Replies

Globalism / Great Reset –

A South African official told Bloomberg News this week that a common currency would be a discussion topic during the August annual BRICS summit.

OBSERVATION – Watching the continued efforts to take the dollar out as the global reserve currency.

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Biden administration proposed new regulations Thursday that if enacted would aggressively limit greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, the second-most harmful source of greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S. The move stands to force major changes in the energy sector and is likely to set up a legal battle with the energy industry.

The Environmental Protection Agency said the new standards would enable the sector to avoid up to 617 million metric tons of carbon dioxide through 2042, which officials compared to taking roughly half the 300 million cars in the U.S. off the road.

The EPA also estimates that the new rules would drastically improve air quality and public health, potentially avoiding more than 300,000 cases of asthma and 1,300 premature deaths every year by 2030.

Biden vowed early in his administration to decarbonize the power sector by 2035 and make the nation’s entire economy carbon neutral by 2050.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-administration-announces-plans-to-slash-greenhouse-gas-emissions-from-power-plants/

OBSERVATION – IIRC the EPA is using the same assertion of authority that the USSC struck down earlier. But this is the method of the deep state in conjunction with the WEF, push regulations that you know will eventually be struck down, but that will take years to work thru the courts, meanwhile, you get your agenda and that is to damage the US economy.

Economy –

One area Yellen has threatened to cut off in the event of a shutdown are payments to Social Security. Please note – SS is suppose to be a separate fund – separate from the rest of the budget. Fiscal games over the years of congress ‘borrowing’ from the fund to pay for their boondoggles has left the account with nothing but IOUs. It is a threat to mobilize the retired to come to biden’s side. Transparency – I’m retired and receiving SS. I recognize this as blatant politics and typical of the regime. I’m not sure the democrats are prepared for the push back given their complete refusal to come to the table to work out an agreement.

Biden / Harris watch –

On Tuesday, Biden announced his plan to create a “rule” to ensure that U.S. airline flights run on time.

POLITICAL FRONT –

CNN is probably asking itself why they dared to interview Trump in a live townhall setting. He handed them their a$$es last night, and this in not disputed – even by the left who went apoplectic following the “shortened” interview (CNN cut its time to 70 minutes from a projected 90). AOC’s screed was one of the best bemoaning CNN failed efforts at ‘gotcha’ tactics.

Reality is it wasn’t fair for Trump to engage in a battle of wits against an unarmed opponent.

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Bank records obtained by the House Oversight Committee shows that “the Biden family, their associates, and their companies received over $10 million from foreign nationals and their companies.”

OBSERVATION – The biggest, by far, story of the decade -in fact the millennium is the massive corruption and crime by the biden regime family. You know the fix is in when the MSM monolithically sweeps it under the carpet.

Illegal Immigration –

Clock is ticking down as Title 42 is expected to be terminated at midnight tonight. Biden is claiming he is reinstating Trump’s “stay in Mexico” policy, but it is too little, too late – if he even had thoughts about enforcing it to begin with.

TX Nat’l Guard is physically turning back illegals in the Brownsville area. They have erected concertina wire fences to close off gaps in the border where thousands have been pouring in.

RUMINT – There is allegedly a secure chat room where DHS and Mexican officials set up originally to coordinate stopping the illegals. This chat room has reportedly been switched over to a means of notifying Mexican officials as to the location and status of Texas LEOs and National Guard, so they can direct the illegals to other undefended border crossing sites.

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NBC News is reporting the Biden administration is planning to order the release of illegal migrants into the U.S. with “no way to track them.”

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Fighting between Mexican security forces and unknown cartel members in Reynosa, Tamaulipas near the Pharr international bridge occurred yesterday. This is the third battle in the past couple weeks at this location and may be tied to cartel human trafficking.

With essentially no border, expect cartel violence to progressively migrate northward.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated May 5, 2023
Russia finds itself between a rock and a hard place with pressure from putin to continue the offensive at the expense of positioning forces to respond to a Ukranian offensive.

Russian forces have failed in their attempt to secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Russia has expended its men and equipment on the battlefields of Bakhmut and the Donetsk sector – primarily Avdiyivka with little to show for their efforts. In five months alone it is conservatively estimated that Russian has lost 100,000 solders incl 20,000 KIA.

Russia is now being forced to face a Ukrainian offensive with few forces capable of stopping a well organized attack.

Russia is continuing to try to press the offensive in two areas
1) Bahkmut region,
2) Donetsk region – around Avdiyivka

Even if Russia is able to capture those two cities, they lack the follow-on capabilities to exploit the success. .

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles and Iranian made Shahed drones show evidence of massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart. Its initial power grid attacks have ceased and missile/drone attacks are appearing to be more random. Russia does have some capability to strike strategic targets during an Ukrainian offensive, but the success rate will likely be low due to Ukrainian ADA skills and poor targeting and timeliness of response.

Russia has established an extensive system of tank/armor barriers across the south and east. Russia may not have the forces necessary to concentrate to stop any Ukrainian breach of this system, due to its forces being spread so thin.

Russia has also lost a lot of elite and experienced forces in the fight for Bakhmut, and has few forces available to form an operational reserve.

********

RUMINT-
Wagner warlord Prigozhin’s recent tirades against the MoD may have crossed a line with putin and now could potentially face push back .
‘If this continues, official security forces will certainly put a stop to it,’ said a source close to the Kremlin, reported Meduza.
It was unclear if this meant liquidation - a fate of multiple Putin foes - or arrest, possibly for treason, which could see the 61-year-old billionaire warlord jailed for up to 21 years.

The report says Moscow’s propaganda agencies have already received a ‘warning’ from the Putin administration that if Prigozhin continues criticising the Defence Ministry and reporting ‘failures on the front’, journalists should begin ‘portraying him as a traitor’.

Russian Personnel Issues –-
putin has issued an order to call up reserves. The announcement claims that the callees will not be deployed to Ukraine, there are two ‘classified’ sections of the order not divulged.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs reaching the 60s - 70s and a drying trend throughout the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting levels at Bakhmut have declined over the past couple days. This could be due to Russia beginning to switch operations from offensive in nature to defensive. This defensive switch in the Bakhmut region may have been triggered by the defeat/destruction of the 27th brigade in recent days. Wagner still seems want to press the offensive, even seeking to align with Chechen detachments to increase their man power.

Ground fighting at Avdiyivka and areas west of Donetsk continues at reduced levels.

The Svatove-Kreminna, Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes and minimal ground attacks.

A planned counteroffensive against Russian forces will have to wait until the military has had more time to prepare, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. In an interview on Thursday with public service broadcasters that are members of the Eurovision News exchange, Zelenskyy said the military is still waiting on certain equipment like armored vehicles.
“With [what we have] we can go forward and be successful,” Zelenskyy said. “But we’d lose a lot of people. I think that’s unacceptable. So we need to wait. We still need a bit more time.”
NOTE – There may be credibility in this statement, but also remember we are at the point of PSYOPS and if Russia can be caught thinking they have more time, then so much the better.

OUTLOOK –
The most fierce battles will continue around Bakhmut, but I see the level/intensity to decline in the coming days.

The interwebs will be filled with propaganda and other misdirection efforts as Ukraine preps to kick off its offensive and Russia tries to hold the moral of its soldiers and citizens up.
May get clues as to where Ukraine will strike the hardest based on increased artillery preparation targeting command, logistics and troop concentrations.

The delivery of the Storm Shadow cruise missiles puts the Kerch Strait bridge back into play. It is a critical supply line into Crimea and Russia has been hurrying to bring the rail portion back on line to supply the defensive actions. A strike on the bridge may well be the signal of the official kickoff of the offensive, even though Russia is projecting the rail portion to be repaired for use by June-July.

Europe / NATO General –

Britain has supplied Storm Shadow cruise missiles to Ukraine, Ben Wallace announces. Defence Sec tells MPs the donation gives Ukraine the “best chance to defend themselves against Russia’s continued brutality”, especially the targeting of civilian infrastructure against international law. The missiles have a range of firing range in excess of 250km, or 155 miles. UK has announced that they will only be used within Ukrainian sovereign territory and not inside Russia. UK officials have made frequent public statements identifying Crimea as Ukrainian sovereign territory, describing it as “illegally annexed.”

Pakistan –

Violent protests continue with attacks on military bases/facilities. Military appears to be preparing to move on those attacks.

Israel –

PIJ rockets reached the 400+ level, but have been highly ineffective, with about 25% falling back on Gaza, most of the rest falling on empty fields- meaning Iron Dome only had to engage a handful of the remainder. Some longer range rockets were launched towards Tel Aviv, but had no effect.

Israel air and artillery strikes hit a wide variety of PIJ targets and the cumulation effect appears to have resulted in the curtailment of a lot of the rocket attacks. The military said that more than 100 Palestinian terror assets were hit. Reports that an IAF airstrike took out another senior PIJ leader.

Egypt is trying to negotiate a ceasefire, but so far has not been effective in getting one inplace.

So far Hamas has been staying out of the fight. PIJ is a rival faction and Hamas may be taking advantage of the conflict to see PIJ influence reduced.

Turkey -

Turkey poll alert: Respected polling company Konda has released its final poll.

• Kilicdaroglu: 49.3%
• Erdogan; 43.7%
• Ogan: 4.8%
• Ince: 2.2%

OBSERVATION – Still may go to a runoff between Erodogan and Kilicdaroglu, but the Kilicdaroglu has been surging in the polls and the large absentee vote may push him over the 50% level for a first round victory.

Globalism / Great Reset –

Musk’s consideration of Linda Yaccarino (who is currently a WEF Executive Chair) does not bode well for free speech on Twitter as she is an advocate for censorship. Musk is also affiliated with the WEF, so the appointment could well be planned out. Musk maintains that he will be the senior to her and that his free speech efforts on Twitter will remain intact. Time will tell.

Economy –

Unemployment numbers are on the increase.

Biden / Harris watch –

In a recent presser, harris’ behavior was odd - even for her - leading many to believe she was drunk or high on something.

CW2/Domestic violence –

One aspect of the collapse of our border is the increased potential for internal fighting between the “established” minorities like BLM and others against illegal invaders. A potential tip of the iceberg was revealed in the South Side of Chicago where a group of residents (primarily black) are rejecting the placement of 250 illegals in their neighborhood.

There is no doubt – the crush of illegals will place burdens on the social welfare system, free food, housing, sanitation and overall increase in general crime. Health care is stretched to the max in nearly all the border towns.

Many of the illegals are coming in groups, having their own ‘tribe’ assembled that may then challenge the existing social welfare class of the towns they are being released into. This brings in the cartels imbedded in the mob which will further destabilize the situation. If this situation explodes, as IMHO, it will, democrats will be scrambling to establish damage control and mitigate the situation before it pulls the rug out of their 2024 campaigns.

This invasion is not due to incompetence, but a deliberate act to destabilize the country in order to bring it under subjugation to global authorities. Another conspiracy theory that is rapidly becoming fact.

Wuhan Plandemic -

Despite the fact that COVID-19 is no longer a major threat to anyone, the COVID cult is still in effect, and it could cost a nine-year-old boy his life. The COVID regime has already caused immense damage and ruined far too many lives. But, unfortunately, it appears the cult is not through with us just yet.

Tanner Donaldson, a 9-year-old boy with stage 4 chronic kidney disease, was born with a rare birth defect causing irreversible kidney damage. Tanner’s father, Dane Donaldson, is a suitable live kidney donor, but due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Cleveland Clinic Children’s Hospital has refused to conduct the transplant surgery because Dane is not vaccinated against the coronavirus.
The hospital has a policy that requires all organ donors to be fully vaccinated to minimize complications during and after surgery. Dane questioned the hospital’s hypocrisy, pointing out that deceased organ donors are not required to be vaccinated. He even offered to sign a waiver freeing the hospital from liability.
But the hospital still rejected him.

https://redstate.com/jeffc/2023/05/12/9-year-old-boys-life-hangs-in-the-balance-denied-transplant-over-vaccination-status-n744774

OBSERVATION – The evil that is the wuhan cult continues even though the WHO has ‘officially’ dropped the emergency. If he survives, hope he sues the living daylights out of this group of death cultists.

POLITICAL FRONT –

Biden has moved debt ceiling negotiations off until next week.

Illegal Immigration –

Within minutes of the expiration of Title 42, illegals were scrambling over fences and other access points to get into the US. Multiple cities, counties and states have declared states of emergency expecting social services and law enforcement to be overwhelmed by the mobs. West Texas DPS (Dept. of Public Safety) Chief Jose Sanchez told Fox News moments ago “We are preparing for civil unrest” after Title 42 ends tonight.

New York Governor Declares State Of Emergency As New York City Becomes Overwhelmed By Migrants – ‘Disaster is Imminent’

A judge in Cameron County, TX (Brownsville) has signed a DECLARATION OF DISASTER in response to the “imminent threat of widespread or severe damage, injury of loss of life or property resulting from the Border Security Disaster.”

Legal maneuvering continued into last night. CPS had announced that they would be releasing illegals into the country without court dates. Federal judge then blocked Biden admin from releasing migrants without court dates. Better believe the CPS is going to ‘ignore’ the court.

Some sectors of the border will be better guarded than others. Texas has deployed 10,000 nat’l guard forces to the border and have erected concertina barriers at identified crossing points – backed up by guards and DPS in riot gear, if necessary. But even this may be too little as tens of thousands intend to flood the border today, with millions moving as fast as US funded NGOs can get them bussed from Panama to the border.

See CW2 for further commentary on social unrest aspects.

OBSERVATION - This will create a crisis never before seen in this country. Increasing the potential for crime and violence.

China –

China’s space plane returned after a nearly 300 day mission where it reportedly docked with other satellites during its mission. It is thought to be testing our as an anti-sat system.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

Russia is now being forced to face a Ukrainian offensive with few forces capable of stopping a well organized attack.

Russia is continuing to try to press the offensive in two areas
1) Bahkmut region,
2) Donetsk region – around Avdiyivka

Even if Russia is able to capture those two cities, they lack the follow-on capabilities to exploit the success. .

Russia has also lost a lot of elite and experienced forces in the fight for Bakhmut, and has few forces available to form an operational reserve.

********

RUMINT-
Putin and the MoD are reportedly trying to decide whether to hold back its dwindling cruise missile stockpiles to defend against a NATO attack or use them in an effort to thwart the Ukrainian offensive.

All kinds of rumors were flying over recent successful Ukraine counter attacks.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs reaching the 60s - 70s and a drying trend throughout the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
What a wild 24 hours – note from here on out, we are transitioning to Ukrainian directed activity and things can happen fast.

Fighting levels at Bakhmut are still low, but what caused the magnitude 7 shockwave through the Russian milbogger world has been successful limited counterattacks against the Russian pincers north and south of Bakhmut. These attacks saw in many cases Russian forces dropping what they had and running for it. This in turn caused a meltdown on the Russian milblogger side saying that the Ukraine offensive has come and Russian forces were being destroyed. Even Wagner warlord Prigozhin was on board with these milbloggers and said they were abandoning Wagner forces.

In an interview, the Ukraine 3d Assault Brigade commander credited drying soil conditions for his unit’s recent successes in the Bakhmut area.

Ground fighting at Avdiyivka and areas west of Donetsk continues at reduced levels. Main action has shifted overnight to a renewed push along highway H-15.

The Svatove-Kreminna, Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes and minimal ground attacks. Reports of Ukraine probing and reconnaissance in force operations.

Russian Territory –
“A Ukrainian drone attacked the building of the military enlistment office in Starodub, Bryansk Region. According to preliminary data, the attack took place in the evening of May 10,” writes BAZA.

In the Kursk region, the morning began with 5 arrivals at a power substation in the village of Tetkino. The governor of the region reported that there are problems with electricity supply.

“A Ukrainian drone attacked the Rosneft Klintsovskyi oil depot, there were no casualties, the concrete base and a tank for storing oil products were partially damaged,” the Bryansk governor said.

OUTLOOK –
Expect heavy doses of propaganda, psyops and general confusion as the war transitions to Ukraine and the offensive.

Weee doggies, from all appearances, Russian forces are seriously spooked over the impending Ukrainian offensive. Now for starters, one must hold these milblogger reports at arms length and needing verification before accepting, but many of these milbloggers have shown to be pretty well connected with the Russian troop situation as well as unit leadership. The reaction of the Russian, thru the milbogger lens, is one of paranoia and poor situational communications among Russian units. One has to wonder what chaos will ensue when the offensive really hits.

As noted before, the soil conditions are the real driver to the timing of Ukraine’s effort. From the 3d Assault Bde commander in Bakhmut – the soil is drying out. This permits greater off road maneuverability of tanks and other armor. This also indicates that a lot of the spring runoff into streams and rivers is down, making any crossing a little easier.

Meanwhile, it appears that principally Wagner will continue the fight in Bakhmut claiming it only has another 650 meters to go to reach the western side of the city. However, softness on Wagner’s flanks may force them to limit their actions should Ukraine exploit the soft Russian regular forces further.

One thing to note. Many commentators out there are claiming Ukraine doesn’t have the forces to launch a successful offensive – noting that there is roughly numerical parity between the forces. That may be true, but Russia has to spread much of those forces out along the WHOLE line of contact, while Ukraine has the freedom to pick and choose where to CONCENTRATE its forces and firepower.

Israel –

Israel and the PIJ have continued going at it hammer and tongs. PIJ rockets reached nearly 1,000, but have been highly ineffective, with about 25% falling back on Gaza, most of the rest falling on empty fields- meaning Iron Dome only had to engage a handful of the remainder. Some longer range rockets were launched towards Tel Aviv, but but were intercepted by David’s Sling missiles for the first time.

Iron dome has reportedly had some technical problems and has allowed a few rockets to get past its defenses to hit Israeli residential areas. Iron dome still has maintained a 91% success rate.

IAF and ground forces continue to pound PIJ leadership, launching sites and storage areas. Ahmad Abu Daqqa, Deputy commander of PIJ’s Gaza rocket units has been killed by IDF strike in Gaza. He is the 4th senior leader taken out in the past 72 hours.

Egypt continues to try to broker a ceasefire, but PIJ ignores, Latest media reports say ceasefire talks collapsed after a PIJ barrage was fired towards the Jerusalem area.

OBSERVATION – Israel is focused on eliminating as much of the PIJ as possible. It is part of a strategy to pivot on Islamic opponents as it eventually expects to confront Hezbollah and Iran more directly.

Turkey -

Turkey’s breakaway opposition candidate Muharrem Ince withdrew from presidential race currently polling at 2%. İnce’s withdrawal could put Kılıçdaroğlu over the 50% threshold to avoid a runoff.

Mexico -

Rumors of coordination with the DHS on where to encourage illegals to cross to bypass TX guarded sites.