As early Election Day results come in on Tuesday, it will likely appear that a Republican candidates vying for any number of the federal or statewide races appear to be leading their Democratic opponents, even by large margins.
Their leads will dwindle, or crumble completely, after perceived “dumps” of votes are recorded by state election officials who count mail-in and absentee ballots in the days — or even weeks — following Election Day.
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Why would they know the Republican’s margin would decline or vanish over time as they endlessly count? Why wouldn’t the Democrat’s margin decrease?
Exactly! Why not a ‘blue mirage?’ Are they seers?
Because that’s how mail-in voting works in SOME States.
In EVERY State, mail-in votes are heavily Democrat.
Let me use Virginia as the last example. In 2021, The machine vote (including those evil DOMINION machines) went +14 Republican. If we only counted that vote, Youngkin would have won nearly every County and Virginia would have been redder than Kansas.
The mail-in vote was +50 Democrat. If we only counted that vote, Virginia would have been Bluer than Vermont.
This pattern has repeated itself over and over and over again since 2020.
Democrat voters will use the mail-in vote and Republicans go to the polls on election day and use the machines.
In many State, the mail-in vote can’t be touched until election night, in other States, it can come in up to a week AFTER election day, so long as it is post-marked by election day. But that’s not all. Once it comes in, they can’t just feed it into a machine. Mail-in ballots have to be verified. So manually, the county election workers have to match the signatures and addresses on the mail-in ballot with the voter rolls. In Pennsylvania, this is literally done with a book.
The difference this time from 2020 is that there is just far less mail-in vote to count.