Section 3 is almost unbelievable. Certainly worth re-reading (several times).
Some quotes from section 3:
The sheer scale of the strike would suggest that Ukrainians established a large-scale production of assault drones inside Russia, created launch pads, and a complicated system of surveillance and coordination, which, as they concluded, would be simply impossible to hide from the Russian Federal Security Services.
Unfortunately for Russians, this is exactly what happened.
Here's a picture of the drone that was used:
...However, today, it was reported that those 5 aircraft that were previously invisible highly likely received some damage as well, increasing the number of damaged aircraft from 4 to 9.
So, possibly the scorecard reads: 2 aircraft destroyed, 7 aircraft damaged.
What I find hilarious is the FRruzzians that call the attack a "pin prick."
...What this means is that Ukrainians did not just launch drones based on some information, but based on real-time intelligence that they were receiving via a flying drone.
"Real-time intelligence" would indicate the launch occurred near the airfield.
...And even if we just take the last month, August, based only on the confirmed destruction of Russian equipment from videos that happened on the territory of the Russian Federation, Ukrainians destroyed 1.2 billion dollars worth of equipment, which is a substantial proportion of the Russian annual military budget, and is incomparable to how little Ukrainians spent on cheap Chinese drones and lately paper planes with explosives for these strikes.
$1.2 billion.
Apologies for shouting.
One shipping container or truckload of those Australian foam board drones could support a big wave attack within Russia.
Ukrainians can almost all blend in easily within Russia, to infiltrate drone operators.
Peter Zeihan (on YouTube) observed that Strategic Airlift, and other Air assets as well, are probably necessary to keep the empire of the Russian Federation itself together.
Free Tartarstan!
Drone strikes on Russian soil will increase - senior Ukraine official
“Ukraine had ramped up its strikes on occupied areas, and attacks inside Russia itself would also increase, carried out by “agents” or “partisans”, (Ukrainian presidential adviser Mykhailo) Podolyak said.
“As for Russia ... there is an increasing number of attacks by unidentified drones launched from the territory of the Russian Federation, and the number of these attacks will increase,” Podolyak told Reuters.
“Because this is the stage of the war… when hostilities are gradually being transferred to the territory of the Russian Federation,””
Even without combat losses, war is hell on equipment. Decades of war in the middle east (with minimal combat losses) wreaked havoc on our equipment, be it air, ground or naval. On top of that, each loss means Russia's remaining equipment must work at a higher operational tempo. It wears out faster, requires more maintenance and suffers non-combat attrition at a higher rate. The readiness rate of remaining equipment falls. Sanctions add to this effect.
In some ways, war has the same effect on men.