Posted on 12/24/2023 12:20:02 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas
https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1741601197448925686
One of those combat-sized bottles of Jim Beam (normally re-filled with bootleg vodka, anti-freeze or window cleaner) is usually enough to kill one of the new mobniks - but Ivan is still around.
I think it helps that he forgets to light his cigarette, once he sees something that looks like booze.
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for January 1, 2024…
- Russia’s taking of the heavily fortified town of Maryinka demonstrates the futility of Kiev’s “dig-in” strategy;
- Ukrainian General Valery Zaluzhny has admitted that the likewise fortified city of Avdeevka will inevitably be taken by Russian forces;
- After months of stockpiling missiles, Russia has carried the first of what will likely be many large-scale strikes across Ukraine;
- Ukraine’s retaliation targeting Belgorod civilian targets is admittedly done solely for domestic “morale” and will only likely harden Russian resolve across all levels of Russian society;
- Ukraine’s strike on Crimea, destroying a landing ship, while a PR “victory,” demonstrates just how difficult it will be to “isolate” the peninsula considering the large number of ports and airfields Russia can use to supply both the civilian population and its military installations even without the Crimean Bridge and land-bridge;
- As Ukraine’s inevitable defeat becomes more widely accepted, NATO will have to decide whether to cut its losses and demonstrate to other proxies its lack of commitment or continue its commitment and demonstrate to its proxies that the collective West is simply, fundamentally weak;
Kazan is the name of a city in RuZZia.
Is that where you live?
It is quite humorous to read kazans post
Shop destruction PR stunt
Ukranians “targeting” civilians in russia(man Ukraine is so good they can get Russian missiles to fall on Russian territory), but Russia has stockpiles of missiles to attack Ukranian cities….
Ukraine has lost, even though Russia has mad little gains at great losses.
Ukraine has lost 500k, but Russia is fine, just conscripting another 300k for jobs program….
“ Ukraine repelled a drone attack on Sunday night, shooting down 87 of 90 Russian unmanned aerial vehicles, the Ukrainian air defense unit said on its Telegram channel.”
Kremlin snuff box
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3326
Putin again proposes to the West to complete the Northern Military District. The President has three problems.
The publication of American colleagues that Vladimir Putin has been hinting to the West since September about the possibility of a truce in Ukraine and the end of the Northern Military District confirms our insides. at the beginning of autumn
We were the first to report this fact. As we see, it has not yet been possible to achieve a truce; the West has not accepted our demands.
Why did journalists from The New York Times write about Russia’s peace initiatives only now?
Firstly, according to sources, our representatives in the West again “began giving active signals about the desire to complete the North Military District.”
Secondly, they “found the tools through which the American press published this information.”
Whether this instrument was money or something else, our interlocutors do not want to answer directly, and we will not speculate either. But the fact remains that Vladimir Vladimirovich is really trying to complete the SVO again. And he even stopped putting forward additional conditions.
If earlier Putin was ready to end hostilities with Ukraine under a number of conditions (among them, as we wrote , was, for example, the cancellation of a court order in The Hague for his arrest), now, our diplomatic acquaintances say, “just a signal has been sent to the USA about negotiations, without any additional demands.”
What happened?
According to sources in the Kremlin, among diplomats and military officers, three serious problems are pushing the president towards peace negotiations.
The first (as strange as it may sound) is a possible military conflict with NATO.
It turns out that many influential people in our country are sure that a war between Russia and the West is inevitable. Moreover, some think that the conflict could flare up as early as next year.
“Someone has to win in this confrontation. It’s either us or them. And while the NWO is going on, we cannot properly prepare for war with NATO.
Therefore, it is better to stop for now, gain strength, and then show who is the boss of the world,” a high-ranking source close to Putin explained to us. According to him, “not everyone, but very many” in the Kremlin thinks so.
Second, the President is constantly receiving alarming reports about Western aid to Ukraine next year.
After intelligence warnings that Kiev would receive new weapons from the West, most likely at the expense of Russia, began to be confirmed, positive forecasts about the progress of the Northern Military District next year (and there were quite a lot of them) were in big question.
Therefore, peace negotiations have become more urgent, our interlocutors in the Kremlin explain.
Third, Putin really wants to implement his plans to demobilize part of the military from the army. But he understands that problems may arise in this matter.
“Vladimir Vladimirovich is determined to carry out demobilization. But many are dissuading him, and now, for example, it is unclear whether he will announce demobilization on New Year’s Day, as planned. And a truce, even if temporary, in Ukraine could help the President,” a source in the Kremlin explained to us.
By the way, the West’s reaction to Russia’s peace proposals is “now being formulated.” They promised to tell us about it as soon as there are specifics.
Kremlin snuff box
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3366
Will the SVO end in 2024? There are four options.
We talked with sources in the Ministry of Defense, the General Staff, the Kremlin and the SVR to understand what awaits us at the front in 2024. Based on the information received, we can identify four scenarios.
The 1st is a truce at the front.
We wrote in detail why Vladimir Putin and part of his entourage want negotiations and a truce, and also that many in our elites are not against holding such negotiations before the presidential elections.
“If we finish the Northern Military District, we will have the opportunity to rebuild the army. And this will give us the opportunity to achieve more in Ukraine later and be prepared for a possible military clash with NATO.
“Plus, it will be easier for Vladimir Vladimirovich to implement his plans, including regarding demobilization,” a source among the military admitted to us. At the same time, he refused to give forecasts as to whether such plans would be realized.
The 2nd option is that the West will stop helping Ukraine or sharply reduce the level of assistance with weapons and money.
In this case, we can make serious progress at the front. For example, to fulfill the tasks of the President and take control of the entire territory of the DPR. Unfortunately, it was not possible to do this before the end of the year.
By the way, in the event of such a development of events, a new wave of mobilization is inevitable. It is difficult to say how many people will be drafted into the army, but we will most likely talk about the figure of 300,000 - 500,000 people. We should not forget about the large-scale mobilization Ukraine is planning. And how dangerous it is for us.
The 3rd option is that the West will seriously increase support for Ukraine, and its troops will go on the offensive.
“The option, unfortunately, is also real. Especially if we continue to mindlessly shell Ukraine, destroy dummies of airplanes there, smear them and create a terrible picture, because of which the West is already giving the enemy more weapons.
“Plus, such mistakes increase the threat that our assets in the West will be taken away and missiles, tanks and planes will be bought for them for the Ukrainians,” the intelligence interlocutor complained.
If such a scenario is realized, in his opinion, the SVO may end next year, “but not at all as we would like.” Plus, domestic oligarchs really don’t want this option - they are afraid of losing their money forever.
The 4th option is that nothing much will change at the front, there will be mobilization, but not too large-scale (“250 thousand, no more,” according to the military), and we will raise the question of whether the Northern Military District will end at the end of 2024.
Tanks 2608
destroyed: 1713
damaged: 146
abandoned: 205
captured: 544
Towed Artillery 336
destroyed: 194
damaged: 37
abandoned: 5
captured: 100
Self-Propelled Artillery 641
destroyed: 490
damaged: 37
abandoned: 7
captured: 107
“it has not yet been possible to achieve a truce; the West has not accepted our demands”
The depth of their predicament may be beginning to dawn on them.
Their “demands “ have not changed, so “negotiated “ end to the war is simply surrender to them
What Putin is willing to sacrifice for his dreams is staggering, but the narrative that Russia can go on forever is beginning to show cracks.
Latest missile strike spent 1.2 billion of 75 billion defense budget. Almost 2%
Double barrel, quite ridiculous , 16 rounds per minute so how quickly is it out of ammunition .
“the West’s reaction to Russia’s peace proposals is “now being formulated.” They promised to tell us about it as soon as there are specifics.”
Russia withdraws from Ukraine (1991 borders), Ukraine joins NATO and the EU. Russia pays reparations in the form of forfeiture of all frozen assets, and fifty years of free gas through the pipelines to Ukraine. Nuremberg-style trials of Russian war criminals, from Privates to Putin. Non-Russian companies compensated for expropriations. Non-Military sanctions lifted.
“the narrative that Russia can go on forever is beginning to show cracks.”
That attitude has to be definitively crushed, and it will likely require a significant emotional experience for the bulk of the population.
This guy is ahead of the curve, 24 sec video
https://twitter.com/WhereisRussia/status/1717150031969476640
1/1/2024.
The Ukrainian SBU released a video of one of their USVs. It shows a spectacular new development. Apparently, Ukrainian USVs are now capable to fire missiles. The video shows an attack against Russian Navy vessels at the port of Russian-occupied Sevastopol.
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1741785510119424360
I wonder if the launch pad is gyro stabilized.
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1741836278927065587
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1741795502297882741
JDAM strikes against BUKs would indicate the ability to input target coordinates while airborne.
This would be a significant achievement if these JDAMs were dropped from Ukranian SUUs.
It also indicates severe degradation of ruzzia's battlefield (mobile) air defense.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.