Countdown going big - 7 days out from election day.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Oct 20, 2024
Americans should prepare for “unrest’ if former President Donald Trump completes the greatest political comeback in modern American politics, Democrats told the Wall Street Journal on Monday.
The potential for Democrats to perpetrate political violence undermines their narrative that Republicans, and especially the America First movement, are a threat to democracy.
“I think there’ll be some violence. I think there’ll be workplace fights. There’ll be fights at kids’ birthday parties. I think they’ll be protests and will turn violent,” Mark Halperin recently told Tucker Carlson
Resistance groups, according to the Journal’s Joshua Chaffin and Valerie Bauerlein, believe citizens should be “bracing for unrest” if Trump wins:
“Across America, more than a dozen progressives in various positions of influence told The Wall Street Journal that they are dreading the prospect of Trump’s return to power, and dismayed that half the country might see a completely different reality than they see. Some are bracing for unrest. On a recent evening, more than 200 people joined a Zoom meeting titled Mass Training For Women’s Safety Teams—hosted by a Women’s March veteran who noted its timing amid “escalating political violence.””
https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/10/28/brace-unrest-if-donald-trump-wins-democrats-warn/
OBSERVATION - Recent “nazi” rhetoric amplified by the MSM is priming the democrat left for violence. This suggests that the goal is to bring in those outside the operational realm of the Antifa / BLM terrorists of 2020. This violence could be well seeded by false flag events trying to pin things on the right - the ‘domestic terror threat’ repeated day after day by the DoJ and other alphabet agencies of the regime, as a potential justification for martial law.
***
Obama: If you’re a Muslim American and you’re upset about what’s happening in the Middle East, why would you put your faith in somebody who passed a Muslim ban and repeatedly suggested that you aren’t part of our American community?
OBSERVATION - Another avenue of priming the pump for post election violence. The pro-islamic radicals that rallied this past spring on college campuses are looking for an excuse.
Note - 0bama failed to remember harris had a moslem kicked out of a recent rally.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
***
Color me skeptical, but don’t believe at face value news that harris’ campaign is in disarray and coming apart at the edges. Keep fighting.
***
Ballot boxes in Antifa strongholds of Oregon and Washington were set on fire over the past couple days, destroying hundreds of ballots.
OBSERVATIONS - Crosses over to CW2. Antifa et al has been very out spoken in their Pacific NW stronghold region desiring to disrupt the election by any means necessary. Random destruction of ballot boxes - likely filled with votes from sympathetic voters - is one means of expression.
***
Voting ‘anomalies ‘ are hitting swing states. This time around, due in large part to trump’s emphasis to vote early, they are being exposed sooner, allowing legal challenges and corrections before Nov 5th.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Walz’s affair with a daughter of a Chinese party member is breaking. His ‘teaching’ time in China got him in pretty deep with the CCP.
Illegal Immigration –
41 out of 49 looters arrested in a Florida county for looting after the hurricane were illegals.
North/South Korea –
North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia mostly in their early 20s, some in their teens: South Korean spy agency
Zelenskyy says Ukraine will send delegation to South Korea to coordinate action on North Korea troop deployment: Seoul
Russia -
Logistics –
Israel’s destruction of Iran’s capability to produce ballistic missiles has reportedly cause Iran to pause its delivery of such to Russia for an indeterminate period of time.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
The Pentagon now assesses North Korea has sent ~10,000 total forces to train inside Russia, Dep Pent PressSec said this morning. “A portion of those soldiers have already moved closer to Ukraine,” she said
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reports on a drone attack overnight.
Out of 48 launched, 46 were shot down. 26 via regular air defense and 20 due to electronic warfare. One drone returned to Russia.
The United States will not impose new limits on Ukraine’s use of American weapons if North Korea enters the fight, the Pentagon said on Monday, as NATO said North Korean military units had been deployed to Russia’s Kursk region.
(reuters)
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russian Ministry of Defence reports 10 drones were shot down over Kursk region this afternoon
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Selydove town of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Bohoyavlenka, Hirnyk and Katerynivka in Donetsk region of Ukraine
Russian Territory –
A Ukraine strike on the Russian Special Forces University in Gudermes is the first drone attack on targets in Chechnya.
Outlook —
Brutal fighting continues in the Donbas region south of Pokrovsk. Though making minor gains, they are losing a lot of men and equipment in the process.
Push back growing over the use of NK soldiers in the Ukraine war. The US/Nato seem to be saying if Russia uses NK soldiers to attack Ukraine forces, then the restrictions on long range munitions may be pulled away.
The Russian need for troops in the fight is getting increasingly desperate. As noted a few months back, Russia has had to mobilize around 30,000 per month just to maintain the balance with forces lost, at that time in the 30,000 per month range as well. However, in the last month with increased offensive activity, those losses are now reaching nearly 40,000 per month.
Mixed reporting on the quality of the NK forces. Initial were that they were Kim’s special forces equivalent, while more recent cite the soldiers being ‘half starved’ and poorly trained. I suspect both reports are true. The special forces will provide the cadre of leadership over the regular forces. The ‘starvation’ observation is relatively accurate because for the past several years or more, the NK soldiers instead of training spent their time in the fields trying to grow enough food so as not to starve.
Moldova/Transnistria -
The presidential election will move into a second round on November 3, but it is not yet clear if the Moldovan Constitutional Court will finalize the results of the October 20 referendum amid allegations of serious irregularities. The Moldovan CEC validated the results of the referendum and submitted its report on the referendum to the Moldovan Constitutional Court, which has 10 days (i.e. until November 4) to either confirm or reject the referendum results. Moldovan authorities continue to discuss electoral violations during the October 20 voting, and it is unclear if the Constitutional Court will nullify the results of the referendum due to these reported violations.
OBSERVATION - Russia is making a big push in these nations where they by force have taken over portions thereof, with the ultimate goal of regaining full control politically. Belarus is a prime example, Ukraine devolved into war when the population rejected a similar Russian financed power play. Georgia is in the midst of potential civil war as well due to Russian interference and money.
Europe / NATO General –
GEORGIA - Georgian opposition demands new elections under international oversight at a large rally in Tbilisi.
President Salome Zurabishvili addressed the crowd: “You did not lose the election. Your voice was stolen, and they tried to steal your future. No one has the right to do that.”
Thousands have already joined the protests.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Initial reports of a framework for a cease fire in Lebanon
- Israeli armor forces now pushing deeper into S Lebanon.
- Israel has outlawed the UNRWA and is expelling them from Israel, Gaza and the West Bank
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Post Strike Review for Operation “Days of Repentance”
Two of Iran’s “Ghadir” Over-the-Horizon Radar Sites, in the west of the country on the border with Iraq, were destroyed in Friday night’s Israeli attack. The second Ghadir radar ~15km north of Ahvaz appears to have been hit based upon analysis of recent commercial satellite imagery
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Israel Parliament overwhelming voted in favor of the law declaring UNRWA an illegal entity in Israel.
All UNRWA activities and presence in Israel will cease immediately
Commissioner-General of UNRWA: The vote by the Israeli Parliament (Knesset) against UNRWA this evening is unprecedented and sets a dangerous precedent. It opposes the UN Charter and violates the State of Israel’s obligations under international law
OBSERVATION - Extensive documentation has been provided to the UN concerning active participation by UNRWA personnel in the atrocities of Oct 7 - and the UN has done nothing. One identified member of the UNRWA was recently taken out by the IDF, the UN’s response was to morn the loss of a demonstrated terrorist.
***
Last night the cabinet discussed for many hours the Israeli response following the sending of the drone to Netanyahu’s private residence in Caesarea. The ministers were explicitly told that the Israeli attack on Iran did not include the reaction to the sending of the drone and that another reaction is expected!
Last night, the ministers and the security establishment formulated a number of courses of action.
Security sources report that the IDF is preparing to launch a new, large-scale attack on Iran within the coming week. According to these sources, the operation’s targets will be identified swiftly, focusing on strategic points, and this time the strikes are expected to be far more destructive than previous ones. Military experts suggest that the escalation reflects heightened tensions in the region, signaling a shift in Israel’s strategy toward more decisive and impactful actions against Iranian interests. - I24
***
Israel’s ambassador to the UN Danny Dannon:
“To Iran’s leaders, take this as a warning. Israel has shown restraint. But from now on, you will only see strength. Any further aggression will be met with consequences that are swift and decisive. And to the members of this council, we call on you to act.
Enough empty words, enough statements of concern. The Iranian regime must face real consequences for its actions. We demand immediate and crippling sanctions targeting Iran’s military and economic infrastructure. Designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization it is, isolate Iran diplomatically, but most importantly, take the necessary measures to prevent a lunatic regime from attaining nuclear capabilities. Imagine who will sit here in in a few years if, God forbid, they will have nuclear capabilities.
The world cannot afford to ignore the threat Iran poses. This is no longer a matter of words. It is a matter of action.”
***
Iran’s envoy to the UN: “The US bears responsibility for the Israeli attack and will bear the consequences”
Reuters: The U.S. issued a warning to Iran at the United Nations today, stating that any further aggressive actions against Israel or U.S. personnel in the region will result in severe consequences.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Israel continues to encircle and destroy elements of Hamas et al in N Gaza
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli tanks reach the outskirts of the town of Khiam, south Lebanon
Tyre faced heavy Israeli bombardment yesterday, reportedly hitting ammo dumps and other Hezbollah facilities.
Approximately two-thirds of Hezbollah’s short- and medium-range rocket arsenal has been destroyed. Based on pre-war intelligence, Hezbollah now has up to 25,000 short-range rockets (up to 80 km) and around 2,000 medium-range missiles (80-200 km). From October 1-28, an average of 100-200 rockets were fired daily at Israel. Hezbollah’s ability to prolong these attacks depends on its rate of fire—fewer daily launches could extend its operational endurance.
https://x.com/Osint613/status/1850902410169831864
NOTE - I would add the ability to prolong also depends on IAF success in taking out ammo dumps containing these rockets as well as the ongoing strikes on launching facilities.
***
Israel is in advanced negotiations for an agreement to end the war in southern Lebanon and northern Israel, Yediot Aharonot reported, quoting senior officials.
The report also said that an agreement is expected to include the understanding that the IDF will re-establish itself in the border area, exit some of the areas in southern Lebanon where its operations have been completed, and potentially leave forces within Lebanon for a period of time.
The officials stressed that a ceasefire in Lebanon will take place only after the final agreement has been signed, and not a moment earlier. It is estimated that Iran has signaled to Hezbollah that it should agree to the process.
It is also estimated that immediately after the fighting in Lebanon ends, there will be a two-month period in which the Lebanese military repositions itself throughout southern Lebanon, and the efficacy of an international body to implement UN Security Council Resolution 1701 will be examined. The Lebanese army will be responsible for preventing Hezbollah from entering the area south of the Litani River.
Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the Second Lebanon War in 2006, stipulates that Hezbollah must not be allowed to operate in southern Lebanon and the entire area of southern Lebanon must be free of any armed personnel and weapons other than those of the Government of Lebanon.
The UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), which acts as a buffer between Lebanon and Israel and operates near the border, works to implement Resolution 1701, though its peacekeepers often come under attack from Hezbollah.
Due to UNIFIL’s failure to implement and enforce Resolution 1701, Hezbollah was able to plan - and nearly carry out - its “Conquer the Galilee” attack, in which Hezbollah terrorists would infiltrate the Galilee region of northern Israel in an October 7-style attack. These plans were foiled by the IDF’s ground invasion of Lebanon.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/398263
OBSERVATION - UN Resolution 1701 was a complete failure, so why is Israel moving towards a similar agreement that the world knows Hezbollah / Iran will violate? The “peace keepers” willingly turned their heads and in some instances willingly cooperated with Hezbollah force build up.
***
Hezbollah’s Shura Council has elected Sheikh Naim Qassem, the group’s deputy, to succeed slain secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli air raids on the Homs countryside in the border area between Syria and Lebanon, likely targeting Iranian elements attempting to smuggle arms and supplies into Lebanon.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The U.K. Office of Maritime Trade Operations is reporting an attempted Attack on a Commercial Shipping Vessel in the Southern Red Sea, 25NM off the Coast of Al-Mukha in Western Yemen. With the Master of the Vessel stating that Two Explosions were observed near the Vessel, but that the Ship and Crew are Safe. This is the First Attack on a Ship by the Houthis since October 10th, as well as the B-2 Bomber Strikes by the U.S. Air Force on October 16th.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
OooooooK, it is beginning to look like both Iran and Israel are fast tracking attacks on each other. As noted yesterday, there are growing rumors of an Iranian strike as early as this weekend (Saturday). This would fall within their declaration of an “immediate’ response. Rhetoric continues to rattle the saber on their part.
Israel yesterday stated that last weekend’s strike did not include retaliation for the attempted assassination of Netanyahu via a drone strike on his home. And planning for that retaliation is ongoing.
Now, if both hold to their words, the cycle of strike/reprisal strike may be shortening. For Iran’s part, to attempt another missile strike would be an open invitation for Israel to demolish its oil industry as well as potentially cripple its nuclear weapons development program. The nuke program in particular may well have very weak components susceptible to destruction like the missile production program had. Secondly, Iran is essentially naked and blind to future attacks like that of last weekend. Any Israeli attack would have its way with Iran.
For Israel’s part, I suspect Netanyahu can restrain his inner honey badger long enough to wait until after the election, and I would think the week’s wait would be well spent by the military to properly plan like they did the last strike.
In Gaza, international screams of concern over the banning of the UNRWA have begun. Beyond a shadow of a doubt the UNRWA has openly supported Hamas in all aspects of this and previous fights. Israel is correct in defining them as a terrorist element.
In N Gaza, time is running out for Hamas et al. Once this round of clearing is finished, I expect more to the south. With all the fighting in the north, there isn’t much left of the cities, only rubble.
In Lebanon, Israel is now more aggressively pushing past the border ‘defenses’ and into the interior. Waiting to hear if Hezbollah is still avoiding decisive actions or are continuing to fall back. Regardless of talks about a cease fire, IDF is more aggressively pushing to the Litiani River.
Iran –
Reports that Khamenei has approved an Iranian response in Israel.
Iran plans to triple its military budget, proposing a more than 200 percent increase, government spokeswoman Fatemeh Mohajerani announced Tuesday. The decision follows recent escalations with Israel after a series of retaliatory missile strikes.
OBSERVATION - Iran’s economy is in the dumps and the Joe Mohamed is tired of the conditions. This is due largely to Iran diverting so much money into its proxy organizations to attack Israel and growing its military. An increase in the military will take away from projects needed for the people of Iran, such as critical infrastructure, relief of inflation, etc. This in turn will increase pressures for more protests and riots in some parts of the country.
Countdown going big - T-6 days out from election day.
Globalism / Great Reset –
The rise of automated license plate readers (ALPRs) across the United States has triggered a growing wave of lawsuits, public outcry, and legislative debates, as concerns mount over their implications for privacy and civil liberties. These systems, like the one recently challenged in Norfolk, Virginia, by the Institute for Justice, are increasingly seen as a form of government surveillance that crosses constitutional boundaries, raising alarm among citizens and advocacy groups alike.
https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=7474#google_vignette
OBSERVATION - Surveillance state on AI folks. Add to it its brother - facial recognition - and you have an incredible set up for tracking and surveilling individuals. There was a reality TV show a while back where an individual(s) are supposed to ‘escape’ and remain uncaught for something like 48 hours. Law enforcement and other surveillance gurus utilized the capabilities of law enforcement to track them down - ATM use, accessible cameras, etc. More times than not, the people were caught.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Oct 30, 2024
*** Level increased based on the elevated rhetoric from democrats/ leftists in the face of a increasingly probable trump win. ***
Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo (R) announced Monday evening that he is activating the National Guard as a precautionary measure on Election Day.
Lombardo, the former Sheriff of Clark County, the most populous county in Nevada, said the move is purely meant as a means to be prepared for any possible issues.
“As a first responder, I know first-hand the importance of being prepared, and this decision reflects my commitment to safety and preparedness on Election Day,” he said in a press release.
The announcement points to a need for “preparation for a safe and smooth Election Day” with the Guard members’ roles “limited to supporting state and local resources.”Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo (R) announced Monday evening that he is activating the National Guard as a precautionary measure on Election Day.
Lombardo, the former Sheriff of Clark County, the most populous county in Nevada, said the move is purely meant as a means to be prepared for any possible issues.
“As a first responder, I know first-hand the importance of being prepared, and this decision reflects my commitment to safety and preparedness on Election Day,” he said in a press release.
The announcement points to a need for “preparation for a safe and smooth Election Day” with the Guard members’ roles “limited to supporting state and local resources.”
OBSERVATION - Clearly the threat of violence and other “disruptions” are on the minds of state leaders to varying degrees for election day and the following.
***
The FBI and DHS are trying to label conservatives as a threat.
In an internal bulletin, the agencies claims they “have identified domestic extremists with grievances rooted in election-related conspiracy theories, including beliefs in widespread voter fraud and animosity toward perceived political opponents, as the most likely threat of violence in the coming election.”
These agencies are trying to label YOU as domestic terrorists if you challenge the election results.
It’s worth noting, DHS released THOUSANDS of known foreign terrorists into our country and one even tried committing an attack on Election Day.
But TRUMP SUPPORTERS are the ones on their radar.
https://x.com/BreannaMorello/status/1851220507305107628
OBSERVATION - Rhetoric from the left continues to increase as the regime puts out more and more that the threat is from the right.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
The U.S. trade deficit in goods widened to a 2-1/2-year high in September amid a surge in imports, prompting some economists to trim their economic growth estimates for the third quarter.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/u-s-trade-deficit/2024/10/29/id/1185834/
OBSERVATION - Economists are trying to pin the exact reason, some saying because of our ‘strong’ economy. They are also forecasting a growth in the GDP as well.
***
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen announced a plan Tuesday to get more people to open bank accounts if they don’t have one.
With a week left until the election, Yellen is following up with a request from Congress last year to craft a national strategy for financial inclusion, per the Financial Services and General Government Appropriations Act. Her plan involves banks and employers cooperating to encourage people to open bank accounts when they get a new job, tax refund, or a government payment.
OBSERVATION - Sorry, this has red flags all over it. Getting people out of cash and dependent on banks - especially the big ones - that then can be seized by a tyrannical govt by many potential means.
***
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% annual rate from July through September, with consumers helping drive growth despite the weight of still-high interest rates.
The report is the first of three estimates the government will make of GDP growth for the third quarter of the year. The U.S. economy has continued to expand in the face of the much higher borrowing rates the Federal Reserve imposed in 2022 and 2023 in its drive to curb inflation. Despite widespread predictions that the economy would succumb to a recession, it has kept growing, with employers still hiring and consumers still spending.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/economy-gdp-consumer/2024/10/30/id/1185968/
OBSERVATION - Hard to support their claim on the economy and consumer spending. Other reports have consumer ‘spending’ on the backs on increased credit card debt. I suspect that the number will be rounded down - after the election.
***
U.S. job openings tumbled last month to their lowest level since January 2021, a sign that the labor market is losing some momentum. Still, posted vacancies remain well above pre-pandemic levels.
The Labor Department reported Tuesday that the number of job openings dropped to 7.4 million in September from 7.9 million in August. Economists had expected the level of openings to be virtually unchanged. Job openings fell in particular at healthcare companies and at government agencies at the federal, state and local levels.
The number of layoffs also rose. And the number of Americans who quit their jobs fell below 3.1 million, the fewest since August 2020.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/job-openings-economy/2024/10/29/id/1185845/
e
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
A dozen military helicopters landed at the Capitol overnight as part of a continuity of government training. The purpose was to train/test how many could be evacuated in a short amount to time to bunkers in the event of a major attack against the US.
***
After spending nearly $2 billion on air defense systems in the Middle East alone, the U.S. is reportedly running low on its stockpiles for the weaponry, U.S. officials told The Wall Street Journal.
Ukraine and Israel — along with a host of other U.S. allies — have been in urgent need of American weapons systems amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and Israel’s war with Hamas and other terrorist groups in the Middle East. But the U.S. is reportedly struggling to keep up with demand and is starting to run out of air defense missile variants, a problem that could become even worse should those conflicts escalate or drag on, officials told the WSJ.
https://dailycaller.com/2024/10/29/us-air-defense-missiles-running-low-reportedly/
OBSERVATION - Just like biden drained our strategic oil reserves, he has methodically drawn down our ammo reserves while our industrial capacity remains restrained.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
BE ALERT - There are reports from all over regarding ‘ilregularities’ in the early vote and absentee ballot processing. Pennsylvania reports of shutting down early voting, other states ballot irregularities and others bulk ballots being brought in. Many of these are being identified early and courts engaged IMHO because the republicans have taken to trump’s call to vote early. Many of these cheats from the past are being stopped, but I expect more as the day approaches.
***
The U.S. Supreme Court now has been asked to decide whether noncitizens should be on the voter rolls in the state of Virginia. It’s illegal, of course, for them to vote. But a lower court judge ruled just days ago the state must restore 1,600 names of people who self-identify as noncitizens to voter rolls.
***
Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris is waving the white flag in North Carolina, surrendering the state to former President Donald Trump as her campaign withdraws nearly $2 million in planned ad buys from television stations statewide one week before the election.
OBSERVATION - This has shocked some political pundits - pulling out of a battle ground state. Similar rumblings coming out of Wisconsin as well. The concept of not putting out good money for bad is in play and these actions suggest their internal polling is not swinging their way. Also note, harris has pulled in more than twice the ‘contributions’ trump has, so to make such a drastic decision becomes even more evident of troubles.
***
On Tuesday night, Vice President Kamala Harris gave her “closing argument” speech at the Ellipse in Washington, DC, with the White House in the background. Although President Joe Biden was watching the speech, he alerted reporters earlier in the day that he would not be there in person and would not preview any of the speech. The speech that Harris gave was very much more of the same of what we’ve heard before, including with how she went after former and potentially future President Donald Trump.
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/rebeccadowns/2024/10/29/kamala-harris-speech-n2646954#google_vignette
RELATED - D.C. officials set up fences to try to keep out pro-Gaza protesters from Kamala’s last big-stage speech. There were chaotic scenes after the speech as her supporters had to climb over fences to leave, and were confronted by screaming Muslims and leftists.
Biden / Harris Watch –
President Joe Biden’s supposed attempt to call out racist remarks by a speaker at a campaign rally for Donald Trump backfired as Trump and other Republicans accused him of calling their supporters “garbage.”
“The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporter’s
His statements spawned a rapid effort to redefine and edit his comments but it only has made matters worse.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/garbage-hate-democrats/2024/10/30/id/1185945/
OBSERVATION - Can see why harris has kept him on the sidelines. Linkages are quickly being made
- Hillary called us “deplorable”
- Harris calls us ‘nazis’
- biden calls us garbage.
Illegal Immigration –
Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance has warned that rural hospitals are closing down as they buckle under the exploding cost of caring for illegal migrants who cannot afford medical bills.
Vance recently spoke about the pressures hospitals are facing, and he was asked about the closure of several hospitals and clinics in Eau Claire, Wisconsin. Vance said that rural hospitals are shutting down because they are “bearing the burden of providing health care to millions of people who shouldn’t be in this country to begin with.”
“Now you might not think that rural health care access is an immigration issue,” he said. “I guarantee it is an immigration issue because we’re bankrupting, bankrupting a lot of hospitals by forcing these hospitals to provide care for people who don’t have the legal right to be in our country,” the Ohio senator added.
OBSERVATION - Instances like these are growing as the regime floods small, predominately red communities with illegals.
North/South Korea –
South Korea aims to send a team to Ukraine to monitor and analyse the deployment of North Korean troops by Russia, a presidential official said on Wednesday
Russia -
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Putin says Russia is conducting a drill to use nuclear weapons today. Command and control, also ballistic and cruise missile practice will be held
Putin issued a dramatic message to the media and said that Russia had begun conducting exercises for the use of nuclear weapons.
“Use of nuclear weapons is a last resort, but military forces must be prepared for any scenario.”
Russian Defense Minister Belousov reports that during the training of strategic nuclear forces, a massive nuclear strike in response to a nuclear strike had been worked out. Russia launched Yars ICBM from Plesetsk, Bulava and Sineva SLBMs from nuclear submarines and cruise missile from Tu-95MS bombers
OBSERVATION - This is part of the ongoing big stick threats of putin that have so far cowed much of Nato. However, the scenario and the exercise in general are serious escalations in putin’s rhetoric and russian action.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
South Korean Presidential office says at least 11,000 North Korean troops deployed to Russia, some 3,000 sent to western Russia
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.
North Korean advance unit possibly deployed to front lines in Russia: South Korean military
Western Intelligence Officials told CNN today that North Korean Troops are believe to now be Fighting on the Frontline in Eastern Ukraine; with the Pentagon confirming during a Press Conference earlier that a Small Contingent of North Korean Soldiers have arrived in the Kursk Region of Western Russia, but it is not known yet if they are in Ukraine. During the Conference it was further stated, that at least 10,000 additional North Korean Troops have arrived or are heading to Western Russia.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1851444386204156266?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 33 of 62 Shahed-type and unidentified-type strike drones, launched by Russia overnight. 9 people wounded as result of Shahed-type strike drones attack in Solomiansky district of Kyiv
Big fire reported in Zheleznogorsk of Kursk region after Ukrainian drone strikes
Ukraine is planning to draft another 160,000 troops into its military as Russia gains ground in the east.
It also comes amid reports that a number of North Korean troops have been deployed to Russia.
Ukraine’s military has been under severe pressure of late, in part due to Russia’s greater manpower and deeper resources.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2n4n1r307o
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
In spite of increased diversions of resources, Russia has not been able to budge Ukraine forces from the Kursk salient.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.
Kharkiv Front -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Kruhlyakivka village of Kharkiv region of Ukraine
Outlook —
Russia nuclear threats and deployment of NK soldiers have heated up the international aspect of the war. Growing pressure on the west to loosen conditions for deep strikes should NIK forces engage Ukraine.
Europe / NATO General –
GEORGIA - (ISW). Russian officials and milbloggers are conducting information operations that falsely portray the Georgian opposition’s peaceful and legal challenges to the conduct of the October 26 parliamentary election results as a Western- and Ukrainian-sponsored illegal coup d’état.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Movement in hostage release and possible ceasefire in Lebanon.
- IDF announces initial drawdown of activated forces as ground objectives are nearly achieved.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated a possible breakthrough in negotiations with Hamas for the release of 101 hostages still held in Gaza. Speaking with Likud members in a closed meeting at the Knesset on Monday, Netanyahu suggested that Hamas might be willing to drop some of its demands for a ceasefire deal.
***
Pentagon official Arian Tabatbai, who was under suspicion of leaking U.S. intelligence on Israel’s plans regarding Iran, has now been reassigned to a role with restricted access to sensitive information.
***
According to Israeli Media Sources, several reserve brigades of the Israel Defense Force will soon be released from active service, as the current ground operation in Southern Lebanon has entered its final stages; with most Hezbollah sites and bunkers within a mile of the northern border with Israel having been destroyed.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Israel continues to encircle and destroy elements of Hamas et al in N Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) shocked Hamas operatives in northern Gaza by surrounding them, then winning a close-fought battle in which the Iran-backed terrorists used a hospital as a base, in violation of international law.
The Jerusalem Post reported Tuesday on the “complete surprise” that came when Israel decided to surround Hamas in the stronghold of Jabaliya and evacuate all local civilians, rather than relying on pinpoint strikes, as in the past:
According to the IDF, the remaining terrorists in the northern Gaza Strip had gathered in Jabalya, prompting the military to encircle the area, evacuate the civilian population, isolate the terrorists, and prevent them from escaping.
Three brigades surrounded the camp: the 460th, Givati, and the 401st. The 460th Brigade, which reached schools and shelters, reported that this approach allowed them to evacuate five thousand residents. By the following day, twenty thousand more had left, and forces said that the residents’ “fear barrier was broken.”
Approximately 600 terrorists surrendered, while hundreds of others were eliminated in the refugee camp.
The Post added that Hamas had used the local Kamal Adwan Hospital as a base.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli tanks reach the outskirts of the town of Khiam, south Lebanon.
Israeli Armor and Mechanized-Infantry made a significant advances this morning towards the City of Khiam in Southern Lebanon, roughly 3 miles from the Israeli Border; with some of the heaviest fighting of the Israeli ground operation in Lebanon so far, having been reported within the outskirts of the city.
Khiam is considered a major stronghold of Hezbollah in the Nabatieh Governorate, and the site of a large battle during the Second Lebanon War in 2006.
Al-Khiam, a massive Hezbollah stronghold is about to fall according to the Saudi Al-Hadath network.
When Israel completes the capture and demilitarization of the 3 large villages of Al Khiam, Tayibe and Bint Jbeil, the threat of asymmetrical terror invasion and RPG attacks across the border will have been solved. The IDF will, at that point, control the border road on the Lebanese side, to which, due to terrain and a sparse road network, there are minimal easily controlled approaches.
***
Reports of Naim Kassem will give his first speech today as the Secretary General of Hezbollah
***
Hezbollah has conducted at least 26 attacks into Israel on October 28. Hezbollah fired 50 rockets targeting Maalot Tarshiha, killing one civilian. Hezbollah launched one-way attack drones targeting at least seven Israeli military and civilian sites in northern Israel.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli warplanes are now targeting Tal al-Jabiyah, west of Daraa, with airstrikes. The area is under the control of Iran and its proxies
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The Secretary-General of the Arab Islamic Council:
“I swear to you that the Israeli army will attack Iran’s nuclear sites. The decision has already been made. Iran must bear responsibility for this. Listen to me, Khamenei, and remember it well.”
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Starting with Gaza, Hamas elements in N Gaza continue to crumble. Hamas continues to do stupid things like thinking that taking over hospitals will some how protect them, and finding out otherwise.
In S Lebanon, the ground objectives are becoming clearer. To return citizens back to their homes in N Israel, the IDF is clearing a buffer zone in S Lebanon to prevent direct attacks.
The assaults on Al Khiam, Tayibe and Bint Jbeil by the IDF are probably the last big objectives of the current conflict. Seizure will prevent Hezbollah from strongholds they could use to push into the buffer Israel is trying to create.
I don’t expect a ceasefire until these three towns are cleared of Hezbollah. A read of the developing agreement has a more aggressive role of the Lebanese army disarming and moving Hezbollah north of the Litani River. It also grants Israel unrestricted ability to strike Hezbollah to prevent movement into the region as well as continuing to prevent it from rearming. Until then, Israel will maintain the pressure in the south while hammering key ammo storage and operational facilities in the north.
The situation with Iran continues to simmer. I don’t have a good feel just how serious Iran is on an ‘immediate’ response. They have to realize that they are in a worse defensive position than before Israel whacked their rear ends and took out the ADA assets they relied on.
Israel as well. The retaliatory threat due to the drone attack on Netanyahu’s home may well be there to keep Iran on its heels about a potential Israeli strike sooner than later. Perhaps could even envelope a preemptive strike should Iran attempt to carry out its current threats. Israel is gaining more flexibility as IAF is not having to devote so much to the support of the ground war.
In any case, just what will Israel’s priority be for the next strike? Netanyahu repeatedly has stated the nuclear program was his top priority. Striking the oil would severely cripple Iran, but potentially cause greater global push back. The Iran nuclear threat is the biggest terror threat Israel is facing in the future. And if delayed until after the election, Netanyahu will have a freer hand to deal this blow.
Anyway, no solid indicators of a soon attack by either.
Iran –
Iranian Defense Minister claims Tehran is capable of carrying out “dozens of operations” against Israel, adds that “our air defenses are strong”
Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi said Tuesday, “Responding to Israel’s attack is our right, but the Islamic Republic will decide on this response itself, and we won’t allow anyone to drag us into emotional reactions.” He also noted that Tehran knows which countries allowed Israel to use their airspace to attack Iran, but the US is the main culprit.