Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
With all bouncing around the world, movement towards the approval of the WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ is flying below the radar. Final meeting is scheduled for the latter part of the month.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
The threat of a Trump assassination has reared its head by one of the lefts talking heads. Former White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki fantasized about Trump dying before the 2024 election on a Tuesday morning appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” Psaki fantasized about all the ways Trump can be eliminated this election season.
“Maybe Donald Trump will go away. Maybe he’ll go to jail. Maybe he will die…..”
OBSERVATION - She is not the first to voice such a desire for the death of Trump. These revelations of the desire to kill Trump illuminate the deep, dark pit of current leftist thinking and many see such statements as potentially conditioning the masses for such an attempt. As questionable at this stage of the election cycle some of these polls are - it seems the left is taking them very seriously and even beginning to fear a blowout of monumental proportions. This will drive further radical actions to get Trump out of the race, especially as the law fare efforts are falling apart.
One thing that will trigger a violent response from the center-right is an assassination.
***
There are stll a few campus protest tent villages holding out at liberal colleges.
***
Antifa / pro-hamas are calling for emergency protests to stop the Israeli operations in Rafah.
Antifa elements in Black bloc showed up to disrupt various presentations / meetings, such as one by Charlie Kirk at UW.
One thing clearly noted is the improvement in personal body armor by the black bloc elements. More tactical (military ) helmets, full face masks, light weight body armor (mostly non bullet proof), improved foot wear, a tactical gloves, etc. In a hand to hand situation they appear to be ready. One important thing to remember is that part of their tactical ‘doctrine’ would include armed elements further back that could in essence provide overwatch fire if necessary. The display of these better equipped forces raise red flags for predicted violence later this summer.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Israeli operation in Rafah increases the potential for sympathetic, lone wolf attacks here and globally.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Judge Cannon has indefinitely postponed the classified document case against President Trump following revelations and admission by the prosecutor that the govt tampered with evidence.
Bragg’s case against trump is imploding as well as prosecutors dismantled their own case via their own witnesses.
Biden / Harris Watch –
According to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll, black voters’ desire to vote in the 2024 general election has fallen off since 2020, which could be worrisome for President Joe Biden.
The poll found that 62% of black voters said they were “absolutely certain to vote,” which is down from 74% who said they were certain to vote in June 2020. The Biden campaign recently announced it would spend $25 million trying to reach key demographics of voters in battleground states in what some have called “the largest and earliest investment in Black media for a reelection campaign in history.”
Younger black voters showed the biggest drop in enthusiasm. Only 41% aged 18-39 said they are certain they will vote in the 2024 general election.
OBSERVATION - Don’t say whoopee too fast but this poll tracks with other similar ones that show support sinking fast.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of April 20, 2024
Illegal Immigration –
The president elect of Panama has promised to close down illegals migrating thru the country.
There has been a spike in military aged men from China being intercepted along the Californian border with Mexico.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Putin began his fifth term as Russian President on May 7 and stressed Russia’s need for unchallenged autocratic rule while indirectly calling for victory in Ukraine.
***
French troops will become a target for the Russian army if they find themselves in the Ukrainian conflict zone - Russian Foreign Ministry
Logistics –
Reports that Russia has significantly ramped up its production of arms and ammo in anticipation of a summer offensive.
Further reports that NK provided ballistic missiles are largely inaccurate and often blow up in flight. Problems also persist with NK supplied artillery rounds.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 60-70 range with some local highs into the 80s. Scattered periods of rain..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Busy overnight as Russia launched a large deep missile attack. Ukrainian air defense shot down 33 of 45 Kh-101 cruise missiles, 4 of 4 Kaliber cruise missiles, 2 of 2 Kh-59/Kh-69 missiles, 20 of 21 Shahed drones overnight. Russia also launched 1 Kh-47M2 missile, 2 ballistic Iskander-M missiles, 1 cruise missile Iskander-K. Lviv region in western Ukraine as well as the Kyiv region were targeted.
Poland reportedly scrambled aircraft as a precaution.
Ukrainian forces successfully struck a fuel storage depot in Russian-occupied Luhansk Oblast, using at least one US-suppled MGM-140 ATACMS tactical ballistic missile.
Ground combat subsided slightly overnight, but Russia continues to press its main attacks in the Chasiv Yar and Ocheretyne areas.
Ukrainian counterintelligence investigators have foiled a Russian plot to assassinate President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other top military and political figures, Ukraine’s state security service said Tuesday.
Two colonels in the State Guard of Ukraine, which protects top officials, were detained on suspicion of enacting the plan drawn up by Russia’s Federal Security Service, a statement said. The colonels were recruited before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, according to the statement.
Outlook —
It has been a while since the last major Russian missile assault, suggesting that supplies may be running low. Ukraine use of ATACAMS on petroleum targets, especially if they use cluster munition ones, has the potential to really harm Russian oil supplies both domestically as well as for military support.
More evidence that US munitions are quickly reaching embattled Ukraine forces in the Chasiv Yar and Ocheretyne regions as Russian advances appear to be on the brink of stalling out. Now Russian forces have to contend with Ukrainian artillery support they didn’t have to worry about previously.
I expect that Russia will continue to push its efforts in those two regions to gain as much ground as possible before the effects of a re-armed Ukraine can take full effect.
Belarus -
Belarus military forces, and in particular those with nuclear capable missiles, conducted a readiness exercise over the past few days.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Confirmation from the US of deliberate delays of precision munitions in an effort to dissuade the Rafah operation.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Israel has reopened the Kerem Shalom Crossing with the Gaza Strip for humanitarian aid after it was shuttered on Sunday following a deadly rocket attack
***
Channel 12 reports that a very tense call between Israeli and US officials about the hostage deal occurred prior to the start of the Rafah operation. The Israelis were very upset and concerned about the position taken by the US about the fake Hamas deal. The US told them they refused to reject it flatly and instead said it was a “counter offer.” IMHO, I think it’s related to what was reported in Axios, that Israel believes the US had a part in this deception. Israel, under massive pressure from the US in the past month, comprised to crazy levels while Hamas didn’t move an inch. I think Israel believes the US wants them to compromise even further.
***
A senior US administration official confirmed on Tuesday that the US paused a shipment of bombs to Israel last week over concerns that Israel was approaching a decision on launching a full-scale assault on the southern Gaza city of Rafah, The Associated Press reported.
The official said the decision to pause the shipment was made last week and no final decision had been made yet on whether to proceed with the shipment at a later date.
The shipment which was paused was supposed to consist of 1,800 2,000-pound bombs and 1,700 500-pound bombs, according to the official, with the focus of U.S. concern being the larger explosives and how they could be used in a dense urban setting.
The confirmation follows a report by Axios’ Barak Ravid that the Biden administration had stopped a shipment of US-made ammunition to Israel last week.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/389587
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Overnight, there were further Israeli air strikes in the Gaza Strip, hours after Israeli forces backed by tanks took control of the Palestinians side of the key Rafah crossing on the border with Egypt.
The Israeli bombardment was particularly intense around Rafah. The crossing remained closed on Wednesday morning, but the Israeli military said it was reopening the nearby Kerem Shalom crossing, which had been closed for four days because of Hamas rocket fire.
Further ground advances, other than those for immediate tactical positioning, appear to remain at a pause. Some media sources are suggesting that the territory gained in the initial attack is being prepared as the jumping-off point for the main thrust into the city.
A secondary effort may be to ratchet up pressure on Hamas to agree to a real ceasefire deal, not the bogus agreement that Hamas said it would accept just minutes before the attack on the border crossing began. Combat would pose real risks to any surviving hostages and that is something Israel would like to avoid at the present - get as may hostages out of harms way before finishing the job on Hamas.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of extensive airstrikes overnight in southern Lebanon with IDF aircraft targeting Hezbollah targets after numerous Hezbollah attacks on Israel earlier yesterday.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continues to raid numerous areas, arresting terrorism suspects.
——— FORECAST ————————-
More revelations of US backstabbing of Israel both on the bogus Hamas acceptance of a ceasefire ‘agreement’ as well as withholding munitions.
As noted above, Rafah operations are in a tactical pause as IAF softens targets for the next phase of the operation. It doesn’t appear that there will be any significant movement on any hostage release agreement in the near future, so continued ground operations may well begin at any time, once Israel has set the tactical situation into its favor.
Israel is facing portions of an estimated 8 Hamas ‘battalions’ and has committed 3 brigades for this phase of combat. How combat capable these battalions are is uncertain, but from the force Israel has projected into the operation, they may not be fully up to snuff. However, Israel has many brigades available in ready operational reserve.
I expect ground operations to resume within the next 24 hours in order to retain the initiative and further pressure Hamas into a hostage release agreement more favorable to israel, similar to the one earlier in the war. Unfortunately, I think the mental mind set of Hamas is to die a martyr’s death and kill the hostages before IAF forces can free them.
Hezbollah remains and I expect it to continue as such, on the sidelines, offering little in a way of attacking Israel to take pressure off Hamas. Israel has continued to increase military forces towards the north, so that any action by Hezbollah would be strongly countered and result in severe losses.
Misc of Note –
The encrypted-messaging service Signal is the application of choice for dissenters around the world. The app has been downloaded by more than 100 million users and boasts high-profile endorsements from NSA leaker Edward Snowden and serial entrepreneur Elon Musk. Signal has created the perception that its users, including political dissidents, can communicate with one another without fear of government interception or persecution.
https://christopherrufo.com/p/signals-katherine-maher-problem
OBSERVATION - It would not be surprising to me to see that Signal is compromised in some fashion (see link to article above). As advertised, Signal was to be the unbreakable comms means for all. But if backdoors have been installed, full reliance on its security features would be unwise. Monitoring to see just how bad the potential danger is.
Also note - it appears that Proton mail has been compromised.
Consider your comms wisely
FYI - from another freeper thread... important for background on the Astro Turf commie campus riots:
“...the Post has reported ... one of the main organizers of the protests at Columbia is a 35 year-old non-student by the name of Manolo de los Santos, who runs a non-profit called The People’s Forum. De los Santos seems to have nothing but time on his hands to participate in and organize protests, which gives rise to a strong inference that he is being well paid by somebody. Here is a picture of de los Santos from the Post via de los Santos’s own X account... the Post found a smoking guy.
This is a picture of a mid-level ‘organizer’ Notice the hammer and sickle in the background of the picture.
biden’s actions towards Israel will not be forgotten by our ‘allies’. It goes hand in hand with funding Iran and its terror proxies (Hezbollah and Hamas).
biden’s decision also effectively kills the US hostages being held by Hamas - who now have less of a need to negotiate a ceasefire for their release.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
Efforts to force a two state ‘solution’ on Israel and the middle east are an extension of the globalist efforts to reduce the Israeli presence and status in the region.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Broken into the open when called out as a “power grab,” Gov. Greg Abbott (R-Texas) has expressed his opposition to the Biden administration’s proposal to transfer members of the Air National Guard to the Space Force without the permission of state or territorial governors. He is not alone as the governors of 48 states and five U.S. territories also expressed their opposition to LP 480.
According to a “Blaze” report - “LP480 would enable the Secretary of the Air Force to transfer the covered space functions currently performed by the Air National Guard to the U.S. Space Force. The secretary would be enabled to change the status of an ANG unit to a unit of the USSF, to deactivate the unit, or to assign the unit to “a new Federal mission.”
The proposed legislation also waives the requirement to first obtain a governor’s consent prior to making such changes to a National Guard unit.”
The plan is not being received favorably by NG personnel. In one instance, 70% of Air National Guard (ANG) troops who would be reassigned under the Air Force’s LP480 would rather retire or retrain within the ANG, according to a survey conducted by Brigadier General Michael Bruno of Colorado’s ANG. (FO)
OBSERVATION - The Air Force is one of the most corrupted, with woke, leftist leadership and willing to be the tip of the spear on this issue. If successful, it is likely the regime will attempt to take control of other components of state’s national guard units. Such a move would preempt use like TX in defending its border as well as block any state initiated military response in the event of a full blown civil war. It centralized power at the federal level and is never what the National Guard concept was designed for.
***
Outside the college encampment protests, small-scale black bloc violence is attempting to increase, reminiscent of 2016 actions that targeted Trump supporters and counter-protesters. Absent the affiliation with pro-hamas terror elements, growth potential in the near term is limited. The big effort I expect to see start in July with the RNC national convention and run at least thru the elections in Nov. Beyond if Trump wins, like in 2016/17
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Israeli operation in Rafah increases the potential for sympathetic, lone wolf attacks here and globally.
Biden / Harris Watch –
CNN to Biden, “Grocery prices are up 30%+ ... that’s a real day-to-day pain that people feel.”
Biden responds, “They have the money to spend.”
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
Russia preparing for its annual victory parade, with substantially fewer vehicles that previous marches.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 60-70 range with some local highs into the 80s. Scattered periods of rain..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian Air defense shot down 17 of 20 Shahed drones overnight in the Odesa region. U/I missile struck Pryluky of Chernihiv region.
8 person wounded and widespread damage after Russian air defense repelled alleged attack in Belgorod
Ukraine drones attacked oil depot at Yurovka village of Krasnodar Krai.
Fire at SalavatNeftekhim refinery as result of drone attack. Over 1000kms from Ukraine in Bashkortostan
Russian forces pressing a wide front south of Ocheretyne to the Donetsk area.
Outlook —
Russia to continue to press its offensive in eastern Ukraine, in part in an effort to gain as much territory as possible before the Ukrainian defenses stiffen up upon receiving ammo resupply.
Expect varying degrees of the ‘deep battle’ of drones and missiles by both sides.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- biden orders halt to arms deliveries to Israel to pressure halt to Rafah operation.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
The US Secretary of State Blnken publicly announces: We halted arms shipments to Israel in light of the operation in Rafah. We are currently looking at additional shipments depending on the current operation in Rafah. Israel must not carry out an operation in Rafah without a plan that takes into account the safety of the citizens in Rafah.
Biden is vowing to withhold weapons from Israel if the Jewish State goes forward with its invasion of Rafah, Hamas’ last stronghold in Gaza.
“Civilians have been killed in Gaza as a consequence of those bombs and other ways in which they go after population centers,” Biden told CNN’s Erin Burnett in an interview released Wednesday.
“I made it clear that if they go into Rafah – they haven’t gone in Rafah yet – if they go into Rafah, I’m not supplying the weapons that have been used historically to deal with Rafah, to deal with the cities – that deal with that problem,” Biden said.
(Fox News)
***
The United Arab Emirates is expected to submit a resolution at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to recognize the “State of Palestine” this Friday, the Jerusalem Post reported Thursday morning.
According to the draft of the resolution: “Palestine is qualified for membership in the United Nations in accordance with Article 4 of the Charter and should therefore be admitted to membership in the United Nations.”
The text also affirms “the right of the Palestinian people to self-determination, including the right to their independent State of Palestine.”
Currently, the Palestinian delegation only has observer status in UNGA. The UAE’s resolution is expected to receive majority support in the assembly, where around 140 nations have already independently recognized a Palestinian state in resolutions that cannot be vetoed.
However, the only way to become a full member state of the UN is through a vote in the Security Council, where the United States has blocked similar advances in the past, most recently in April.
https://allisrael.com/state-of-palestine-could-be-recognized-by-un-general-assembly-on-friday
***
Israel has said it will press on to finish Hamas off in Rafah with or without US support.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ground action in Gaza was active in the north, while in the south around Rafah, activity consisted mostly of air and artillery strikes preparing the battlefield for additional pushes by IDF into the town. IDF also continues to mass ground forces for the clearing of Rafah.
Hamas launched rockets at the American-made humanitarian aid pier for Gaza. No damage or injuries reported.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israeli military claims to have pushed Hezbollah to “significant distances” from the border with Lebanon, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on Wednesday, amid an ongoing low-intensity conflict with the Iranian-backed terrorist group in the north.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli army launched an air attack from the direction of the Golan Heights, targeting a building in the Damascus countryside.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Overnight, 25 Palestinians were arrested in the West Bank, including former prisoners
——— FORECAST ————————-
biden stuck a big knife in the back of Israel when after he claimed that US support was ‘ironclad’ he announced the arms embargo. The politics of the matter here in the US immediately blew up in his regime’s face from both sides of the aisle. It sends a message that biden has the back of Hamas, and not Israel. The alleged safety of civilians issue the regime is basing its decision on is just a smoke screen as Israel has gone to great lengths to set up relocation locations with food, water and medical in addition to advanced warning to evacuate.
One immediate consequence will be Israeli recalculations on use of precision guided weapons, probably to use them in support of key targets in close proximity to civilians, leaving the ‘dumb’ bombs to other targets with lower potential collateral damage.
This also has implications for the coming war against Hezbollah, shorting Israel of ammo it will need for that phase of the war.
Israel is solid in that it will go into Rafah with or without US support.
Misc of Note –
The sun has been very active this past week, kicking out at least 5 flares in the X1 to X4 range - very large explosions. Now, Sunspot AR3664 has grown so large, it now rivals the great Carrington sunspot of 1859.
The “Carrington Event” has become a touchstone of space weather in pop culture, with recent headlines stoking fears of an “internet apocalypse” if it repeats. Indeed, it could repeat. Studies suggest that Carrington-class storms occur once every 40 to 60 years, so we’re overdue.
Carrington Event happened in September 1859 when the sunspot threw out what many estimate as an X45 (some recent estimates from review of data possibly as high as X80) flare / CME. The resulting geomagnetic storms set fire to telegraph offices and sparked auroras from Cuba to Hawaii.
On 23 July 2012, a “Carrington-class” solar superstorm (solar flare, CME, solar electromagnetic pulse) was observed, but its trajectory narrowly missed Earth.
The current sunspot cluster is earth facing, meaning that if it launches a massive flare, there is a high likelihood of impact of the associated CME. The Carrington caused havoc with the technology of the Victorian era, impact in today’s world is potentially even higher.
A hint of that impact is the March 1989 geomagnetic storm occurred as part of severe to extreme solar storms during early to mid March 1989, the most notable being a geomagnetic storm that struck Earth on March 13. This geomagnetic storm caused a nine-hour outage of Hydro-Québec’s electricity transmission system. The solar flare that generated that CME was rated at an X15 level - substantially smaller than Carrington.
Arrival of CMEs can be in as little as 17 hours, though normally within 2 days.
AR3664 is visible to the eye using ordinary eclipse glasses with no magnification at all. Moreover, it is easy to project an image of this sunspot onto the sidewalk or a white screen just as Carrington did in the 19th century.
Utility companies claim that their grids have been hardened to deal with massive solar storms - I remain dubious. It would be wise to keep an eye on this growing active region while Earth is in its strike zone
BTW, at least 5 CMEs are currently projected to impact Earth from May 9 – 13
G3 – Strong Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for May 11
An X2.2 solar flare erupted and a strong CME was produced and is likely Earth-directed, which would make 6 CMEs enroute.
