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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Life happens again, so for this week I’m only posting today and maybe on Wednesday. I’ll be once again in internet free zones until Sunday. Hopefully things will stay relatively quiet but I don’t count on it any more.


Biden / Harris watch –

There are reports that biden has hired defense lawyers over the weekend in the aftermath of additional criminal actions that have been exposed by whistleblowers (with the receipts). This following his weekend huddle with hunter and his lawyers at Camp David.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Nimitz CSG is at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.


Wuhan Plandemic –

The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) released the long-anticipated report on the evening of June 23, days after a 90-day deadline mandated by the COVID-19 Origin Act of 2023. Passed by Congress and signed into law in March, the act requires disclosure of any possible links to the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), which has been suggested as a likely pandemic origin.

Although it provides glimpses into activities at the Wuhan lab before the pandemic, the 10-page report—including three pages in appendices—doesn’t conclusively state whether the virus came from nature or the lab.

Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.), who sits on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, noted reports earlier in the week confirming names of the Wuhan virology lab researchers who had fallen ill with COVID-like symptoms in the autumn of 2019.

OBSERVATION - haven’t paid as much attention to this due to other chaos in the world. This report is not the smoking gun, but its omissions are serious. One of those omissions being the lack of any evaluation of US funded research at the lab regarding coronaviruses.


Illegal Immigration –

Reports developing that Homeland Security (DHS) is rerouting illegal immigration through Ports of Entry at the United States-Mexico border to give the appearance that the inflow has dropped under his watch, House Republicans say.

Republicans on the House Homeland Security Committee detailed in a report issued this month:

While the Biden administration is celebrating a reported 25 percent decrease in encounters between Ports of Entry, 35,317 aliens were encountered at Ports of Entry — 17% of the total encounters in May. According to the Office of Field Operations, this is a 20% increase from April 2023 and a staggering 34% increase from January 2023, when the CBP One app was first expanded to non-commercial use.

OBSERVATION - Oneway or another bien will find a way to continue the flood of illegals into the country


North/South Korea –

(Yonhap) — North Korea’s foreign ministry on Monday accused Seoul and Washington of pushing tensions to “the brink of a nuclear war” akin to the 1950-53 Korean War, saying it will continue to bolster its self-defensive capabilities.
In a research report released by the foreign ministry’s Institute for American Studies, North Korea likened the current military tensions in the region to the night before the outbreak of the Korean War as it slammed the United States and South Korea for their “delusional anti-communist military confrontation” and “rhetorical threats.”
“Such bellicose moves of the U.S. have pushed the military tensions on the Korean peninsula and in Northeast Asia already plunged into an extremely unstable situation closer to the brink of a nuclear war,” the ministry said in the English-language report released by the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

OBSERVATION - NK comes out with this threat often, so it is hard to judge the validity or imminence of such an operation.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated June 6, 2023

Russia is on a defensive footing in Ukraine with some attempts at preemptive assaults in the east. In the face of increased Ukrainian probing attacks, Russia has yielded some large amounts of terrain.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles and Iranian made Shahed drones show evidence of massively reduced inventories of such missiles. Recent multi-way attacks on Kyiv resulted in most of the missiles/drones (well over 90%) being shot down and very few reaching a target.

********

One thing to note in context - Putin’s current presidential term runs out next year. is this the start of more instability in the country?

In short - the turmoil continues to echo through Russia following 24 hours of Wagner rebellion.

1. Prigozhin has not been heard from since the agreement to stop the coup yesterday. As of Monday morning Russian FSB has not closed criminal case against Prigozhin

2. Defense Minister, Sergei Shoigu and Army Chief of General Staff, Valery Gerasimov have also dropped off the radar. RUMINT. Leading candidate for Shoigu,’s position is a former bodyguard of Putin is Oleksiy Dyumin. It is reported that it was he who went to Prigozhin and decided with him the issue of ending the “campaign” to Moscow. Gerasimov may be replaced by Surovikin, Russia’s top commander in Ukraine.

3. Final dispensation of the Wagner units is still being worked out. Many have returned to their bases in the russian rear areas of the Ukraine.

4. New uncertainty for Russian units that were neutral or supported Wagner. Some of which are also on the front lines of the war. Does the Russian MoD execute a purge in the middle of combat?

RUMINT-
Probably the biggest rumor is that this was all part of a plan to place Prigozhin in Belarus from which he will launch an attack on Kyiv. However, no Wagner units have been tracked headed to Belarus and the regular Russian forces in Belarus are too few to accomplish such a mission.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Milder temperatures with scattered light rain. Overall dry conditions thru the latter half of the forecast period.

RUMINT –
Reports are slightly confirmed that Ukraine has staged a crossing of the Dniper River near the Oleshky Bridge site near Kherson. However, at this stage it appears that the incursion is still small and consists mostly of infantry. A crossing here, now with the lake drained, gives Ukraine a possibility of striking the flank of the Russian forces in southern Kherson Oblast and cutting off Russian forces along the southern front.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine continues to take advantage in the confusion of leadership in the Russian leadership. This confusion is centered in the Bakhmut region where Ukrainian forces continue to reclaim lands at rates up to a kilometer per day. Bakhmut is close to becoming surrounded - by Ukraine.

Continued limited success in the south as ‘Ukraine begins to penetrate the first lines of prepared Russian defenses.

Russia’s deep game continues to fumble, with Ukrainian air defense shooting down 7 of 8 Shahed drones and 2 of 3 Kaliber cruise missiles, launched by Russia overnight

OUTLOOK –
Ukraine continues to exploit Russian confusion following the Wagner revolt. In the east things are the most disrupted for the Russians as that was Wagner’s operational area and some units there may have sided with them - making the potential for a leadership purge while in contact with Ukraine opponents problematical for operational planning and questionable morale of soldiers.

Ukraine has reestablished the cone of silence over much of its ground operations - suggesting that they are looking at the next phase of the battle and assessing the impacts of Wagner leaving the fight.


Europe / NATO General –

Increased activity of NATO aviation over Black Sea, principally intelligence collection platforms.

“The monster that Putin created with Wagner, the monster is biting him now. The monster is acting against his creator,” said Josep BorrellF, the EU’s chief diplomat. “[Putin’s] military power is cracking.”


Israel –

A terror attack targeting Jews and Israelis was thwarted in Cyprus, it was reported by Cypriot media on Sunday.

According to the reports, the planned attack was believed linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which is a branch of the Iranian army and is considered a terror organization by several countries, including the United States.

Israel’s National Security Council warned earlier this year that Cyprus and Greece are countries where Iran is likely to target Jews and Israelis. The countries are popular destinations for Israeli tourists, in addition to having relatively sizable expat communities.



363 posted on 06/26/2023 9:46:30 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Hang in there...


364 posted on 06/26/2023 1:22:57 PM PDT by GOPJ (Black dem thugs, white liberal 'elites', & sexual weirdos - democrat's team against the rest of us)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Back from my trip, then head first into the 4 July holiday, well now back into it.


Globalism / Great Reset –

The BRICS countries are planning to introduce a new trading currency, which will be backed by gold. The discussion of the new currency should take place at the upcoming BRICS meeting in Johannesburg in August. This decision was made due to the large number of countries wishing to join the BRICS.

OBSERVATION - A gold based currency on this scale would create quite a stir. How well would this fit into the overall WEF goals for a global digital currency is not totally clear, but this could pave the way for further erosion of the dollar as the currency of global reckoning.

**
The Hague, the seat of the ruling class in the Netherlands, has declared a state of emergency to prevent farmers from driving their tractors into the city to protest the government’s mandatory fertilizer reduction targets. Farmers say that their rights and freedom are being trampled on by a totalitarian system of rule we all know as “democracy.”

OBSERVATION - The dutch govt has been becoming increasing tyrannical towards the farmers and property owners in order to meet its global warming obligations to the WEF. Needless to say the popularity of these efforts are not gaining support from the population. To enact ‘emergency’ laws is evidence that the govt is losing legitimacy in the fight and is stooping to the next level - such as seen by Canada last year.

**
America’s Transportation Security Agency (TSA) intends to expand its facial-recognition program used to screen US air travel passengers to 430 domestic airports in under a decade.
The TSA’s program, which uses Idemia’s biometric technology, has come under fire from some privacy and civil-rights organizations, which argue the software amounts to large-scale surveillance that does little to stop terror in the skies.

OBSERVATION - Biometrics is the way forward for the WEF’s designs on global control of individuals. Already in practice in China and other regions, the goal is to prevent any work arounds to the system. Facial recognition has come a long way since it innocuously appeared on Facebook to help sort your photos. FB messenger videos use the technology to create the funny ‘masks’ viewers can place on their feeds - all based on facial recognition algorithms. Similar technology scans vehicle license plates for want, warrants and parking violations. Now in the future add a dose of AI/Quantium processing and the ability to track individuals increases exponentially.

**
According to Fox News, the report comes from the watchdog group American Accountability Foundation (AAF), which said in a new memo that top officials in the Biden White House are attempting to program “dangerous ideologies” into new A.I. systems.

“Under the guise of fighting ‘algorithmic discrimination’ and ‘harmful bias,’ the Biden administration is trying to rig AI to follow the woke left’s rules,” said Tom Jones, the president of AAF. “Biden is being advised on technology policy, not by scientists, but by racially obsessed social academics and activists. We’re already seen the biggest tech firms in the world, like Google under Eric Schmidt, use their power to push the left’s agenda.”
“This would take the tech/woke alliance to a whole new, truly terrifying level,” Jones added.

One of the examples AAF cited in the memo is a plan released by the White House’s Office of Science and Technology Policy last October, titled the “Blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights.” The document claims, with no evidence, that there could be an “algorithmic discrimination” in the way A.I. responds to certain people based on race, gender, and other characteristics. Such programs, the White House orders, should be “reviewed for bias based on the historical and societal context of the data.”

The White House document recommends “proactive equity assessments as part of the system design,” among other tactics, in order to make the A.I. more left-wing. A similar report was released in May by the White House’s Select Committee on Artificial Intelligence, titled the National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan, which similarly claims that “AI systems are prone to ‘hallucinate’ and recapitulate biases derived from the unfiltered data from the internet used to train them.”

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-administration-pushing-make-ai-woke-adhere-far-left-agenda-watchdog

OBSERVATION - The regime and global control freaks are jumping fast to harness the potential of AI to control the narrative and silence the right. We already know the technocrats are willing supportive of marxist ideal and will willing cooperate, if not out right lead, the efforts to skew AI results. Already the WEF and others have called for an AI produced bible and religions to eliminate ‘wrong’ views and ideas.


Economy –

Saudi Arabia and Russia announced reductions in oil exports through August 2023. Saudi Arabia and Russia’s cuts together represent 1.5 million barrels per day, which is 1.5% of global supply.

OBSERVATION - Cutting production to sustain current prices. Some are thinking that this also represents a dimming view of China’s economic reestablishment which was expected to regain strength this summer, but who’s economy has continued to suffer doldrums and is far underperforming expectations.


Biden / Harris watch –

Watching this cocaine discovery story morph. First reports were that cocaine was discover NEAR the WH. Next version is that the discovery was in the library. More recent reports say that it was discovered in the West Wing proper and not the library.


CW2 / Domestic violence -

Federal Judge Terry Doughty in the Western District of Louisiana, issued an injunction that takes direct aim at the government-media censorship complex. Concluding that plaintiffs in the lawsuit have a strong likelihood of proving that the US government suppressed dissent — and particularly conservative dissent — Doughty ordered the Biden administration and its executive agencies to cease any coordination with social-media companies.

OBSERVATION - This is likely the first of many legal counterattacks against the regime and the deep state since overt govt censorship was discovered. In this instance, govt censorship surrounding wuhan in particular. It covers a broad swath of alphabet agencies and the WH. It goes further, by banning govt interactions with secondary parties that then turned around and tried to force censorship

**
The suspect wanted in connection with a shooting in Southwest Philadelphia on Monday night has been identified as 40-year-old Kimbrady Watson Carriker. A transgender shemale.

According to the Philadelphia Inquirer, Carriker was arrested on Monday evening after allegedly shooting and killing five people and injuring two children in the Kingsessing neighborhood. Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw said law enforcement responded to gunfire in the area of South 56th Street and Chester Avenue shortly before 8:30 pm. Around 10 minutes later, police followed and cornered the suspect in an alleyway on the 1600 block of South Frazier Street.
On Facebook, Carriker was seen posting in support of Black Lives Matter, and follows the Black Lives Matter Philly Facebook page.

OBSERVATION - Another white domestic terrorist. . . . . .


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group is back in the South China Sea after wrapping a port visit to Vietnam on Friday.


Wuhan Plandemic –

Not wuhan, but Typhoid in Florida - remarkably making an appearance after Gates modified mosquitoes were released into the state. Coincidence? I think not.


Illegal Immigration –

Video of border control agents opening up razor wire on private property installed by Texas law enforcement to allow illegals entrance into the country. Vile to the max and I’m losing faith in some border control people who are forgetting that they are sworn to protect the constitution. Very similar to the National Guard individual that unlocked a gate to let illegals in a month or so ago.


China –

The United States pays interest on approximately $850 billion in debt held by the People’s Republic of China. China, however, is currently in default on its sovereign debt held by American bondholders.

OBSERVATION - This is a two edged sword, it can both harm the US as well as China. Given China’s current economic issues and hostile relations between the US and China, default becomes a dangerous component to the US and global economy.


North/South Korea –

South Korea’s military said on Wednesday it has retrieved the wreckage of a North Korean spy satellite that plunged into the sea in May after a botched launch, Reuters reports.
The South Korean military added it had found that the satellite did not appear to be capable of military surveillance.

OBSERVATION - The news report didn’t state the nature or potential purpose of the payload.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated June 6, 2023. Reassessment pending

Russia is on a defensive footing in Ukraine with some attempts at preemptive assaults in the east. In the face of increased Ukrainian probing attacks, Russia has yielded some large amounts of terrain.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles and Iranian made Shahed drones show evidence of massively reduced inventories of such missiles. Recent multi-way attacks on Kyiv resulted in most of the missiles/drones (well over 90%) being shot down and very few reaching a target.

********

The Russian saga with Wagner has more twists, turns and loop holes than “Lost”.
Prigozhin and Wagner soap opera is winding down. Prigozhin is out of the Russian news cycle and Wagner has ceased to be a significant fighting force as most recruits are resisting signing over to the regular forces. The winner is the MoD, who now is attempting to consolidate power once again and there are officer purges in the works.

RUMINT-
There are claims that Russia is amassing more than 180,000 troops near the front. There are 120,000 in the Limano-Kupyansk direction & around 50,000 near Bakhmut. These numbers are believed to include all the service support elements which would lower the actual front line combat force numbers.

Kerch Bridge update –
Major traffic jams as Russian try to get into Crimea for summer vacations. No word as to when the rail line portion of the bridge is expected to return to full operation.

Logistics –
Evidence that Russia is now producing substantial numbers of the Shaheed drones on its own, and relying less on Iran.

The Russian Railways company is restoring the operation of the company’s mobile application and website after a cyber attack, the Russian Railways press service reported


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Hot with some highs reaching the 90s, with mid week forecast of thunderstorms and some rain.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Both Russia and Ukraine accused each other of planning to blow up the Russian-held Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station. The reported incident was to happen in the next 24-48 hour - so we are in the middle of the window.

As far as all the other action since I was on hiatus, things pretty much have continued as before. Ukraine continues to make advances on all its axis of attack, but at a much slower pace than anticipated.

Bahhmut is increasingly becoming surrounded by Ukraine forces. Significant gains on the south over the weekend have place Russian resupply lines to the rubble that was the city in jeopardy.

There is evidence that Ukraine is expanding its control of the left bank of the Dniper River using artillery supported light infantry. With the draining of the lake and now dried soils, a plethora of river crossing opportunities are available that could take advantage of the relatively lightly defended regions of occupied Kherson Oblast and allow the Ukrainian army to slam into the left flank of the Russian army’s defense of Ukraine advances along the Tokmak and Velyka Novosilka Axis.

OUTLOOK –
Ukraine will continue to press its offensive on multiple axes. Though not the blitzkrieg many thought, it has in one month regained more territory than Russia took in a year. Numerous analysts continue to note that Ukraine still has yet to commit the bulk of the forces it has gathered for the offensive. Perhaps holding off due to the potential threat from a Russian counter assault from Limano-Kupyansk region.

The watch on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station is of concern since Russia showed no reluctance in destroying the dam a couple weeks ago. NATO and in particular Poland and Romania have warned that any destruction of the facility and associate fall out of radiation on their country would result in the declaration of Art 5 and could pull them into direct combat. A melt down of the facility would also condemn the Dniper River downstream of the plant and potentially cause closure of Ukrainian ports around the mouth of the river. Response to try to control a melt down would be severely impeded by Russia, doubly making the disaster worse.

Should Russia execute the Zaporizhzhia option, US and allies may drop all hesitation to supply ATACMs and cluster munitions (as well as more long range systems) to Ukraine, cycling an escalation of the war even higher.

The consolidation of power by the MoD over Wagner over the past week to me means that Russia will reinforce failed policies and tactics that have been the bane of the Russian efforts in Ukraine. Massive officer purges will destabilize units even further and combined with already poor morale decrease Russian military capability another notch.


Europe / NATO General –

Moslem rioting in France has caused over $1 billion in damages so far and show no signs of slowing. Riots started when French police shot an killed a 17 yr old moslem with a rap sheet the length of your arm.

OBSERVATION - France has allowed essentially uncontrolled immigration of moslems from Africa and the ME for decades now.


Israel –

Over the weekend Israel launched ground attacks in the West Bank community of Jennin which hammered terrorist HQs and other affiliated sites. Last night probable PIJ terrorists launched five rockets into southern Israel and the IAF responded by striking an underground weapons manufacturing facility used by the Hamas terrorist organization, as well as a raw materials manufacturing facility for rockets belonging to Hamas in Gaza. The IDF holds Hamas responsible for all activities emanating from Gaza and will face the consequences of security violations against Israel.



365 posted on 07/05/2023 8:15:10 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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