Posted on 05/11/2023 6:33:29 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Ukrainian forces advanced on the Northern flank of occupied Bakhmut (Bogdanovka) as well...
@DefMon3 57m
“The breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of Bogdanovka, unfortunately, was successful. Units of the 9 SMEs of the RF Armed Forces have lost several more square kilometers.” https://t.me/brussinf/5964
@DefMon3 1h
In addition to that, there are very recent Russian telegram reports of Ukrainian offensives in the Soledar and Mayorsk area.
“Bakhmut Holds!”
It is like a miracle.
One for the history books.
“Kerch Bridge should not be destroyed.”
“Why not”
The Ukrainians adopted the minimally destructive approach for the dam at Nova Kakhovka. They blew the access ramp on the side to cut traffic over the dam, without hitting the much more expensive to repair dam itself. They will likely consider that with the Kerch Bridge as well.
It is very expensive infrastructure - the biggest public works construction job of Putin’s time in office.
There is also value in preserving the Kerch Bridge, for Russian forces, and Russian settlers, to flee over.
Sun Tzu, in his “Art of War” advised that one should build your enemy a golden bridge, over which to retreat. It is always more economical to win without fighting, or fighting as little as possible. Dealing with a few hundred thousand Russian settlers would present legal, administrative and political problems after the war; which might be avoided minimized if a lot of them stampede out over the bridge on their own.
There are a lot of considerations, including political and psychological. Kerch Bridge is highly symbolic of linking Crimea to Russia. Ukrainian forces might want to blow it a certain time, to impress on people’s minds a clear break with Russia.
It is starting to look more real around Bakhmut!
@visegrad24 2h
BREAKING: The Ukrainian Army has launched a local counteroffensive in Bakhmut.
The Ukrainian forces have broken through in the direction of Berkhovka & Yagodnoye.
They are also pushing toward Soledad & have retaken the Industrial College in S-W Bakhmut
Russians are panicking.
@visegrad24 2h
Major traffic jams this afternoon on road leading from Mariupol to Novoazovsk.
The Russians who have been resettled in Mariupol are afraid of a Ukrainian counteroffensive and are fleeing back to Russia.
Panic in the air…
“It is very expensive infrastructure - the biggest public works construction job of Putin’s time in office.
This is the reason to blow it. Cut links with RuZZia. RuZZia has created an enemy for decades.
“There is also value in preserving the Kerch Bridge, for Russian forces, and Russian settlers, to flee over.”
This is actually logical.
Its tricky because you want to prevent RuZZian forces from using the bridge to bring supplies/forces into Crimea and yet have the bridge be available for the RuZZians to leave Crimea. But can’t be available and not available at the same time.
All things considered, I’d blow the bridge.
@visegrad24 1h
BREAKING: Russian Telegram channels panic about a potential Ukrainian strike toward the Russian border city of Belgorod.
Long columns of Ukrainians tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were reportedly spotted on the Kharkiv Ring Road today driving toward the Russian border.
@visegrad24 1h
BREAKING:
Panic erupting on Russian Telegram after multiple reports of increased Ukrainian troop concentrations today in Beryslav (near the Nova Kakhova Dam over the Dniper River, just North of Kherson City).
There is reportedly a large number of Ukrainian small boats gathering on the Dniepr river in the region & amphibious vehicles have been spotted too
Maybe blow the rail bridge, over which the heavy supplies come, and leave the vehicle bridge for cars and buses to flee.
Blow the rest later if/when needed, in a shoot, look, shoot cycle; to see if we are achieving the effects we want.
I agree.
“Maybe blow the rail bridge, over which the heavy supplies come, and leave the vehicle bridge for cars and buses to flee.
I agree.”
I agree with the agreement.
Seems like things are starting to happen.
If pressed, I think many of the RuZZian draftees will drop their weapons and RUN.
“I agree with the agreement.”
Bombs Away then.
We are getting into the busy season for bombing. There may be some delay before we can service your order, but you are in the queue.
“I think many of the RuZZian draftees will drop their weapons and RUN.”
Last guy out loses...
Orderly withdrawals may have been Surovikin’s thing. It seems to be getting late to plan and execute any big new ones, if they are not already ready.
“””In 2006 Putin and his cabal seriously considered joining NATO. No doubt if they are honest with themselves, they now wish that they did.”””
It wasn’t up to Russia, they could ask to go through the process but then every NATO member would have to vote yes after Russia had met all the conditions and requirements.
I don’t really buy the Russia/NATO business.
According to the NATO General Secretary at the time, Putin wanted an invitation, and was told they would have to apply like everyone else.
“Putin said: ‘When are you going to invite us to join Nato?’ And [Robertson] said: ‘Well, we don’t invite people to join Nato, they apply to join Nato.’ And he said: ‘Well, we’re not standing in line with a lot of countries that don’t matter.’”
But there is no way Russia would have been approved by all countries. Not even close. I'm sure Putin must have known that too, and was just expressing displeasure that former Soviet states were being admitted. States that "don't matter".
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