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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

I hate the spring time change. When will we ever get rid of it - its usefulness expired a long time ago.


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

Farmer protests are NOT finished against WEF instituted laws in Europe. French and Spanish farmers have BLOCKED their shared border and have given the EU until June 1st to drop fuel taxes.

Farmer protests are now spooling up in Canada.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

In response to a new Politico article about how U.S. intelligence officials are allegedly planning to brief Trump but have reservations due to “his handling of classified information,” Brennan told Wallace:

“Now, I’m pretty certain that my former intelligence colleagues will provide briefings that are not going to do any type of damage to sources and methods in terms of providing information to Donald Trump that he could misuse.
But they will provide analytic overviews and briefings about some of the world’s hot spots, letting Donald Trump know what the assessments are at this point.
I think it’s going to be analysis that will be devoid of the sources and methods, the sensitive things that we are most concerned about, the types of things that were in all those documents that he had in the bathroom, and all those areas in Mar-a-Lago.”

https://redstate.com/mike_miller/2024/03/09/ex-cia-director-suggests-intel-community-might-withhold-sensitive-info-from-trump-if-he-wins-nomination-n2171154

Democrat Rep. Adam Schiff (CA) on Sunday echoed John Brennan and said the Intel Community will sabotage Trump by withholding intelligence and ‘dumbing down’ his daily briefings this summer.

OBSERVATION - Posting this here because the CIA has inserted itself into essentially a CW2 situation. That the CIA would even consider to provide Trump something short of factual intelligence - even after the election - is a sign that this portion of the govt is at war with the right. Remember, biden stole and stored highly classified, compartmentalized documents in a cardboard box in the garage next to his car - and he’s not getting a shortened edition of the intel briefing. This is the same Brennan that moved the Russian hoax against Trump as well as getting other stooges to sign on to claim Hunter’s laptop was a fake. The CIA needs to be gutted to get rid of this infestation.


Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.

This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024

ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.

RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.


Economy-

The unemployment rate jumped unexpectedly, while the employment numbers reported in the previous two months were revised down significantly, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for February, released Friday.
The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate, which many market analysists had expected to stay the same or decline, jumped from 3.7% to 3.9%.

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose 275,000 from January, failing to meet expectations.

Meanwhile, the robust job gains the BLS reported for December and January, which had baffled experts and contradicted other economic indicators, were revised down by a combined 167,000 jobs.

The constant downward revisions, from the monthly numbers initially reported, have created distrust of the government’s claims.

“Yeah, I just don’t buy it,” Fox Business’s Cheryl Casone said last month, reacting to the January numbers claimed by the BLS at the time. “Full-time jobs, what do we do with that data? I think, at this point, we wait until next month.”

Indeed, December’s job growth was lowered by 43,000, while January’s was reduced by 124,000, in the following report, released Friday.

According to Friday’s report:
- The 3.9% unemployment rate is up from the 3.6% rate recorded a year earlier (February 2023).
- The number of unemployed persons is up from 6.0 million a year earlier to 6.5 million last month.
- The number of permanent job losers increased by 174,000, compared to January, to 1.7 million.
- The labor force participation rate was 62.5% for the third consecutive month.

By sector, Health care (+67,000 jobs), government (+52,000), and food services/drinking places (+42,000) contributed the highest employment gains to the seasonally-adjusted 275,000 increase from January.

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/unemployment-rate-jumps-february-recent-employment-gains-revised-down-167k

OBSERVATION - Getting to be that time of the month when economic numbers for the previous month start trickling out. Key note is that the December 23 and Jan 24 numbers were significantly lowered - after being touted when they first came out.

As noted above “The constant downward revisions, from the monthly numbers initially reported, have created distrust of the government’s claims.” is the new word.

***
American billionaires are selling stocks by the boatload - sparking fears of an impending financial disaster.
Jeff Bezos - the third-richest man behind Louis Vuitton’s Bernard Arnaut and Elon Musk - unloaded $8.5billion in Amazon shares this month alone.
Mark Zuckerberg - the fourth-richest - sold about 1.4 million Meta shares worth roughly $638million.

Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan, shilled $150 million this past week, in his first cash-out since taking the reins at the bank nearly two decades ago.

Within days, Apollo Global Management’s Leon Black also enacted his first-ever sale, shedding $172.8million in his equity firm after 34 years. Walmart’s Walton family sold $1.5billion in a week, bringing its total sale proceeds to $2.3billion since December.

The series of transactions were all made within weeks of each other, and have already sparked conversation amongst onlookers.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13180433/billionaires-Jeff-Bezos-Leon-Black-Mark-Zuckerberg-sell-stocks.html

OBSERVATION - As the article notes, there are several theories being bantered about over the timing and amounts of these transactions. Over all, the guess is that they see ‘uncertainty’ in the economy in the upcoming months due in part to the elections and other potential factors that would stall the economy. Some are saying they are trying to ‘diversify’. What ever the reason, these heavyweights are responding at market highs to something that has appeared on their common radar.


Illegal Immigration –

With Haiti in the mix remember this -

In December 2022, the Biden DHS began a program to allow 30,000 migrants in every MONTH from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela.

They can enter the US without a visa and indefinitely stay here LEGALLY.

NOTE - 4k gang members just broke out of prison in Haiti in the past week. The senior gang leader is nicknamed “Barbecue” - because of the canablism of his victims.
NOTE - Venezuelan gangs taking over in NYC.

***
Migrant gang members are selling fake American identification and social security cards on street corners in New York City.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.

Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -

- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.

Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.

With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.

In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.

Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.

Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.

Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..

While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.

Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).

Logistics –

Russia is estimated to be producing about 250.000 artillery shells per month (3 million per year) according to NATO estimates. The US and Europe combined have the capacity to generate only about 100.000 shells a month (1.2 million a year) to send to Ukraine, CNN writes.

However, Russia is running out of functional artillery pieces at a far faster rate that even pulling mothballed pieces can’t keep up with the losses.

Russian Personnel Issues –-

The Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy was dismissed, according to Russian media.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow in the forecast..

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 15 of 25 Shahed drones overnight. Targeted areas include Odesa and Kharkiv

During the night, 4 drones were destroyed over the territory of the Bryansk region and 2 over the territory of the Oryol region, - Russian Ministry of Defense.

There is increasing evidence that Russia managed to take out a Patriot ADA system with an Iskander missile in recent weeks. They also claim to have taken out several S300 systems as well.

Russian state news agency TASS claimed that three launchers may have been destroyed but other sources reported two.
‘The Iskander tactical missile system presumably wiped out three launchers of the US-made Patriot system near Pokrovsk,’ a source told TASS.
Each battery has five components: The missiles themselves, the missile launcher, a radar antenna, a control truck and a power-plant truck.

NOTE - Russian propaganda has consistently made similar claims about taking out western systems. This claim of taking out the launch vehicles (two to three) has gained some credibility of recent. If so, it would be a serious hit on Ukraine’s ADA network. Because of this, it is not listed under RUMINT.

Robotyne Axis -.

Heavy fighting resumed in Robotyne. Russians that attacked from the west, and were reportedly repelled and finished off when trying to grab a foothold in the ruins. Southwest of Vuhledar on the Zaporizhzia border, Ukraine repelled also another mechanized attack from Russians trying to advance. Several attempts in this direction have been recorded.

Avdiivka -

Russia pressing the attack from Avdiivka southward to Marinka.

Russian Territory –

In St. Petersburg, explosions were heard near the airport from a suspected Ukrainian drone strike. A hangar is reportedly on fire.

Outlook —

The loss of Ukrainian ADA systems is concerning as Russia appears to be returning the favor of Ukraine’s successful attacks against Russian assets. It also means Ukraine has to step up its OPSEC and movements of these resources.

Russia intensifying its efforts on the Avdiivka and Maryinka fronts as these areas have seen the greatest gains of the Russian winter/spring offensive. However, they are taking a beating and I wonder just how much more armor/APCs can be lost before it really boggs down.


Belarus -

Belarus is conducting a large scale military readiness exercise.


ISRAEL –

Now the war is in its 5th month.

Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8

Key overnight developments -

- Hezbollah launches large rocket barrage

- Ramadan begins, arabs upset Israel won’t unilaterally install a ceasefire.

- Tensions are high in Jerusalem as arabs pressure govt over access to the temple mount.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.

***

Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh released a video in which he threatened that Israel won’t recover any of the 134 hostages unless the IDF leaves Gaza. Haniyeh left Gaza for a life of luxury and comfort in Qatar in 2017.

***
Jordanian Foreign Minister: Israel’s move to restrict worshipers’ access to Al-Aqsa Mosque is pushing towards an explosive situation

***
The Palestinian Authority and Hamas are competing to win the support of large Palestinian clans in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. The competition comes in the wake of the talk about handing control over the Gaza Strip to local clans after the removal of Hamas from power.

The P.A. and Hamas understand that the backing of the clans is crucial for maintaining their control over the Palestinians in both the West Bank and Gaza Strip. That’s why P.A. and Hamas leaders have always treated the large families and their leaders with utmost respect. In some instances, clan leaders were elevated to the unofficial position of supreme judges and arbitrators, replacing the official judiciary and law enforcement of both organizations.
The Israel-Hamas war has undermined the Iran-backed terror group’s grip over the Gaza Strip. Hamas is no longer functioning as a de facto government in the coastal enclave, and most of its security and civilian institutions are in a state of paralysis.

The assumption among some Israelis and Palestinians is that the decline in Hamas’s power would pave the way for the re-emergence of the clans as significant players in the Gaza Strip.

https://www.algemeiner.com/2024/03/10/pa-hamas-vie-for-support-of-palestinian-clans/

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Some 80 rockets were fired overnight from Lebanon by Hezbollah at northern Israel. Largest barrage yet.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Iranian Civilian Aviation has announced the suspension of air traffic between Tehran and Damascus due to special circumstances in Syria, (despite things being normal) which indicates major escalation between Israel and Hezbollah forces both in Lebanon and Southwest Syria.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Arrests continue in numerous cities in the West Bank. Associated with those raids, clashes break out between arabs and Israeli security forces.
Palestinian Foreign Ministry: Israel is igniting tensions in the West Bank with its security and military measures

Confrontations broke out between youths and security forces in the town of Tuqu’, southeast of Bethlehem

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Reuters, from the British Maritime Trade Operations Authority: A report of an incident 71 nautical miles southwest of Al-Salif, Yemen.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Pro-Palestine protests took place outside the opening of a National Holocaust museum in Amsterdam, where Israeli President Isaac Herzog is in attendance.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.

Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.

Watching Hezbollah, as the recent rocket attack appears to be the largest to date. Could they be testing the waters for a preemptive strike? Israel continues to hammer Hezbollah command and other key sites in Lebanon.

Houthi are relatively quiet after the recent large attacks on coalition naval vessels. US is not doing much to hurt them.


Central / South America General-

U.S. evacuated Haitian staff in middle-of-night as the US flies in Marines to reinforce embassy in Haiti.

Haiti: The current security situation in Haiti is unpredictable and dangerous. We are aware that there are few or no commercial options to depart Haiti safely at this time. As they become available, we urge U.S. citizens to take advantage of them.

The U.S. Embassy’s ability to assist U.S. citizens is severely limited. While the U.S. Embassy is unable to facilitate travel out of the country, U.S. citizens in Haiti who wish to record their presence and provide updated contact information should complete our crisis intake form at:

mytravel.state.gov/s/crisis-intake.

Our Travel Advisory for Haiti remains at Level Four: Do not travel to Haiti.


Misc of Note –

I keep reformulating potential scenarios for the rest of this year because for me, it provides focus for my time in research. A reformulation of intelligence PIRs and IRs. It helps to reformulate and I’m already looking at what I posted a couple days ago, in just a different manner.


279 posted on 03/11/2024 6:21:41 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 272 | View Replies ]


To: Godzilla
In response to a new Politico article about how U.S. intelligence officials are allegedly planning to brief Trump but have reservations due to “his handling of classified information,” Brennan told Wallace:

I actually pull something wonderful out of this: They are expecting a Trump win.

280 posted on 03/11/2024 6:35:08 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Laz 2005: "First, we beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 279 | View Replies ]

To: Godzilla

>Remember, biden stole and stored highly classified, compartmentalized documents in a cardboard box in the garage next to his car - and he’s not getting a shortened edition of the intel briefing.

Remember, Biden did NOT have ultimate classification authority when he did that, as Trump did when he took docs to Mar-A-Lago.

Also, HRC put tons of highly classified info on an unsecure EXCHANGE EMAIL SERVER IN A BATHROOM AT HER RESIDENCE! While Secretary of State. It was insane. My expectation is that any country or non-state actor with an intelligence apparatus worthy of the name had the complete contents of that server. Allies, adversaries, heck maybe some of the cartels. She should have been imprisoned over that as an example.


281 posted on 03/11/2024 6:48:47 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 279 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

Governments of the European Union are engaged in wargames which simulate and foresee a global food crisis.

A mix of major factors including the Russia-Ukraine war and impact on grain supplies there, as well as weather events like El Niño and La Niña and their impact on Latin American soy output, and the anti-EU farmers’ protests which have disrupted supermarket supply chains, have been cause for alarm, European officials say.

Bloomberg reveals details of the conference held in Brussels last month that envisioned a 2024 to 2025 food shortage in Europe:

“Over two days in central Brussels last month, some 60 European Union and government officials, food security experts, industry representatives and a few journalists gathered to confront the possibility of something barely on the radar a few years ago: a full-blown food crisis.”

Below are some of the scenarios put before participants in the wargaming event last month:

- Harvest failures
- Palm oil exports cut
- Fertilizer crisis
- Unrest in the street as shortages hit locally
- Popular anger targets elites & corporations

As for “solutions” - interestingly conference participants were told (or rather took it as an assumption) that populations would have to be weaned off meat. Let them eat bugs?

“Day two started with a mindfulness session before focusing on policy proposals and any conclusions,” the Bloomberg journalist in attendance wrote. “There was little objection to the idea that diets need to shift toward healthier options and away from meat. Questions loomed over how best to manage food reserves and monitor the level of stockpiles.”

Just who it is that will “manage” food reserves is an interesting, and possibly scary, scenario to imagine as well.

Few governments in Europe are prepared for managing future food crises, according to Chris Hegadorn, a retired US diplomat who co-organized the workshop.
Originally published at Activist Post

https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=6751

OBSERVATION - They war-gamed the wuhan crisis months before it struck. Now they are wargaming a famine that begins this year sometime. Components of the engineered famine are already in place - such as fertilizer ‘shortages’ and EU limitations to reduce ‘global warming’.
This will be a manufactured crisis to wean off meat and onto bugs as well. There is as storm coming folks.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

CW2 issues are dominated today by acts of the Federal Govt directed against its citizens. These acts are in essence actions of war against a significant portion of the population. The fact that the govt has arrested and jailed individuals under these illegal and unethical acts is just gasoline of the fire.

***

Armed citizens start patrolling Hartford to keep streets clean and safe. This news item is still in progress. The section of Hartford has been plagued by violence over the past year, and locals are tired of the lip service paid by the mayor (who is against this) and govt. The group appears to be organized by a local minister and has in its midst “licensed “ CCW. They also spend time cleaning up trash and other issues in the neighborhood.

OBSERVATION - When I looked at the scale of violence in so many communities today, I’m surprised that there are not more community street ‘patrols’ out there. Though they don’t currently rise to what would be termed “vigilante”, that will not be too far off as local DAs and judges continue to cycle violent criminals and murders back onto the streets - with no consequences. Soon the dam may break and these criminals may face judgement on the street - but that time isn’t yet.

***

America First Legal filed a lawsuit Monday after the Justice Department refused to hand over its communications related to a report last June comparing parental rights organizations to the Ku Klux Klan.

The Southern Poverty Law Center, a leftist group known for putting mainstream conservative and Christian organizations on a “hate map” with Klan chapters, added parental rights groups such as Moms for Liberty and Parents Defending Education to that “hate map” in June.

Parental rights groups have raised the alarm about divisive racial lessons and transgender lessons in schools, often championed in the name of diversity, equity, and inclusion, or DEI. The SPLC supports these lessons through its education arm, Learning for Justice.

“The Department of Justice has made it a priority to silence parents who speak out against DEI and the government-sponsored transgender agenda that is being pushed in public schools to children as young as 5 years old,” Ian Prior, senior adviser at America First Legal, told The Daily Signal in a written statement Monday. “The Southern Poverty Law Center appears to have been part of that effort—adding parent organizations to its so-called ‘hate map’ in 2023.”

OBSERVATION - The news that the DoJ has been attached by the hip to the SPLC is not new news. Neither is the fact that DoJ targeted (and likely still does) parents expressing their rights and concerns over what public schools are teaching.

****
A special House Judiciary subcommittee has issued an alarming report that alleges federal law enforcement “commandeered financial institutions to spy on Americans” and used Merchant Category Codes (MCCs) “to search through transactions to detect potential criminals or ‘extremists.’”
According to the 56-page report’s Executive Summary, “These MCCs use keywords to comb through transactions, such as ‘small arms’ purchases or recreational stores such as ‘Cabela’s,’ ‘Bass Pro Shop,’ and ‘Dick’s Sporting Goods.’ Americans doing nothing other than shopping or exercising their Second Amendment rights were being tracked by financial institutions and federal law enforcement.”

https://www.ammoland.com/2024/03/report-feds-spied-on-citizens-likened-pro-gun-positions-with-violent-extremism/#axzz8UGI9yA5s

OBSERVATION - Govts do not generate this kind of databases unless they are planning to use them against the citizens. And if / when they do it, how will they apply it? Under current conditions, a mass operation to disarm Americans will result in massive push back, and likely dead/wounded. A more likely process would be to nibble around the edges, targeting ‘key leadership’ and cowing the rest to voluntarily surrender. The third is via a false flag event that devolves into martial law and massive sweeps to disarm. Bottom line, the swamp is planning on a CW2 scenario and is preparing the intelligence battlefield.

***
Detractors say that the law effectively grants intelligence agencies a means of circumventing the Constitution, while proponents say the law is necessary to stop time-sensitive terror threats.

Speaking to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on March 11, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said that the mechanism was invaluable to the interagency apparatus.

“The intelligence gathered pursuant to Section 702 was essential in preparing this annual threat assessment and is absolutely fundamental to every aspect of our work, as I know you know,” Ms. Haines told the committee.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/intelligence-leaders-implore-congress-not-to-end-surveillance-law-5605393?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport&src_src=partner&src_cmp=BonginoReport

OBSERVATION - Section 702 has been grossly violated - deliberately by democrat leftists in the DoJ - to illegally spy on Americans. I do not remember a single time-sensitive terror threat that has been stopped via 702 surveillance. Even after demonstrated lies to the FISA court, there has been no accountability for past abuse. Section 702 has grown into a monster.

***
If Trump wins the 2024 election, 57 percent of Democrat voters would oppose certifying the election, according to new polling from Rasmussen.
For all of their talk about how sacred ‘our democracy’ is over the last several years, Democrat voters don’t seem too keen on the idea of actual democracy.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/poll-majority-democrat-voters-oppose-certifying-2024-election/

OBSERVATION - Not unlike what they did with trump’s first election. What this may drive though is a greater degree of violence protesting.


Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.

This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024

ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.

RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.

***
FBI Director Chris Wray is concerned that illegal migrants coming across the southern border could potentially launch another 9/11 terrorist attack on U.S. soil.
The intelligence chief’s disclosure came during a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on the greatest worldwide threats facing the U.S. today.
The hearing was interrupted several times by pro-Palestine protestors shouting ‘ceasefire now!’ during remarks by the nation’s top spy chiefs.

When pressed by Cornyn about whether terrorists may be among the over 1.8 million ‘gotaways’ who have evaded capture by border officials, Wray said it’s possible.

He cited former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld saying ‘we don’t know what we don’t know.’

‘And I think there are many ways the national security ramifications of the issues at the border are better reflected in some ways more by what we don’t know about the people who snuck in, provided fake documents or in some other way, got in when there wasn’t sufficient information about the time they came in to connect the dots,’ said Wray.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13184623/fbi-director-wray-border-crossers-terror-attack-isis.html

OBSERVATION - SMH, Wray has directed so much resources to defining most of America as domestic terrorists, he has failed to fully go after REAL terrorists, relying on the largely hit and miss interceptions on the border. He is in CYA mode, so he can say “I told you so” when it hits the fan.


Economy-

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon on Tuesday urged the Federal Reserve to wait past June before cutting interest rates, arguing the central bank needs to shore up its inflation-fighting credibility.

“I think they have to be data-dependent. If I were them, I would wait,” Dimon said at the Australian Financial Review business summit via a livestream from New York.

“You can always cut it quickly and dramatically. Their credibility is a little bit at stake here. I would even wait past June and let it all sort it out.”

Markets are seeing an 84% probability the Fed will cut in June, while a total easing of 90 basis points have been priced in for the year.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/11/jpmorgans-dimon-says-he-sees-a-little-bit-of-a-bubble-in-equity-markets-right-now.html

OBSERVATION - Just what the Fed will do is a debated issue among economists. I recently noted that there are some who look to a potential increase in the prime, should the pending inflation numbers continue to rise like they have.

***
For the past nine months, the annual rate of inflation has held between 3% and 4%.

On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index climbed 3.2% in February — missing expectations of a slightly lower 3.1% reading, and coming in higher the 3.1% seen in January.

On a month over month basis, prices climbed 0.4% in February compared to 0.3% in January. That was in line with expectations. But the so-called core reading, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4%, above expectations for a reading of 0.3%.

The biggest hurdle, he said, has been getting what the Bureau of Labor Statistics refers to as shelter costs to come down. Those costs come in two main categories: rent and homeownership, called owners-equivalent rent.
Both categories have now spent months defying forecasts of a meaningful slowdown in price growth, remaining above 6% on a 12-month basis in January.
In February, shelter costs once again proved stubbornly high, climbing 5.7%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/inflation-february-2024-how-economy-is-doing-right-now-rcna142758

OBSERVATION - This will kick off further speculation on what the Fed’s next move will be. Be advised, these numbers, like all govt economic numbers, are likely skewed to a degree and will likely be adjusted in a negative manner (with respect to the desired narrative) at a later date.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Biden administration’s proposed 2025 budget would cut the Department of Veterans Affairs’ (VA) funding while pushing for increased spending for the wars in Ukraine and Gaza.

The budget “prioritizes Veterans’ Mental Health Services and Suicide Prevention for Veterans and Military Service members” by allocating $135 million to suicide prevention programs, according to a fact sheet.

The proposal would ultimately cut more than $5.6 billion from the VA’s budget, lowering the department’s discretionary allocation by about 4.2 percent.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/bidens-budget-cuts-va-spending-increases-funds-for-wars-in-ukraine-and-israel-5605144?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport&src_src=partner&src_cmp=BonginoReport

OBSERVATION - More on biden’s 2025 budget under Political Front.

***
Libs of TikTok on “X” revealed disturbing military training -

Mandatory training for military members teaches that America was founded on racism, and parents are too ignorant and dumb to teach their children about it. They think parents need to stay out of their kids’ education and shouldn’t have a say in what they learn.

Only ‘The State’ knows what’s best for your child and how to properly educate them.

An unclassified document for the U.S. Command and General Staff College in Fort Leavenworth, (K)ansas, allegedly shows that mandatory training for U.S. military members includes teachings that race is fictional; that racism is engrained in education, economic systems, and current laws; and that parents are incapable of properly teaching their children about racism.

OBSERVATION - I cannot conceive just what the heck this is doing as a component of CGSC? It is part of the cancerous CRT indoctrination that is designed to turn the military leaders against established American culture and norms. It is designed to further isolate the military from the civilians they are support to serve.

***
The US Air Force will request a total of $188.1 billion in the 2025 fiscal year, part of a budget submission that asks lawmakers to greenlight the retirement of 250 aircraft, officials revealed today.

The total list of the 250 retirements the service is seeking in FY25 is as follows:
- 32 F-22s
- 26 F-15Es
- 11 F-16C/Ds
- 65 F-15C/Ds
- 56 A-10s
- 22 T-1As
- 12 HH-60Gs
- 6 C-130Hs
- 1 EC-130H
- 2 CV-22s
- 1 E-11
- 16 KC-135s

OBSERVATION - When global threats from the likes of China are growing, USAF wants to shrink.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

John Stockton has filed a lawsuit over state sanctions on doctors who spread alleged COVID-19 disinformation.

The lawsuit names Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson and the executive director of the Washington Medical Commission as defendants. It seeks a preliminary and permanent injunction against a policy that allows the commission to discipline doctors who promote COVID-19 misinformation.

“There is no place for the government, under the guise of regulating physicians and protecting the public, to censure, restrict or sanction the content and viewpoint of the publicly expressed views of physicians on Covid or any other subject, just because the government does not like the message or thinks it is wrong,” the lawsuit states. “Going back 70 years every judge and Supreme Court justice who has written on professional soapbox speech has stated that it is fully protected by the First Amendment and/or said that it cannot be the subject of government regulation or restriction.”

https://www.khq.com/news/john-stockton-sues-washington-state-over-sanctions-for-covid-19-disinformation/article_5e4a593c-e005-11ee-b3ea-83f2a4c64f03.html

OBSERVATION - Never forget what the tyrannical govt and med community forced upon us in name of wuhan - the deliberate destruction of multiple aspects of peoples lives. They get no mulligans.


POLITICAL FRONT –

March 22, second funding deadline

Biden’s FY 2025 budget has hit the street with a magnitude 8.0 effect.

Rep. Jason Smith, R-Mo., chair of the House Ways and Means Committee, told Newsmax on Monday that President Joe Biden’s proposed $7.3 trillion budget for the 2025 fiscal year includes staggering tax increases for every American.
“His budget that he released today is the largest tax increase in the history of our country,” Smith told “The Record With Greta Van Susteren.” “Almost $5 trillion in new taxes, and that’s not even counting his proposal that he wants all of the 2017 Trump tax cuts to expire, as well.”

Smith said Biden’s budget includes an additional $104 billion for the IRS so it can audit more taxpayers. He said Americans don’t want to see a larger IRS but a more simpler tax code.

https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/jason-smith-joe-biden-budget/2024/03/11/id/1156857/

Some initial analysis indicates that there is almost $36,000 of tax hikes per family - includes direct as well as those passed through from businesses via higher costs.

This aims to increase GAS PRICES with over $100 billion in new taxes on traditional energy sources.

Over $300 BILLION to construct housing specifically for illegals.

Budget on paper will increase the deficit by well over 2 TRILLION.

OBSERVATION - The audacity of such a tax and spend heavy budget in the middle of a presidential election year is historically unheard of. What is appears that biden is trying to accomplish is to buy the election support, counting on the MSM keeping discussion of the price tag surpassed. Also, may indicate a degree of ‘confidence’ of reelection? This could turn into another dumpster fire for biden.

***

Judge Scott McAfee of Fulton County Superior Court is expected to rule this week on whether special prosecutor Nathan Wade, who had a romantic relationship with district attorney Fani Willis, should be excluded from its investigation and subsequent indictment of former President Donald Trump.

After listening to final arguments for three hours on March 1st from lawyers for Willis and a few of Trump’s co-defendants, McAfee stated that he intended to rule on the matter “over the next two weeks.”
https://www.oann.com/newsroom/da-fani-willis-disqualification-ruling-expected-this-week/

OBSERVATION - Liberal attorneys like Dershowitz and Turley have come out and said this should be a slam dunk - Willis and her paramour should be canned. The liberal judge in the case is in a pickle because by doing so, it likely will kill the case against Trump and bring down the heat of Soros-supported attacks.


Biden / Harris Watch –
In a shocking announcement, Special Prosecutor Robert Hur resigned Monday from the DOJ in order to testify Tuesday before Congress as a private citizen. Such a move would reportedly allow his testimony without any restrictions from the DoJ.

This could turn the cart over for biden on the whole ‘mental’ capacity issue from his investigation and reveal DoJ interference in the final report.

Break out the popcorn.


North/South Korea –

Despite large orders from Russia for weapons to use against Ukrainians, shortages of raw materials and electrical power have left some North Korean arms factories only able to produce 30 percent of their full capacity. North Korea has not been able to obtain the metals and explosives needed to build lots more 152mm shells or unguided rockets fired in salvos from launchers on trucks that hold 20 or 40 rockets that can be launched at once. The problem is that North Korea is unable to obtain the metal, explosives and gunpowder needed to build enough 152mm shells and unguided rockets to fill Russian orders. North Korea had already shipped millions of old 152mm shells and thousands of old unguided rockets from its stockpiles. It took North Korea decades to accumulate these stockpiles. When Russia offered to buy these weapons and pay with cash and food, the North Koreans could not resist. Now they are encountering problems producing more shells and rockets for Russia, and replacements for their own stocks, but find they don’t have raw materials to build more than 30 percent of the Russian demand. For decades North Korea arms factories operated at low capacity to produce shells, rockets, and bullets for stockpiles to be used in a war with South Korea. Now North Korea has unexpectedly large orders from Russia but can’t obtain the raw materials needed to fill those orders.

https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htproc/articles/20240312.aspx


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.

Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -

- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.

Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.

With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.

In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.

Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.

Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.

Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..

While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.

Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).

Economic Impact –

Russia is weighing options for big tax increases to raise as much as 4 trillion roubles (US$44 billion) as the war in Ukraine puts growing pressure on the government’s coffers.

Tax hikes on corporate profits and on high-earning individuals are being considered, two people involved in the discussions said, asking not to be identified because the matter isn’t public.

The government may raise personal income tax to 20 per cent from 15 per cent now for those earning more than 5 million roubles, and company taxation to 25 per cent from 20 per cent, according to the “Important Stories” news site and confirmed by two people involved in the discussions.
https://www.scmp.com/news/world/russia-central-asia/article/3255013/russia-weighs-post-election-tax-rises-fund-war-ukraine?utm_source=rss_feed

OBSERVATION - The suspected timing of these tax increases is post Russian election - so as not to inflame any further resistance to putin.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow in the forecast..

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Things remain relatively stable along the fronts. Activity by the Legion of Freedom of Russia will provide some degree of distraction. Even greater if they have a better plan than last year.

Avdiivka -

Russian Ministry of Defense claimed control over Nevelske of Donetsk region

Russian Territory –

The military alliance of the “Legion of Freedom of Russia”, the RDK and the Siberian Battalion has started a spring liberation campaign, - the statement of the Freedom of Russia Movement.

Firefight reported in Belgorod.
A number of electronic services of the government of the Belgorod region were hacked in a cyberattack, messages from governor were distributed

Partisan Resistance ——

Several streets closed in Russian occupied Bryansk. According to governor, due to the counterterrorism measures.

Outlook —
The “Legion of Freedom of Russia” has popped back up on the radar screen with more sortes into Russian border areas. Evidence seen in the notes above.

Inspire of persistent attacks, the front lines have generally stabilized to a new normal. Russia is making progress retrofitting massive bombs into gliding munitions, allowing jets to stand off from Ukraine ADA and launch attacks.
Ukraine, on its part is keeping the pressure up on the deep war, continuing to hit soft Russian petroleum and manufacturing sites that are poorly guarded by ADA.


Europe / NATO General –

Portugal has now joined the growing list of nations embracing right-nationalism.

In yesterday’s parliament election,the “far-right” Chega party won a shocking FORTY EIGHT parliamentary seats.

For perspective, these were their previous electoral performances:

2019: 1.3% (1 seat)
2022: 7.2% (12 seats)
2024: 18% (48 seats)

The oppose globalism, immigration, and socialism.


ISRAEL –

Now the war is in its 5th month.

Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8

Key overnight developments -

- The immanency of the push into Rafah is stimulating more cries from the west and arab countries not to do it.

- Significant escalation of strike/counter strikes between Hezbollah and Israel.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.

***

Politico - Biden is considering imposing conditions on military aid to Israel if it proceeds with the invasion of Rafah

***
European Union leaders will demand an “immediate humanitarian pause leading to a sustainable ceasefire” in Gaza and urge Israel not to launch a ground operation in Rafah, according to draft conclusions of a summit to take place next week.

“The European Council urges the Israeli government to refrain from a ground operation in Rafah, where well over a million Palestinians are currently seeking safety from the fighting and access to humanitarian assistance,” says the draft text, seen by Reuters.

***
Israeli security services are considering enlisting the aid of the Palestinian Authority in building the system that will be responsible for running the Gaza Strip and dispensing humanitarian aid. One of the names being considered is Majid Faraj, the head of PA intelligence and a close confidant of PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas.

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reportedly raised the possibility, alongside that of other Palestinian officials, in one of the closed meetings regarding the management of civilian life in Gaza.

Officials involved in the meeting stated that those mentioned are not appointed by Hamas and not affiliated with them, and that Faraj is not the only such name.

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/386610

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Israel launched several major airstrikes in the far northern end of the Bekaa valley. Lebanese media reporting an alleged Israeli strike in northeastern Lebanon’s Baalbek, close to Dar al-Amal Hospital, near the town of Saraain in the Baalbek District, and in Nabi Chit, Beqaa governorate.

At least 30 rockets fired towards northern Israel in the recent sirens in Kiryat Shmona, Ma’alot Tarshikha and surroundings. A missile was launched at the Israeli site of Al-Samaqa in the Kafr Shuba hills in southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah fired some 70 rockets at the Golan Heights, according to the Israeli army. There are no reports of injuries

———WEST BANK——————————-

Israeli security forces arrested 25 Palestinians in the West Bank, including former prisoners.

***
Israeli security forces operating in Samaria killed a Palestinian terrorist on his way to carry out an imminent attack, the Israel Defense Forces and Israel Security Agency (Shin Bet) said in a statement on Monday.
Muhammad Jaber, a resident of the terror hub of Jenin in northern Samaria, was killed by the IDF’s Duvdevan undercover counterterror unit in Zeita, in the area of the Judea and Samaria security barrier.

According to local media reports, Jaber was caught “en route to Israeli territory” armed with weapons and explosives. The Kan News public broadcaster said he had planned to carry out an attack in Tel Aviv.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

CENTCOM - Iranian-backed Houthi terrorists fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles from Houthi-controlled areas of into the Red Sea toward merchant vessel Pinocchio, a Singaporean-owned, Liberian-flagged ship. The missiles did not impact the vessel and there were no injuries or damage reported. Between 2:50-11:30 p.m. (Sanaa time) on March 11, United States Central Command conducted six self-defense strikes destroying an unmanned underwater vessel and 18 anti-ship missiles in Houthi controlled areas of Yemen.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.

Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.

Escalation of the fight in the north is becoming serious. Approximately 100 rockets overall launched at various targets, while IAF strikes major Hezbollah targets deep in the northern Bekaa valley - heart of Hezbollah ‘safe’ territory. Will the cycle spin up even harder remains to be seen in the next few days.


Iran –

(FO) Tomorrow, Iran will kick off its annual Maritime Security Belt exercise, historically referred to as its “Trilateral Exercise. The exercise will now include Iran, Russia, China, Oman, Azerbaijan, Pakistan, and South African Naval forces. The stated purpose is to “strengthen regional security, promote collective cooperation, display the capabilities to provide concerted support for world peace and maritime security, and create a sea-based community with a common fate.”



283 posted on 03/12/2024 7:48:05 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson )
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