You mean if Russia was not sending tank battalions into the east, claiming the tanks were all captured from Ukraine, and holding "referendums" in Crimea resulting in 125% voter turnout with almost no one--even per Russian media reports--actually appearing at voting stations to vote. And with a person actively dragged on surveillance video in Crimea from their car in broad daylight by Russian forces who was then found tortured to death later with a knife through his eyeball.
If none of that happened, Ukraine would certainly have been at peace.
Is this Victoria? 🤣