Posted on 05/10/2023 6:53:57 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
The next Counter Attack Corps for the Ukrainian forces (for the Counteroffensive after this one) is forming already, to begin their train and equip cycle.
The force generation pipeline for Ukrainian forces is now a continuous standing process, with an established training base across several allied Countries, and the Ramstein Conference meeting regularly, to keep the equipment and supplies arriving on schedule.
@DefMon3 May 9
“we need to start arming the next 11 Ukrainian brigades now. 11 Brigades is the number of brigades forming which have not (yet) been provided with equipment. If we want them to be ready for a fall offensive, that equipment need(s) to start coming now.”
read hitler’s last memo
“what’s it going to be like
when these communists will be destroying you”
“Valdimir Putin 5/9/23.”
Quoting your president on FR. How touching.
They'll at least have 30 M1 Abrams tanks. Probably some more Bradleys and Strykers. I believe several NATO countries have also promised a mishmash of IFVs and tanks (more T-72s, Leopard 1A5s, PT-91s and a handful of Leopard 2). The tanks are mostly older, but Russia is sending even older stuff.
Not enough, but a start. Everything depends on how things go this spring/summer.
That Japan news is huge.
Exclusive: Japan is in talks to open a NATO office as Ukraine war makes world less stable, foreign minister says
“Tokyo
CNN
—
Japan is in talks to open a NATO liaison office, the first of its kind in Asia, the country’s foreign minister told CNN in an exclusive interview on Wednesday, saying Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has made the world less stable.
“We are already in discussions, but no details (have been) finalized yet,” Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi said on Wednesday, speaking a week ahead of the Group of Seven summit, hosted this year by Japan in Hiroshima.
Hayashi specifically cited Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year as an event with repercussions far beyond Europe’s borders that forced Japan to rethink regional security.
“The reason why we are discussing about this is that since the aggression by Russia to Ukraine, the world (has) become more unstable,” he said.”
https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/10/asia/japan-foreign-minister-hayashi-nato-intl-hnk/index.html
“11 Brigades is the number of brigades forming”
I would guess three brigades would be Mechanized (predominantly Infantry Fighting Vehicles), for every one that is Armored (predominantly tanks). Likely at least one Brigade of Artillery, and possibly (probably) some special purpose units like Combat Engineers, Ranger/SOF, or Aviation (helicopters). They could well have some units configured for occupation (Military Police/Carabinieri functions) or border security; as well as just assault forces.
The force mix would depend on the Intel they have on enemy forces, and the types of plans they are developing - and of course, what they can get resourced from donor nations. I expect that any reasonable Operational Plan that it is staffed and approved, is going to get resourced.
I expect to see more Leopards and Bradleys, as well as a continued mix of other vehicles - and F-16s or the equivalent.
It sucks to be Russia.
@KateGoesTech May 8
Putin wanted to celebrate 9th of May in Kyiv
Now he’s afraid to celebrate it in Moscow
@DarthPutinKGB May 9
My double wasn’t afraid.
Well, he was more afraid not to go.
Too bad Western Europe is slow to catch on.
No doubt, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been one of, if not the most destabilizing global event since the end of the Cold War. On a global basis, even more so than Obama’s “Arab Spring”. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Australia, along with the US, are right to strengthen their defenses and regional cooperation. Better late than never.
But for the long term, China is the threat, and both East and West would be best served by trade alliances that reduce and restrict imports from China, while also increasing military readiness. With Indonesia, India, Thailand and Vietnam (all countries with no dreams of global hegemony) for our “cheap labor”, and no dependence on China for critical technology, pharmaceuticals and other imports, China could be brought to heel without war.
Time to start preparing for Russia’s defeat (the removal of Putin, and a new start for Russia)
Greg Yudin @YudinGreg May 9
Defeat. A thread
One important indicator for me is how often people in Russia talk about possible defeat. I must confess that it happens now really often, which is a dramatic turn from the early months of the war.
For quite a while, nobody took the word “defeat” in their mouth, even if they considered the invasion to be an insane choice. That has changed.
While majority in Russia remains detached and prefers to avoid bad thoughts, those who dare to think are increasingly accepting that the war is likely to end with a defeat.
That applies perhaps mostly to those who tend to support Putin in this war for one reason or another (mainly because they fail to make difference between Putin’s and national interests). This is a mood I notice in people from various industries, all of them rather elevated.
Similar mood flows over into the public sphere. Both Prigozhin and Kadyrov play their games, but between the lines they let out the shared assessment of the situation. Kadyrov says “it is very difficult”, while Prigozhin warns of a looming catastrophe.
The whole public fight between feudal warlords makes it extremely difficult to imagine this army achieving any success. Their language projects defeat, and this is what I often hear – “I don’t know how this can possibly end with a victory”.
A recent confession from Andrey Kovalev, one of the major Russian developers, is indicative, too. Putin was feeding the rich people with the stories of how he is going to win it in the end, and now they seem to lose confidence.
I am no military expert, but I have a better view of morale in the Russian army. It is very low, and the two motives to go to war remain (1) rare chance to earn some money and (2) submissiveness.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Russian army collapses after a couple of setbacks. I have no idea how likely that is (the Ukrainian offensive capabilities are often debated), but I consider it to be a distinct possibility.
Putin’s ability to recruit more soldiers remains significant but limited. Importantly, it is affected by the situation on the battlefield. Nobody wants to be part of a losing army, but that matters more for the sort of motivation dominant among the Russian soldiers.
These are all early signs, of course, and Putin will be constantly killing the flames. In order to translate into action, these attitudes should rely on some vision of how the future might look like.
That poses a difficult question. How a defeat might look like?.
Putin has been pushing the idea that a defeat will mean the invasion of Russia, the country dismembered, the Russian women raped, children slaughtered and crucified, the foreigners ruling the land. Even Kovalev’s ends with stressing that defeat would be a catastrophe.
Many Russians are convinced that the country is mortally threatened by the NATO forces. Several times I was told by the people I respect as cold-headed that this is all extremely bad, but what can we do – “if we don’t take Kyiv, they will take Moscow anyway”.
The conversation about defeat is taking off in Russia, and it is important to untie the idea of defeat from the fears of catastrophe. Whose defeat it will be? This is another question.
While there is no doubt that Russian people will take significant responsibility for this brutal assault on Ukraine – it is still important to discuss the differential responsibility. The defeat of Putin’s atrocious plans should be separated from the defeat of Russia.
Russia has already lost when this war was launched – an unspeakable damage has been done to the country. Ending this war by recognizing internationally recognized borders of all countries is not a defeat for Russia, it is a beginning of the revival.
It is no coincidence that Zombie TV tries to convince the audience that “everyone will go to the Hague if we lose”.
This is a lie, however, that shouldn’t be supported. THEY will lose, and they will go to hell, and they know it. While WE have already lost when this war started, and we will have to rebuild the country and start restoring relationships with neighbors.
This new emerging attitude offers new opportunities. Instead of trying to figure out what part of Ukraine will be enough for Putin (my answer is always Dresden), it is high time to think what are the costs and opportunities for Russia after Putin’s defeat and removal.
This is a task for both the conversation between Russians and an international dialogue. There is no doubt Putin will do everything possible to preclude this conversation. But the sooner the solution emerges, the faster this war ends with justice.
@bayraktar_1love 4h
U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland has authorized the first transfer of forfeited Russian assets for use in 🇺🇦. This is about the funds of Russian oligarch Konstantin Malofeev, which were confiscated by a US court due to sanctions violations. - Reuters
“”While this represents the United States’ first transfer of forfeited Russian funds for the rebuilding of Ukraine,” Garland said, “it will not be the last,” he said in a statement.”
Guess who is back on the market?
Clue: She was good on Ukraine.
HELSINKI, May 10 (Reuters) - Finland’s outgoing Prime Minister Sanna Marin has filed for divorce jointly with her husband of three years Markus Raikkonen, they said on Instagram on Wednesday.
...(They) share a 5-year-old daughter. They married in 2020 while Marin was in office.
...Marin and her Social Democratic Party lost Finland’s election for parliament last month
...Marin, 37, (was) the world’s youngest prime minister when she took office in 2019.
@EuromaidanPress 4h
Journalists launch map of 223 military objects in Crimea to warn locals of threat
Created based on Planet Labs 2023 imagery, it includes:
airfields
ship docking grounds
arsenals
ammo warehouses
military camps
military units
HQs, etc.
https://radiosvoboda.org/a/crimea-military-bases-map/32397787.html
Its not an old church but a modern one.
Upshot: The majority of the Russian Army in Ukraine is now fixed and unavailable to repulse the UA Offensive. Worse, recent UA advances are trending toward the RGF and Wagners being encircled.
“I am no military expert, but I have a better view of morale in the Russian army. It is very low, and the two motives to go to war remain (1) rare chance to earn some money and (2) submissiveness.”
==
3) After 6 days, die.
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