Excellent analysis...I agree 100%.
I believe that this "phase" has been so successful that the UKF are well advised to delay the counter-offensive to allow more trained troops and equipment to arrive.
F-16s would be very helpful in a combined arms campaign.
“I believe that this “phase” has been so successful that the UKF are well advised to delay the counter-offensive to allow more trained troops and equipment to arrive.”
Czech President Petr Pavel (formerly the Senior Officer of the Czech Military, and former Chairman of the NATO Military Committee) has also been advocating that in recent weeks.
As long as conditions keep improving for the balance of forces (and they have been), it pays to delay. Just this last week, I saw postings of more Ukrainian units graduating from their training in Spain and Germany and busing back to the Ukraine for service - strong-looking groups, who will be equipped with NATO gear.
Historically, the classic time of the year to launch offensives in the region is about 21 June.