Excellent question. Tsar Nicholas II was an incompetent autocrat. The army deserted him, and he was deposed. Then came Lenin. Then came Stalin.
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In this case, Putin sent his army away to Ukraine and has nothing left. What follows - if Prig, it will be worse.
> In this case, Putin sent his army away to Ukraine and has nothing left. <
Tsar Nicholas II made that same mistake. He sent his best troops to fight the Germans in the west. All with was left to garrison Moscow and St. Petersburg were invalids and draftees.