Posted on 12/24/2023 12:20:02 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Chuck Pfarrer used the term “Black Sea Flotilla” on that chart!
Love it.
It is important to note that Black Sea Flotilla HQ is not just commanding Naval forces, but also Ground Forces in the Crimea and Kherson Regions.
So perhaps this might have been planned as a precursor to a move there, or targets of opportunity might develop as a result of it.
Black Sea Flotilla HQ is not just commanding Naval forces, but also Ground Forces in the Crimea and Kherson Regions.
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The 54th Army, I think
“The almost three-month active Russian offensive on Avdeevka has significantly depleted the reserves of the Russian Armed Forces.”
Politically, Putin may want to demobilize some of the folks who had been mobilized a year or more ago, before his upcoming election. Between that, and hurrying more into the meatgrinder to get some battlefield gains before the election, he might really stretch them thin and ride them hard for the next couple of months.
After the election, I’d expect another mobilization in Russia.
Update translated:
A new offensive from the podors is quite real.
According to intelligence data, the podors have gathered a large group near Kreminna and Lysychansk, they plan to push from there.
January 10-20 will be difficult for our troops.
Their plan is completely unclear, but for some reason it seems to me
the most likely target is Lyman and Siversk, lately they have been depleting this direction.
Will it be transferred to Kupyansk? Let’s see.
Tactics do not change: “More meat - more promotion”, you have to be ready.
The internet and cell phones make rumors easy to spread.
Much more effective than leaflet drops.
I believe it was targets of opportunity.
My guess is UKR target intel got actionable information (intel) that a big meeting was taking place. Maybe from partisans.
Perhaps Gerasimov wasn't there in person.
From a previous post: "Many ambulances have been requested."
Explosions in Crimea.
“Explosions in Crimea.”
That never gets old.
marcusmaximus: “Explosions in Crimea.”
BeauBo: "That never gets old."
The GUR of Ukraine reports that warehouses with ammunition and several radars were destroyed on occupied Crimea. Satelite images confirmed the damage to one of the premises near Hryshyne in occupied Crimea.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1743652102478385237
My company takes part at this operation since the beginning. For this quite short period of time managed to destroy 20 enemy artillery pieces, two tanks and a couple of AFV.
Using HIMARS, FPV drones and something else. 👇
https://twitter.com/OSINTua/status/1743567710087192750
Something else?
The observation drone is a DJI Mavic.
The top of the screen has a warning "Attitude Mode. Fly with Caution."
This occurs when the drone does not have enough GPS information for navigation.
My guess is the drone operator can deselect GPS whenever the drone detects GPS jamming.
RTB (return to base) is done by following terrain features (IFR...I fly roads).
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1743659918421283125
Of course they did.
This is in Sochi.
https://twitter.com/gunsnrosesgirl3/status/1743491424786460917
The video shows a low power laser tracking a bird in flight.
I am posting this to show a concept that I believe would disable quad copter drones.
A laser powerful enough to burn the video camera of a quad copter drone would make it impossible for the drone pilot to identify a target to attack.
This is surely one of the most surreal moments of the war yet
Scott Ritter has turned up in Chechnya and spoken in broken Russian (some of which I couldn’t make out) to thousands of Kadyrov’s fighters about his efforts to strengthen the “friendship between Chechnya and America”
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1743627014433587410
https://twitter.com/WhatADdoing/status/1743376993566023839
Water…
“ The US assessments cited several examples of the impact of graft, including missiles filled with water instead of fuel and vast fields of missile silos in western China with lids that don’t function in a way that would allow the missiles to launch effectively, one of the people said.”
where are Sokolov and Gerasimov?
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Conferring with Prigozhin?
To be expected in a country where contracts go to the lowest bidder using the cheapest materials & that can pay the highest bribes to Party officials.
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