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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

(FO) S&P Global Vice Chair Dan Yergin said he is fundamentally concerned about the coming surge in electricity demand from the energy transition, increased data center construction, and Artificial Intelligence development.

“Is the capacity going to be there? That used to be a developing world question. Now it’s also a developed world question,” Yergin said.

OBSERVATION - Key to the WEF globalist plans is the tearing down of the ability to use power. This is contra to the parallel demand to electrify everything - especially the EV world. Cheap, abundant electricity has been one of the most effective means of enhancing longevity and industrial revolution than just about anything else in history.

IN RELATED - (FO) Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is “seriously considering” changes to the “Clean Power Plan 2.0” that will accelerate the forced shutdown of coal-fired power plants that do not install carbon capture technology.

Reportedly, Biden administration decided to change the technology standard for the emissions restrictions, no longer allowing coal-fired plants to burn hydrogen fuel and requiring carbon capture technology only.

Utilities say carbon capture technology is not viable at scale and have already opted to let coal and some LNG plants retire. This rule change will accelerate that power generation capacity loss with no likely replacement.

OBSERVATION - Killing any fossil fuel related power source. The goal of the WEF being acted upon by the marxist leftists in the WH.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

See “Central / South America General-“ below on how Haiti may replay here in the US.

****
LAPD forms a special task force to combat organized foreign gangs burglarizing homes. Increasing numbers of home breaking / thefts in rich section of the LA area have been driven by illegal gangs that take advantage of 90 day visas to enter the country and rob citizens, then returning to their country of origin with all their loot. These gangs operate a high tech operation that jams WIFI based security measures - blinding alarm systems, enabling quick penetration and exit of homes that have been pretargeted.

OBSERVATION - This is also a symptom of the overwhelmed immigration system combined with under manned law enforcement.

***
With support on the decline, observers are noting that the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), over the weekend, called for the global protest movement against Israel to intensify. The far left in the US has echoed the call.
The fervor for pro-hamas mass demonstrations have significantly declined over the past month and is not as nice and shiny to leftists of late. Here in the US i suspect that with the approaching elections, efforts will be made to more closely integrate pro-hamas based protests into anti democrat or anti Trump events - bringing with it a greater synergy and enthusiasm.


Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.

This warning UPDATED as of March 18, 2024

ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Navy fired the commander of one of its guided missile submarines on Monday — the third submarine firing in the last seven months — according to a press release on Wednesday. The commanding officer of the USS Ohio sub’s gold crew — Capt. Kurt Balagna — was relieved by Rear Adm. Nicholas Tilbrook, the commander of Submarine Group 9, “due to a loss of confidence in his ability to command,” the Navy said. Balagna appears to be the third Navy commander relieved this year. However, since last September, Navy leaders have fired the skippers of the USS Georgia and USS Alabama as well. Navy officials have previously said that in 2023, the service relieved 15 commanding officers.

OBSERVATION - We are seeing the possible combination of two forces at play. The first one being poor training of commanders due to the overlay of CRT/DEI race and gender inclusive training. The second could be a purge of politically unreliable senior officers. Both are concerning.


POLITICAL FRONT –

March 22, second funding deadline
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***

Trump unable to get $464m bond in New York fraud case. The former president must either pay the full amount in cash or secure a bond to continue his appeal.

***
Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson is concerned that the First Amendment is “hamstringing the Government” when it comes to censoring speech on social media. She made the comment during a hearing a lawsuit against the US govt for pressuring social sites to censor ‘misinformation’ (which has since been proven to be factual information). Uh, well, yeah, that’s literally the entire reason it was created.

OBSERVATION - She speaks the brainless concept of what the progressive left think of how the constitution does or does not operate. You can take her ‘thoughts’ and multiply it by millions of mind numbed democrats. If the government can stop what you say, why not stop who you are allowed to pray to or who you are allowed to meet or any type of protest against the government at all?

IN RELATED - USSC observers note that the court is inclined to side with the Biden administration, allowing federal agencies to restart what is effectively government censorship of online political speech just in time for the 2024 election.

***
(FO) The White House objected to House Republicans’ proposed continuing resolution (CR) to fund the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) through 30 September and requested an additional $1.56 billion in “border-related” resources. A GOP Congressional leadership aide said the additional money is a “blank check to simply ‘manage’ people into the country and bail out sanctuary cities,” and the new demand “has placed us on the brink of a shutdown.”

OBSERVATION - biden has ZERO intentions of closing the border, but intends to use as much money as possible to ACCELERATE the tidal wave of illegals into the country and plant them here under the maze of ‘regulations’ and executive orders made over the past three years.

***
Obama arrived at 10 Downing Street to meet with senior UK political and security officials. This unannounced trip comes just days after a bombshell report revealed he involved the UK’s intel agencies along with the CIA to spy on the Trump campaign and administration.

OBSERVATION - A very public entrance to 10 Downing Street. Leads credence to the rumor that he is the one pulling the strings in the biden camp.


Biden / Harris Watch –

biden has new shoes that are suppose to help his balance. OMG.


Illegal Immigration –

Supreme Court indefinitely blocks Texas from enforcing immigration law. Gov. Abbott’s response to the SCOTUS decision to indefinitely block Texas from enforcing a law to allow state officials to arrest and detain people they suspect of entering the country illegally:

“SCOTUS temporarily halted enforcement of SB 4 but Texas is still using its authority to arrest illegal immigrants for criminal trespass and other violations of law.
We continue building the wall, use NG to erect razor wire barriers to repel migrants & buoys remain in river.”

OBSERVATION - A setback for TX and America, but as Abbott notes, will not stop the arrests on other laws.


China –

Struggling Chinese property giant Evergrande and its founder, Hui Ka Yan, have been accused of inflating revenues by $78bn (£61.6bn) in the two years before the firm defaulted on its debt.
The country’s financial markets regulator has fined the company’s mainland business Hengda Real Estate $583.5m.
Mr Hui also faces being banned for life from China’s financial markets.
In January, Evergrande was ordered to liquidate by a Hong Kong court.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) laid much of the blame on Mr Hui, who was once China’s richest man, for allegedly instructing staff to “falsely inflate” Hengda’s annual results in 2019 and 2020.
Mr Hui was also fined $6.5m, according to a filing by the company to the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges.
Evergrande did not immediately respond to a BBC request for comment.

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68603195

OBSERVATION - The Evergrande saga is just the tip of the iceberg for China’s troubled markets as there are many other similar companies on the edge of the abyss as well.


Japan –

Japan’s central bank has raised the cost of borrowing for the first time in 17 years.
The Bank of the Japan (BOJ) increased its key interest rate from -0.1% to a range of 0%-0.1%. It comes as wages have jumped after consumer prices rose.
In 2016, the bank cut the rate below zero in an attempt to stimulate the country’s stagnating economy.

In a statement announcing the decision, the BOJ said it will keep buying “broadly the same amount” of government bonds as before and ramp up purchases in case yields rise rapidly.
Expectations that the BOJ would finally raise rates had been growing since governor Kazuo Ueda took office in April last year.
The latest official figures showed that even though the rate of price rises has been slowing, Japan’s core consumer inflation held at the bank’s 2% target in January.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.

Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -

- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.

Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.

With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.

In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.

Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.

Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.

Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..

While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.

Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).

*****

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s election victory speech and Q&A with the press was full of familiar themes, but he used the occasion after capturing a record 87% of the vote to warn the US and Europe that a “full-scale World War III” is “possible” should any Western troops enter Ukraine.

***
The Russian government recently announced, that once they conquer Ukraine and absorb it into Russia, portions of Ukraine will be added to existing Russian provinces. This is part of a plan to exterminate Ukraine completely. Russia has already been moving Ukrainian civilians it controls to different parts of Russia where it will be easier to exterminate Ukrainian culture over a few generations. Russians are then moved into the territory formerly occupied by those Ukrainians to make those areas very Russian. There is also a plan for Russia to conquer and occupy portions of Poland and Romania that Russia believes should belong to Russia.

This latter goal will trigger war with NATO.

Logistics –

Russia has introduced a wire controlled UAV in order to have a UAV that is immune to electronic jamming. The new UAV has a spool containing ten kilometers of thin fiber-optic wire connected to a human-operated control station.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-50 range. Slight chance of snow/rain showers in extended forecast.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Russian Ministry of Defense claims control over Orlivka village, west to Avdiyivka. Otherwise things appear rather static.

Reports from the Ukraine side are noting a continuation of the Russian ‘meat’ assaults, even though forces in the Avdiivka sector are noting more armor support to attacks.

Russian Territory –
Complete blackout in Grayvoron district of Belgorod region.

Outlook —

Legion forces continue to cause problems in the Belgorod region. Russia so far has failed to mobilize forces to block further advances. Belgorod has faced 6 days worth of artillery fire, in addition to drone strikes. Moscow has been keeping the effects on the locals under wrap and out of the national eye.


SERBIA / KOSOVO -

The Serbian president reportedly announced a new treaty with Russia.

Also announced that he will invade Kosovo whenever he feels like it.


Pakistan –

Clashes between the Pakistani army and Islamic Emirate forces are currently taking place in the Paktika province of Afghanistan.
The conflict started last night following airstrikes conducted by Pakistani planes on civilian residences in Paktika and Khost, Afghanistan, leading to the tragic deaths of five women and three children.

The Afghan Taliban have announces that they are attacking Pakistani military positions across the border in revenge for the Pakistani airstrikes against the Pakistani Taliban in Afghanistan which killed 8 a few hours ago.
Significant escalation taking place.

OBSERVATION - There have been increasing skirmishes between the two countries lately.


ISRAEL –

Now the war is in its 5th month.

Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8

Key overnight developments -

- Operations in and around Shifa Hospital continue

- IDF took out a warehouse in the Damascus area reportedly loaded with advanced munitions sent by Iran for Hezbollah.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.

***

The White House - Biden and Netanyahu discussed by phone the situation in Rafah and efforts to increase aid to the Gaza Strip

***
The United States has issued its strongest public warning yet to Israel against invading the crowded city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip, saying that such a ground operation would deepen the humanitarian crisis in the besieged enclave.
US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters on Monday that, while President Joe Biden remains committed to the goal of defeating Hamas, he communicated to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that a major assault on Rafah would be a “mistake”.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/18/biden-warns-netanyahu-against-mistake-of-invading-rafah-white-house?traffic_source=rss

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza.
More Israeli bombing of the vicinity of the Shifa Hospital in Gaza.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Syrian Defense Ministry accuses Israel of striking military targets near Damascus. A Hezbollah weapon warehouse was targeted in an Israeli missile attack in Syria early on Tuesday, according to the Saudi channel Al-Hadath, citing The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. According to N12, citing reports, the advanced weapons located in the warehouse had arrived from Iran and were supposed to be transferred to Hezbollah.

***
OSINT observers are noting that Russian forces are moving closer to the Israel-Syria border. This is placing them in the line of fire between Israel and Hezbollah/Iranian facilities in Syria. In the past, Israel has gone out of the way to warn Russia of some impending strikes so that Russia can get its personnel out of harms way. Now Russia has been threatening Israel if strikes endanger its forces. This 180 seems to also coincide with the growth of the relationship between Russia and Iran.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Authorities arrested 15 Palestinians last night from the West Bank, including a journalist and former prisoners

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

United States Central Command (CENTCOM) forces successfully engaged and destroyed seven anti-ship missiles, three unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), and three weapons storage containers in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza. The Shifa Hospital operation was a surprise to many - especially Hamas.

Houthi have been quiet of late, but if I had the ability to check, I’ll bet the Iranian spy ship has not been in the Red Sea lately. US is recommending ships shut their transponders off - especially US affiliated one.


Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

See “Pakistan” above for latest skirmishes.


Mexico -

There are reports that Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador is preparing to seize and nationalize a U.S.-owned quarry and port on the Mexican Caribbean coast.


Central / South America General-

PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti — Gangs attacked two upscale neighborhoods in Haiti’s capital early Monday in a rampage that left at least a dozen people dead in surrounding areas.

Gunmen looted homes in the communities of Laboule and Thomassin before sunrise, forcing residents to flee as some called radio stations pleading for police. The neighborhoods had remained largely peaceful despite a surge in violent gang attacks across Port-au-Prince that began on Feb. 29.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/18/gang-attacks-haiti-capital-deaths-00147707

OBSERVATION - I’ve commented in the CW2 section on how the feral inner city minorities will go after settling scores, raping and plundering food, drugs/alcohol/merchandise etc when the world goes sideways. Then they will attempt to expand into the suburbs and beyond in order to gain more ‘resources’. These neighborhoods noted in the article are the more upper class ‘suburbs’. What little police forces that are left are defending them.

The situation in Haiti continues to spiral into a Mad Max world . Multiple gangs are fighting it out for control of dwindling resources on the island. The apparent strongest gang lead by Barbecue claims to have united Port-au-Prince’s notoriously quarrelsome gangs in a coalition called Viv Ansanm (Live Together). However, the near civil war conditions have the balance of power shifting on short notice.

***
Protests and unrest amid blackouts and food shortages has hit Cuba. Cuba is accusing there US of causing the problems. Not expected at this stage to become significant.



307 posted on 03/19/2024 7:45:12 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 305 | View Replies ]


To: Godzilla
This warning UPDATED as of March 18, 2024

ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.

We can all feel safe knowing our 'protectors' were chosen for their jobs based on DEI standard of WOKE idiocy: Kolor, Kink and/or Kin...

308 posted on 03/19/2024 10:12:26 AM PDT by GOPJ (If you don't benefit from treason, eventually you become a Trump voter. - - Dave Conley)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 307 | View Replies ]

To: Godzilla

I’m more concerned about submarine captains being replaced... Since I feel there’s a good chance WOKE’s weakening our military intentionally this action would make it easier for our enemies to take us out with nukes. Sub captains can launch their nukes on their own. Take out the subs and we’re toast.


309 posted on 03/19/2024 12:56:06 PM PDT by GOPJ (If you don't benefit from treason, eventually you become a Trump voter. - - Dave Conley)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 307 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

Canada is moving to link bank accounts to a new social awareness/status database, a step towards digital currency and control over what one spends money on.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Progressive and socialist activists have started a Seattle Police complaint campaign that amounts to little more than harassment. They’re taking advantage of the anti-cop leader of the Office of Police Accountability (OPA) who vowed to investigate officers who commit traffic violations, even while responding to emergencies.

https://mynorthwest.com/3954882/rantz-activists-seattle-police-complaint-campaign-harass-cops/

OBSERVATION - Now using bogus ‘traffic violation’ claims to further harass police. All part of the extremist Antifa elements to tie the hands of police and allow them unfettered actions across the Seattle metro area.

***
MSNBC host Keith Olbermann has sparked fury after saying there’s ‘always the hope’ Donald Trump will be assassinated.

The ex-SportsCenter host, 65, was reacting to a video posted by a Biden-Harris campaign account where Trump spoke about how he was like former President Abraham Lincoln at an Ohio rally Saturday.

OBSERVATION - These liberal mouthpieces continue to encourage followers to endorse the assassination of Trump - conditioning the minds and wills of the extremists.

I really don’t think he realizes the holy hell that will break out if a leftist attempts to assassinate Trump (or any other important conservative, like Justice Thomas).


Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.

This warning UPDATED as of March 18, 2024

ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.

RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) maintaining travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.

***
German police arrested 2 Islamists suspected of preparing a terrorist attack against the Swedish parliament


Economy-

Lawrence Summers, Treasury Secretary under Clinton and economic advisor to Obama, is likely getting himself into trouble once again with the Left.

He essentially is saying what consumers have been saying for the past several year - the numbers put out by the govt are lying to you.

Summers explains why: the way the numbers have been calculated has changed so much since the 1970s and 80s that they don’t capture the true misery that people are feeling anymore.
The difference? Rises in interest rates, which increase the cost of purchasing goods, if not the goods themselves, are no longer measured as part of inflation.

https://hotair.com/david-strom/2024/03/18/larry-summers-inflation-much-worse-than-government-says-n3784904

OBSERVATION - See link for greater details and discussion. The govt began to fudge the numbers all the way back in the clinton era and that move has accelerated over the more recent years. If anyone should know about the start of the number fudging, it should be Summers.

That is why pundits are mystified that the sheep don’t embrace bidenomics - because it is based on cherry picked numbers to make it look all shiny. This is also why I question some economists who ‘forecast’ happy days when standards of economic health used in the “Before Years” are ignored.


POLITICAL FRONT –

March 22, second funding deadline
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon has instructed Special Counsel Jack Smith to hand over ALL classified materials to a jury for scrutiny or risk a Trump acquittal by refusing to do so.

OBSERVATION - Smith has strenuously fought against the jury seeing the alleged documents, likely because he believes they will be sufficient to vindicate Trump.


Illegal Immigration –

TX’s ability to enforce SB4 whiplashed back and forth overnight. Following an indefinite stay of the law, the USSC ruled 6-3 that TX can continue to enforce the law. That lasted a few hours until a three-judge panel at the Fifth Circuit voted to freeze the ruling as it hears the appeal.

Where this bouncing ball ends up is anyone’s guess. Some think the 6-3 vote indicates the court is inclined in favor of the law when it finally reached the court formally.

The Mexican foreign ministry said in a statement on Tuesday: “Mexico categorically rejects any measure that allows state or local authorities to exercise immigration control, and to arrest and return nationals or foreigners to Mexican territory.”

OBSERVATION - This puts things back to a fall back - TX can still arrest Illegals for trespassing - just not with the full force SB4 gives them.


North/South Korea –

There are some concerns that Kim’ s dangerous sister is threatening a chemical or biological attack on the South in her latest rantings.

Kim Yo Jong is now raising the threat level in revenge for North Korean defectors launching balloons that are wafting propaganda over the North. That’s how, she says, COVID-19 got into North Korea after the North had been denying a single case since closing its borders entirely in early 2020 after the pandemic was first reported in Wuhan, China.

“Our countermeasure must be a deadly retaliatory one,” she warned in a speech carried live on North Korean TV. “If the enemy persists in such dangerous deeds as fomenting the inroads of virus into our republic,” according to the English-language translation put out by Pyongyang’s Korean Central News Agency, “we will respond to it by not only exterminating the virus but also wiping out the South Korean authorities.”

In the Korean-language version, as translated by NK News, a website in Seoul, she resorted to foul language that’s still more intimidating. “If the enemies continue to conduct dangerous s***that might bring virus into DPRK [Democratic People’s Republic of Korea], we will answer that by exterminating not only those viruses but also South Korean authorities, those little b*****s,” NK News quotes her as saying. Worse still, “We are already reviewing various response measures. It has to be a very strong, retaliatory response.”

Kim Jong Un is no more likely to wage biological or chemical warfare against the South anymore than he’s going to order a nuclear strike. The North hasn’t staged an underground nuclear test since September 2017, and Kim evidently has delayed a seventh test. While waiting for whatever he might do next, however, one can’t ignore his sister’s words against what we know about the North’s biological and chemical programs.

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3603861-did-north-korea-just-hint-a-biological-or-chemical-weapons-strike-is-coming/

OBSERVATION - She is one SCARY woman. Glacial ice cold blooded nut job who’d start a new war at the drop of a hat. So far Kim Jong Un has kept her reigned in, but one has to remember, she gets her que’s from her brother.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.

Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -

- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.

Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.

With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.

In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.

Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.

Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.

Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..

While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.

Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).

*****

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s election victory speech and Q&A with the press was full of familiar themes, but he used the occasion after capturing a record 87% of the vote to warn the US and Europe that a “full-scale World War III” is “possible” should any Western troops enter Ukraine.

***
Chief of Russian Foreign Intelligence service Naryshkin claims France is preparing 2000 soldiers as the first stage to deploy in Ukraine, claims many French were killed in Ukraine. Says French troops will be priority target for Russian stirkes


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-50 range. Slight chance of snow/rain showers in extended forecast.

RUMINT –
A lot of talk about France moving combat troops into Ukraine. France would not be alone in the action as other NATO nations have been rumbling about the same.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Russia made gains in the Avdiivka sector. The “Legion” forces, though details are sketchy, apparently are having some degree of success in their push towards Belgorod.

Russian Territory –

Russia just announced 9000 ppl will be evacuated from Belgorod due to daily Ukrainian strikes.

In Engels, Russia, explosions rang out at night after the city was attacked by drones. A strategic aviation base is located in Engels, where Tu-160 and Tu-95MS bombers are located, which are used in mass missile attacks on Ukraine. Russian Ministry of defense claimed 4 drones were shot down in Saratov region.

Starting March 20, entry into the territory of Kozinka, Glotovo, Gora-Podol, Grayvoronovo, Novostroevka 1st and 2nd, Bezymeno will be limited, and roadblocks will be set up - Governor of the Belgorod Region Gladkov

Partial blackout in Kursk as a power substation was damaged

Russian air defense shot down 11 aerial objects over Belgorod region, - local authorities, S-200 missile over Kursk region

Outlook —

Fighting on the Avdiivka front will continue to be intense as it appears that Russia is trying to reinforce the successes of recent days.

“Legion” forces continue to create disruptions in the Belgorod region.

Ukraine has paused its deep attacks on Russian oil production/refinement. May be evaluating other targets as Russia tries to shuffle ADA assets to provide more protection.

I’m looking at how valid the claims of French forces moving into Ukraine are. This could be a dangerous event that would definitely expand the war into most of eastern Europe and involve NATO forces. Putin for his part hasn’t lessened the concerns of NATO nations with his latest pronouncements on how he is planning to carve up Ukraine after a Russian ‘victory’ and how his military ambitions are likely to continue westward.


ISRAEL –

Now the war is in its 5th month.

Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8

Key overnight developments -

- Operations in and around Shifa Hospital continue

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.

***

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza.

IDF, Shin Bet killed 90 terrorists in Shifa Hospital area.
Israeli security forces have so far detained about 350 Hamas and Islamic Jihad terrorists during the operation at Shifa Hospital, most of whom surrendered.

The IDF is using an entire corridor in the hospital to hold the terrorists, which is serving as a temporary detention facility for the military intelligence and Shin Bet for interrogating terrorists, to obtain intelligence from them as quickly as possible.

An IDF source told Army Radio that “we are sitting on a gold mine.”
Among the detainees were medium level Hamas commanders, including the Gaza Brigade Commander Izz a-Din al-Haddad.
One of the detainees, an Islamic Jihad terrorist, recently fired rockets at the settlements surrounding the Gaza Strip. During his interrogation, he said, “We left Shifa – we fired at Sderot – and returned to Shifa, because we understood it was a safe area.”

Also, during the activity at the hospital, the forces seized Hamas military archives and binders stolen by Hamas from the Erez crossing on October 7, including sensitive COGAT unit information.

The IDF assesses that Hamas may have tried in recent months to re-excavate and rehabilitate the underground tunnel system under Shifa, but that the system, which was already destroyed during the war, does not enable terrorists to stay or escape.

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/387048

***
In Gaza, it is reported that Mohammed Salah al-Darawish, the deputy president of Hxmas’s Supreme Court, has been eliminated.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Rockets were fired towards the Israeli Al-Samaqa site in the Kafr Shuba hills in southern Lebanon

———WEST BANK——————————-

Clashes broke out between youths and security forces in the Jabal Al-Tawil area in the city of Al-Bireh

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Houthis, claim to have broken thru Israel’s missile defense shield. IDF has confirmed a cruise missile penetrated on Sunday night. It landed north of Eilat in an unoccupied area. Israeli ADA response standards don’t waste missiles on targets that are impacting on empty ground.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Canada will stop sending arms to Israel, Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly says: Toronto Star.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.

The Shifa Hospital operation was a surprise to many - especially Hamas. It permitted Israel to corral a considerable number of terrorists in one fell swoop. But it also shows the tenacity of some Hamas fighters to regroup in areas previously cleared and why operations continue in Northern and central Gaza. The intelligence related materials captured are a gold mine and may assist in accelerating the destruction of remaining Hamas stronghold/hideouts.

US is continuing to pressure Israel not to enter Rafah, or if they do then they need to do it the way Washington wants them to. This is a very tone deaf non-starter.


Black Swans -

Ron Paul and Gen Flynn have recently warned about an impending Black Swan event(s) in this year. In social media, followers of these two claim that they’ve been fully accurate with their predictions in the past. I’ve put little into their past statements, finding little support from other sources.

However, by its definition a Black Swan is something that is unthinkable which occurs and their warning is causing me to monitor their claims much more closely. Who would have thought that our govt and medical professional community would lie to the extent they did during the wuhan plandemic. Who would have thought our law enforcement would so blatantly violate the law and behave like the Stazi. And there are many other ‘unthinkable’ things going on out there.

So, I’m looking closer at their so far generic claims. Yes, if you’ve followed my meanderings you’d note that many of the potential threats to our country and freedom are rooted in potential false flag (black swan) operations or the implosion of our society in general from the deliberate open borders, caustic economic policies, forced climate change standards, identifying half of America as ‘domestic terrorists’ , etc. So even before I listened to their warnings, I was pretty set on something bad happening - because I’ve searched and assessed other sources, conditions and trends.

There are many things that could be triggered for a Black Swan against us. And as the election approaches and it becomes evident that Trump will take down biden, the leftist may pull the trigger on one or more Black Swan style events in order to stay in power. Pretty pessimistic outlook, but IMHO one grounded in reality outside of normalcy bias.


311 posted on 03/20/2024 6:37:06 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson )
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