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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Security Alert: U.S. Embassy – State of Disaster Declared Over Ongoing Energy Crisis of “Load-shedding” – Controlled Electricity Outages

The government of South Africa has declared a “State of Disaster” in response to ongoing power shortages. The country’s energy crisis includes sustained load-shedding (controlled rolling blackouts), at varying intervals and is expected to extend beyond 2023. Load-shedding currently results in localized power outages of up to six hours or more per day throughout the country. These planned electricity outages negatively affect private residences, businesses, municipal lighting, traffic lights, and hotels. Rolling blackouts can also impact water availability and safety, internet connectivity, cell phone network coverage, fuel pumps (and therefore fuel availability), residential security features, and the food supply. Additionally, power outages have the potential to increase crime; for example, traffic jams when lights are out provide opportunities for smash and grab crime, and residences can be targeted when lights are out and security systems are not functioning. Further, ongoing conditions have led to an increase in protests and demonstrations, and in some cases civil unrest, throughout the country.

OBSERVATION – S Africa used to be a first world country with abundant power for all citizens. Now they cannot provide clean water and now power. Food supplies are endangered as the predominantly white farmers are gradually leaving/being forced off their farms and the ‘locals’ take them over, with basically stone age farming practices. This is a picture of the future the WEF/GGR have for the world as a means of culling the sheeple.

Also concerning is the drift of the country into closer ties with Russia and China. May be trying for a parasitical relationship, but it will only go one way - towards the Russian/China alliance.


Wuhan virus –

WSJ - The shift by the Energy Department, which previously was undecided on how the virus emerged, is noted in an update to a 2021 document by Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines’s office.

The new report highlights how different parts of the intelligence community have arrived at disparate judgments about the pandemic’s origin. The Energy Department now joins the Federal Bureau of Investigation in saying the virus likely spread via a mishap at a Chinese laboratory. Four other agencies, along with a national intelligence panel, still judge that it was likely the result of a natural transmission, and two are undecided.

The Energy Department’s conclusion is the result of new intelligence and is significant because the agency has considerable scientific expertise and oversees a network of U.S. national laboratories, some of which conduct advanced biological research.

OBSERVATION – WTH does the Energy Dept have ANYTHING to do with biological warfare to BEGIN WITH. If they are running biolabs, then we have a serious amount of mission creep and wasted money.


Economy –

Retail fertilizer prices have dropped 17% so far in 2023 and are expected to fall further. The spot Tampa anhydrous ammonia contract settled at $590 per metric ton, a 25% drop from last week and the lowest price since July 2021. (FO)

OBSERVATION – This is good news as long as supply chains/source hold.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Washington State Democrats proposed House Bill 1333 to establish a new commission, made up of racial groups, the FBI, state lawmakers, the ACLU, and the Anti-Defamation League, to pass judgment on the ideas of people, which they perceive to be disinformation and misinformation. Washington State’s far-Left Attorney General Bob Ferguson would oversee the proposed commission.
From a hearing on the bill, it is reported that “Under Washington state law, residents will now be classified as domestic terrorists if they protest school board meetings, Drag Queen Story Hour Events, and the outcome of elections, according to the examples provided.” - Katie Daviscourt

OBSERVATION – This is the growth of tyranny, pure and simple. Designed to increase the gap between the Red and blue. Eastern Washington state is continuing to push for separation and creation of its own state – Liberty. This tyranny will likely drive that move even harder.


POLITICAL FRONT –

A California-based law firm has accused Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and a slew of other election officials, mayors, judges, city councilman, and county supervisors in the state of receiving bribes from the Sinaloa cartel.

During a Thursday hearing before the Senate Elections and Municipal Oversight & Elections Joint Committee, the principal investigator for Harris/Thaler Law Corporation, Jacqueline Breger, presented their shocking findings, detailing how a money-laundering investigation in the midwest revealed alleged corruption in Arizona.

https://thepostmillennial.com/katie-hobbs-accused-of-receiving-sinaloa-cartel-bribes?utm_campaign=64487

OBSERVATION – Corruption always seems to be centered on democrats for some reason, shocked, shocked I tell you.
What is critical is that the cartels have deepened their hooks into southwestern states and what appears is that Arizona is in route to becoming a narko-terrorist enclave.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - First Anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.


Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures rising to the mid 30’s – lower 40s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fierce fighting overnight on the northern flank of the Bahkmut pocket as Russian forces broke through Ukraine defenses and pushed westward. It has been reported that Ukraine forces launched a combined arms counter-attack SE along the M-03 HWY axis. This would effectively pinch off the Russian penetration. Much of this is still unconfirmed, mostly to the extent of each actions. There are other unconfirmed reports that Ukraine is beginning to stage forces for a withdrawal from the city.

Other unconfirmed reports that Russians have committed their most combat-ready forces to Bakhmut and that there are many Wagner Group convict personnel around the city.

Shahed-136 drones attempted to attack targets across Ukraine; they are reportedly flying extremely low in order to not be detected by radar. Numbers were not that significant in comparison to other attacks and they were not followed up by missile attacks.

Zaporizhizhia Front ———
Unconfirmed rumors of troop build ups in the Vasylivka area. No clarity if for defense of offense.

Crimean front ———
Reports of an explosion near the Crimean town of Sudak. A nasty odor is also smelled. Huge.

OUTLOOK –
With the stepped up fighting around Bakhmut, and the apparent commitment of a Russian reserve to the fight, Ukraine is having to evaluate its next moves at a strategic level. Withdrawl or commit forces to counter attack/reinforce the town which takes away from offensive planning.

Again, fog of war is thick and the current tactical situation is hard for me to see. Ukraine has caused high casualties to the Russian forces in their six plus month fight for the town, at high Ukraine losses as well. At present, I can’t see Ukraine holding for more than a week and executing an orderly withdrawal to deeper defensive positions where Russia will be forced to resume the same meat grinder operations they faced with Bahkmut.


Moldova/Transnistria -

Kremlin - the situation in Transnistria is not calm and is being stirred up by external forces.


Belarus -

Partisans from the “Pieramoha” (Victory) plan confirmed a successful special operation to blow up a rare Russian plane at the airfield in Machulishchy near Minsk. This is the most successful operation since the beginning of 2022. The plane was a Russian military A-50 AEW&C aircraft and according to the report the front and center parts of the aircraft, avionics and radar antenna were damaged. Russia has very few of these aircraft in service.

**

“Belarus is ready to mobilize 1.5 million people for the needs of the army in case of aggravation of the situation” - State Secretary of the Security Council of Belarus Alexander Volfovich

FYI Belarus has a population of about 9.4 million, less than half that military aged men.


Israel –

The west bank was on fire overnight as Israelis torched Palestinian houses and cars in Huwara. Dozens of Palestinian have been wounded and at least 1 killed. This comes after two Israelis were killed in a terrorist attack earlier today. Deputy Head of the political bureau of Hamas calls for Palestinians to go out and clash with Israeli forces and Israeli citizens in Hawara .

Israeli Security Forces have rushed 2 IDF Battalions and 4 Companies of Border Security to the West Bank in an attempt to quell the Unrest that appears to be spirally out of Control.

Israeli security forces are also still looking for the gunman.

OBSERVATION - Nasty situation overnight that appears to have been calmed down as I type. To say things are still tense is to understate it immensely. The terror attack was designed to provoke a response and to also justify rocket attacks from Gaza. Again, this is an outgrowth from Hamas-supported elements trying to show arabs in the West Bank who is stronger, them or the PA.


Iran –

Iran’s currency fell to a new record low on Sunday, plummeting to 600,000 rials to the dollar for the first time in history as the country’s economy continues to be roiled by nationwide anti-government protests and international sanctions.
Iranians’ purchasing power has been decimated by inflation, which reached an annual rate of 53.4% in January – up from 41.4% two years according to the country’s statistics center. The dire economic circumstances have wiped out the life savings of many and caused Iranians to form long lines at currency exchange offices in recent days in an effort to acquire increasingly scarce dollars.

OBSERVATION – Key source of discontent of the citizenry. The majority of Iran’s efforts are being directed towards military / terrorism support in the region. Leaves very little for the citizens.


Central / South America General-

Government authorities in El Salvador have locked up around 43K MS 13 and other gang members in what are being called mega-prisons. Once widely dubbed the “homicide capital of the world” - authorities in recent years thought they had it under control, but murders spiked over the past year.
This caused President Nayib Bukele to declared a state of emergency eight months ago, and police went ‘gloves off’ in attempting to clear the streets of gangs.

Civil rights advocates are decrying the massive lock ups, but the population is in supports, seeing the murder rate drop by something like 64%. Gangs in El Salvador have been problematic for decades, but the new response seems to be working. Honestly IMHO, you tat MS13 all over your body – you’ve chosen sides. To go one step more - start putting these criminals down for good for their crimes/murders.

Lesson for the US – as unrestrained crime is promoted by the Marxist in predominantly blue cities/states, there may become a similar call for a similar backlash. Don’t hold your breath that such a crackdown will occur since the left has coddled these thugs so far. However, spreading into red areas is another matter and may result in a civilian vigilante as well as govt response. Of course it would face immediate opposition by our leftist fed govt and private groups. Increasing CW2 tensions.



136 posted on 02/27/2023 8:45:10 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

A Canadian Parliamentary committee is recommending lawmakers legalize euthanasia for sick and disabled children or those in Canada’s child welfare system. They think those whose deaths are what they consider “reasonably foreseeable” should be able to end their own lives.

In Canada now, the Special Joint Committee on Medical Assistance in Dying called for an alarming expansion of euthanasia (MAiD) in Canada to now include “mature minors.” Recommendation 19 in the report states:
That the Government of Canada establish a requirement that, where appropriate, the parents or guardians of a mature minor be consulted in the course of the assessment process for MAID, but that the will of a minor who is found to have the requisite decision-making capacity ultimately take priority.
Who determines what is “appropriate”? Government, of course. Parents or guardians may or may not be consulted in the euthanasia death of their child if he or she is deemed capable of decision-making.

https://harbingersdaily.com/downright-demonic-canadian-govt-calls-lawmakers-to-legalize-euthanasia-for-children-without-parental-consent/

OBSERVATION – Trial run in WEF Canada being developed. One overarching theme from the WEF confabs and elite is the desire to reduce the population of the earth. Most recently the desire to effectively half the population by 2035(?) as well as the desire to reduce the population eventually to 500 million (Georgia guideposts).

Also a recurring theme is isolating parents from any decision making over their children. This is parallel to the current war militant trannies are waging with their school/govt cohorts to block parental involvement in their children’s sexuality and to permit unfettered grooming/indoctrination. Ultimate stated goal of the globalists is to destroy the nuclear family and replace it with govt dependency.


Economy –

The U.S. economy will slip into a recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, and the Federal Reserve will respond with a rate cut in the following quarter, Deutsche Bank said in a new forecast.

The bank updated key economic projections in a research note last week after several developments on multiple fronts.

According to Deutsche Bank, the Fed will increase the terminal fed funds rate to 5.625 percent, up from its previous estimate of 5.1 percent. Economists cited persistent inflation pressures, better-than-expected economic data, and continued resilience in the labor market.

A new survey of economists by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) revealed that nearly half (48 percent) expect a recession later this year. Close to one-third expect an economic downturn in the April-to-June quarter, while a fifth believe it will start in the third quarter.
“Results of the February 2023 NABE Outlook survey continue to reflect significant divergence regarding the outlook for the U.S. economy,” NABE President Julia Coronado, president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, said in a statement. “Estimates of inflation-adjusted gross domestic product or real GDP, inflation, labor market indicators, and interest rates are all widely diffused, likely reflecting a variety of opinions on the fate of the economy—ranging from recession to soft landing to robust growth.”
In a series of tweets last week, David Rosenberg, the chief economist and strategist at Rosenberg Research, warned that the country is heading toward a recession and dismissed assertions of a “no landing” as a “hoax.”
“The ‘no landing’ narrative is the biggest hoax Wall Street economists have peddled since ‘global decoupling’ in 2008,” he wrote on Twitter. “Follow the leading indicators, not the Pied Pipers.”

https://www.theepochtimes.com/deutsche-bank-forecasts-us-recession-in-fourth-quarter-followed-by-rate-cut_5086188.html?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport

OBSERVATION – DB is in the business to make a profit and not go bankrupt, so it must breath in the realities of the global economy and not succumb to the hopium put forth by the Fed and US Treasury. I think DB is generous waiting until 4Q2023 for the ‘start’ of the recession.


Cyber Warfare –

NBC News reported that U.S. Marshals Service spokesperson Drew Wade said in a statement that on Feb. 17, authorities found “a ransomware and data exfiltration event affecting a stand-alone USMS system.”
“Shortly after that discovery, the USMS disconnected the affected system, and the Department of Justice initiated a forensic investigation,” Wade noted, according to CBS News.

“The affected system contains law enforcement sensitive information, including returns from legal process, administrative information, and personally identifiable information pertaining to subjects of USMS investigations, third parties, and certain USMS employees,” Wade noted, according to reports.
Senior department officials briefed on the breach ruled “that it constitutes a major incident,” Wade noted.

NBC News reported that a source said that the situation did not impact the database pertaining to the Witness Security Program, widely known as the witness protection program.

“The mission of the U.S. Marshals Service is to enforce federal laws and provide support to virtually all elements of the federal justice system by providing for the security of federal court facilities and the safety of judges and other court personnel; apprehending criminals; exercising custody of federal prisoners and providing for their security and transportation to correctional facilities; executing federal court orders; seizing assets gained by illegal means and providing for the custody, management, and disposal of forfeited assets; assuring the safety of endangered government witnesses and their families; and collecting and disbursing funds,” according to the agency’s website.
https://www.theblaze.com/news/us-marshals-service-ransomware-incident

OBSERVATION – Ransonware attacks are easy to avoid if one uses simple, common sense computer security. USMS has a wealth of criminal and other data as noted above and would afford the hacker a plethora of data that could then be remarketed on the dark web.


China –

Top US Army general in Pacific, Gen. Flynn just said the PLA army, rocket forces and support forces “are in dangerous positions.” Flynn, speaking at AEI w Kori Schake said he can’t reveal intel but: “They are rehearsing, they are exercising, they are experimenting.”

OBSERVATION – This would be part of the preparations necessary for an invasions of Taiwan. China has not executed a military operation of this magnitude or technical difficulty in the modern era, if ever. I suspect they are revisiting plans and assumptions in light of the colossal goat rope that Russia put together for Ukraine.

Now what is needing to be sorted out is the term “are in dangerous positions.”? Is he suggesting that the exercises are close to an actual attempt to execute an invasion?


Russia -

WAR WATCH - First Anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

On the heels of a mysterious drone strike on a $300 million A-50 AWACS aircraft parked in Belarus, command of Russia’s air defense was transferred abruptly from the ground forces to the aero-space forces, led by General Surovikin.

OBSERVATION – IIRC Surovikin was relieved of command of an army in Ukraine for incompetence, now in charge of space forces?

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov on Tuesday staked out Moscow’s position that it is open to peace negotiations but that Kiev and its Western allies must accept Russia’s annexation of four Ukrainian regions – Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia. “There are certain realities that have already become an internal factor. I mean the new territories. The constitution of the Russian Federation exists, and cannot be ignored. Russia will never be able to compromise on this, these are important realities,” Peskov told reporters. (FO)

Russian Personnel Issues –-
Various analysts are conjecturing that Russia will be out of trained conscripts necessary to fight the war by May of this year. Putin will be forced to look to remanning his forces at probably the worst time - during the anticipated Ukrainian spring offensive. another conscription ‘mobilization or forced recall of reserves would be in the cards. That would mean months before those new soldiers would be on the front - months to Ukraine’s favor.


Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures rising to the mid 30’s – lower 40s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting remains fierce around Bahkmut, with tactical status relatively unclear. It does appear that Russia has committed some reserves to the fight. However, thawing and rain have turned the region into a mud hole.

Ukraine launched some drones into Russia overnight, targeting oil/gas facilities. Russia was scrambling to try to deal with the PR aftermath.

Russian Territory –
Russian media report that around 2 a.m. on February 28 two drones with explosives attacked the Rosneft oil depot near the city of Tuapse. Distance to the territory controlled by Ukraine from there is +430km. Attack destroyed several oil storage tanks.

Also on the morning of February 28, some Russian media began to claim that an unknown flying object fell in the Adygea Republic of Russia. Photos released of the remains looks like parts of a jet engine. The Tu-141/143 are jet engine propelled.

Tuapse and Adygea are both located in Southern Russia near the northeastern coast of the Black Sea.

Another UAV crashed 100 meters from the Voskresensk gas compressor station in the Kolomensky district of the Moscow region. The drone was found in the village of Gubastovo

Airspace over St. Petersburg was temporally closed overnight. It is reported that an unknown aircraft violated the airspace. Planes on a flight to St. Petersburg are redirected.In a statement issued about an hour after flights had restarted, the Defense Ministry said it had been carrying out exercises that involved the dispatch of fighter jets in Russia’s western air space.

The airport has since been reopened with the following explaination -
“During the training, air defense forces worked on the detection, interception, and identification of targets, as well as interacting with emergency services and law enforcement agencies,” Russian news agencies cited the ministry as saying.

OUTLOOK –
Situation is still unclear in Bahkmut, but it does look like the Ukranian position is slipping faster. Temperatures are rising, bringing back the mud season and will stall attacks by both sides. That reality may be why Russia appears to have committed reserves to capture Bahkmut – knowing that Ukraine would be hard pressed to counter attack under mud conditions and buy time to prepare for defensive operations.

Ukraine’s long range drone attacks, though minor, definitely have the potential to throw Russia back on its heels a bit. The bad PR from such attacks alone will not help the internal propaganda machine. These overnight attacks will hone Ukraine’s capabilities and tactics in the future. Unlike Ukraine with a lot of air defense active all the time in a relatively concentrated country, Russia is wide open and largely undefended from what Ukraine is attempting. There are an abundance of significant targets in Russia – and it can’t defend them all.
Russian planners must now decide to allocate increasingly scarce ADA assets to cover these deeper and diverse targets, potentially reducing Ukranian coverage, OR just take the risk that Ukraine is unable to ramp up attacks and try to cover with propaganda coverage/misreporting events.


Moldova/Transnistria -

Ukrainian Southern Command has stated that they have now moved a significant force near the border with Moldova and Transnistria to defend against any attacks or provocations.

**
The Former Military Inspectorate of the Ministry of Defense of Moldova has said that the Armed Forces of Transnistria have rigged all Arms Depots within the Breakaway Region including the Cobasna Ammunition Depot with explosives so if any Military Operations begins it will cause Catastrophe Damage to parts of Moldova, Transnistria, and Ukraine.

The Cobasna Ammunition Depot itself is the Largest Arms Depot in Eastern Europe and contains up to 20,000 tons of Soviet-Era Arms and Munitions with reports done by the Moldavian Academy of Science stating that if the Depot was destroyed the explosion could be the size of the Atomic Bombs dropped on both Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

OBSERVATION – May well be an overstatement assuming that all the munitions went up at the same time. This is why munitions are bunkered – to physically isolate from each other to prevent such a catastrophic explosion.

**
Airline Wizzair, based in Hungary, has suspended all flights to and from Moldova - starting on 3/14/23 due to “security concerns.”

OBSERVATION – Hungary has been supportive of Russia over Ukraine for most of the war, but to suspend flights may indicate they have other info.

**
According to Moldova’s Intelligence Security Service (SIS), the government expelled two foreign agents who posed as tourists while collecting intelligence for an unnamed country. The agents were reportedly involved in a destabilization plot to overthrow the government in Chișinău.(FO)


Misc of Note –

Pfizer’s new RSV vaccine for older adults may trigger the potentially deadly Guillain-Barre syndrome, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has warned.
In clinical trials, two participants in their 60s developed the condition that can also cause crippling pain, muscle weakness and paralysis.
One of the patients recovered after three months, but the second took six months to return to normal. They were among 20,000 adults who got the experimental shot.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), a winter respiratory bug that kills up to 10,000 adults over 65 in the US every year.

OBSERVATION – Pfizer putting together another death concoction. This may well be just the tip of the iceberg for adverse reactions.


138 posted on 02/28/2023 8:07:21 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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