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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Under the guise of ‘digital security’, the WEF along with other associated bedfellows has put out a paper to “address harmful content” and makes sure online age verification (“age assurance”) is enforced, while OFCOM states its mission to be establishing “online safety.”

https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Making_a_Difference_2024.pdf

This is one of many parallel efforts to nudge the world into digital ID and in particular biometric IDs. One of the apparent goals of this paper is to push for efforts to “moderating illegal or harmful content or conduct, “ i.e. censorship of opposing views under the guise of misinformation or ‘hate’ speech.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
JUN 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

(FO) Palestine Action activists are organizing a protest outside the CNN building in Atlanta, Georgia, ahead of Thursday night’s presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

Organizers are encouraging activists to “converge on Atlanta to end the U.S. war machine.”

Another post reads “Stop The Debate!” and “There Can Be No Election” because both Biden and Trump are pro-war, according to the post.

The protesters are scheduled to meet at Home Park at 8pm Eastern before “marching on the debate”.

OBSERVATION - The size of the response to this call to action will be telling and a harbinger of things to come for each party’s national conventions. The debate is a closed venue - no audience - so watching for any attempt to breach the doors and get to the studio hosting the debate will be critical to watch for as well.


Economy-

According to the latest Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts, cattle markets continue to tighten as feedlot inventory is about 1% lower than last year, and net feedlot placements for April were down 6% over the past year.

In a separate report, meatpackers in the northern U.S. are increasing bid prices due to tight beef supplies. Analysts say those bids will likely head higher, leading to higher consumer costs. USDA reports that overall conditions continue pointing toward declining beef supplies.

OBSERVATION - The wuhan chaos, combined with herd reductions from the drought a couple years ago are still troubling cattle supplies. Ranchers are trying to restore herds and this by necessity means reducing the numbers of cattle available for the meat market. Even here in cattle country, beef has become a luxury item. Govt pressures to reduce meat consumption in general - so save the planet from global warming - are not helping matters either.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

A previously censored paper from The Lancet has now undergone peer review and is available online.

The study, titled “A Systematic Review of Autopsy Findings in Deaths After COVID-19 Vaccination,” analyzed 325 autopsy cases and found that a staggering 73.9% of deaths were either directly due to or significantly contributed to by the COVID-19 vaccination.

The paper’s lead author, Dr. Nicolas Hulscher, faced significant opposition in bringing these findings to light. After initially being downloaded over 100,000 times, The Lancet removed the paper within 24 hours, according to Dr. William Makis.

According to The Daily Sceptic, the reason given at the time was, “This preprint has been removed by Preprints with the Lancet because the study’s conclusions are not supported by the study methodology.”

Results
We initially identified 678 studies and, after screening for our inclusion criteria, included 44 papers that contained 325 autopsy cases and one necropsy case. The mean age of death was 70.4 years.

The most implicated organ system among cases was the cardiovascular (49%), followed by hematological (17%), respiratory (11%), and multiple organ systems (7%). Three or more organ systems were affected in 21 cases.

The mean time from vaccination to death was 14.3 days. Most deaths occurred within a week from last vaccine administration.

A total of 240 deaths (73.9%) were independently adjudicated as directly due to or significantly contributed to by COVID-19 vaccination, of which the primary causes of death include sudden cardiac death (35%), pulmonary embolism (12.5%), myocardial infarction (12%), VITT (7.9%), myocarditis (7.1%), multisystem inflammatory syndrome (4.6%), and cerebral hemorrhage (3.8%).

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/06/lancet-journal-study-finds-73-9-deaths-following/

OBSERVATION - More fuel to the fire, as linkage of deaths to the jab have been at the forefront of many studies over the past year - pushing past the censors. But you probably not see this on any MSM news outlet.
BTW, evidence is coming out that the VAERS COVID Vaccine Adverse Event Reports database is being skewed to reflect fewer wuhan jab related deaths.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Jun 27 - first debate

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***

In an uncommon move, the Supreme Court has just opted to extent their current term into July. The reason for this is so that SCOTUS can wrap up work on around a dozen important cases — including President Trump’s immunity case and major rulings on federal agency power, abortion, social media censorship, gun rights, and J6.

***
According to the survey by Rasmussen Reports, Trump leads a national contest with 50 percent of the vote compared to Newsom‘s 38 percent. Additionally, the California governor only registers a 35 percent approval rating—with 45 percent of respondents saying they hold an unfavorable view of Newsom. Former President Trump leads the California Democrat across several key voter demographics, capturing 44 percent of female voters to Newsom’s 43 percent. Additionally, Trump leads with 56 percent of male voters, with Newsom at just 33 percent. Among Hispanics, Trump leads with 53 percent of the vote to Newsom’s 30 percent.

https://thenationalpulse.com/2024/06/24/data-trump-annihilates-gavin-newsom-in-hypothetical-2024-match-up/

OBSERVATION - This poll is interesting in that Newscum continues to bubble to the top of the list as potential replacements for biden. The gross mismanagement of kalifornia under his leadership clings to his used car salesman personna in the eyes of the public. However, caution must me maintained when looking at these polls, but as a starter, Rasmussen in general is a little more middle of the road than others.


Illegal Immigration –

Recent rapes and murders by illegals are becoming more and more headline materials in local news papers and sources. Most of the perps have been deported multiple times or allowed unsupervised access into the country by DHS. The growth in visible crime (i.e. reported crimes by illegals) is seriously undercutting DHS and biden efforts to down play the border crisis they created.


China –

China’s lunar probe landed back on Earth, after a nearly two-month long mission.

The Chang’e-6 landed in the Inner Mongolia desert on Tuesday, carrying the first ever samples from the Moon’s unexplored far side.
China is the only country to have landed on the far side of the Moon, having done so before in 2019.

Scientists are eagerly awaiting as the samples could answer key questions about how planets are formed.

OBSERVATION - China has come a long way in its space program. Just to land an object on the moon is a significant challenge in itself, let along return to earth with moon samples. In terms of that accomplishment alone, one has to hold very serious the Chinese ICBM threat against the US and rest of the world.


Phillipines –

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. announced that he would not activate the Mutual Defense Treaty with the United States over the 17 June incident. After much public backlash, Marcos delivered a speech declaring, “Our calm and peaceful disposition should not be mistaken for acquiescence.”

OBSERVATION - China is pushing a red line here and the Philippines may soon call for help in escorting supplies to its recognized territories in the S China Sea.


Russia -

Russian sources claim the shoot down of a US Global Hawk surveillance drone that has been monitoring Crimea since the beginning of the Ukraine war . A U.S. military official says no incident has been reported over the Black Sea.

Other rumors that Russia is planning on instituting a “no fly” zone over much of the Black Sea. Russia is claiming the US drone provide real time targeting data to Ukraine during the missile strike over the weekend. Evidence shows debris from Russian ADA missiles impacted Russian beach crowds, killing and injuring a couple dozen vacationers.

***
One of Russia’s main defense electronics producers and research centers, NII Platan near Moscow, caught on fire, with staff trapped inside. According to Platan’s archived website, its components are used in all Russian fighter jets, nuclear launch munitions, S-400 air defenses and various guided munitions.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70 - 80s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

During the night, air defense systems shot down 30 drones over Russia, the Russian Ministry of Defense reports. 29 drones were intercepted over the territory of the Belgorod region, another one - over the Voronezh region.

Emergency situation declared in Olkhovatka district of Voronezh region due to “detonations of explosive objects” as result of a drone attack. Ukrainian Military Intelligence claims drone attack at the field ammunition depot in Olkhovatka district of Voronezh region

Russia pressing ground attacks all along the front from Soledar northward. No significant gains reported.

Ukraine has claimed to have hit over 30 oil refining and related facilities in recent months. Now they have announced a modification to their Neptune surface to surface missile that extends the range to 1000 Km - enough to reach Moscow.

Outlook —

Russian threats towards the US likely will be focused on the US recon drones operating in the international waters of the Black Sea. Unarmed and unmanned, these drones would be an easy target for Russian fighters to shoot down with relatively no opposition. Earlier this year, manned SIGNINT planes from NATO nations were escorted by fighter jets, but drones like the Global Hawk operate at very high altitudes, making such fighter escorts problematical, pulse the long linger periods.

I fully expect Russia to make an attempt (likely successful) on FORTE10 (Call sign for the Global Hawk on station south of Crimea) in realization for the deaths from Russian interceptors in Crimea. Such an action is likely to provoke further pushback by NATO elements.

The Russia ground offensive will continue, but with ever decreasing effectiveness and greater reliance on “meat” assaults - especially since it is becoming apparent that APCs are in increasingly short supply and Ukraine defenses, bolstered by resupply, are back to their early deadly efficiency. With the freer use of US ATACMS, Ukraine is successfully targeting staging areas for operational reserve forces and assembly areas of new troops. Add to it the increased targeting of logistical and ammunition sites once thought by Russians to be ‘safe’ in Russia territory, the ability of the Russian war machine to effectively continue the high tempo of the ground offensive.

Ukraine OTOH, is suffering from attrition of forces from the Russian offensive on top of those from last summer’s offensive. Ukraine has been able to restore effective defensive elements, but are short handed in putting together the forces necessary for any sizable offensive in the coming months. They ave the capability to launch limited counter offensives in key regions, most prominently Kharkiv region, but lack the numbers to effectively take back ground lost in the recent Russian action.


Moldova/Transnistria -

Moldova and the EU are progressing towards Moldova entering the union. This will press Russian controlled Transnistria and increase tensions.


Belarus -

Recent military activity reflects preparation for military parades in the country. Nothing offensive in nature currently on the front burners.


Poland –

Buried by other news, Russian/Belarus efforts to channel middle eastern migrants into Poland by forcing border defenses has increased recently in tempo. Currently, Polish border fences/defenses are holding, but grown groups of middle eastern men are growing on the Belarus side. Recent attempts have almost resulted in Poland resorting to lethal methods to deter the migrants.


Europe / NATO General –

Romania to host the largest NATO airbase in Europe. Its placement is a direct in your face to putin and Russia.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- UNRWA being sued for 1 Billion dollars.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***

UNRWA is being sued for a billion dollars for its support to Hamas as well as its employees activity participating with Hamas.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

IAF conducted air strikes throughout most of Gaza overnight.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

A tour of Beirut airport for journalists and ambassadors arranged by Hezbollah-affiliated transport minister— said would prove that the terror group is not storing weapons on site— stopped as reporters banned from entering the main cargo area.

***
The Israeli army confirms it struck infrastructure belonging to Hezbollah’s Aerial Defense Array in the Baalbek area.

***
U.S. reportedly issues indirect warning to Hezbollah discouraging action against Israel.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

The Hamas leadership is considering relocating from Qatar, where it is currently residing, to Iraq, according to a report in The National in Monday.

The Iraqi government approved the move last month, a senior Iraqi MP disclosed in the report. Iran will allegedly assume responsibility for protecting Hamas’s leaders, offices, and personnel in Baghdad. However, according to a Ynet report, Hamas dismissed these claims, stating, “There is no truth in the reports suggesting Hamas is planning to leave Qatar and move to Iraq.”

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-807557

OBSERVATION - Qatar has been feeling the pressure over hosting the three big leaders of Hamas - all three are billionaires living the life of luxury. Hamas has repeatedly rejected Qatar’s calls for more flexibility in negotiations and a couple months ago indicated that Hamas my no longer be welcome in the country. While protected from direct Israeli attacks in Qatar, move to Bagdad will expose them to far more danger as Israel has hit targets in the country (as has the US).

——— FORECAST ————————-

Uptempo activity in Gaza is expected to continue. Most likely due to the desire to take out as much Hamas as possible to render it relatively ineffective and non-threatening to Israel so it can focus on operations against Hezbollah.

Again, the fight against Hezbollah will be different that against Hamas/Gaza, as S Lebanon is more open terrain, resulting in more ‘conventional ‘ military operations. Continued warnings of involvement by Iran and islamists rushing to Hezbollah’s aid - especially if Israel places them on the ropes. I’m sure some from Iran/Iraq/Syria will attempt the move in support, but at this stage I don’t see a massive reinforcement effort.

Hezbollah / iranian preparations for a war with Israel continues to be complicated by the loss of senior leadership. This also reflects downward the chain of command as lower level officers are also being taken out by daily Israeli strikes.

Time frame of a Hezbollah war by observers continues to be at the earliest August to Sept time frame. Only wild card is if Hezbollah attempts a spoiling attack, forcing the war to begin earlier.

Watching too the deployment of US naval assets to the eastern Med region. They may interject as they did with the Iranian missile attack in the interception of some of the drones and rockets expected to be launched by Hezbollah as well as providing a defensive layer against any attacks on Cyprus. Any direct attacks on Hezbollah ground forces is unlikely unless assets target US vessels. Watching the force buildup in the region.

Besides engagement of US naval assets in the Med, the greatest threat continues to be a potential Iranian effort to close off the Straits of Hormuz - an action made more serious due the gross depletion of the Strategic Oil Reserve by Biden. The oil card is currently the highest card Iran holds, barring sudden revelation of the creation of a nuclear weapon.


Black Swans -

Old sunspot AR3664, which caused the May 10th superstorm, has returned. This is its 3rd trip across the solar disk. Per tradition, it has been re-numbered 3 times: Originally AR3664, then AR3697, now AR3723. X-flares are possible as it once again turns to face Earth.

https://spaceweather.com/

OBSERVATION - Monitoring because it is interesting. The prolonged center of activity this sunspot cluster has maintained is a little unusual as too its continued capability to produce X class solar flares. The May 10th solar storm was one for the books in how spectacular the aurora was, but did very little to impact the power grid. The grid did feel the effects though.

The scale of events to look for are flares in the X class 15 and higher, which are essentially an order(s) of magnitude larger than May 10th. Those definitely have potential to mess with the power grid.

And please note - the resultant “EMP” from these flares is of a different nature than those expected from an exoatmospheric nuclear blast. Solar flares affect long wave / large scale features, like those collected along power and rail road lines. Nuclear EMPs are a shorter wave (so to speak) and cold impact electronics directly with minimal antenna collection and associated application of power.


602 posted on 06/25/2024 7:35:45 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
Recent attempts have almost resulted in Poland resorting to lethal methods to deter the migrants.

Good that someone knows how to deal with the issue .

603 posted on 06/25/2024 11:17:24 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus…)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.

U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy formally declared gun violence a public health crisis on Tuesday.
He also called for a ban on assault weapons and civilian use of large-capacity magazines …
Medical organizations publicly supported his declaration in the press release, including the American Medical Association, American Academy of Pediatrics, American Public Health Association, American College of Surgeons, and the YWCA.

https://notthebee.com/article/us-surgeon-general-declares-gun-violence-a-public-health-crisis

OBSERVATION-
Essentially, he is calling for-
- Firearm Carry Bans
- Gun Confiscation Laws
- “Assault Weapons” Bans
- Magazine Capacity Limits
- Storage Requirements
- Gun Registration Checks

His ‘advise’ does not carry the weight of law, so his proclamations are at this stage only words. They do set the stage for another avenue that gun grabbers will utilize as they prepare legislation and regulations to accomplish the goals of this declaration. On the worst end of things, the far rumored declaration of another health emergency by the regime a la the wuhan pandemic kind could try to force the issue.
NOTE - On a globalist side, the effort to switch the debate over guns into a ‘health’ arena is one the WHO is attempting to weave into their so far failed attempts to modify the global pandemic treaty.

***
In response to Sunday’s violent clash between anti-Semitic protesters and Israel supporters at a local synagogue, Los Angeles mayor Karen Bass (D.) announced she is considering a mask ban during protests within the city.

Speaking to the public on Monday, Bass said the city was examining several issues related to public protests, including “the idea of people wearing masks at protests.” Many of the anti-Semitic protesters on Sunday were wearing headdresses and masks, obscuring their identity from police. Pro-Palestine protesters blocked the entrance to the Adas Torah synagogue and beat, wrestled, kicked, and bear-sprayed those trying to defend the house of worship.

https://freebeacon.com/latest-news/la-mayor-floats-mask-bans-at-protests-in-response-to-anti-semitic-synagogue-violence/

OBSERVATION - These pro-Hamas and leftist demonstrators rely on keeping their identity secret to avoid arrest at a later time as well as to permit them to hold jobs and social status that would be threatened with unmasking. Antifa has been masking long before the wuhan plandemic, but the plandemic provides ‘cover’ for the use of masks by other participants - under the guise of health protections.

At one of the university protests, those arrested were de-masked and pubic photos were released. If this became more of an aggressive policy - unmasking the perps - I would suspect that leftist participation may drop considerably.


Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024
Threat status upgrade due to increasing evidence that the economy may have or has already reached a tipping point towards a more clearly defined recession, at a minimum.

****

Consumer confidence in June dropped as people expressed growing pessimism about the short-term prospects for the economy.

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 100.4 in June, down from 101.3 the month before, the group announced on Tuesday. That is another warning signal for President Joe Biden, who has been trying to shore up support for his handling of the economy.

The index that gauges consumers’ assessment of the labor market and business conditions increased from last month, although the headline number was dragged down by the Expectations Index, which is based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions.

That index fell to 73 in June, down from 74.5 in May. If the index is below 80, it typically signals a recession ahead, according to the Conference Board. It has been in recession warning territory for some five months.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/finance-and-economy/3057999/consumer-confidence-dips-june-economic-unease/

OBSERVATION - Key indicators like this continue to flash red warning lights in regards to the probability of a recession in the very near future. As noted, the indicator has been in the red zone for 5 months now.

***
U.S. auto sales through the first half of the year are expected to be up by 2.9% compared to a year ago, but there are concerns that the auto industry may not be able to continue that momentum through year-end.

Vehicle inventory levels are growing, incentives are increasing and there’s growing uncertainty surrounding the economy, interest rates and U.S. presidential election, according to Cox Automotive.

The auto data and research firm expects sales growth to slow in the next six months to 15.7 million units, roughly a 1.3% increase from 2023. And, unlike in recent years, growth is coming from commercial sales rather than more profitable consumer sales.

“Overall, we’re expecting some weakness in the coming few months,” said Cox chief economist Jonathan Smoke during a midyear review briefing Tuesday. “We basically are making some assumptions that we can’t quite hold the pace that we’ve been seeing. But we’re not expecting a collapse either.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/25/us-auto-sales-are-expected-to-slow-during-the-second-half-of-2024.html

OBSERVATION - Economic weakness in that the consumer cannot afford the prices and the interest rates. Article notes that this may work to the advantage of some consumers who have access to the credit necessary to purchase later this year as prices are expected to drop as dealers attempt to offload excess inventory.

***
Due to inflation eating away at earnings and less supply of affordable housing, the majority of Americans today cannot afford median rent prices, according to a new report by the real estate company Redfin.

The analysis comes as other reports indicate that both homeowners and renters are struggling with high housing costs due to inflationary pressures, an inflated housing market, low supply and demand for affordable housing.

“Just 39% of renters make enough to afford the median-priced apartment,” the report states, with renters needing $11,000 more to afford a typical apartment in major U.S. cities.

“The typical U.S. renter household earns an estimated $54,712 per year. That’s 17.3% less – or $11,408 in dollar terms – than the $66,120 a renter must earn to afford monthly rent for the median-priced U.S. apartment ($1,653),” according to the analysis.

https://justthenews.com/nation/states/center-square/report-61-renters-cant-afford-median-apartment-rate-us

OBSERVATION - In spite of all the spit shine the regime has tried to place on the economy, down to earth reality continues to bite their narrative. Overall cost of living is hurting Americans and biden’s policies are only making it worse.

***
Some Wall Street banks, worried that landlords of vacant and struggling office buildings won’t be able to pay off their mortgages, have begun offloading their portfolios of commercial real estate loans hoping to cut their losses.

It’s an early but telling sign of the broader distress brewing in the commercial real estate market, which is hurting from the twin punches of high interest rates, which make it harder to refinance loans, and low occupancy rates for office buildings — an outcome of the pandemic.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group (CSG) will depart Busan on Wednesday to take part in the inaugural U.S.-South Korea-Japan multi-domain exercise Freedom Edge said Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on Tuesday during a visit of carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71).

Meanwhile, the U.S. Marine Corps and Japan Ground Self Defense Force have announced that they will carry out joint drills around Japan’s southwest islands that will begin on Friday while People’s Liberation Army Navy Dongdiao class surveillance ships and a Chinese unmanned aerial vehicle have been sighted operating around Japan.

On Tuesday, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol visited carrier Theodore Roosevelt while it was docked in Busan, South Korea and made a speech to the crew.

“Tomorrow, the Roosevelt departs to participate in Freedom Edge, the first-ever trilateral multi-domain military exercise between the United States, South Korea, Japan, and South Korea,”, said Yoon according to a release. “Our shared liberal democratic values, along with our alliance, will serve as another powerful deterrent.”

https://news.usni.org/2024/06/25/uss-theodore-roosevelt-to-depart-busan-on-wednesday-for-freedom-edge-exercise-say-officials


POLITICAL FRONT –

Jun 27 - first debate
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***

The squad took a big hit last night with Bowman being primaries out of his house seat. Other members of the squad are facing similar removal at their primaries.


Biden / Harris Watch –

MSM is already attempting to down grade expectations for biden in the upcoming debate, in essence indicating that just showing up would be a victory.


Illegal Immigration –

The Biden administration is closing the nation’s largest ICE detention center — despite some 7.4 million migrants remaining free in the US while awaiting court hearings or deportation.

The South Texas Family Residential Center, in Dilley, Texas — about 75 miles southwest of San Antonio — is capable of holding 2,400 migrants.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) said it will replace the facility with 1,600 new beds at other centers in the region.

Former Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) field office director John Fabbricatore told The Post that the decision shows not just a “lapse in judgment, but a deliberate act of amnesty through inaction.”

https://nypost.com/2024/06/24/us-news/biden-admin-is-closing-the-largest-ice-detention-center-in-us/

OBSERVATION - Of course this is a deliberate act.


Russia -

Russia called in the US ambassador to lodge complaints and protests over that Ukrainian attack using US ATACMS missiles that ended up causing casualties to Russian vacationers on a beach adjacent to an active Russian military airbase in the middle of a war zone.

Additional photographs of missile debris from the beach area continue to be identified as belonging to Russian ADA missiles, not ATACMS.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70 - 80s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Russia continues to press its attacks along most of the eastern front, no significant gains of territory reported. Attacks are part of the ongoing offensive now being dubbed the “Summer Offensive”.

Unconfirmed reports that Russian forces in the Chasiv Yar front are largely depleted and are relying more and more on meat attacks that are including the walking wounded from previous fighting.

Ukrainian forces are reportedly close to regaining the town of Vovchansk north of Kharkiv. Vovchansk was one of the major objectives who’s capture was ordered by putin.

Outlook —

Continued hard fighting on the ground with no evidence of any potential Russian break throughs imminent. Although being dubbed the “summer” offensive, there is no evidence of new, uncommitted forces being brought into the fight. Russia was able to coordinate the attacks of many elements early in the ‘spring’ offensive phase, encircling and bypassing Ukraine forces to gain ground. Now it appears that they have resumed the mindless ‘meat’ attacks and have gone back to ignoring maneuver . More and more, Russian attacks have company and smaller sized units attempting to rush across open areas to get to their objective - only to be decimated by mines, drones and artillery. These speed attacks are increasingly having to use unarmored vehicles due to the heavy losses of armor, making the losses even higher.

This combined with a renewed ability of Ukraine to strike major assembly, command and logistics centers once unobtainable for them is beginning to take its toll. This tactic is at its peak against Russian forces in Crimea. Air defense units and Russian airbases continue to be under severe pressure. Between available ATACMS and its modified Neptune missile, the Kerch Strait Bridge is now very vulnerable, and it is only a matter of time before another attempt to take it out - permanently - is attempted.


Europe / NATO General –

Macron has warned the public that “civil war” awaits France if they fail to vote for his brand of centrist neo-liberalism in the upcoming legislative elections.

The embattled French leader, who’s party is trailing in third place in the snap elections he called, said that the “response of the extreme right” to France’s current problems would lead to insecurity “because it refers people to a religion or an origin, that is what divides them and pushes them towards civil war,” Le Figaro reports.

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2024/06/25/macron-warns-of-civil-war-in-france-if-public-votes-for-populists/

OBSERVATION - If Macron loses power, the implications of that will reverberate throughout Europe. Many, if not most, are fed up with the invasion of ‘migrants’ from Africa and the middle east and the associated increase in crime and social tensions.


ISRAEL –

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***

Hamas’s political office denies that Hamas is planning to move its headquarters from Qatar to Baghdad

Gantz: We have the ability to darken Lebanon and degrade a large part of Hezbollah’s capabilities within days.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Violent clashes between the Hamas and the Israeli army in the Tal Al-Sultan neighborhood, west of Rafah.

Extensive air and artillery strikes in central and northern Gaza.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Extensive Israeli security activity throughout the West Bank region, dozens of arrests.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Continued up tempo operations in the Rafah area as well as air/artillery strikes through the rest of Gaza.

Gantz’s comments about secret weapons and the ability to blackout large portions of Lebanon has cause some to express the question as to does Israel possess a non-nuclear EMP weapon of some kind. The US has experimented with such a weapon for well over a decade now, a device that can generate a high powered EMP pulse over a limited target area.

Success with any kind of a weapon will depend heavily on the vulnerability of targeted systems to such a pulse. Impoverished, the state of Lebanon may not have hardened communications systems - that costs money - that Hezbollah likely piggy backs off of. Destruction of the electronic devices that operate that system could seriously hamper Hezbollah’s command and control in the early stages of any war.
It is also unknown how susceptible Hezbollah electronic systems would be. One target would be the remote launching of rockets. Fry the brains of their newer rockets, preventing the ability to target. Again, comms being fried, leaving hezbollah struggling to coordinate their actions against an Israeli onslaught.

In short, Hezbollah /Iran likely haven’t thought about hardening their systems because they didn’t believe an EMP threat to be a realistic planning consideration.

Now the other side of the coin - is this a bluff by Israel?


Syria -

A MQ-9 Reaper UAV of the U.S. coalition came dangerously close to the Su-34 of the Russian Aerospace Forces in Syria, - Deputy Head of the Russian Center for the Reconciliation of Warring Parties, Major General Yuri Popov

OBSERVATION - Russia beginning to play the games with our drones. Russia has the history of flying dangerously around US and allied aircraft and to say a drone out maneuvered a manned SU-34 is ludicrous.



604 posted on 06/26/2024 6:36:13 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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