Posted on 05/01/2022 3:17:09 AM PDT by tlozo
Yep, Ghost of Kiev told you so:)
If they use tactical nukes every encyclopedia and dictionary will rewrite their definition of “Pyrrhic victory” to one of Russia using them.
“ In fact, most of them get destroyed in transit and half of the rest are captured, if not more”
In fact, hardly any (of the 230 Polish T-72s on the way) have left Poland yet.
Oh so that is why Putin is throwing hysterical hissy fits constantly over the equipment being sent by NATO, because it all gets destroyed or the hapless Ukrainians just lose it or can’t figure out how to use it. Either you or precious esteemed leader is dead wrong.
Sure, the a-hole on the left is a future Russian casualty, and the dipwad on the right is a Serb, probably at a joint exercise like Slavic Brotherhood or Zapad. Note they are wearing different headgear and camo patterns and colors on the flags.
Huge miscalculation by the Biden administration. We pushed Russia, a natural ally of the USA into the arms of China our real enemy. This was the biggest political blunder I have ever seen and might very well prove to be a fatal one. No one in the USA gives a damn about Ukraine's eastern border with Russia, nor should they. History, if there is a history will be very unkind to the occupant of the WH.
If the map is correct, Russia has achieved it's objectives in the Ukraine. I hope K makes a deal with Putin and ends this war before it goes global.
So things are back to normal then.
L
Put down the crack pipe. Russia has always worked against the US, either directly or by giving aid and comfort to all our enemies.
Large urban areas are a death trap, it was foolish of the Russians to try to take them. A much better idea is to go around them and then isolate them. Open a corridor so friendlys can get out and then starve the rest.
They had no choice. Russian military resupply is centered on railways and in Ukraine the railways run through the cities.
FYI he real war in Europe during WW2 was on the eastern front where tens of millions died in combat. If you think a few thousand battle deaths will shock a nation that saw 15 million dead you are mistaken. Hell Russia had over 1 million dead in one battle (Stalingrad).
Getting back on point, we had real chance of restoring good relations with Russia when the Berlin Wall came down but that neocon idiot Bush the elder, rather then lean a helping hand to a defeated enemy like we did to Germany and Japan poked them in the eye and made huge demands. Bingo in comes Putin. Thanks a lot idiot Bush. Idiot neocons are going to get us all killed. Putin does not make empty threats if he says he will use nukes then he will use nukes.
I am talking about the supplies in general.
OK, thanks for the info.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, April 30, 2022
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
**Shortages of fuel, most significant. Russian attacks on bridge at Bilhorod were fuel from Rumania enters, halting supplies to Ukraine. In country refineries are destroyed as will agriculture. Plentiful supplies grinding to halt. Fuel is now imported
**Ukraine Government Finance bureaucracy is extremely inept, even dangerous for the country. Natural gas production in Ukraine was essentially destroyed by government regulation. Economic tsar sets fuel prices by regulation, not by market.
Fuel companies must, therefore, sell below the wholesale purchase price. So those companies are shutting down, while the government propaganda portrays them as evil. This is helping to create problems for the military.
Economic tsar says, “deal with it.” He is alleged to be working for Russian Special Services (FSB) and, therefore, a spy. (With his policies, he may as well be.) Apparently is good supporting evidence.
The Economic tsar was an aide to a Russian General who came to Ukraine and got elected to Parliament. Some how the Russians got a list of all the people who served or were serving in the UA.
When these people were found by the Russians, they executed them. These are the sorts of internal problems that are badly hurting Ukraine and could cause the war to last long and have a bad outcome.
Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead - no expansion today.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before.
- Zaporizhya frontline - no major attacks.
1. Kharkiv: Russian counter-attack to recapture village of Ruska Lozova.
**Irish and Finnish Volunteers to the area
**UA also captured a small village to the south of Ruska Lozova.
**Russians on strategic defense
2. Izyum bridgehead: No major Russian progress today. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.
**Russian forces hearing that the UA is preparing late offensive to cut the Izyum bridgehead
**UA building pontoon bridges to the west of Izyum
**Russian forces are preparing stronghold to prevent UA from cutting them off.
**Russian force concentrated on roads and villages.
**Area has ridges, some forest patches and forested strips which are creating opportunities for many UA mobile groups on bikes and in buggies (always have ATMs mounted). Hide about 1-2 km from roads and hit Russians as they appear, then move away. Lines are like Swiss cheese.
**Russian counter: use 24 sfB & 3 sfB to hunt mobile groups in woods. When found, pin UA units with arty, encircle and exterminate them.
**This is one reason RGF is so slow to move forward - they are always under threat in their bivouac areas; the more the RGF expands its bridgehead, the more it has to defend from mobile unit threats. Big drain on resources now, but expansion will drain more faster - almost self-destructive.
**UA 46th airborne is holding in reserve, making another big difficulty for RGF to cut the Donbas salient. Russian does not have enough troops in the area to do that.
3. Lyman bridgehead. Russian side claims progress in mopping up this bridgehead held by Ukrainian troops. Specifically, village of Yampil, Krymky, Oleksandrivka are claimed as captured. It’s totally possible scenario, however, we don’t have any other supporting evidence of this claim so far. No major Russian advances since yesterday.
**Lyman small town - no strategic value. Just helps drain RGF. The UA 3rd company, 1st battalion, 79th brigade has been 70% destroyed with some 30% surrendering.
**Bridgehead will be lost, and the question is: will they have inflicted enough damage to make it worth the cost?
**Russians claiming that a UA group of 1000 was captured around a lake before they could launch a counter offensive. Implausible claim as is many miles through RGF held territory for supplies and reinforcements.
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured majority of Rubizhne. Popasna is about 70-80% captured by Russian troops. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well.
**No changes.
5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there.
**No changes.
6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands.
**No changes.
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area.
**No changes.
8. No new attacks on Orikhiv.
**No changes.
9. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.
10. Mykolayiv: No major changes.
Remember back in the Gulf War, when we destroyed over 3,000 Soviet-style tanks in under 100 hours?
We have better stuff now.
The only safe place for Russian forces, is back in Russia. At least 100 miles away from the border.
Putin blufs, as do most bullies when they know their opponent is bigger, faster, and stronger.
Russia has more cruise missiles and nukes than Raytheon can make ATGMs in two years. NATO is not geared for the attrition war. And if Saddam had the propaganda machine you are providing to Ukraine, the world could have thought that the US lost the war.
Pop off your remaining cruise missiles. They are a tiny fraction of the net explosive weight of the artillery.
It has been all great fun for the Russian forces to bombard helpless civilians with artillery, but that game is over.
Russia’s turn to receive.
Nothing else has worked for the Russian forces in Ukraine, and now even that is going to reverse on them. Run for it Ivan, it is your last chance. Kill your commissar, and make your getaway, while you still can.
Now everyone knows those numbers are garbage because so many of the stockpiled weapons don’t work either from failure to have proper maintenance (dry rotted tires anyone?), or outright fraud when they were manufactured (egg crating inside body armor instead of plating)
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