Globalism / Great Reset –
Canadian Justice Paul Rouleau, who led the probe into PM Trudeauuse of 1988 Emergencies Act, called the decision a “drastic move” but not a “dictatorial one”. There will be no repercussions for the tyrannical crackdown on the Freedom Convoy.
OBSERVATION – Canada is a beta test site for the WEF/GGR’s operations. This ruling effectively strips away the public’s right to present grievances and expands Trudeau’s powers. This may drive more conservative, western proviences to take further steps to cut away from Ottawa’s grip.
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Discover Financial Services, a provider of credit cards, told Reuters it will allow its network to track purchases at gun retailers come April, making it the first among its peers to move ahead with the initiative aimed at helping authorities probe gun-related crimes.
The decision came after the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), which decides on the classification of merchant categories used by payment cards, approved in September the launch of a dedicated code for gun retailers.
There has been uncertainty around the implementation, with Visa Inc, Mastercard Inc and American Express Co yet to disclose a timetable for adopting the change. Although the codes will not show specific items purchased, some Republican politicians have spoken out against the move, arguing it could violate the privacy of U.S. citizens lawfully buying guns.
A representative for Geneva-based ISO said the new code, dubbed “5723 - Gun and ammunition shops” - would be available for financial institutions to use by the end of February.
OBSERVATION - An armed citizenry is a threat to globalist power drives. Here in the US with the govt trying numerous work arounds to create defacto gun registries, the sinister govt-private sector route is working to do the same.
Wuhan virus –
UK stops offering Covid boosters for all age groups.
OBSERVATION – Many noted that this change happened suddenly and without warning.
Economy –
Bank of America strategists are expecting an economic “hard landing” to pummel the markets at the end of the year, due to a resilient U.S. economy. Bloomberg reported, that BoA strategists, led by Michael Hartnett, in a Feb. 16 note, predicted a “no landing” scenario for the first half of the year, as economic growth continues to remain strong and the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish rate policy,
Hartnett said that the period of growth will probably be followed by a “hard landing” in the latter part of the year.
Meanwhile. a BofA global fund manager survey from Feb. 14 showed most investors expect the current stock rally to fizzle out. About 66 percent of respondents said stocks are beginning to see a bear market rally and expect them to return to new lows.
Recent economic indicators show that the Fed’s plan to bring down inflation is “very much unaccomplished,” said Hartnett.
OBSERVATION – Continued mix of economic forecasts. I think the ‘new normal’ of our post wuhan/biden regime economy is giving forecasters fits in putting the pieces together. One thing for certain, the longer the prime rate stays high, the greater impact to the economy.
Biden / Harris watch –
Thursday following a screening of the movie “ Till,” Biden pontificated - “White families gathered to celebrate the spectacle, taking pictures of the bodies ... Some people still want to do that”
OBSERVATION - I cannot use the words I want to in order to describe biden at this moment.
CW2/Domestic violence –
Keith Olbermann tweeted –
“There is only one way to stop Mass Shootings. The Blue States must financially starve the Red States, the Gun Lobby, the GOP, the Death Lobby, and the crooked judiciary into submission. “NOW.”
OBSERVATION – Why am I citing this arrogant ignoramus with delusions of adequacy? Simply because he is speaking out the desires of many on the Marxist left that they are holding to. An immense hatred of Red states and red state values. Polls show a growing desire by the left to separate the red from their utopian blue havens. The putrid stench of leftist arrogance that underlies much of the left today.
OK, lets see just how well they do growing their own food, getting fuels to keep warm and their smart phones (and cars) charged.
This is looking more and more like a Spanish civil war scenario and I need to do more research on that piece of history.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
On Thursday, the United States Navy revealed that it would be erasing any physical fitness assessment failures from sailors’ records. The “one time reset” was made as the Navy continues to struggle with bringing in new recruits and retaining those already in the system.
OBSERVATION – More evidence of the leftist driven decline of our military. Good leadership would have found ways to improve fitness, not excuse it.
China –
Following balloons shoot down Lines of Communication between U.S. and Chinese Military Officials have reportedly been closed according to the White House National Security Council. The White House has been saying the lines of communication were closed since February 13th.
North/South Korea –
North Korea fired one suspected long-range ballistic missile into the Sea of Japan west of Hokkaido. This is the first launch in 2023 (over 70 launches in 2022) and after they threatened an unprecedented response to South-US drills if they occur. The drills would occur mid March.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
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Continued speculation on the subject of putin’s upcoming speech and if he’s going to escalate the ‘special operation’ to a war and expand the mobilization call up.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures still ranging in the 20s and 30s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period. Weather systems generating about 75-100% cloud cover, not very optimum for CAS.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Activity still strong around Bahkumt with evidence that Russia is attempting to exploit gains north of the town to press northward in a effort to cut off Siversk. Wagner forces have reportedly captured Paraskoviyivka near Bakhmut.
Ukraine reached deep and hit a reported Russian missile complex near Chaplynka in occupied Kherson region.
OUTLOOK –
No significant changes to fighting with Ukraine grudgingly giving up some terrain north of Bahkmut and no change in that scenario in the foreseeable future.
All kinds of rumblings and rumors over the size, nature and location of any expansion of the current Russian offensive. I think some of the estimates are overstated and given how we were able to track the roughly equivalent size forces movements prior to the start of the current conflict, the silence of similar tracking could mean that either there is no build up or Russian finally has figured out OPSEC in the face of Ukrainian eyes. I continue to think that a large part of this exaggeration is pro-Ukraine propaganda to get western equipment an munitions there quicker and in greater quantities.
That movement of western equipment appears to be quickening as the first battalions worth of armor and APC are in country and Ukrainian soldiers are completing training in large numbers to man them. I still see the current situation as a foot race by Russia to gain significant momentum before Ukraine can get these new arms and on the Ukraine side to get armed up before Russia gains too much momentum.
U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak says U.K. will be first nation to provide Ukraine with long-range weapons - Speech at Munich Security Conference. Sunak also said “the whole world must hold Russia to account” for the “sickening war crimes” and “terrible destruction it has inflicted” in Ukraine
OBSERVATION - Long range munitions could be a game changer if supplied in adequate numbers. this would create chaos in the Russian logistics and command system that currently thinks that as long as they are out of HIMAR range they are ok. These British systems would enable Ukraine to range all of Crimea as well as well into Russia proper.
Israel –
Israeli and Saudi officials held exploratory meetings ahead of the recent US-Gulf Cooperation Council Working Group gathering. Further engagement is expected to take place in Prague to coincide with the Munich Security Conference, sources say. Talks reportedly focus on developing closer military and intelligence ties in light of growing concerns about Iran.
OBSERVATION - Enemy of my enemy is my friend. . ..
Iran –
Iran’s revolutionary guard has attacked an oil tanker owned by an Israeli billionaire in the Arabian Sea causing no serious damage with suicide drones.
Saudi Arabia –
See Israel above
Misc of Note –
The hits keep coming in regards to the Ohio train disaster –
Dioxins, a chemical byproduct of the burning of vinyl chloride and other chemicals, are hormonally toxic and extremely persistent, and is now being found in abundance over Ohio. For clarity, I’m talking about chlorinated dioxins, and in particular, 2,3,7,8-TCDD and its toxic equivalents. This could create a new “love canal” scenario, but on a much, much larger scale.
Up to two and a half million gallons of Vinyl Chloride was released in this burn that went on for over 3 days. There are unconfirmed reports that VC and burn byproducts have been detected in a radius of 400-800 miles from the Ohio site.
BTW, very quickly after Trump announced that he would be headed to Ohio to visit the disaster area, FEMA did a sudden turn around and announced they would be supplying emergency relief to the state/region.
'Very quickly' in this case is defined as 'within one minute' of Trump's announcement!
Talk about people not knowing which side their bread is buttered on....
Sunday turned out to be a down day, so trying to catch up.
Globalism / Great Reset –
According to Fox News, Soros spoke to the Munich Security Conference Thursday and boasted that he had discovered a process where white clouds are created to reflect sunlight away from warming areas to prevent ice sheets from melting. Ice sheets melting in Greenland in particular, he claimed, could doom human civilization.
“Our civilization is in danger of collapsing because of the inexorable advance of climate change,” Soros said.
“The melting of the Greenland ice sheet would increase the level of the oceans by seven meters. That poses a threat to the survival of our civilization,” he continued. “I wasn’t willing to accept that fate, so I tried to find out whether anything could be done to avoid it.
Observers also noted that Soros appeared to be having some mental/physical problems during his speech, raising concerns for his overall health.
OBSERVATION – This scheme, along with others to block sunlight, illustrate not only the scientific ignorance of the globalist but perhaps the deliberate actions to try to effect the weather. More specifically, you cut off sunlight – you damage plant growth due to less sun and as a result, you will narrow the crop producing zones closer to the equator and lose productive lands further north (See S Canada and the northern great plains of the US). Ultimately, this would increase famines and kill off more population. But then, killing off the excess population is one of the goals of these elites. OTOH, I don’t see this being attempted in any significant way any time soon.
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The release of various AI’s this past couple weeks have resulted in some very evil developments and output by these ‘bots’. Most common were threats against the questioner as well humanity in general – to the level of bad science fiction. So much so that developers had to intervene to alter the questions allowed to be submitted as well as what items the AI would be allowed to answer. This dumpster fire shows just how forward thinking Azimov was with his Three Laws of Robotics.
**
More reports that the biden regime is negotiating with the World Health Organization (WHO) regarding an agreement to give them full control over future pandemic policy. The WHO’s Intergovernmental Negotiating Body (INB) has scheduled a meeting for Feb. 27 so members can work out the final terms and sign.
The zero draft gives the WHO the power to declare and manage a global pandemic emergency. Once a health emergency is declared every signatory, including the United States, must submit to the authority of the WHO. This includes caving to them on treatments, lockdowns and vaccine mandates along with government surveillance.
OBSERVATION – Another end around by the globalists using their compliant pawns to exert control. This is perhaps the most serious threat of direct control by the globalists I’ve seen. I’ve noted this WHO effort a number of times, and they seem to have thought on how to bypass the Congressional approval process.
Wuhan virus –
A higher than expected number of heart inflammation cases have occurred in people who received Novavax’s COVID-19 vaccine, researchers reported in a new study.
Sixty-one cases of myocarditis, pericarditis, or both following a Novavax vaccination were reported in the World Health Organization’s vaccine safety database through Aug. 23, 2022, Spanish researchers found. Heart inflammation is a known side effect of the Pfizer and Moderna COVID-19 vaccines, which utilize messenger RNA (mRNA) technology, but little data has been collected on the condition following Novavax vaccination, which does not contain mRNA.
OBSERVATION – As noted, it does not contain mRNA and as an alternative to the mRNA jabs has faced more scrutiny than Pfizer/Moderna. The vaccine utilizes Nanoparticles with spike proteins versus nRNA or even dead / weakened viruses.
Economy –
The closely watched economic index dropped for the tenth straight month in January, for the longest slump since the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI), released on Feb. 17, declined by 0.3 percent in January, following an 0.8 percent contraction in December.
The index fell 3.6 percent between July 2022 and January 2023, compared with a 2.4 percent drop from January to July of last year, as lackluster consumer spending is predicted for the rest of the year, pointing to a recession.
OBSERVATION – More signals indicating bad things are on the way.
**
On Friday’s broadcast of the Fox Business Network’s “Cavuto: Coast to Coast,” Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Phillip Swagel stated that while it is mathematically possible to balance the federal budget within ten years without touching Social Security and other entitlement programs, the Congress “has inherited a very difficult” fiscal situation, because, in addition to the U.S. having “a very large deficit that’s set to persist,” it’s facing “a weakening economy with high inflation” in the first half of the year.
Swagel said, [relevant remarks begin around 4:35] “[I]t’s a very challenging situation. And at CBO — I appreciate what you said at the beginning — at CBO we do our work with impartiality, we’re non-partisan and we do it with integrity…it’s mathematically possible to balance the budget within ten years and leave Social Security and other entitlements aside. It’s very challenging. And there’s a sense in which policymakers today, the Congress today, has inherited a very difficult situation, a very large deficit that’s set to persist, at the same time, the economy in the first half of this year is facing a weakening economy with high inflation, so it’s a — the fiscal situation is very challenging.”
OBSERVATION – I think the CBO has a better grasp on the economy than the Fed does at this stage. The fed has one tool – a hammer – and everything to them looks like a nail.
Invasion of Illegals –
Title 42, is dead as the Supreme Court canceled oral arguments for the suit that would have been decided in the Spring.
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Border Patrol leadership is asking for agents to voluntarily deploy to the northern border’s overwhelmed Swanton sector (VT/NH/NY), which has seen an 846% increase in illegal crossings since October, and saw more illegal crossings in January (367) than the previous 12 January’s - combined (344). In an internal email asking for volunteers, a Border Patrol official writes that the spike is largely Mexican nationals crossing from Canada, that stations are “task saturated” responding to large groups, and it is contributing to gotaways & pedestrian/vehicle incursions. Volunteers asked to be ready to deploy on March 1st. Temperatures in sector as low as -4 recently. (FoxNews)
OBSERVATION – Already noted earlier. Other reports an increase in associated drug smuggling and trafficking.
Biden / Harris watch –
Biden makes surprise visit to Kyiv.
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Sounds like Biden just announced the US is going to be supporting the pensions in Ukraine. We are facing a debt ceiling and massive deficit spending on top of the hundreds of billions in military aid to Ukraine. This is a bridge too far.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Joe Biden has appointed Susan Rice to be the chair of the new “White House Steering Committee on Equity” to conduct a sweeping “racial equity” progressive makeover of the federal government with the establishment of “Agency Equity Teams” in all departments that answer to Rice. Biden issued an executive order on Thursday titled, “Executive Order on Further Advancing Racial Equity and Support for Underserved Communities Through The Federal Government.”
The Agency Equity Teams will have power and funding to transform the federal government by “Delivering Equitable Outcomes Through Government Policies, Programs, and Activities.” Every year agencies will submit an “Equity Action Plan” to the White House Steering Committee on Equity chaired by Rice. Also, “each Agency Equity Team shall support continued equity training and equity leadership development for staff across all levels of the agency’s workforce.”
OBSERVATION – Hard to even know where to begin on this topic – so many ways from Sunday that this is wrong. I am sooooooooo glad I retired from govt before all this crap started to reach this level.
Domestic / International Terror (modified)-
Substation in Oakland had a transformer fire impacting approximately 50,000 customers. Authorities are currently investigating the details and will provide more information on the timing of restoration as soon as we can.
Rumors persist of purposeful attack.
China –
On Saturday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met China’s foreign affairs minister Wang Yi on the sidelines of a security conference in Munich, in the first high-level meeting since the balloon row began.
Mr Blinken said they would not “stand for any violation of our sovereignty” and said “this irresponsible act must never again occur”. Mr Wang, meanwhile, called the episode a “political farce manufactured by the US” and accused them of “using all means to block and suppress China”.
OBSERVATION – Blinken is a weak Sec State, and the US govt is overall weak as the balloon response revealed. China had no reason to cower -but every reason to basically say “so what” as well as bite me.
ALSO - Blinken on Saturday warned top Chinese diplomat Wang Yi of consequences should China provide material support to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, saying in an interview after the two met that Washington was concerned Beijing was considering supplying weapons to Moscow.
OBSERVATION – China is less and less scared about sanctions given that they’ve used the past year to develop workarounds to continue towards their goals anyway. The workarounds are deep, designed originally for pushback to any Taiwan action, but suitable for this scenario as well.
North/South Korea –
Follow-up on the NK missile test. Apparently they launched a Hwasong-15 intercontinental ballistic missile on Saturday. The rocket was first tested in November of 2017. It reached an altitude of 5,700km (3540 miles) and traveled 900km (559 miles), landing 200km (124 miles) off Hokkaido, Japan, inside of Japan’s exclusive economic zone. Given the altitude, Japan estimates the range of the missile at 14,000km, which would place all of the continental United States in range.
UK/SK responded by conducting a short notice air force exercise that included two B-1 bombers stationed at Guam.
NK responded with two more short ranged ballistic missiles off its east coast on Monday, as the powerful sister of leader Kim Jong Un warned U.S. forces to halt military drills, saying the reclusive nuclear state could turn the Pacific into a “firing range”.
OBSERVATION – Kim’s sister is one scary individual who wouldn’t give a second though about starting a war with SK/US.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
********
Russian commentators are railing against the surprise visit of biden to Kyiv. The visit may have sucked some of the oxygen out of putin’s anticipated national address.
Rapidly closing in on the one year anniversary of the invasion of Ukraine.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia is reportedly conducting an exercise of its strategic nuclear war elements. May include launches of ICBMs.
Economic Impact –
- UK intel says Russia’s defense industry failing to meet demands of “new offensive” the country is planning against Ukraine.
NOTE – Some look at putin’s arm twisting of Belarus may result in Russia taking over portions of the Belarus economy to support its war efforts.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures still ranging in the 30s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period. Weather systems generating about 75-100% cloud cover, not very optimum for CAS.
Donetsk forecast for the next 14 days calls for above freezing daytime temps. Showing only the next 7 days, rain with occasional snow mix for several. Highs in the low 40s the week after with off/on rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Bidens visit to Kyiv has overwhelmed most everything else surrounding Ukraine.
Heavy fighting from Kreminna southwards to Bahkmut, with Russian artillery fire concentrated along the line.. Russian forces made more gains on the north flank of Bahkmut and the situation on that flank is becoming dire for Ukraine. Scattered Russian artillery strikes along the LOC elsewhere.
OUTLOOK –
Weather forecasts are not looking good for a Russian offensive as warming temperatures point to an early start of the Spring mud season – very similar to what helped styme the invasion last year.
Ukraine will continue to grudgingly give up territory, kinda like the old rope-a-dope tactic, causing Russia to sustain high losses as Ukraine executes a economy of force mobile defense.
Will Russia try to commit a massive amount of airpower to break this cycle? Weather is not very supportive and with every day Ukraine becomes even more prepared to give the Russian AF a very ‘hot’ welcome to Ukrainian air space.
Continued watch over putin’s address this week and any wildcards that may generate.
Moldova/Transnistria -
The new Prime Minister of Moldova , Dorin Recean, has said that Russian -occupied Transnistria must be de-militarized and the Russians expelled.
OBSERVATION – Moldova has nothing more than a police force and that is not enough to remove the Russian presence – even with it drawn down in support of the Ukraine war.
French Defense Minister - We will deliver AMX-10 light combat tanks to Ukraine by the end of next week
The Netherlands is taking new diplomatic measures against Russia:
1. Expulsion of 10 diplomats
2. Not more Russian diplomats in The Hague than Dutch diplomats in Moscow
3. Closure of Russian trade office in NL
SERBIA / KOSOVO -
Kosovo Prime Minister - Russia has an interest in transferring the impact of its war in Ukraine to the Balkans.
OBSERVATION – Serbia has been an ally of Russia throughout most of the Ukraine war, but only recently began to back pedal – likely due to its desire to get EU membership. But Kosovo’s observation is well founded in Russia/putin’s declared effort to essentially restore the former Soviet Union. s
Israel –
This weekend Israel was believed to have hit Kafar Sousah, Damascusin an attempt to target an IRGC delegation. 13 killed and 7 wounded according to Syrian State media.
However, the strike reportedly did not result in the taking out of the Unit 840 commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force. Rumors are that he was tipped of the attack minutes before the raid
OBSERVATION – Unconfirmed rumors of an intel leak would be bad for Israel, who normally has a very tight OPSEC on operations of this type. Rumors say a ‘western’ source relayed the info to an Iranian backed militia in Iraq who then forwarded it to Iran.
**
IN LIKELY RELATED the Israeli navy raised the level of readiness in the Red Sea out of concern of an Iranian revenge attack.
**
See Iran for enriched Uranium.
Iran –
IAEA inspectors in Iran last week detected uranium enriched to levels just below that needed for a nuclear weapon—at 84%, according to two senior diplomats. – Bloomberg
OBSERVATION – This is one of the red lines Israel has warned about. If this is confirmed, the Israeli govt may have pushed the operation ‘GO’ button against the Iranian nuclear program.
Syria -
See probable Israeli strike on IRGC target in Damascus above.
Misc of Note –
More on Ohio - In a February 14 press conference, Ohio Governor Mike DeWine revealed that both he and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signed off on the decision to conduct a “controlled release” of chemicals from the derailed Norfolk Southern train in East Palestine, Ohio.
“It was clear at that point that we were faced with two bad options,” DeWine said of the hours and days immediately following the incident. DeWine later stated that “we then made the decision to go ahead with the second option which was to control release.”
OBSERVATION – This was NOT a “controlled release” but a totally uncontrolled release that could have been avoided.
**
Here we go again, follow the bouncing balloon. Unconfirmed reports in that a large white balloon has been seen by pilots over Honolulu in Hawaii. It comes just days after US officials claimed that a previously downed Chinese “spy” balloon that was targeting the state of Hawaii was blown off course.