Mondays, Tuesdays and Wednesdays will be later reporting in the day for an indefinite period
Globalism / Great Reset -
CEO of GnS Economics Tuomas Malinen forecasts the imminent collapse of the European economy. Focusing on the ill-advised sanctions against Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine and the shutting down of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, he reports that “[m]any households and corporations are seeing their energy prices multiply by 10, or more, across the continent.” In the face of a massive spike in energy prices, skyrocketing inflation, the raising of interest rates, the crushing effect on asset markets and the European banking sector, and the explosion of a full-blown debt crisis, Malinen predicts the unraveling of the Eurozone and the possible collapse of the global financial system.
OBSERVATION - The current transjectory of the EU in the face of the oncoming energy crisis has left countries scrambling to try to stave it off and survive through the winter. Prospects are not looking too good. The potential chaos is what leftists want to use to then sweep in as the saviors of the world to instill the final pieces of the GGR take over. Germany seems to be in the most precarious position and is the country to watch. If it falls, the domino effect will ensue.
MORE RELATED - As Germany’s electricity and natural gas prices soar, a wave of companies – some having a long tradition – are filing insolvency. Toilet paper maker Hakle has filed for insolvency, citing “increased energy costs”. Others include shoe retailer Görtz, who cite low sales as consumers cut back on their discretionary spending, and automobile supplier Dr. Schneider. Steel producer ArcelorMittal in Hamburg und Bremen are also following.
“With a tenfold increase in gas and electricity prices, which we had to accept within a few months, we are no longer competitive in a market that is 25% supplied by imports. We see an urgent need for political action to get energy prices under control immediately,” said Reiner Blaschek, CEO of ArcelorMittal Germany (Financial Market World).
Another industry sector facing extreme hardship is the bakery industry, which relies heavily of affordable energy. According to Blackout News: “For bakeries, the energy crisis is now worse than the Corona pandemic, according to industry sources. ‘We have the problem as a micro baker that we have to adjust our prices to the raw material and energy prices, of course, which also burdens the customer, if he is also a bit tighter on cash,’ says an affected baker from Heilbronn.”
One baker in our local area has seen his monthly gas bills go from 3000 euros earlier this year to 11,000 euros!
OBSERVATION - This is a rolling snowball - one which the only short term solution is Germany biting the bullet and firing up coal generators. Most likely they don’t have the common sense to do so. As Ive noted before, the fall and end of the year have a number of social and economic vectors converging in this time frame - all seemingly harbingers of something wicked this way coming.
Economy -
Congress is focusing on a continuing resolution to prevent the county from shutting down on September 30th. But the path is anything but clear. One major sticking point is Schumer, D-N.Y., commitment to pass the oil and gas permitting bill by the end of September as part of a deal with Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va. In exchange for passing the bill, Schumer secured Manchin’s support for the White House’s $739 billion climate change and tax hike package. Democrats are more than willing to stick their knives in Manchin’s back.
Indicators are not looking good as US freight railroads will reduce their services starting Monday after two of the country’s largest rail unions failed to agree on a new contract this week, the Journal of Commerce reported.
The railroads began notifying customers about the service cuts, which are taking place ahead of a possible strike on Sept. 17, the publication said, citing a customer advisory from Norfolk Southern Corp. The Association of American Railroads confirmed in a statement Friday that six Class I freight railroads will begin to take steps to “manage and secure” shipments of some hazardous or sensitive materials from Monday.
OBSERVATION - This can well be a high speed train wreck if the unions decide to go through with a strike.
Biden / Harris watch -
Biden’s 9/11 speech at the Pentagon Sunday was a disgusting bloating pile of crap. biden said that the “greatest lesson of September 11” was that we should not be unkind to muslims.
CW2/Domestic violence -
UPS has stepped up its anti-gun campaign by requiring online sellers to ship an average of 50 handguns daily to use its 2nd Day Air service.
Sellers who do not ship at least 350 handguns a week risk losing their shipping accounts. Under the new agreement, UPS is only required to give customers a ten-day notice before cutting them off from the shipping service. The volume necessary means that most online retailers and manufacturers are now cut off from shipping guns through the carrier unless the handgun is shipped using the expensive Next Day Air service.
The notice was sent to UPS customers that deal in firearms. UPS has been under pressure from anti-gun groups and politicians to stop doing business with the gun industry. This new move appears to be a way that UPS can cut ties to most of the industry without jeopardizing its major accounts.
The letter also references updating its policies to be in line with the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) and state regulations. This reference most likely refers to new rules surrounding privately manufactured firearms (PMF). But UPS goes much further than required by law.
OBSERVATION - Once again, private industry is doing the dirty work of the left. This may turn around and bite them later.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now entering its seventh month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - With the route Russian forces in Kharkiv Oblast, its ability to sustain its offensive to capture the Donbas region is in jeopardy. Retreat of Russian forces have reversed 5 months worth of effort and resulted in huge losses of equipment.
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Russian announced it is repositioning forces east of the Oskil River, apparently in hopes that they can delay Ukraine crossing /pursuit across the river.
On his Telegram, Kremlin chief propagandist, Soloviev, called for the execution of Russian commanders who allowed the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kharkiv region
Chechnya’s Kadyrov publishes a rambling voice memo criticizing the Russian army for retreating and suggesting Putin may not be fully aware of the situation on the ground. “Mistakes were made. I think they’ll draw conclusions”
RUMINT - ——
Putin is trying to shape the information cycle to convict the Russian General staff for the failure in Kharkiv. Some think he is trying to do so before he falls out a window.
Currently there are media rumors saying Moscow is preparing to issue a formal declaration of war, as opposed to a current limited “special operation” - which would mean greater mobilization across armed forces branches and society.
Since early in the summer, preparations were being made to hold referendums on the official annexation of two regions in Ukraine unofficially known as the Luhansk and Donetsk People’s Republics, along with much of the Kharkiv region. The annexations would be proclaimed to be “indefinite.” The tentative date for the votes was planned for November 4th, Russia’s “Unity Day.” But now, sources close to the Kremlin say that those plans have been iced and there is no talk of a vote in November anymore, assuming it will ever happen at all.
Logistics -
- It is becoming increasingly evident that Russia forces abandoned tanks and armored vehicles that will take years for Russia to replace.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- Russia has just fired Lt. General Berdnikov, its commander of the western military district. He’s been in post for 15 days.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 60s and rain over parts of the 10 day forecast period
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Ukraine is restoring control over state border with Russian Federation in Kharkiv region west to Oskol river. Clean up operations are also continuing as Ukraine forces continue to chase Russians fleeing Izyum.
Large parts of Ukraine in blackouts including Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, Kharkiv and Poltava after Russian cruise missile strikes on thermal power plants and stations on Sunday evening. Power was restored in many communities within hours.
Kyiv front ——
NSR
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
Widely scattered artillery attacks.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Operation tempo continues to be very high and the situation is changing moment by moment.
Russian forces appear to have withdrawn across the Russian border under pressure in the areas north - northeast of Kharkiv. This will eventually permit Ukranian artillery to target Bolgorod area military facilities.
Ukraine forces continue to clear out the Izyum pocket. At this stage the region is fully under Ukraine control, except for some pockets of resistance. Ukraine forces are chasing Russian units eastward.
Endless que of cars are leaving the parts of the Luhansk region that border the Kharkiv region. It is believed that these are Russian sympathizers and collaborators trying to flee before being faced with arrest for their actions.
Donetsk Oblast ——
More Russian artillery and ground assaults in the vicinity of Bakhmut with no gains on the ground. Overall, action along the LOC is down.
Crimean Front ——
Spokesperson of Operation Command South confirmed 5 settlements and 500 km, liberated in Kherson region in last 2 weeks: Vysokopillia, Novovoznesenske, Bilohirka, Myrolyubivka and Sukhyi Stavok.
There are rumors that some Russian units at Kherson frontline are negotiating surrendering their weapons.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
Russian army conducted 18 missile strikes, 39 air strikes at civilian and military objects across Ukraine. Damage in over 30 settlements, among them: Kramatorsk, Kostiantynivka, Dnipro, Pavlohrad, Velykomykhailivka. Russian army conducted missile strike at Kharkiv Power Plant.
Russian Territory -—
Governor of Belgorod region reports Logachevka border post was shelled.
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR
Ammunition / logistical sites hit —
Explosions audible in Kherson.
OUTLOOK ——
Official confirmation from the General Staff that Russian units are leaving Svatove towards Luhansk direction. Ukrainian forces have already clamped the railway in Vovchansk. The only other rail entry outside Crimea is Logachevka which leads to liberated Kupiansk Ukraine.
Meaning -
Which means whatever Russian armor or mechanized units can only escape east and will likely have no additional fuel to do so. Northern Luhansk could soon be in play as a result of the melt down of Russian forces in Kharkiv Oblast.
Russians are in a very precarious place in northern Ukraine, especially after losing a massive amount of equipment. We’ll probably see them try to hold the east bank of the Oskil river, but the Ukrainians have the initiative right now.
To continue the attack across the Oskil river to now is the dilemma that Ukraine has to quickly decide. Has several major components to the decision
First - This area was largely rear area for the Russians - occupied mostly by supply types, hardly the dig in and fight types
Second - The Russian forces fleeing there from Kharkiv left most of their armor behind and likely only have what they could carry on their backs (or with them on what ever other vehicle they could get on. After getting the snot kicked out of them, they probably have very little fight left in them and are in a state of disarray.
Third -Russia has no stratigic reserve to bring into play in such short notice
Fourth - Supply lines into the east of Oskil region are tenuous at best.
Finally - For Ukraine, they may face an over extended supply line and risk from Russian counter attacks. However given the state of their forces in the region - that risk is currently minimal.
Mondays, Tuesdays and Wednesdays will be later reporting for an indefinite period
Globalism / Great Reset -
On August 31, the California State Senate passed a bill that would allow courts in California to take custody of minors from out of state who come to the Golden State seeking gender transition surgeries and cross-sex hormones, even if these actions go against the wishes of the minors’ parents.
Meanwhile, a host of legal experts have expressed grave concerns about the bill’s legality and consequences for children and parental rights.
“SB 107 is one of the gravest threats to parental rights in recent years,” said Jonathan Keller, president of California Family Council. “If Governor Newsom foolishly signs this measure, California should brace for lawsuits. Other states’ attorneys general will not sit idly by as California steals children from parents who don’t want them sterilized with these trans-treatments.”
OBSERVATION - Why is this listed here - because kalifornia is a beta test of what the GGR wants to put in police globally. They want to dismantle the family unit and this is one way of doing so. Ubergoverment wants to control all children be it through the evil of the transgenderism, wuhan vaccination, MAGA extremism, etc.
Wuhan virus -
New Zealand will be retiring its COVID-19 traffic light system and significantly scaling down COVID restrictions from Sept. 13 so Kiwis could “move forward with certainty,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced.
“It’s time to safely turn the page on our COVID-19 management and live without the extraordinary measures we have previously used,”
New Zealand will be retiring its COVID-19 traffic light system and significantly scaling down COVID restrictions from Sept. 13 so Kiwis could “move forward with certainty,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced.
“It’s time to safely turn the page on our COVID-19 management and live without the extraordinary measures we have previously used,” Ardern said, calling it a “milestone.”
OBSERVATION - NZ was one of the hardest core wuhan tyrannies of the plandemic. Though the country is letting its restriction drop, the question is how successful were they in sucking the will out of the sheeple for the next round of what ever ‘emergency’ pops up.
Economy -
Yellen told CNN’s Dana Bash on “State of the Union” that gas prices could rise due to the European Union largely halting Russian oil purchases this winter and banning provision of services that allow Russia to ship oil by tanker.
“It is possible that that could cause a spike in oil prices,” Yellen said.
But Yellen noted a western price cap proposal was designed to balance curbing Russian oil revenues helping fund its war in Ukraine, while maintaining some access to Russian oil to “hold down global oil prices.”
“So I believe this is something that can be essential,” she said. “And it’s something that we’re trying to put in place to avoid a future spike in oil prices.”
OBSERVATION - It doesn’t support the globalist agenda to have prices lowered.
The world’s second largest appliance manufacturer, Electrolux, announced a collapse of corporate earnings -the result of the western alliance economic contraction- leading to major cost cutting and future incentive programs.
OBSERVATION - another key precursor to a recession.
Invasion of Illegals -
A new report indicates there has been a dramatic shift in the demographics of the illegal immigrants crossing the border, as agents from the Border Patrol process people from over 115 countries at bustling crossing locations – with hardly any of them being Mexicans.
An Associated Press analysis documents agents processing migrants trying to cross the border in Yuma, Arizona as well as Eagle Pass, Texas – two of the busiest crossings.
“Migrants from at least 115 countries have been stopped here in the last year, but that may be less striking than what’s missing: Mexicans are virtually absent,” they write.
OBSERVATION - This is an invasion, pure and simple.
Chuck Todd, host of NBC’s “Meet the Press,” asked Vice President Kamala Harris in recorded interview on Friday: “Since we’re here in Texas, I want to ask you about the border. Would you call the border secure?”
Harris said it was.
OBSERVATION - Record seizures of illegal drugs - Meth, cocaine and fenityol as well as human trafficking - yep sounds pretty secure to her.
POLITICAL FRONT -
According to the New York Times, about 40 subpoenas have been issued seeking information about the 2020 election and Capitol riot. Among those subpoenaed were top Trump advisers Boris Epshteyn and Mike Roman, who reportedly had their phones seized as evidence.
Many other Trump aides and confidantes close to the 45th president both in and out of the White House were also subpoenaed, including Dan Scavino, his former social media director.
OBSERVATION - DoJ/FBI actions are clearly designed to influence the midterms as well as tarnish Trump and any 2024 president run.
Domestic / International Terror (modified)-
On the 21st anniversary of 9/11, CBS News has confirmed that military prosecutors and attorneys for five defendants charged for their roles in the attacks are negotiating potential plea deals that could take the death penalty off the table and keep the detention camp at the military base in Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, open for the foreseeable future. Their cases have stalled over access to CIA evidence and, more recently, delays caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The chief defendant is Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the self-described architect of 9/11. The other four defendants are Ramzi Binalshibh, Mustafa Ahmed al-Hawsawi, Walid bin Attash and Ammar al-Baluchi.
OBSERVATION - Not a coincidence this information came out on 9/11. They should hav been off’d years ago.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now entering its seventh month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - With the route Russian forces in Kharkiv Oblast, its ability to sustain its offensive to capture the Donbas region is in jeopardy. Retreat of Russian forces have reversed 5 months worth of effort and resulted in huge losses of equipment.
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Another terrible , bad day for Russia as public opinion formed by the Russian talking heads and brave politicians turn on Putin.
RUMINT -
Reports that Putin has retreated to his Sochi mansion and cancelled all his meetings with his military staff.
Logistics -
- There are reports via Forbes that in recent days over $600 million worth of Russian equipment has been destroyed by Ukrainian forces.
- Debris of Iranian Shahed-136 drone #M214, rebranded as Geran-2 were found in Kupyansk district. First direct evidence of Russian use of Iranian drones.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- the 1st guards tank army has after the heavy losses from the first phase of the invasion and being decimated in the Kharkiv offensive is now reportedly not much more than a battalion
- The Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russian 810th Naval Infantry Brigade has lost more than 85% of its personnel and is now refusing to return to combat
- Unconfirmed reports that the Russian military command may be suspending the deployment of newly formed units to Ukraine due to recent Russian losses and overall degraded morale.
- The Russian military command said in a SM post that “The current situation in the theatre of operations and distrust of the higher command forced a large number of volunteers to categorically refuse the prospect of service in combat conditions,”.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 60s and rain over parts of the 10 day forecast period
RUMINT -
Unconfirmed, but am now hearing that Ukraine has captured “more than one” Russian general
Unconfirmed: the Russians have surrendered on both sides of the Dnipr river in Kherson.
Further RUMINT that Ukraine massing forces to strike toward Mariupol.
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
The Ukraine army continues mopping up Kharkiv Oblast and appears to be probing into Luhansk Oblast. The Kherson offensive continues at a methodological pace.
Kyiv front ——
NSR
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
Widely scattered artillery attacks.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Operation tempo continues to be very high and the situation is changing moment by moment. Ukraine continues to consolidate its gains while it also continues to pressure Russian forces fleeing east.
Combat footage taken in Bilohorivka, Luhansk Oblast, on September 11 confirms that Ukrainian troops have retaken ground in Luhansk Oblast.
Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian forces continued ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian ground assaults on various settlements around Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Attacks that have no meaningful chance of securing operationally significant, let alone decisive, gains now that Izyum has been liberated
Crimean Front ——
OSINT sources indicate from satellite imagery of known Russian positions in Kyselivka, 15km northwest of Kherson City, shows that all but four Russian vehicles have departed from previous forward positions, consistent with rumors that Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) troops have abandoned Kyselivka and moved back towards the Dnipro River. Kyselivka is an operationally significant location for Russian forces around Kherson City because it is the last major settlement along both the E58 highway and a railway line between current Ukrainian positions and Chornobaivka, the outermost part of Kherson City.
Ukraine’s Kakhovka Operational Group announced that Ukrainian forces have penetrated the front line at depths between 4 and 12km in unspecified areas, amounting to over 500 square kilometers of liberated territory. The Kakhovka Group stated that Ukrainian troops have liberated 13 settlements,
Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR
Russian Territory -—
Governor of Belgorod region of Russia urges citizens in Zhuravlyovka and Nekhoteyevka villages on the border with Kharkiv region to evacuate.
2 electrical power pylons were blown up at railway road in Bryansk region of Russia
Partisan Resistance ——
Partisan activity continues to increase in all the occupied regions
Ammunition / logistical sites hit —
Long range Ukrainian strikes on Russian military targets near Mariupol were reported yesterday
Explosions from missile strikes reported near Kherson
OUTLOOK ——
Still waiting to see if Ukraine is going to opt to press its attacks further east into northern Luhansk Oblast. Ukraine has the initiative and advantage. Such an attack could be swung southwards. I think the greater chance is the Kherson offensive firing up. Progress was made along the central axis of attack.
Russia continues to press its attacks against Bakhmut and Avdiivka, losing more and more forces and equipment. This is evidence of a breakdown in a coherent plan of attack. Capture of these cities - if they even have a chance at this stage - will not serve the war effort except go be a PR ‘win’.
Quick comment on the reported demise of armor some have made of his conflict. Actually it it the demise of the Russian application of armor. Ukraine used the same series of tanks Russia did (T64/72/80) but operated in a combined arms manner like the US - infantry protects the tanks, and the tanks protect the infantry. This combined arms method was further enhanced by the development of a NCO and junior officer corps that enhanced the interoperation. The tank isn’t dead - only the Russian method of employment is.
Iran -
Blinken: An agreement on a nuclear deal now seems unlikely, Iran has taken a step back in negotiations with the P5+1 group
OBSERVATION - Iran never for a moment wanted any agreement on their nuclear production, everything was and is a stalling action
A senior Iranian military commander said Monday that Iran has developed a long-range suicide drone intended to strike major cities along Israel’s Mediterranean coast. Brig. Gen. Kioumars Heydari, who heads the Iranian military’s ground forces, said the Arash-2 drone was specifically designed to attack Tel Aviv and Haifa.
OBSERVATION - I suspect that these drones would be used like the Houthi have used theirs, to attack softer petroleum facilities. Against Tel Aviv and Haifa, they would be more of a terror device with its smaller warhead. Israel is already about to reply a counter laser system to such a threat.
Armenia/Azerbaijan -
Large clashes broke out between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces along the border between the two countries on Monday night, according to Azerbaijani and Armenian Defense Ministries. As of Tuesday morning, clashes were ongoing, despite a statement by Russian officials that a ceasefire had been reached.
Both the Armenian and Azerbaijani Armed Forces have reported casualties. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced that 49 Armenian soldiers had been killed in the fighting as of Tuesday morning. Three Armenian civilians have also reportedly been injured by the shelling.
Azerbaijani artillery and UAVs reportedly targeted sites in Vardenis, Goris, Sotk and Jermuk in eastern Armenia overnight, with the Armenian Defense Ministry stating on Tuesday morning that strikes continued to target those military and civilian infrastructure in those areas and in Ishkhanasar and Kapan.
Armenian PM Pashinyan has held a phone call with Russian President Putin to discuss the escalation tonight between his country and Azerbaijan.
Russian Foreign Ministry says it has mediated ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan, starting 9am. Also expressed deeply concern over situation
On Tuesday morning, the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry claimed that the Armenians were attempting to delay the signing of a peace agreement between the two countries.
The Azerbaijani APA state-run news agency published an analysis on Tuesday morning calling for Armenia to be “forced to peace” and for a “safe zone” to be created on the border between the two countries. The article additionally claimed that Armenian forces remained in Nagorno-Karabakh region despite agreements to withdraw.
OBSERVATION - BLUF This fight may develop into a significant regional war. This action taken by the Azeri’s is likely a direct result of the defeat of Russian forces in Ukraine throwing the military into chaos and unable to respond to Armenia calls for help. Russia has stripped its forces around the globe to support its offensive in Ukraine that there are no assist readily available to come to Armenian need. Russia already is in poor standing with Armenians because of lack of peace keeping from earlier instances. As the attacks are on Armenian territory and not the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh is making the situation even more dangerous for the region.
Russia supports Armenia - and direct intervention may bring them into conflict with Turkish forces and potential NATO involvement. Iran and Azeris haven’t been getting along too well and Iran may be drawn into the conflict as they nearly were during the last conflict.