Running total
5/8 - 631
5/7 - 625
5/6 - 622
5.5 - 607
5/4 - 605
5/3 - 600
5/2 – 599
5/1 – 595
4/30 – 593
4/29 – 587
4/28 – 580
4/27 – 571
4/26 – 562
4/25 – 553
4/24 – 543
4/23 – 531
4/22 – 531
4/21 – 528
4/20 – 523
4/19 – 519
4/18 – 510
4/17 – 505
4/16 – 508
4/15 – 507
4/14 - 505
4/13 - 499
4/12 – 479
4/11 - 471
4/10 - 462
4/9 - 450
4/8 - 449
4/7 - 450
4/6 - 440
4/5 - 425
4/4 - 422
4/3 - 401
4/2 - 389
4/1 - 362
3/31 - 350
3/30 - 342
3/29 - 331
3/28 - 316
3/27 - 307
3/26 - 297
3/25 - 289
3/24 - 280
3/23 - 275
3/22 - 270
3/21 - 263
3/20 - 257
3/19 - 251
3/18 - 244
3/17 - 235
3/16 - 229
3/15 - 217
3/14 - 209
3/13 - 204
3/12 - 193
3/11 - 187
3/10 - 164
3/9 - 156
3/8 - 149
3/7 - 140
3/6 - 120
3/5 - 108
As noted on the website: "This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.
“Another TB2 UCAV video posted by the Ukrainian Navy that appears to show strikes on two more Russian Raptor fast-attack craft.’
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1523208732750262273
“Battle Of Snake Island - Ukrainian Bayraktar TB2 Drone Blows Russian Mi-8 Helicopter As Troops Land”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMOTPPHIEEk
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 7, 2022
(’Orc ‘is associated with the various hoards of Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
**denotes transcribed dialogue
**Frontline not much happening - very little changes
**Agricultural situation
Buckwheat and oats most planted.
**UA reinforcements: Is mega-shortage of military equipment and ammo. This is what is stopping UA from taking advantage of excess manpower over Orc invading force now. Desperation: are issuing Maxim machine guns from WWI; good tool but ... Also Soviet DP-27 machine guns.
**BTGs: It is a western construct that doesn’t really work, and not how war plays out. People in this part of world do not think in BTGs. The main Soviet Army subunit was Division (10,000) {for example}. But because there were no big wars, the RGF and UA switched to Brigade levels: 30-40% size of a Division (3000-4000). BTG is a step down from that level.
This was perception of West which had not fought a real war since WWII. This war is (garbled) intensity of WWII, so that’s why we see Brigade or Division fighting. This war is a game of many unknowns, essentially. Commanders don’t know where their troops are, troops have no idea what’s happening beyond their immediate sight, etc.
Westerners must look at units as they are, not as BTGs.
**Inside Orc Land:
There is no clear idea what to do now they are in this conflict. Nobody planned this Plan B of total disaster. Some high level generals are saying ‘capture all of Ukraine up to Polish border’. Another is saying ‘take what we’ve captured and the Izyum salient’. Others say ‘We need full mobilization and 600,000-800,000 conscripts’.
**Only clear Orc goal is to take the Izyum-Donetsk salient. Orcs do not have enough troops, at this moment, to continue active fighting every where - because they have suffered significant losses. First to fall, after the Kyiv withdrawal, was the Kharkiv front, leaving 6-8km buffer, but even that will be abandoned in a week or so.
Izyum region is the most active, but has seen no progress in days - despite heavy shelling and ‘tons’ of people dying every day on both sides. Like a WWI situation.
Zaporizhya and west is relatively inactive.
**Many UA troops are militia conscripts with little training and experience. Told to go somewhere an ‘just figure it out’.
**Orc forced (guys off the streets in captured UA towns and cities) conscripts are in same position: have Soviet helmets from WWII, and are being used to expose UA positions. When they atadcck many of them die but UA responses reveal their positions.
**Everything on frontlines, both sides are freezing in place for lack of resources.
**Weapons coming into Ukraine favors them in battle, BUT Lend-Lease law to be signed May 9th. However, total number of weapons coming in NOT sufficient. Example: of the German PzH-2000 self-propelled gun only 12 examples - less than a drop in a bucket. Does not look like the UA is going to get the UK AS-90 or US M-109 self-propelled guns.
New Lend-Lease Act For Ukraine Isn’t Same As Famed WWII Program
The Ukraine Lend-Lease Act definitely draws on the World War II program’s nostalgia, but there are critical differences between the two.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/new-lend-lease-act-for-ukraine-isnt-same-as-famed-ww-ii-program
*****This is, at this point, a War of Artillery.
Some UA troops haven’t used their rifles in a month or more because where they are there is no direct shooting, just arty. Most casualties are inflicted by arty and mortar fire. The 90 M-777s can create havoc for Orcs, but not turn tide for UA. Hopefully the Lend-Lease will change the amounts of heavy weapons arriving, but what was announced is totally insufficient.
**Orc VKS changing tactics because the UA has many more anti-air missiles: troops saturated with them, so VKS support going down fast. VKS/VVS helicopters are lobbing unguided missiles as far as they can to avoid anti-air missiles, so there are very poor results. Same with aircraft. Waning efforts. However, if UA launches offensive, Orcs will do what they must - even if means heavy losses of aircraft and helicopters.
Orc troops are saying ‘air support is totally over-rated, unless is direct hit by bomb, VKS is worthless’. Direct hit on UA stronghold very rare.
Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead - no expansion today.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before. No changes today or yesterday.
- Zaporizhya frontline - no changes today.
- Ukrainian army has lost control over Rubizhne
- Russian troops are squeezing line around Severodonetsk and attempting to establish bridgeheads near Bilogorivka and Pryvillya.
1. Kharkiv: Ukrainian troops are slowly pushing Russian side out - they captured village of Lyptsi, Vesele. Russian is withdrawing its battle-worn troops from here to Russian territory.
**UA publicly announced offensive directly into Orc held forested territory - crazy idea. Would cut off Orcs south of Donets’ke and town of Izyum. And threaten or cut off Orc Izyum supply lines. Orcs successfully destroyed the two pontoon bridges. Execution of plan would have been a UA disaster.
2. Izyum bridgehead: No major Russian progress today. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.
**WWI style warfare.
3. Lyman bridgehead. No changes today.
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured all of Rubizhne. Popasna is about 50-60% captured by Russian troops.
**Rubizhne capture was very bloody for Orcs.
**Severodonetsk is overlook by high ground, making shelling of Orcs easy.
Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well. Russian media outlets claim that RU troops captured all of Popasna, we are skeptical about that.
** Popasna: no good reason why UA would abandon good defensive position.
5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there. Russian forces captured village called Troitske, attacking towards Novobakhmutivka.
6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands.
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area.
**Velyka Novosilka is the area where UA 110st and 109th new recruits were literally given Javelins and the like without any training or explanation on how to use them - told to figure it out.
___ this is where and how US resources are being wasted by incompetent UA commanders and generals.
That was the reason Orcs made a salient into UA lines, bath sides suffering significant losses.
Russian troops caputred village Vremivka attached to Velyka Novosilka from west and separate by small river. The most northern group of Russian troops has been stopped before village of Vilne Pole.
Ukranian side brought its 128 brigade and regiment Azov Kyiv to stop Russian advance there. No Russian progress here today.
8. No new attacks on Orikhiv.
9. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.
10. Mykolayiv: No major changes.
**WWI arty situation.
You are gonna have to start a count down: only 569 remaining out of 1200 at onset of war.
Ukraine war Footage of the destruction of pontoon crossings with high-precision missile weapons
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwPJDLkGk5Q
