CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Millions of Americans, depressed by the ideological divide in America, harbor a wish that something or someone can bridge this divide.
This wish is understandable. But it is fantasy. The divide is unbridgeable. One might as well wish that daily consumption of a hot fudge sundae will lead to weight loss.
If you still think the left-right divide is bridgeable, it is only because it is too painful to confront the tragic reality of contemporary American life: Today’s left-right divide is at least as great as the North-South divide before and during the Civil War. The only thing that remains the same is that it was the Democratic Party that opposed freedom then, and it is the Democratic Party that opposes freedom today.
OBSERVATION - Commentary covers a lot of the dividing issues of today - issues that have sparked violent protests by the left in recent months. These are issues that by their nature have no middle ground upon which to move towards. Add them to the broader geopolitical divides (yes these in the article are also part of) like CBDC, globalism goals, etc and the move towards a separation if growing every day.
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
***
The FBI is hunting for an alleged Iranian spy who is accused of plotting to assassinate former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and other American officials.
Majid Dastjani Farahani speaks Farasi, French, Spanish and English and frequently travels between Iran and Venezuela, according to an alert Friday by the agency’s Miami field office.
The 41-year-old suspected member of Iran’s brutal Ministry of Intelligence and Security had been recruiting “individuals for operations in the U.S., to include lethal targeting of current/former [U.S. government] officials,” the FBI said.
The alert came as Iran sought to avenge the 2020 US assassination of Major General Qasem Soleimani under Pompeo’s watch.
Farahani had been recruiting individuals “as revenge” for Soleimani’s death, according to the feds.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
***
SUPER TUESDAY!
****
Massive melt down over the USSC decision on the 14 Amendment. A few examples of note -
Keith Oberman (from “X”). “The Supreme Court has betrayed democracy. Its members including Jackson, Kagan and Sotomayor have proved themselves inept at reading comprehension. And collectively the “court” has shown itself to be corrupt and illegitimate.”
“It must be dissolved.”
Whoopi Goldberg even leaves libs co-hosts on The View STUNNED LIVE on-air after suggesting Biden should “throw every Republican in jail” if Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump
Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold looks like she’s about to cry on MSNBC:
“It will be up to the American voters to save our democracy.”
Congress will have to try and act,” Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), the ranking member of the House Oversight Committee, told Axios. Raskin pointed to legislation he introduced with Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.) in 2022 creating a pathway for the Justice Department to sue to keep candidates off the ballot under the 14th Amendment.
“We are going to revise it in light of the Supreme Court’s decision,” Raskin said.
OBSERVATION - NOTE, this can almost be equally categorized under CW2. I realize that Oberman and Whoopi are absolute nut jobs of the left, who’s minds have turned to jello a long time ago. However, they vocalize feelings of the left in general and is echoed by Griswold and Raskin in their own way. They are willing to destroy the constitution and even the supreme court (no longer stacking it but deleting it altogether) in order to get trump.
The effort at warfare by the dems has hit rocks lately. The USSC has also taken on the immunity of a president - to the dismay of democrats. Trumps Georgia trial is imploding due to prosecutorial malfeasance between the love birds. Smith’s classified doc trial is floundering as is his charges of compliance with the events of J6.
One gets concerned as these efforts fall by the way side - how desperate will the democrats get and will they try to initial a lethal means?
***
Attorney General Merrick Garland announced today that the Biden DOJ is working to END voter ID laws.
OBSERVATION - At this stage, the goal is to obtain temporary restraining orders the purpose of which is to tie these law up and prevent their execution during the November elections. There is a lot of support for these laws out there and an overt attempt by the DoJ may not be taken very well by the electorate, placing biden in even a deeper hole popularity wise.
Illegal Immigration –
Biden administration admits to transporting 320,000 illegal aliens on secret flights into the U.S. to reduce the number of crossings.
Lawyers for its immigration agencies claim revealing the locations could create national security “vulnerabilities.”
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Soldiers from the Tennessee National Guard are deploying down to the southern border after President Joe Biden has continued to fail to take any meaningful action to contain the crisis.
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A Federal appeals court will allow Texas law SB 4 to take effect on March 9th. The law allows Texas authorities to detain and deport illegal immigrants themselves, without waiting on assistance from federal authorities.
The decision was short lived. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito on Monday temporarily blocked a judicial decision. His order is set to expire on March 13 but he or the full Supreme Court could take further action before then. Alito handles certain emergency matters involving cases from a group of states including Texas.
***
New numbers from the CBP. Per CBP sources, there were once again 7,000+ migrant encounters at the southern border yesterday, the 3rd day in a row of 7,000, putting us at 21k over the last 72 hrs. Still much lower than the highs of December, (10-11k per day), but moving out of Jan/Feb “slow” months. We are teed up for a spring surge. Tucson, AZ and San Diego sectors continue to see the most illegal crossings as traffic shifts away from Texas.
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The last three years have seen a notable 7300% surge in the number of people migrating from Venezuela to the United States, influenced by changes in U.S. immigration policies. However, this substantial increase has raised concerns, illustrated by an incident involving Jose Antonio Ibarra, a Venezuelan migrant, who committed a crime in the U.S.
The surge in Venezuelan migrants has also triggered concerns about the country’s association with terrorism. The Venezuelan government’s issuance of travel documents to individuals linked to terrorism and its ties with Iran have raised questions about the potential presence of terrorist groups.
According to a State Department report, Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro and his associates engage in criminal activities to maintain their power, fostering an environment conducive to known terrorist groups. This includes connections with communist revolutionaries like the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC-D) and the Colombian National Liberation Army (ELN).
https://lawenforcementtoday.com/challenges-emerge-as-u-s-faces-7300-surge-in-venezuelan-migration
OBSERVATION - I posted in a previous bleat that violent crime in Venezuela had significantly dropped. We see where all these criminals went. Continuing in headlines is violence being committed by Venezuelans here illegally and NYC is swamped by the new gang activity organized by the same groups.
***
The Georgia House of Representatives passed a bill that requires police and sheriff’s departments to help identify illegal aliens, arrest them, and detain them for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
The vote for House Bill 1105 was 97-74. This vote came as police charged Jose Ibarra, an illegal alien from Venezuela, for the assault and murder of Laken Riley. Ibarra illegally entered the United States in 2022. Laken was a nursing student at Augusta University’s Athens campus who began her college career at the University of Georgia. She was murdered while jogging on a popular trail on UGA’s campus last week.
OBSERVATION - Recent murderous attacks by illegals - that should have been prevented, is escalating the problems of illegals and crime as the election nears. DHS refuses to act to get a lid on these actions - forcing the states to do so - and the regime then turns around and takes them to court to permit the tsunami to continue unabated.
China –
China has set its economic growth target for 2024 at 5 percent, far below the double-digit growth that for decades powered the world’s second-largest economy.
China’s rubber-stamp National People’s Congress (NPC) officially unveiled the target on Tuesday as its $18 trillion economy is facing serious headwinds.
“We should communicate policies to the public in a well-targeted way to create a stable, transparent and predictable policy environment,” Chinese Premier Li Qiang said as he delivered his maiden work report outlining policy goals for the year.
Li said Beijing would push ahead with “transforming the growth model”, including through tax reform, fostering talent in tech, boosting domestic consumption, removing barriers to private investment, and issuing 1 trillion yuan ($139 bn) in special government bonds.
China’s economic roadmap, which matches last year’s goal, comes as the Chinese economy is grappling with multiple challenges, including a property crisis, slowing exports, geopolitical tensions with the United States, population decline, huge debt and record youth unemployment.
China’s economy officially grew 5.2 percent in 2023, its weakest performance in decades excluding the COVID-19 pandemic downturn.
China’s government announced a 2024 defense budget of RMB 1.67 trillion ($230.6 billion), a nominal 7.2% increase from last year. That is the same % growth seen in 2023, and similar to other recent years.
OBSERVATION - Govt directed economy, didn’t work for the Soviet Union and hasn’t worked for the Chicoms since walking back from more open capitalism. Essentially it seems to me that they are just trying to maintain ground from last year. Indicates that there are still substantial problems undercutting China’s economic foundations.
Phillipines –
China’s coast guard has fired water at a Philippine boat in the disputed territory of the South China Sea.
Earlier, the Philippines accused China of “dangerous manoeuvres” after their coast guard vessels collided in the area on Tuesday.
The Philippine Coast Guard said it was near the Second Thomas Shoal - known in Chinese as the Ren’ai Jiao - when the incident occurred.
In a post on Twitter, a Philippines official said its vessel suffered “minor structural damage”.
He shared footage showing the vessels hitting then scraping against each other.
Chinese state media reported that the China Coast Guard “lawfully took measures against a Philippines vessel”.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Follow up from yesterday. Russian police have killed 6 members of an armed group after a 13 hour firefight in the town of Karabulak in the Republic of Ingushetia (right next to Chechnya).
Economic Impact –
Poland plans to ask the EU to impose sanctions on Russian and Belarusian agricultural products and foodstuffs, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on March 4.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow arriving towards the end of the forecast period.
Ukraine’s GUR intelligence reports that a cyber warfare operation caused a “massive failure” in Russia’s drone program. The agency said its hackers corrupted software used by Russian UAVS, causing their flight controls to fail.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Fierce fighting across several fronts as Russian presses to take advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages and improved soil conditions.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 18 of 22 Shahed drones overnight in the Odesa region.
Front lines remained relatively stable overnight. Mostly positional engagements with no confirmed changes to the frontline.
The Black Sea Fleet took another big hit overnight. Russian sources report that Ukrainian naval kamikaze drones successfully attacked the Russian Project 22160 Patrol Ship “Sergey Kotov” in the temporarily occupied Feodosia Crimea region.
5 large detonations were reported on Sergei Kotov from perhaps up to 6 (or more) USVs with at least 4 causing significant damage. Videos released show the vessel attempting to fire at the USVs with no success until the first impact.
The attacks initially caused the Kersch Bridge to be closed, but it has since been reopened.
Avdiivka -
The Russian advance has stopped in the Avdiivka sector.
Crimean front —
At least 10 people detained, including director Rustem Osmanov as FSB launched new wave of searches at houses of Crimeantatars in occupied Crimea
Russian Territory –
Russian media reports an oil depot was attacked by drones in the village of Dolgoye in the Belgorod region –. 100km from Ukraine border. At least two tanks were hit and set on fire.
Outlook —
The pause in Russian’s offensive has some indicators that they have over run their supply chain in part. Russian logistics has continued to be a weak link in their ground offensives. This pause is giving Ukraine time to better prepare its new lines of defense for the next attempted advance. Second, is that Russia CAS has disappeared for a second day in a row. I’ve seen some rumors that the Russian aircraft may have defective countermeasures that is assisting in the shutdowns.
The Black Sea Fleet continues to suffer big losses.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas claims not to know how many hostages they still have under confinement.
- Cease-fire talks between Hamas and mediators broke up Tuesday in Cairo with no breakthrough
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
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Hamas official Basem Naim said on Monday to AFP that the terror group did not know which of the hostages were dead or alive.
Basem also added that the hostages were held by many terror groups in different locations in the Gaza Strip.
According to Basem, a ceasefire is necessary for Hamas to ascertain how many and which hostages it is still holding.
Continuing the BBC interview, Naim asserted that information relating to the hostages was “valuable” and could not be given “for free.”
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-790201
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The United Nation’s envoy on sex crimes during conflict presented a report Monday at the UN indicating that rape and gang rape likely occurred during the October 7 Hamas onslaught against southern Israel, that “clear and convincing” evidence shows that hostages were raped while being held in Gaza, and that those currently held captive are still facing such abuse.
The 24-page report, based on more than two weeks of meetings on the ground, states that there are “reasonable grounds” to believe that Hamas committed rape and sexual abuse during its murderous rampage on October 7, and that there is an even higher standard of evidence to indicate that hostages kidnapped by Hamas that day were subject to rape in captivity.
Israel in response accused the UN of playing down the report and dragging its feet on looking into the allegations, while trying to silence the accusations — something the UN secretary general swiftly denied.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-20/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
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The largest Hamas terror tunnel discovered in northern Gaza, which had multiple branches and was dug from the northern Gaza Strip toward Israeli territory, was recently destroyed by the IDF.
The IDF first discovered the tunnel on December 16, 2023, and since then has been engaged in studying and dismantling it.
In December, the IDF published footage of Muhammad Sinwar, brother of Hamas leader Yahya SInwar, traveling in a vehicle in the tunnel.
***
The IDF said on Tuesday that some 50 Hamas targets were attacked in Gaza in the past day including rocket launchers, weapons storages and tunnel shafts.
IDF captured 1,200 terror suspects in western Khan Younis, including 85 terrorists involved in Oct. 7 massacre, after launching surprise assault on weekend; Israeli forces searching homes & mosques for tunnels & Hamas leadership hideouts
IDF destroyed 20 km of strategic tunnels in Khan Younis, Hamas division in the city was defeated & no longer able to operate as a large terror force; captured terrorists providing actionable intel.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Lebanese media reports that more than 30 missiles were launched from Lebanon towards northern Israel.
Israel responded with an intense series of airstrikes.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Arrests continue in numerous cities in the West Bank. Associated with those raids, clashes break out between arabs and Israeli security forces.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthi militants fired an anti-ship ballistic missile from Yemen into the southern Red Sea. The missile impacted the water with no reported damage or injuries to commercial or U.S. Navy ships. Between the hours of 3:50p.m. and 4:15p.m. (Sanaa time), Iranian-backed Houthi militants fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles from Yemen into the Gulf of Aden at M/V MSC SKY II, a Liberian-flagged, Swiss-owned container vessel. One of the missiles impacted the vessel causing damage. Initial reports indicate there were no injuries; the ship did not request assistance and continued on its way.At 8 p.m. (Sanaa time), CENTCOM forces conducted self-defense strikes against two anti-ship cruise missiles that presented an imminent threat to merchant vessels and U.S. Navy ships in the region.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Indian embassy in Israel says it advises Indians working in Israeli border areas to relocate to safe areas within the country aftar a worker killed yesterday in Hezbollah attack. One killed, 7 wounded in Hezbollah missile attack on a border town in northern Israel
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations. From recent days, considerable tunnel and bunker networks are still being discovered, needing to be cleared and destroyed.
Recent heavy fighting has caused considerable losses to Hamas et al. There will still be pockets of resistance, but they are becoming increasingly isolated.
Israel continues to shape the battlefield for its eventual entry into Rafah. The big arab / hamas ploy is to try to generate support against a Ramadan offensive. israel is holding it over Hamas head, and Hamas / Hezbollah threatening to escalate. Next few days will tell where this is going.
And they don't take off for their holy days.
No post today folks, have a bunch of other things demanding my time today. Will catch up tomorrow.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
OTTAWA, Ontario (LifeSiteNews) — An Albertan Christian is being forced to undergo second “hate crime” trial after already being acquitted in 2021.
On February 15, the Supreme Court of Canada ruled that Christian activist Bill Whatcott must be retried for “Wilful Promotion of Hatred” for distributing flyers warning against homosexual acts during the June 2016 gay “Pride Parade” in Toronto. “The Supreme Court of Canada rendered its decision this morning and upheld the Ontario Court of Appeal’s decision that my acquittal for ‘Wilful Promotion of Hatred’ be overturned and a new trial be ordered,” Whatcott wrote on his blog.
Whatcott’s legal battle began in 2016 after he and a half dozen other Christian activists entered the Toronto gay “Pride Parade” under the guise of being members of “The Gay Zombies Cannabis Consumers Association.”
Whatcott being forced to undergo a trial for a crime which he has already been acquitted of came just weeks before the federal Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau introduced Bill C-63, seeking to create the “Online Harms Act.”
Bill C-63 will create the Online Harms Act and modify existing laws, amending the Criminal Code as well as the Canadian Human Rights Act, in what the Liberals claim will target certain cases of internet content removal, notably those involving child sexual abuse and pornography.
In addition to these laudable goals, however, the bill also seeks to increase punishments for existing hate propaganda offenses in a substantial manner, as well as seeking to broaden the scope of the government’s ability to crackdown on speech.
OBSERVATION - Canada is one of the test beds of WEF / Globalism expansion with a PM and liberal govt as willing accomplices. Its been noted one of the biggest efforts of WEF affiliated govts and agencies is the silencing of any thing or any one (in this instance) who takes a biblically based stance against any of their goals - in this case promotion of LGBT and all the other sexual ‘isms’ designed to destroy the nuclear family and promote sexual anarchy.
Don’t think it is coming here? Guess again America, it already has in many instances - just keep up with the news.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Also is a function of illegal immigration -
“The city of Chicago has become a time bomb, and it is a prime example of a very disturbing trend that is happening all over America. Criminal gangs are thriving in most of our major urban areas, and Joe Biden’s open border policies are greatly fueling their growth. “
“The Chicago Police Department maintains two massive gang databases, collectively labeling more than 280,000 people as “gang members.” 95% of those people listed are people of color, most being young men in their late teens and 20s, but also thousands being Black and Latinx youth and elders.”
“However, the size of the Chicago Police Department was essentially unchanged on Johnson’s 100th day in office as compared with his first day in office. CPD had 12,360 employees on Johnson’s first full day in office and 12,363 employees on Monday, according to a city database. The number of sworn officers has also remained steady, with 11,720 officers on duty as of May 1, and 11,722 on the force as of Aug. 1, according to a database maintained by the Chicago Police Department.”
“Once I had the numbers, I did the math, and I discovered that gang members now outnumber police in the city of Chicago by a ratio of 22 to 1.”
OBSERVATION - For those living in and around these urban hell holes - I recommend doing what ever you can to get out of there -ASAP. As the article notes - this is a nation wide problem.
I’ve commented time and again, when things go sideways - and there are many scenarios - the urban areas will become a war zone of crime, gang wars and death. Gangs will initially take advantage of the lack of law enforcement to settle grudges, then seize what ever ‘prizes’ they can via uncontrolled looting. then they will fan out into surrounding suburban areas to do the same. Finally, as deliveries of supplies that urban centers need to survive, the fight over resources such as food and water will break out.
These actions will locally create CW2 conditions (if not outright linked to a larger, national event) as rural red areas work to contain the mobs in the urban zones. On a small scale, that is where the major fighting is likely to occur.
As the article also notes - the vast influx of illegals with substantial criminal past is flooding into the urban gangs - key example is the Venezuelan gang beginning to put the squeeze on NYC. They are a time bomb waiting for an excuse to explode.
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
***
Steven Crowder, the conservative pundit, obtained an exclusive copy of the document that was originally sent to law enforcement at the federal and state level in Tennessee. The bulletin was issued on Feb. 29. However, the general public was never made aware of the threat.
Homeland Security released a statement to KWAM News Radio Memphis confirming the bulletin:
“On March 1, 2024, The Tennessee Office of Homeland Security issued an officer safety bulletin to Tennessee and surrounding states’ law enforcement agencies based on information provided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Memphis Field Office regarding Benjamin Dayton. Recently, law enforcement agencies in Arkansas made contact with Mr. Dayton and the bulletin was allowed to expire.”
OBSERVATION - Article asks the question why this wasn’t more widely distributed or announced. Reason - this guy targeted MAGA supporters.
Economy-
Quietly, in the background, gold prices have steadily climbed. Gold hit a new all-time nominal high, surpassing the previous record set in December of the previous year. The precious metal’s price reached approximately $2,140. There are currently no ‘down’ drivers either. Some analysts note that the driving force behind gold’s price increase appears to be foreign central banks, which have been significant buyers of the metal.
Its sister metal - silver - has been far more volatile lately. However, for buyers of physical metal (the only thing I could recommend) the prices for Eagles or even rounds is outrageously high due to demand as well. If you want to get diversified - take the time and research and talk to experts if necessary.
***
Rumors are flying that another round of bank failures is imminent. New York Community Bancorp stock has fallen 40% and trading in the stock has been HALTED by the Stock Exchange.
Industry insiders say “It’s over for that bank; it cannot survive.”
There are numerous other banks in the same predicament.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Never forget what the leftist globalists said and did during the wuhan plandemic.
One ultra-left extremist was so sure what he believed was the gospel that he wanted unvaccinated people arrested and put away in concentration camps. Ian Vandaelle was a Canadian business journalist who worked as a reporter and editor at the Financial Post. Before that, he was a producer at BNN Bloomberg for over a decade.
However, during the “plandemic,” he called for vaccine passports and mandates in posts on social media. He even called for the firing of anyone who refused the injections.
Karma visited him -
Stephanie Hughes, Vandaelle’s partner, revealed that he died suddenly. In a post on X, she made this announcement:
It’s with a heavy heart today that I say he was declared neurologically deceased this week and taken off life support this morning.
The cause of Vandaelle’s sudden death has not been made public.
Sudden death - the diagnosis of a plethora of wuhan mRNA jab syndromes that have killed millions.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
***
Saw an article showing that Trump over performed biden in every Super Tuesday state by a considerable margin. This is an indicator of voter enthusiasm- going to Trump bigley
***
The House passed the first half of its annual appropriations bills on Wednesday, marking the first step toward avoiding a government shutdown that is scheduled to start over the weekend.
Lawmakers passed the spending bill with a 339-85 vote, overcoming the two-thirds threshold needed to advance the lower chamber. The spending legislation passed after overwhelming support from House Democrats who countered the 83 Republicans who voted against the measure, helping push them past the finish line.
OBSERVATION - this ‘minibus’ is chock full of billions of dollars worth of earmarks. One of the more outrageous earmarks was for one million dollars in taxpayer money toward a Philadelphia-based LGBTQ group that hosts a monthly bondage, discipline, sadism, masochism (BDSM) “fetish” party.
Sen. Bob Casey, Sen. John Fetterman, and Rep. Brendan Boyle, all D-PA, had advocated for the earmark toward the William Way LGBT Community Center (popularly known as “WayGay”). Casey and Boyle are self-professed Catholics. Following much pushback from critics, both Casey and Fetterman requested that the Senate Committee on Appropriations remove the earmark from the spending package late Tuesday.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Dates to watch -
March 7 - State of the union
****
Tonight is the SOTU. Observers are wondering just how juiced up biden will be for this way past his bedtime event. Odds are it will not last long. Some think biden will work to reconcile the country by further dividing the country. Stay tuned on the inevitable FR live thread(s).
Jill Biden has invited Kate Cox, a Texas woman at the heart of a recent media narrative intended to discredit pro-life laws, to attend Joe Biden’s State of the Union Address this Thursday evening as a special guest, signaling Biden’s intentions to double down on pro-abortion messaging.
both Trump and Tucker Carlson promise play-by-play commentary as the speech goes on live.
Illegal Immigration –
On Monday, Gov. Hobbs vetoed the “Arizona Border Invasion Act” (Senate Bill 1231) which would have made illegal immigration a state crime, thus allowing police to arrest lawbreakers and do the job the Biden Administration has been loath to do.
The bill would have:
- Made it a misdemeanor to illegally enter the state between official ports of entry.
- Made it a felony to enter the state after being deported, and
- Made it a felony to refuse to refuse to comply after having been deemed inadmissible and ordered to leave.
In her veto letter, Gov. Hobbs claims the bill would not have secured the border but, instead, would have hurt Arizona’s businesses and communities, while placing an addition burden on the justice system.
North/South Korea –
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has ordered heightened readiness for war after inspecting troops at a major military operations base in the country’s west.
The state-run Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) did not reveal the location of the base in its report on Thursday.
The North Korean leader said the military must “dynamically usher in a new heyday of intensifying the war preparations in line with the requirements of the prevailing situation”, according to KCNA.
“Our army should … steadily intensify the actual war drills aimed at rapidly improving its combat capabilities for perfect war preparedness,” he added.
OBSERVATION - Comments come as SK/US conduct their annual Freedom Shield large-scale military exercises. Such rhetoric is not uncommon from NK during joint exercises.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Logistics –
Russia is managing to produce about 30 T-72/80/90 series tanks per month. These have been supplied to its designated ‘elite’ units instead of the T54/55 and T62s they have been receiving. These are the tanks primarily showing up on the offensive axis. The older tanks are being forwarded to Russian National Guard units.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow arriving towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The tempo has slowed up considerably across the fronts as Russia appears to have generally instituted a tactical pause - likely to restore logistical lines and move fresh units forward. .
Yesterday, Ukrainian air defense shot down 38 of 42 Shahed drones and 3 Ukrainian drones were reportedly shot down over Voronezh region.
In general, the front lines have been relatively static, no significant gains by Russia. News out (below) of renewed attacks in the Robotyne axis, but are not going well for Russia.
The Greek publication OEMA reports that Russia launched a missile strike on the convoy with Zelensky in Odesa ahead of his meeting with Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis. The missile landed 150 meters from the Greek delegation, where the Prime Minister was present.
The Greek delegation is safe, and both leaders made a joint statement later.
Russia has resumed flying air sorties, however, they are using glide bombs, released a fair distance from the combat zone, to avoid Ukrainian ADA. Bombs have big impact, but have to be programmed, taking away some of the flexibility CAS supplies.
Robotyne Axis -.
Russian troops intensified offensive attempts at Robotyne and Verbove. Reports of a major enemy assault being repelled at Robotyne with 10 vehicles destroyed.
Russian Territory –
One of the largest plants producing raw iron ore materials in Russia in Zheleznogorsk, Kursk Oblast, was attacked by unidentified flying objects. Reportedly, the drone struck right into the fuel tank on the territory of the plant.
The facility is sanctioned by the US and the UK as it’s linked to oligarch Alisher Usmanov.
Outlook —
Yesterday we nearly had a full blown NATO Art 5 situation from the Russia missile strike targeting Zelensky and Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis. It is believed that the location of the meeting was leaked to Russian elements, who targeted the event. They had to know the Greek PM was in attendance. The war drums of NATO have been beating loud lately, and this would have been just the excuse necessary to trigger more direct involvement. Even as it is, it will light NATO’s fires even more.
The pause in Russian’s offensive is going to hurt them in the long run. They are losing momentum and giving Ukraine time to reinforce their defenses. Along the 5 axis, Russia has massed a numerically superior force, but in war, defense generally favors the defender, and they are playing on Ukraine’s home field.
Evidence that the defense has stiffened comes from the defeat of a fairly large force at Robotyne with 10 of the attacking vehicles destroyed, with others likely forced to retreat. This poorly designed Russian tactic only makes it harder to sustain an offensive. At Robotyne they face a second disadvantage - their own obstacles that were installed to blunt Ukraine’s offensive. It not only channels their approaching forces thru gaps in the barriers, but then forces them into kill zones originally used against Ukraine.
Moldova/Transnistria -
France entering into a treaty with Moldova in a move to counter separatist element’s in Transnistria calls for Russian help.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 10 - April 8
Key overnight developments -
- Israel has potentially set a March 15th deadline for Hezbollah pull back to the Litany River as per UN directive.
- The first civilians have been killed by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea region.
- Hezbollah launched a large rocket barrage, about 70, towards Israel. The barrage was blunted by Iron Dome interceptors.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
***
Foreign Minister Israel Katz has directed all embassies within the State of Israel to begin a large-scale hasbara (public diplomacy) campaign immediately on Thursday morning, in light of the findings of the UN report on sexual violence in the Hamas massacre on October 7.
The report was published by the UN Special Representative on Sexual Violence in Conflict, Pramila Patten, on Monday. The report expresses that she and her team of experts had found “clear and convincing information” of rape and sexualized torture being committed against hostages seized during the October 7 terror attacks.
The campaign’s objective is to keep the report in the public discourse so that people will not forget its findings.
The aim is to put pressure on the UN to define Hamas as a terrorist organization and to ensure an emergency meeting of the Security Council in order to discuss the findings of the report.
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/2024-03-07/live-updates-790648
***
Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
***
Hamas has gone to setting up vigilante groups called “People’s Protection Committees” around Rafah late last month. As the Hamas ‘police’ have been targeted by IDF as elements of Hamas, they’ve gone to this tactic to keep the population under submission to Hamas.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Yesterday, Hezbollah attacked the city of Kiryat Shmona with about 70 missiles. Iron Dome prevented any casualties. Israeli media: reported power outages in areas of Galilee the attack.
Israeli fighters jets just buzzed the Bekaa Valley southern Lebanon - Hezbollah’s home turf. Locals reporting that low altitude flights shook buildings.
***
Hezbollah media is alleging that Israel had notified “western countries” of a “deadline” until March 15th for a “diplomatic resolution” of the conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon. They allege that Israel threatened to “escalate its military action, even if it will lead to a full extent war” if the deadline will not be met
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli media: Power outage in areas of Galilee after being subjected to heavy missile strikes
———WEST BANK——————————-
Arrests continue in numerous cities in the West Bank. Associated with those raids, clashes break out between arabs and Israeli security forces.
The IDF has arrested the leader and founder of the Balata terrorist Brigade, (Nablus) Mohammad Abu Dra’a al-Zanqaloni Yemash, who has been wanted for over four years.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Ships will have to obtain a permit from Yemen’s Houthi-controlled Maritime Affairs Authority before entering Yemeni waters, Houthi telecommunications spokesman Misfer Al-Numair said on Monday.
***
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces shot down one anti-ship ballistic missile and three one-way attack unmanned aerial systems launched from Iranian-backed Houthi controlled areas of Yemen toward USS Carney (DDG 64) in the Red Sea. There are no injuries or damage to the ship.
US defense official confirms an anti-ship ballistic missile hit the Barbados-flagged bulk carrier True Confidence in the Gulf of Aden - The multinational crew report 3 dead; 5 injured, 4 of them critically. The crew has abandoned ship. An Indian naval vessel has recovered the crew.
This is the fifth ASBM fired by Houthis in the last two days. Two of these ASBMs impacted two shipping vessels - M/V MSC Sky II and M/V True Confidence - and one ASBM was shot down by USS Carney (DDG 64). The incident marked the first time that the Iran-backed group has killed anyone as part of their ongoing attacks on ships transiting the Red Sea.
Observers note that the recent spat of Houthi attacks also correspond with the local presence of the IRGC ship Behshad. It is believed that the Behshad is supplying real time targeting information to the Houthis.
US/UK Air Forces launch three consecutive rounds of airstrikes targeting Iran-backed Houthi terrorists in Ras Issa, Al-Salif, Hodeidah, Yemen.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Kuwaiti-Emirati statement: We stress the importance of maintaining the security and stability of the Red Sea region and respecting the right of maritime navigation
——— FORECAST ————————-
The big headliner is Houthi’s have killed their first civilians of the Red Sea blockade. The recent surge in anti shipping ballistic missiles also appears to be more soundly associated with the presence of the IRGC ship Behshad. It has been reported moving in and out of ‘safe’ zones in conjunction with Houthi missile strikes. With the loss of life on the M/V True Confidence, there may be increased pressure to take the ship out. Tactically that would be a very good move. it would involve intense anger from the mullahs in Iran who may use it as an excuse to ignite a more direct campaign against the US in the region - particularly with Ramadan and associated rise in islamic fervor.
With or without sinking the Behshad, a much, much more severe series of airstrikes involving US strategic bombers is well past due.
Israel to continue search and destroy operations. From recent days, considerable tunnel and bunker networks are still being discovered, needing to be cleared and destroyed.
Hamas et al has been taking large losses in personnel over the past week in N and Central Gaza as Israel maneuvers them into ever shrinking pockets and eliminates tunnels that once permitted lateral movements.
IDF “formal” entrance into Rafah is likely before the start of Ramadan. It is unlikely that Israel will wait a month to begin to clean out that last rats nest of Hamas forces. This will cause islamic fervor to go even higher in response and likely produce numerous terrorist attacks across the globe.
The outstanding question is how much will Hezbollah step up their attacks on Israel in response. The large barrage of 70 or so rockets was the largest to date IIRC. Israeli action in Lebanon may now be on track for a much sooner kick off if the March 15th deadline is real. It doesn’t mean Israel will kick off a ground assault then, but suggests that the global political maneuvering to justify such an assault may be finished. However, the March 15 deadline could be a trigger for more intense IAF airstrikes against Hezbollah leadership and facilities to soften them up for the assault.
I am still inclined to think that they will hold off for a few more months, until things get further cleaned up in Gaza. This doesn’t include a preemptive offensive by Hezbollah buoyed by Ramadan fervor.
Watch out for any excuse to recall reserver units that have stood down as indicators of soon Israeli action in the north.
Mexico -
Not commented much here lately. Big on the scope is the up-arming of the cartels in their actions against each other as well as the Mexican army. They are increasingly employing attack drones and unarmored vehicles in an escalating cycle.
Remember, this is just south of the border folks - and starting to spill over.
Venezuela -
Suppose to be conduction national elections - right, banana republic style.