Posted on 09/08/2022 7:29:53 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
“Does Putin care if India and Brazil are paying double what he had contracted with Germany for?”
That gas that used to go to to Germany, and much of the rest of Europe, was overwhelmingly transported through fixed pipelines. It can not be physically transported to other customers.
Russia has just activated a new LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) export terminal near St. Petersburg (Portovaya), that has been in the works for many years, and was originally planned to activate in 2019. However, that terminal’s capacity is only 4% of one pipeline (Nordstream).
The next LNG terminal they had planned was the larger Arctic-2 terminal in Yamal. That terminal was not scheduled for completion until 2030, but the financing was pulled and the partners withdrew this year, because of the invasion of the Ukraine.
So the only thing they can do with that gas, if Europe won’t buy it, is to flare it off, until they cap the wells. If the flow stops through one Winter, those wells and that pipeline are basically scrapped, and would require extensive rebuild.
I also understand that there is noway to pipe the volume of NG that went to Europe to China. One or more new lines would have to be built.
“The spear is pointed directly at Kup’yars’k - come within 10k and its effectively over for the entire Russian supply chain in Ukraine.”
Seems like they have already gotten that close.
Russia has to try to counter-attack.
Ukraine has to expand/secure that new salient, and jump some Artillery forward.
This was a big, bold move by the Ukrainian forces.
"I collect RUSSIAN IP addresses and post them on my blog."
Its a fake blog idiot.
That's what the neo-Nazis and Ukrainian nationalists tried in Donbass before they were driven out.
What's really odd is that you're hysterical about the evil Russians when it is the Bidens, Clintons, Soros and others from our corrupt political class that have raped Ukraine of money for years. This war is nothing but a money laundering operation for the same people.
Russian have no troops close - they are all tied up in Izyum. Take away there, and another salient forms into Russian lines - they can’t win it seems.
“there is no way to pipe the volume of NG that went to Europe to China.”
We are talking about having to build new pipeline across time zones.
The only thing they had planned, was the 2,600 km Power of Siberia 2 pipeline - but that was not scheduled to complete until 2030 (the same year as the new Arctic 2 LNG terminal at Yamal). Since the war, the financing and partners pulled out of both projects.
They cannot pipe it to China, and they cannot load it on to ships for resale either. It is a total loss, that is going to have heavy secondary and tertiary effects, as gas towns become ghost towns, and jobs go away for good.
It is like decades of Rust Belt decay in American manufacturing towns, occurring all in one year.
Why on earth did he promote a fake blog on his homepage?
“Russians have no troops close - they are all tied up in Izyum.”
Units had been re-deploying from that area to the Kherson front for the last several weeks - now they are cut off down there.
Bottom Line: Russia has nowhere near the doctrinal numbers of units required to defend 1,000 miles of front lines, or to occupy the area that they are attempting to hold.
A lot of stuff is blowing up and burning behind Russian lines in Zaporizhzhia as well.
“I’ve never seen an LNG plant flare so much,” said Dr Jessica McCarty, an expert on satellite data from Miami University in Ohio.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62652133
[As Europe’s energy costs skyrocket, Russia is burning off large amounts of natural gas, according to analysis shared with BBC News.
They say the plant, near the border with Finland, is burning an estimated $10m (£8.4m) worth of gas every day.
Experts say the gas would previously have been exported to Germany.
Germany’s ambassador to the UK told BBC News that Russia was burning the gas because “they couldn’t sell it elsewhere”.
Scientists are concerned about the large volumes of carbon dioxide and soot it is creating, which could exacerbate the melting of Arctic ice.
The analysis by Rystad Energy indicates that around 4.34 million cubic metres of gas are being burned by the flare every day.
It is coming from a new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant at Portovaya, north-west of St Petersburg.
The first signs that something was awry came from Finnish citizens over the nearby border who spotted a large flame on the horizon earlier this summer.
Portovaya is located close to a compressor station at the start of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline which carries gas under the sea to Germany.
Supplies through the pipeline have been curtailed since mid-July, with the Russians blaming technical issues for the restriction. Germany says it was purely a political move following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
But since June, researchers have noted a significant increase in heat emanating from the facility - thought to be from gas flaring, the burning of natural gas.
While burning off gas is common at processing plants - normally done for technical or safety reasons - the scale of this burn has confounded experts.
“I’ve never seen an LNG plant flare so much,” said Dr Jessica McCarty, an expert on satellite data from Miami University in Ohio.
“Starting around June, we saw this huge peak, and it just didn’t go away. It’s stayed very anomalously high.”
Miguel Berger, the German ambassador to the UK, told BBC News that European efforts to reduce reliance on Russian gas were “having a strong effect on the Russian economy”.
“They don’t have other places where they can sell their gas, so they have to burn it,” he suggested.
Mark Davis is the CEO of Capterio, a company that is involved in finding solutions to gas flaring.
He says the flaring is not accidental and is more likely a deliberate decision made for operational reasons.
“Operators often are very hesitant to actually shut down facilities for fear that they may be technically difficult or costly to start up again, and it’s probably the case here,” he told BBC News.
Others believe that there could be technical challenges in dealing with the large volumes of gas that were being supplied to the Nord Stream 1 pipeline.
Russian energy company Gazprom may have intended to use that gas to make LNG at the new plant, but may have had problems handling it and the safest option is to flare it off.
It could also be the result of Europe’s trade embargo with Russia in response to the invasion of Ukraine.
“This kind of long-term flaring may mean that they are missing some equipment,” said Esa Vakkilainen, an energy engineering professor from Finland’s LUT University.
“So, because of the trade embargo with Russia, they are not able to make the high-quality valves needed in oil and gas processing. So maybe there are some valves broken and they can’t get them replaced.”]
“Warsaw’s shopping spree continues. This will make Poland the second largest operator of Apache attack helicopters.”
“Poland buying 96 AH-64E Apaches, as modernization spending spree continues”
The analysis by Rystad Energy indicates that around 4.34 million cubic metres of gas are being burned by the flare every day.
—
Russia, single-handedly responsible for man-made climate change. We are going to cook like frogs in a pot.
If the oceans rise, people will flock from the coasts to Texas. Buy Land in Texas!
Wasn’t Texas once part of the Great Inland Sea?
Not pretending to be some great military tactician. But the Dnieper is not the English Channel or the Formosa Straits. IMHO The Russians could use small craft at night to evacuate the bulk of their troops. It just appears that this unique tactical opportunity does not occur often in war. If the Ukrainians won a great victory at the Kherson Beachhead by capturing or eliminating that force, it very well might mean the end of the war. The land itself is not the prize, its the Russian troops. Try to imagine the political consequences of photos of thousands of disarmed Russian POWs.
Speedy’s “agenda” is in support of our side in a European war, and in support of our NATO troops protecting NATO borders there against Russian invasion.
If any posters are trolls, it would be those supporting the enemy.
Speedy’s agenda is a bunch of propaganda supporting the NWO.
Neither side in this is right.
I stand by that and you Zelensky fans can call all the backup you want; you won’t get me supporting our tax dollars going to that giant Biden money-laundering scheme.
The goal is capturing the entire Orc supply route at Kup’yars’k. They would be left with pretty much whatever they had on hand - other than what 155mm shells and rockets don’t find first. That will end the war, except maybe in Crimea.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.