Zelenskyi stated.
Ukraine was also busy launching drones to attack targets in Russia. Other than unconfirmed reports of Russia success at shooting them down, little has been heard.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Ground operations are pretty much static with Ukraine executing maneuvers likely to improve their positions for defensive operations.
Some analysts estimate that Russia would need to put together a force of at least 50,000 to effectively dislodge Ukrainian forces in Kursk. Included in this would be the requirement for adequate tanks and armor. Many don’t see this force being organized any time soon given the force requirements for the fight in the Donbas.
Ocheretyne -
Continued Russia pressure resulting in minor gains at a high cost of men and material.
Outlook —
****** Note I posted this yesterday!!! - ******
“Russian launching a campaign of ballistic / cruise missiles and drone is still in the cards, but no apparent timeline for such an attack. It has been a considerable amount of time since the last one.”
That’s what secrets and OPSEC is all about, but the clear observation that NON-activity alerts to is equally critical as to actual activity. This size of an attack was overdue but increasingly likely to damage the power grid with the onset of the change of seasons toward winter.
NOTE - The US embassy did alert Americans to leave the Kyiv area due to an impending Russian missile attack, so in some aspects this attack wasn’t a total surprise.
I don’t think the current blitz is over yet. Russian analysts should be conducting battle damage assessment and lining up a new target set for follow on strike(s) in the coming days.
The intensity of the strike was also evident from the few missile capable ships of the Black Sea Fleet puttering out to launch positions and firing for the first time in a VERY long period. Those vessels probably launched from the outermost periphery of their target envelope to avoid detection and attack from Ukraine drone boats.
Belarus -
Belarus continues to build its amount of troops and equipment on the border of Ukraine. Ukraine says Wagner troops have spotted there too
OBSERVATION - The presence of remnant Wagner elements is concerning as they would likely compose the back bone of command and control of the Belarus forces answerable to Russia and not Minsk. Intensive training by Wagner and Russian forces have taken the rag tag Belarus military a long way towards a more effective fighting force. In Russia’s eyes, though, they would only need to be good enough to bog the Ukraine forces into another meat grinder action, shifting Ukraine assets from the Kursk offensive.
An incursion of Belarus troops into Ukraine may give Poland the justification to cross into Belarus.
Poland –
Polish military sources - We are probably dealing with an object entering Polish territory. It was confirmed by radiolocation by at least three stations - said Major General Maciej Klisz, Operational Commander of the Polish Armed Forces. The incident occurred at 6:43. - The object probably entered Polish space, disappeared after about 25 kilometers (of flight - ed.) on Polish territory - he added
OBSERVATION - Probably a stray Shahed drone.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas reject ceasefire option.
- Conditions between Israel and Hezbollah returning to previous dynamic tension.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Yahya Sinwar, Hamas’s most senior leader, has “dressed as a woman” while hiding among Gaza’s populace during his time outside of the terror group’s tunnel network in the Gaza Strip, the UK’s Daily Express reported on Sunday, citing Israeli intelligence sources.
The New York Times on Sunday, citing American and Israeli officials, reported that Sinwar may have left tunnels in which he had been hiding on a number of occasions over the last year.
Sinwar has reportedly been moving from place to place in the Gaza Strip to stay ahead of Israeli efforts to hunt him down.
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-816344
***
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Sunday that Israel took pre-emptive action against the Iranian-backed Hezbollah movement in Lebanon and that all drones launched against a strategic target in central Israel were intercepted.
He said that the leaders of Hezbollah and Iran should know that the response was “another step towards changing the situation in the north and returning our residents safely to their homes” and that “this is not the end of the story.”
***
Hamas rejects (for the 20th time) Israel’s terms for a ceasefire!
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel continues to strike identified Hamas gatherings and the scattered rocket launch sites.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah is being mocked mercilessly on Arab social media. And the chicken AI memes won’t stop.
NOTE - the chicken memes come from the only reports major damage from the rocket strikes was a chicken coop that was hit.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Hezbollah continues to be humiliated by arab nations. The total failure of their attack should force them to reengineer their plans in a signifiant manner. Nasarallah’s speech yesterday was a complete joke.
Iran still trying to bluster, but is also trying to find ways to back pedal away from their declared retaliatory strike. As I noted yesterday, the intensity of the Israeli strike - based on the incredible level of accurate and time sensitive intel - shows that Israel is likely to launch a similar preemptive strike on Iran. Barring any unforeseen elements, I don’t expect a major missile/drone attack in the near future because of the Hezbollah failure over the weekend.
Another element of delay is the order for two US carrier groups to remain on station in the event of Iranian froggyiness.
For the immediate future, I see Israel resuming the headhunting of Hezbollah leadership and the systematic destruction of their C2 and logistics capabilities in preparation for an eventual ground assault to push Hezbollah back across the Litani river.
Action in Gaza to continue the same - walking Hamas as they come out of their holes with efficient airstrikes and clean up raids on the ground.
Iran –
Iran’s foreign minister again has referenced his country’s planned retaliation over the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
Abbas Araghchi said late Sunday he made the remark in a conversation with Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani by telephone.
“Iran reaction to Israeli terrorist attack in Tehran is definitive, and will be measured & well calculated,” Araghchi wrote on the social platform X. “We do not fear escalation, yet do not seek it — unlike Israel.”
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/israel-hamas-iran/2024/08/26/id/1177863/
OBSERVATON - A lot of backtracking and spin from Iranian mouthpieces after yesterday’s humiliation of Hezbollah at the hands of a vigilant and alert Israel.
Thanks Godzilla
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
***
Censorship - the life blood of tyranny. Now coming home to bite.
In a letter to Jim Jordan , Mark Zuckerberg just admitted three things:
1. Biden-Harris Admin “pressured” Facebook to censor Americans.
2. Facebook censored Americans.
3. Facebook throttled the Hunter Biden laptop story.
OBSERVATION - Zucks is trying to dodge his active agreement with the desired censorship action. How do you ‘pressure’ someone who is actively on your side?
When the govt actively censors your views, we are clearly in a cold war phase of CW2.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) and USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) are both operating in the Gulf of Oman.
https://news.usni.org/2024/08/26/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-aug-26-2024
POLITICAL FRONT –
Debates ???
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Tulsi Gabbard, the former Democratic Representative from Hawaii, has formally endorsed former President Donald Trump for the upcoming 2024 presidential election. She has informally been supporting trump for some time now.
***
The parents of Trump shooter Thomas Crooks have hired a team of powerhouse attorneys as the FBI continues to investigate just how much they knew ahead of their son’s assassination attempt on the former president, DailyMail.com can exclusively reveal.
The idea that someone may have assisted Thomas Crooks was given new credence on Thursday by Florida US Rep. Mike Waltz. In an exclusive interview with DailyMail.com he questioned whether the 20-year-old acted alone.
If the entire story we’ve been told about the final months of Thomas Crooks’ life and his sudden death on a non-slanted rooftop in Butler, Pennsylvania was true, it’s unclear to me why his parents would feel the need to have some powerhouse attorneys on their team. Two possibilities come to mind, one of them potentially practical and the other more fitting of a YouTube documentary.
The practical explanation might be that the parents are worried about the families of the victims bringing wrongful death lawsuits against them and they are taking precautions. . . .
Yet in light of these new revelations about “lawyering up,” some of the details we were previously given are making less and less sense. Thomas Crooks was an adult at age 20 in a state where anyone could legally own and use a rifle at 18. He was a member of a local shooting range where he practiced frequently. So why, on the day of the shooting, would his father call the police and report not only his son, but one of his rifles missing? I asked myself this question initially but was persuaded to put the idea aside. Now I’m not so sure. That sounds like someone who knew that “something wicked this way comes” and was establishing an alibi for later.
https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2024/08/26/trump-shooters-father-hires-high-powered-attorney-n3793683
OBSERVATION - Still far too many questions than there are answers. IMHO Occam’s Razor points to him having help.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris is still pushing for changes that she had previously agreed to. Effort to prod trump into declining the debate for political hype?
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of Aug 1, 2024
A cyberattack at the Port of Seattle and Seattle-Tacoma International Airport over the weekend is another example of hackers increasingly targeting critical infrastructure.
Details are not yet available about the nature of the attack in Seattle this weekend, and whether there was any data breach.
The outage, which is still ongoing, did not impact flights or security checkpoints. But it did cause delays to baggage services and many screens inside the terminal showing flight information weren’t working.
Illegal Immigration –
A federal judge in Texas has issued an order temporarily halting a new immigration programme from the Biden White House that officials say could protect hundreds of thousands of undocumented spouses of US citizens from deportation.
The 14-day stay issued on Monday comes in response to a lawsuit from 16 Republican-led states that sued the Biden administration over the programme.
The “Keeping Families Together” programme, which took effect last week, would apply to those who have been in the country for at least 10 years and allow them to work in the US legally.
Polls show that the immigration is a primary concern for many voters ahead of November’s presidential election.
When the White House announced the new programme in June, officials said that more than 500,000 spouses would be eligible.
They said the policy will also benefit 50,000 people under 21 whose parent is married to an American citizen.
Judge J Campbell Barker’s order on Monday puts the plan on hold for two weeks as the court considers the case, but has the option to be extended.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxleplk81wo
OBSERVATION - Another back door means the regime is attempting to plant illegals into the country permanently .
North/South Korea –
North Korea has launched a new kamikaze drone today. Will it soon be used by Russia in Ukraine and by IRGC proxies in the Middle East?
Some observers are noting that it is very much like a reverse technology of the Israeli “Harop” drone, which was downed in Lebanon in the past.
Japan –
Japan has accused a Chinese spy plane of breaching its airspace, in what would be the first known instance of such a direct violation.
Japan scrambled fighter jets after a Y-9 surveillance plane “violated the territorial airspace” of Danjo Islands for about two minutes at 11:29 local time Monday (02:29 GMT).
Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary called the breach “utterly unacceptable” and summoned a Chinese embassy official in Tokyo in protest.
The incident comes as tensions rise in the region, where China competes for influence against the US and its allies, including Japan.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cr40dpz1rkwo
OBSERVATION - China’s aggression in the S China Sea region is not limited to Taiwan or the Philippines, but extends to Japan and other nations as well.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the upper 80s to mid 90s range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Not available for yesterdays missile strike, Ukraine reported that air defense shot down 102 of 127 missiles of different types and 99 of 109 Shahed drones.
Overnights numbers are almost equally high.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 5 of 5 Kh-101 missiles,
60 of 81 Shahed drones, 10 more lost - possible crashed, other still airborne.
Russia has also launched 3 Kinzhal missiles, 1 Iskander-M, 1 Iskander-K
Russian forces are claiming advances northeast of Kharkiv City, north of Chasiv Yar, southeast of Pokrovsk, and west of Donetsk City.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
During the operation in the Kursk region, Ukraine Defense Forces captured 594 Russian soldiers as POWs, as for now Ukraine controls 1294 square kms territories in the Kursk region, 100 settlements. Progress continues, - commander-in-chief Syrsky.
Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations within their salient in Kursk Oblast on August 26, but neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces made any significant confirmed or claimed advances.
Vyazovoye village of Krasnaya Yaruga district of Belgorod region declared closed zone.
Governor of Belgorod region commenting on clashes at the border, particularly at Nekhoteevka border crossing says situation is difficult, but controlled by Russian military, planned works by Russian troops
Outlook —
Second night of Russia’s missile/drone campaign against Ukraine shows a marked decline in numbers but still very significant. Observers are noting that Russia doesn’t have the production capability to sustain this level of attack for many more days - hence the big gap since the last major missile assault needed to stockpile for this round. Ukraine may well see another couple days/nights of these attacks, but it appears that they are waning.
On the flip side, Ukraine is rapidly developing more lethal deep strike weapons systems. Deeper Russian targets may no longer be safe.
Ground combat remains pretty much status quo. Monitoring reports of fighting on the Russian border of Belgorod - likely reconnaissance efforts probing for more weakness - or actions to keep Russian’s on their toes and divert forces away from Kursk.
Belarus -
At least 6 kamikaze drones of the Shahed type flew into the territory of Belarus from Ukraine last night. According to “eRadarrua” Telegram channel, Shahed drones flew into the airspace of Belarus from Chernihiv and Kyiv regions of Ukraine.
Belarus forces still mustarding on the border with Ukraine. Again, presence of Wagner elements suggest these are better trained than most of the rest of the Belarus Army.
Poland –
Unconfirmed report of a Shahed drone penetration Polish airspace.
ISRAEL –
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army confirms carrying out a drone strike in Nur Shams a short while ago. According to the Israeli army, the target of the strike was a command room belonging to local terror operatives.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Direct elimination of a Hamas terrorist in Lebanon - a vehicle was attacked in Sidon. The target was a Senior Hamas figure, Omar Khalilhal.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Activity has maintained a more ‘regular’ pre-Hezbollah preemptive attack level. Hezbollah is back to having their command and logistics systematically taken away while their retaliatory attacks are relatively ineffective.
Gaza getting hit by artillery and air strikes on identified hamas concentrations/regrouping.
Iran contemplating the risks of launching its promised strike on Israel. What they have to consider is -
- the ineffectiveness of the April attack
- the effectiveness of the Israeli retaliatory strike (and the message it sent)
- The decisive slapping down of Hezbollah’s retaliatory attack - preemptive
- Israeli strike on Houthi port and oil facilities (and equally soft targets in Iran)
- The presence of two US carrier groups and lots of other fighter deployed the region.
Not many rays of sunshine for the mullahs.