Posted on 05/02/2022 8:12:53 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
A detailed list of the destroyed and captured vehicles and equipment of both sides can be seen below. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Whatcha going to do when they come for you…
Bayraktar
“Ukraine posted a video reportedly showing TB2 UCAV strikes on two Russian Raptor fast-attack craft near Snake Island. The date on the HUD indicates it was from this morning.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1521024978455572481
“Not only very young 18-19 y.o. conscripts sent to Ukraine shock me every time, but also people of 50-60 years old who are being recruited all across Russia. I just confirmed the personality of one of the Russian POWs, captured on Saturday in Lugansk region.”
https://twitter.com/kromark/status/1521095191956013057
“Seems Airport of #Russia’n occupied #Kherson hit by something big” “ammunition depot on fire”
https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1521058420014686208
“Finnish group cancels nuclear plant contract with Russia’s Rosatom”
https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1521039193178259456
Given the new technologies, big armored vehicles and naval surface combatants are very vulnerable and probably obsolete. Over the past forty years the US Navy has turned the Persian Gulf into an American lake. Wonder if the strategists, diplomats, admirals and generals realize that the realities have changed. What worked in 2000 cannot dictate events in 2022.
Very good Scott Ritter interview which outlines why the result of this conflict is inevitable and why NATO policy to prolong this war is dangerous and futile.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=twsKfVjz5sk
By the way, Russia has approximately 30,000 tanks/armoured vehicles. What NATO is sending Ukraine is a small number of heavy armaments which are old, not effective for this battle and most are unlikely to make it to the battle field anyway since Russia has blown up train substations powering railways and hits many ammunition/weapon depots on a nightly basis.
But, the biggest deciding factor in the final result is that after incurring heavy losses early in the conflict Russia’s troop losses are now running “in the single and double digits daily and Ukraine’s are in the hundreds and thousands daily.”
Rybar lists losses of both personnel and equipment on a daily basis. Today, Ukraine lost 636 (combination of killed, wounded and captured) and total number for conflict is over 48,000.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 1, 2022
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
**Popular support
UK 84-90% support for defensive war
Russia 10% support the war.
Poling of Russians is incredibly sketchy, if a polling company phones you up and asks you if you support the war, it’s currently unlawful to be against it. That will effect your data.
**This is essentially a war between 2 societies, each see world differently, and pursue different goals
Removing Putin is not going to solve the problem.
**Supply of Western heavy weapons from many countries and maintenance:
Extreme weapons diversity: problem becomes systems maintainability. Small batches from here and there of different systems becomes unwieldy and not maintainable in the long run
Because the war will go one for at least another 2 months, these unneseaarilcy diverse systems will need maintenance and start parts - both of which may not be available. Which in turn means that once these things happen, the troops will be forced to abandon the weapons system. Will lead to unnecessary attrition. This is not the way to be successful in a war.
All equipment is being supplied with spare parts or a supply line with access to spares. This has been mentioned multiple times by different suppliers. So may not become a problem after all.
**Role of Artillery:
UA artillery is not at par with Russian; why Russian artillery functions better now, and is technical reason why UA has not gone on offensive now - will be detail topic tomorrow.
Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead - no expansion today.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before.
- Zaporizhya frontline - small Russian gains near Velyka Novosilka.
1. Kharkiv: Russian counter-attack to recapture village of Ruska Lozova and Kutuzivka; Ukrainian attack towards village of Staryi Saltiv.
**Russian counter attacks
**UA counter attacks with aim of cutting Russian supply line to Izumi
2. Izyum bridgehead: No major Russian progress today. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.
**Russian continuing unsuccessful attacks at present
**Russian troops slowly pushing out UA troops
3. Lyman bridgehead. Russian side claims progress in mopping up this bridgehead held by Ukrainian troops. Specifically, village of Yampil, Krymky, Oleksandrivka are claimed as captured. It’s totally possible scenario.
**Heavy shelling on Lyman (pop. 23,000) in prep for future attack.
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured majority of Rubizhne. Popasna is about 70-80% captured by Russian troops. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well.
**If Russia successful in taking salient, they will destroy 1/2 of the UA army.
*Major fighting in Popasna, but no progess
5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there.
**Russian keep attacking same places, but no progress
6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands.
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area. Russian troops caputred village Vremivka attached to Velyka Novosilka from west and separate by small river.
**Velyka Novosilka, Russian troops from 19th D and 42nd D pushing UA east widening opening and forming a new salient aimed north to Izyum. The southern Russian pincer forming up.
**UA 109th, 53rd, 503 B, 110th, 35th NB, International and Chechen Vol. operating in that area.
**RGF 19th D, 42nd D operating in that area.
8. No new attacks on Orikhiv.
9. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.
10. Mykolayiv: No major changes.
Given the new technologies, big armored vehicles and naval surface combatants are very vulnerable and probably obsolete.
—
Given the new technologies, humans are very vulnerable to rocks. obsidian knives, and clubs so these combatants are very vulnerable and probably obsolete ...
Why did RuZZia lose the Battle of Kyiv?
“Sr US Official on US deliveries:
-80% of total Howitzers (90) transferred to Ukraine
-Nearly all radars transferred
-14 US flights arrived in last 24 hrs into region”
“Ukraine’s military has pushed the Russian military about 40 km back from Kharkiv: Senior US Defense Official.”
“U.S. has transferred more than 5,000 Javelin anti-tank missiles to Ukraine since Russia’s invasion 68 days ago: senior U.S. defense official”
“more than 200 Ukrainian artillerymen have been trained on the M777 artillery system the US is providing, a senior defense official tells reporters, as the fight unfolds in the Donbas”
More on 40km. That might put central Kharkiv outside of Ruzzian artillery range.
“This appears to be confirmation from official US Defence sources that Ukrainian troops have retaken the strategic town of Staryi Saltiv. That town is 40km NE of the centre of Kharkiv (a circle showing 40km is mapped below) and had been rumoured recaptured by Ukraine today.”
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1521182363384152065
https://www.rt.com/russia/554729-us-ukrainian-perception-donbass/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRy_Ak7sj80
Those accidents keep happening...
“Blast at Russian Military Explosives Plant Kills 2”
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/02/russian-explosives-plant-fire-kills-2-a77559
Ministry of Defense of Russia
🇬🇧🇺🇦 Briefing of the Russian Ministry of Defense (02.05.2022)
▫️ The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue a special military operation in Ukraine.
💥 During the day, 36 military facilities of Ukraine were hit by high-precision air-based missiles . Among them: five command and control posts, including the command and observation posts of the battalions of the 95th air assault and 81st airmobile brigades; 25 strongholds, areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, including in the Aleksandrovka area of the Nazi formation “Aidar”;
💥In the Dnipropetrovsk region, near the settlement of Pokrovskoye , a warehouse of rocket and artillery weapons and ammunition was destroyed. Also, in the area of the settlement of Mezhevaya , four launchers of the S-300 air defense system and a reconnaissance and guidance radar were destroyed .
💥 Operational-tactical and army aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces hit 13 strongholds and areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
💥 During the day, missile forces hit four areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as two command posts, including the command post of the Ukrainian 93rd mechanized brigade in the Podalivka area .
💥 Artillery units hit two command posts, eight artillery batteries, 12 strongholds and 28 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment. Up to 170 nationalists were destroyed , as well as 36 units of weapons and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
💥 Three unmanned aerial vehicles “Bayraktar-TB2” were destroyed by Russian air defense systems in the area of Zmeiny Island . Also , four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down in the areas of the settlements of Chervony Oskol and Nevskoye of the Kharkiv region, as well as Veseleye of the Donetsk People’s Republic. In addition, five Smerch rockets were intercepted in the areas of Izyum, Topolskoye and Malaya Kamyshevakha .
📊 In total , since the beginning of the special military operation , 146 aircraft , 112 helicopters, 690 unmanned aerial vehicles, 285 anti-aircraft missile systems,
2,760 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 316 multiple rocket launchers, 1,246 field artillery pieces and mortars, as well as 2,578 units of special military vehicles.
#Ministry of Defense #Russia #Ukraine @mod_russia
72.7K
Here is a link to a report from a Russian soldier in the fight. A lot of detail. It gives a good look at how things are going.
https://t.me/s/azmilitary11/3510
AZ OSINT(Military news)
@AZmilitary1
DEJAN BERIC’S REPORT FROM YESTERDAY!!!
HE IS ONE OF THE MOST RELIABLE SOURCES OUT THERE!!!
https://twitter.com/AZmilitary1/status/1519984803122188290/photo/1
https://twitter.com/AZmilitary1/status/1519984803122188290/photo/2
https://twitter.com/AZmilitary1/status/1519984803122188290/photo/3
https://twitter.com/AZmilitary1/status/1519984803122188290/photo/4
Sorry, which link shows why RuZZia lost the battle of Kyiv?
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